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AUD/USD

  • #64,021
  • Sep 4, 2013 8:45am Sep 4, 2013 8:45am
Quoting pips29
{quote} Is that on friday? Just a short duration ,perhaps today or tomorrow. Not asking for much 50:80 ,hardly a day's range. thks
Yes NFP is on the first Friday of every new month....

just take care.... the market is already heavily pricing in on a September tapering so heavy that the fed could play tricks and say that the data has been inconsistent.... or given the current situation with Syria might be premature to taper so soon....
so the Risk of Surprise is one towards a delay in Fed Tapering to December....

for me... I just avoid playing anything USD related before NFP... in fact Thursday we have US unemployment claims which is an early indicator of NFP....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #64,022
  • Sep 4, 2013 8:46am Sep 4, 2013 8:46am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSD and swaps.jpg Size: 55 KB
  • #64,023
  • Sep 4, 2013 8:49am Sep 4, 2013 8:49am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} Yes NFP is on the first Friday of every new month.... just take care.... the market is already heavily pricing in on a September tapering so heavy that the fed could play tricks and say that the data has been inconsistent.... or given the current situation with Syria might be premature to taper so soon.... so the Risk of Surprise is one towards a delay in Fed Tapering to December.... for me... I just avoid playing anything USD related before NFP... in fact Thursday we have US unemployment claims which is an early indicator of NFP....

Today´s trade balance was worse than expected, which is good for us longs. But I agree with you and NFP and unemplyement rate looks like will come out negative
  • #64,024
  • Sep 4, 2013 8:51am Sep 4, 2013 8:51am
short 9200 -9210

tp 9140
  • #64,025
  • Sep 4, 2013 8:51am Sep 4, 2013 8:51am
Quoting Chubbly
{quote} Rule #1: Respect Thy Fellow Trader As a Forex Factory member, you are expected to treat others with respect and kindness. Mean-spiritedness, fighting, hostility, racism, offensive comments, and slander are all subject to removal. Healthy debate is welcome. Additionally, all members have the right to trade in peace - you should not harass, attack, or disrupt another trader's thread. If you dislike or disagree with someone's ideas, it's fine to say so, but you should move on shortly...
Thank You............!

What a Waste of Electrons............
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #64,026
  • Sep 4, 2013 8:53am Sep 4, 2013 8:53am
Quoting forexalien
{quote} When you get enough profitable trades under your belt, confidence builds, you then learn to stay out of the bad trades which is more important, and then and only then , the Fear and Greed go away. Everyone should try the real money account, starting at $200, and trade a single micro 0.01, and never margin under 200%, and do your best to not lose that account. It will make you a better trader......................Alien

are you the one who taught me how to post chart...thank you very much...and the above well said and true..the psychological aspect the most difficult part, the rest is actually easy
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #64,027
  • Sep 4, 2013 8:56am Sep 4, 2013 8:56am
Quoting pips29
{quote} are you the one who taught me how to post chart...thank you very much...and the above well said and true..the psychological aspect the most difficult part, the rest is actually easy
200 usd at 0.01 micro lots might be incredibly hard if leverage is at 1:50.....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #64,028
  • Sep 4, 2013 9:01am Sep 4, 2013 9:01am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} I might actually consider to do THAT! in that case I need to find a good broker with good spreads that's willing to open an account with only 200 usd... lol
It's great practice and you can make a pile of money on a small account once you get good..........

This chart is this weeks trades, I was not here Sunday and Monday, but up $172 on a $1200 dollar account from ............a $200 starting point..........
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 9_4_13 chugging along this week.JPG Size: 85 KB
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #64,029
  • Sep 4, 2013 9:02am Sep 4, 2013 9:02am
Quoting pips29
{quote} are you the one who taught me how to post chart...thank you very much...and the above well said and true..the psychological aspect the most difficult part, the rest is actually easy
Yes I was...........
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #64,030
  • Sep 4, 2013 9:04am Sep 4, 2013 9:04am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} 200 usd at 0.01 micro lots might be incredibly hard if leverage is at 1:50.....
It's not hard, it's all you have to work with, the sooner you make that work , the sooner you become a master.
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #64,031
  • Sep 4, 2013 9:08am Sep 4, 2013 9:08am
Quoting forexalien
{quote} It's great practice and you can make a pile of money on a small account once you get good.......... This chart is this weeks trades, I was not here Sunday and Monday, but up $172 on a $1200 dollar account from ............a $200 starting point.......... {image}
The flat area on the graph is where the market was not trending well, or no trades where to be found, so the account did not grow much yesterday.

But, I did not lose anything, to have to waste my time earning it back, this is one of the biggest keys to growing your account, leaning not to trade .........

And money management to not over margin your account to blow it up........................Alien
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #64,032
  • Sep 4, 2013 9:09am Sep 4, 2013 9:09am
Quoting pips29
{quote} Hi pip anon are you still trading ptecz and cscz method. a/u actually rebounded from the daily ptecz a few days ago. I challenged it and got kicked .Momentum was strong to the downside but when it was in the daily ptecz price hesitated and made two double bottoms. I was overconfident(lesson learned) that the ptecz will be taken out. The conflict in syria dented my plan. Hope you are trading well
Can you spell out your acronyms. I'm just not sure what you're referring to. My methods are simple, realistically its still in a downtrend and why I won't hold a long until .93 is taken out. Not to say I won't go long to exploit movement. That's just being a trader. Bonds, crude, tbills, interest rates, fx, coffee, chicken bones, pigs feet if there's a market with opportunity ill trade it lol.

I am not so biased that I will refuse obvious shifts in trend, etc. By I also have my convictions.

The Syria thing is odd, commodties is what it is effecting the most which aussie could play into. I truly think it is a combination. Of China and the dollar, but the question is how long can it ride the coat tails.
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #64,033
  • Sep 4, 2013 9:22am Sep 4, 2013 9:22am
Good god... AUDUSD NZDUSD still climbing up....
probably best not to pick tops... but i did say AUDUSD is headed up for the strong resistance up at 0.92-0.9220
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #64,034
  • Sep 4, 2013 9:31am Sep 4, 2013 9:31am
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} Can you spell out your acronyms. I'm just not sure what you're referring to. My methods are simple, realistically its still in a downtrend and why I won't hold a long until .93 is taken out. Not to say I won't go long to exploit movement. That's just being a trader. Bonds, crude, tbills, interest rates, fx, coffee, chicken bones, pigs feet if there's a market with opportunity ill trade it lol. I am not so biased that I will refuse obvious shifts in trend, etc. By I also have my convictions. The Syria thing is odd, commodties is what it is...

I thought you were using Dadas method where the wick is considered more important than the body of a candle .i.e the area of consolidation is the wick range. If I only know the volume at the wick range compared to the volume at the body, I will hit 101% accurate trades..wonder who knows. A bit of VSA(volume spread analysis) . If only there is a indicator that shows volume at both wick and body range we will reach the stage where we can really say "don't practise until you get it right BUT practise until you can't get it wrong!
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #64,035
  • Sep 4, 2013 9:36am Sep 4, 2013 9:36am
Quoting pips29
{quote} I thought you were using Dadas method where the wick is considered more important than the body of a candle .i.e the area of consolidation is the wick range. If I only know the volume at the wick range compared to the volume at the body, I will hit 101% accurate trades..wonder who knows. A bit of VSA(volume spread analysis) . If only there is a indicator that shows volume at both wick and body range we will reach the stage where we can really say "don't practise until you get it right BUT practise until you can't get it wrong!
http://www.cqg.com/Technical-Analysi...d-Studies.aspx
?
  • #64,036
  • Sep 4, 2013 9:38am Sep 4, 2013 9:38am
AUS_Sep H4 show just UP UP UP Candle not down side Move :O I hate this movement B cz I m with short and this cheap Pair do not like to stop up side Running >_<
  • #64,037
  • Sep 4, 2013 9:41am Sep 4, 2013 9:41am
Quoting 2+2=4ex
Okay enough dealing with children... moving on... Here is a weekly chart that shows what we're up against. Yes the bull has been on the run this week, but as you can see bull still haven't made up the loss of the two weeks prior (combined). Also, this week's bull run has only retraced about 18% of the drop from mid-April. So, I think it would be premature to say the downtrend is finished. In my opinion, anything below both yellow lines is still bearish. Between yellow lines is 50/50 and above them both will change my sentiment to bullish. Again...


Nice post ~ I would have so much more respect for you if you posted this chart with these comments last week as it would have certainly showed what you are looking at......and it is certainly not the 4 hour, 1 hour, or whatever smaller time frames members / traders may be using.

This post is soooo much better then your posts of people and things falling and collapsing. However, why could you have not posted this type of insight before? I remember reading your posts of the past week or more saying.......look out.....this will happen SOON!! And then you posted a pic or a looping video of a building collapsing or something or someone taking a huge full down.........and as we can all see - there has been a 200 pip move in the opposite direction. You maybe able to handle that kind of draw down but many in here cannot.....personally I do not believe that you should have eat a 200 pip draw down, but that is just my opinion.

I have posted in the past that when people are making trade calls one criteria that should be followed is indicated what time frame you are looking at - time is a big factor in trading....I know some trades that have time stops - if price does not move or reach a certain point after a certain amount of time they stop themselves out. Just saying this will happen SOON - only harms people. Soon could mean in the next 2 mins to some, or in the next 2 weeks to others. Be professional and post you entire thoughts, don't leave things open for interpenetration as it only harms your integrity. If you do not wish to give the entire insight for your thoughts, comments or trades then don't post anything.

This place should be a place for sharing knowledge and insight, not to POTENTIALLY mislead others by not completely sharing your thoughts.

Again, great post ~

Faller.
I don't trust any move - when you have profit...take it.
  • #64,038
  • Sep 4, 2013 9:47am Sep 4, 2013 9:47am
Quoting Faller
{quote} Nice post ~ I would have so much more respect for you if you posted this chart with these comments last week as it would have certainly showed what you are looking at......and it is certainly not the 4 hour, 1 hour, or whatever smaller time frames members / traders may be using. This post is soooo much better then your posts of people and things falling and collapsing. However, why could you have not posted this type of insight before? I remember reading your posts of the past week or more saying.......look out.....this will happen SOON!!...
  • #64,039
  • Sep 4, 2013 9:48am Sep 4, 2013 9:48am
Quoting HelloOz
{quote} http://www.cqg.com/Technical-Analysi...d-Studies.aspx ?

thks. Have you read it. Does it work? Is there an indi. that shows % of vol. at wick and body? If not I am lazy to read. Was just reading earlier posts. did not know so much infighting was happening while I was asleep. No point. bad vibes only
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #64,040
  • Sep 4, 2013 9:52am Sep 4, 2013 9:52am
Quoting Faller
{quote} Nice post ~ I would have so much more respect for you if you posted this chart with these comments last week as it would have certainly showed what you are looking at......and it is certainly not the 4 hour, 1 hour, or whatever smaller time frames members / traders may be using. This post is soooo much better then your posts of people and things falling and collapsing. However, why could you have not posted this type of insight before? I remember reading your posts of the past week or more saying.......look out.....this will happen SOON!!...

He was only showing you some designs for your avatar..no offence
the cautious seldom err....C
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