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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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EurAnalysis

  • #69,701
  • Sep 12, 2013 3:10am Sep 12, 2013 3:10am
Quoting Lirbig Nubee
Posting from experience traders are very informative and making me newbie learning process becoming interesting everyday. This is my today analysis ( from Newbie's eyes). It may be wrong, but that's the one way to learn in very small baby step becoming like all of you experience traders here, Thank you for your comments. {image}
Hi Nube and a very good morning to you,

I can tell by the price that this is EUR/JPY, but I have no idea what are the indicators at the bottom.
If you explain how you use those indicators in your strategy a bit (basic is enough), then maybe I will be able to make some comments.

Cheers
PT
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,702
  • Sep 12, 2013 3:10am Sep 12, 2013 3:10am
Quoting Islander
GM - the "horrible instrument" post caught my eye and having in the past been an underwater practitioner too - sticking to mainly intra-day trading has cured me - I took a look at EJ and its component UJ, where I have just closed an early short and am looking to see IF I get a buy signal.... So, at present, both € and UJ are showing potential buys off my 5m charts - € off its 3300 level and UJ off its late August high....a good bounce in UJ would make a nice shampoo to help get our Bermudas on from a higher level.... {image} {image}

hi, can you please give me the moving average indicator that looks like river on that chart.

thanks.
Trend Is Friend
  • #69,703
  • Sep 12, 2013 3:20am Sep 12, 2013 3:20am
Quoting polatok
{quote} hi, can you please give me the moving average indicator that looks like river on that chart. thanks.
looks like a moving average with a fixed stdev envelope on it...
90% of people, are wrong about 90% of everything, 90% of the time...
  • #69,704
  • Sep 12, 2013 3:21am Sep 12, 2013 3:21am
Quoting polatok
{quote} hi, can you please give me the moving average indicator that looks like river on that chart. thanks.
NP

I post most of my ID trades in Sonic's thread where he calls it The Dragon. I construct it from this ribbon indicator using the 34 EMA of the high and the low. I use the AllAverages as the colour changing mid line - and for any other MAs that I show.
Attached File(s)
File Type: mq4 AllAverages_v2.1 cc.mq4   15 KB | 177 downloads
File Type: mq4 MA ribbon filled2.mq4   2 KB | 252 downloads
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #69,705
  • Sep 12, 2013 3:22am Sep 12, 2013 3:22am
Quoting theDHT
{quote} looks like a moving average with a fixed stdev envelope on it...
To me it looks like a moving average based on close price in the middle line and High/low on the outsides.
You can replicate this yourself by adding 3 MA lines. One based on close, one based on high and the 3rd based on low price.

like this (34 ema with close, high, low)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurjpym30.png Size: 65 KB
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,706
  • Sep 12, 2013 3:27am Sep 12, 2013 3:27am
LOL - you can't hide anything here - not even from theDHT at the gym and PT at the beach
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #69,707
  • Sep 12, 2013 3:30am Sep 12, 2013 3:30am
Quoting Islander
LOL - you can't hide anything here - not even from theDHT at the gym and PT at the beach
I'm not at the beach yet, but I will be leaving soon
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,708
  • Sep 12, 2013 3:35am Sep 12, 2013 3:35am
Quoting Islander
LOL - you can't hide anything here - not even from theDHT at the gym and PT at the beach

i swear im not addicted!
90% of people, are wrong about 90% of everything, 90% of the time...
  • #69,709
  • Sep 12, 2013 3:55am Sep 12, 2013 3:55am
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} To me it looks like a moving average based on close price in the middle line and High/low on the outsides. You can replicate this yourself by adding 3 MA lines. One based on close, one based on high and the 3rd based on low price. like this (34 ema with close, high, low) {image}

Spot on BossMan - but some (most) of us like something more for the pretty visuals.....I thought you liked more too - and variation
Attached Image
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #69,710
  • Sep 12, 2013 4:05am Sep 12, 2013 4:05am
Quoting Islander
{quote} Spot on BossMan - but some (most) of us like something more for the pretty visuals.....I thought you liked more too - and variation {image}
This time they all look to be 18 or older.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,711
  • Sep 12, 2013 4:23am Sep 12, 2013 4:23am
Quoting chess king
'm risking 30 pips to 8x.. short E/U stop 3339 tp 3212
closed +20..
  • #69,712
  • Sep 12, 2013 4:25am Sep 12, 2013 4:25am
Quoting chess king
{quote} closed +20..
Why did you close early? The E/U just managed a close below the daily pivot. Now 1.3292 should provide resistance.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,713
  • Sep 12, 2013 4:33am Sep 12, 2013 4:33am
I am off for my daily romp in the great outdoors. As usual, I'll be back for NY session
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,714
  • Sep 12, 2013 4:37am Sep 12, 2013 4:37am
Quoting PipTrapper
I am off for my daily romp in the great outdoors. As usual, I'll be back for NY session

and I thought you liked comfort.....
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #69,715
  • Sep 12, 2013 4:46am Sep 12, 2013 4:46am
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} Why did you close early? The E/U just managed a close below the daily pivot. Now 1.3292 should provide resistance.
you are right .... thought it was a scalp ...
BE was best option
  • #69,716
  • Sep 12, 2013 5:04am Sep 12, 2013 5:04am
right, EJ coming under the previous triangle UTL at 132.00. Man, this blasted pair... I hope the market punishes BoJ for their fiddling.
cryptocurrency everytime
  • #69,717
  • Sep 12, 2013 5:07am Sep 12, 2013 5:07am
EJ
update
(original post: http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...00#post6956500)

Target acquired...now what?

H4
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EJ H4 09.12.13.png Size: 50 KB
90% of people, are wrong about 90% of everything, 90% of the time...
  • #69,718
  • Sep 12, 2013 5:30am Sep 12, 2013 5:30am
Quoting venzen
right, EJ coming under the previous triangle UTL at 132.00. Man, this blasted pair... I hope the market punishes BoJ for their fiddling.
our time to have a cigar with a nice single malt is coming...
90% of people, are wrong about 90% of everything, 90% of the time...
  • #69,719
  • Sep 12, 2013 5:34am Sep 12, 2013 5:34am


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The Limits of Bluffing
September 11, 2013 | 0738 GMT
http://www.stratfor.com/sites/defaul...?itok=TMovO4fI

U.S. President Barack Obama's address to the nation Tuesday evening hit all the expected points.
The president tried to articulate how an unanswered chemical weapons attack would impact U.S. national security, and he shed a bit more light on the intelligence that the United States has collected to link the regime to the attack. He also tried to define a limited U.S. strike as strong enough to hurt the regime, but not so damaging that the United States would be left to clean up the aftermath. To tie it off, the president made a moral argument rooted in American exceptionalism to rally a skeptical Congress. In spite of these efforts, the U.S. administration remains trapped in the same growing web of bluffs it was in before Obama delivered this message.
These bluffs have marked the turning points of the Syria crisis thus far. Bluffing is an age-old tactic in diplomacy. When faced with limited options, it can be a very powerful tool, if employed properly. As Machiavelli advised five centuries ago, "It is very wise to simulate madness at the right time." Indeed, a bluff timed with precision at a high pressure point that achieves the desired result without firing a single shot can transform a mediocre name in political history into a legacy overnight. That said, it would be difficult to impress Machiavelli with the bluffs used so far in the context of the Syria crisis.
Obama made the first bluff last August during the final campaign stretch for his re-election. Speculation had re-emerged over a strike on Iranian nuclear facilities, and Israel was trying to pressure Obama to draw a red line on Syria's alleged small-scale use of chemical weapons in July 2012 and Iran's continued pursuit of nuclear weapons. At the time, Obama could have reasonably concluded that there was a low probability of an embattled Syrian regime risking foreign intervention by carrying out a large-scale chemical weapons attack when it could still rely on its conventional forces to battle the rebels. But just one year later, the regime appears to have called Obama’s bluff and deployed chemical weapons in sizable amounts.
With the credibility of U.S. ultimatums at stake, not just for Syria, but for any power willing to challenge Washington, Obama needed to cobble together a coalition in haste, but he found out that even his impassioned allies, in Europe as well as in Congress, were losing their enthusiasm for military intervention.
Then came Russia's grand bluff. Russian President Vladimir Putin saw an opportunity to assert Russia as a great power with the influence to make the United States bend and its allies quiver. Moscow's bluff came in the form of a well-timed proposal to secure, seize and destroy Syria’s chemical weapons stockpiles. To the relief of many, the move actually seemed to extinguish the military threat to Syria. In reality, Russia's proposal was a non-starter. Sending hundreds of U.N. inspectors and technicians to secure 1,000 metric tons of chemical weapons stockpiles spread across at least 50 sites in a country embroiled in a brutal civil war is a long, arduous and highly complicated process – a mission that would require ground troops at a time when no country, not even Russia, appears prepared to take that risk. Still, the proposal sounded good enough for the White House and its European allies to apply the brakes to the military option and shift to the diplomatic route.
Now it is time for the United States to call the Russian bluff on the proposal. When U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry goes to Geneva on Thursday to meet with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, he will press him on the details of the proposal in an attempt to poke holes in the plan with the world watching. Russia will try to show that an ambitious diplomatic endeavor of this nature cannot be rushed, and certainly cannot be sabotaged with American threats of military action or threats from France to send Bashar al Assad to the Hague. The United States can put off a U.N. Security Council meeting to avoid negotiating with Russia over a watered down resolution, but it cannot meet a Russian demand to take the military option off the table. If Obama wants to preserve any credibility in this crisis, he must maintain a credible military threat if and when the diplomatic proposal flops.
Russia can always distance itself from fault if U.N. members refuse to commit ground troops to the operation or if the United States tries to cast the Russian proposal as a delay tactic unworthy of further consideration. Obama, however, will be left with the inevitable choice of backing out of a military campaign or proceeding with a limited strike based on a stale premise and possibly without the full endorsement of Congress. At some point, the bluffing game will run its course. The final move in this game will go to Obama, and no matter what moves have been made in the meantime, he'll still probably be looking at a weak hand.
  • #69,720
  • Sep 12, 2013 5:43am Sep 12, 2013 5:43am
Quoting theDHT
EJ update (original post: http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...00#post6956500) Target acquired...now what? H4 {image}

ode to my girl (EJ)

(reminds me of the Yoshitoshi launch party, Miami, spring 2007, where this song was featured.... sigh... good times!!)

Inserted Video


takin a break, back shortly
90% of people, are wrong about 90% of everything, 90% of the time...
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