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Sonic R. System

  • #57,941
  • Edited 1:54pm Aug 30, 2013 1:33pm | Edited 1:54pm
Quoting RuslanHowp
Tah, what do you think about NU? I opened a few long positions based PVSRA and I think that the price has reached bottom. But a little confused by the fall of the UC and the impact on other pairs associated with usd. Use your signals I achieved great success in several weeks 400% risk associated with a lot of pressure on the deposit I made ​​up for hedging. But do not want to unconsciously follow your signals, and make decisions for myself. I would like to hear your opinion about NU thanks in advance, and sorry for my english. And I want to express my appreciation for all that you do for other traders and for me personally. {image}
Quoting RuslanHowp
{quote} Tah, it seems to me you have not noticed my post, very interested in your opinion.
RuslanHowp,

I apologize for the delay.

I do this now, but the next time post your own chart showing your own analysis first. That is the procedure. Understood?

Looking at H1, see that the Dragon has crossed down thru the Trend Line (bearish), and recently there been pullbacks by the bear MMs to reload shorts ahead of more downside. Do you see the Pump & Dumps? I do not see bulls in this picture at all.

There might be dollar strength moves coming that the MMs are sand bagging for, because recently all xxxUSD pairs have showing signs of the bear.

-tah
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #57,942
  • Edited 1:59pm Aug 30, 2013 1:45pm | Edited 1:59pm
Quoting faststare08
{quote} I'm pointing out is your SONIC VSA. I take long when its green but price had free fall. do you cancelling out your classic SONIC and replacing the PVSRA? I don't PVSRA because its still complicated for me yet. I just want to trade with classic SONIC but ignore me. -_-
faststare08,

Then use the latest TAH released indys and templates. No "VSA" there! You will find PVA instead. You need to follow all instruction in the releasing post, which is clearly linked in Post #1. That you refer to VSA tells me once more that you have not bothered to read. You are not even referring to the proper latest released indicators! That tells me you have not even carefully read Post#1!

There is a wealth of information on the use of volume contained in this thread. As much as you seem to be unwilling to read the thread to learn, do you really expect me, or anyone, to put themselves out to retype all that information at your request? Why would anyone of average intelligence or above retype information that is already typed? Do you have any idea how much work that involves? Do a thread search using keywords to find information to read.

Do not expect others to work harder in your behalf than you are working in your own behalf. It ain't going to happen. Grow up and go to work! I have given you instructions. Now follow them. Until I see constructive posts from you indicating you've done your homework, I will not respond further.

-tah
  • #57,943
  • Aug 30, 2013 1:59pm Aug 30, 2013 1:59pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} qFish, Here is how I manage. I continue to trade the same size as I started with. I feel relaxed and free to utilize more of idle monies by adding to trades or opening trades when I perceive the opportunity is good to do so, based on PVSRA. By doing this, in less than eight months this particular account has increased thirteen fold. I have not been greedy by increasing trade size. I have simply utilized newly banked monies, putting them to work also at appropriate times. This is nothing more than taking some of the Harvest and converting...
Tah,

I meant time Tah, Time, lol. Even with 4 pairs, checking up on them can be quite the effort. But yeah, in terms of your account size, it's 3 times mine, so I DO definitely see that you can trade around... 12 pairs each taking up about 20 scouts and still have more than half your margin left in reserve. It's funny you mentioned number of trades and I think you are completely right. I've done a simple analysis on my past trade history (so nice when you actually have some to play with). Gauging my still maturing performance, I've created a graph that I can use (based on my experience and current skill level) that can approximate the number of pips gained from number of closing trades per week. Here it is:

Attached Image

Attached Image


Assuming I can close 40-50 trades a week, it is possible to make 3000-4000 pips. For me, that's about 7.5% a week. Of course things go up and down, but on average that could very well be my current performance. Exciting, as these numbers are from my real live trading results with PVSRA. As I increase my account size, so does my number of scouts that I will send to fight. Only when we have saturated the charts and our time effort, do we start to think about scaling. For 0.01 lot trades, 20k would indeed be a good time to start scaling up (or you gonna have to do twice as much chart reading!). Another strategy would be martingale (increase number of scouts at every level beyond to move your average price towards you significantly), which will require a huge bank, but could improve performance greatly. Just a few ideas to shoot around. A lot of them are risky, but when you are trading small baby lots, they can work and become quite powerful.

-qFish
insanity: Doing the same thing over... and expecting different results -AE
  • #57,944
  • Aug 30, 2013 2:09pm Aug 30, 2013 2:09pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} {quote} RuslanHowp, I apologize for the delay. I do this now, but the next time post your own chart showing your own analysis first. That is the procedure. Understood? Looking at H1, see that the Dragon has crossed down thru the Trend Line (bearish), and recently there been pullbacks by the bear MMs to reload shorts ahead of more downside. Do you see the Pump & Dumps? I do not see bulls in this picture at all. There might be dollar strength moves coming that the MMs are sand bagging for, because recently all xxxUSD pairs have showing signs...
Thanks for the reply. Next time, be sure to include a screen
  • #57,945
  • Aug 30, 2013 2:11pm Aug 30, 2013 2:11pm
EU analyze
From daily chart we can found bounce of the price from historical support around RN 1.32
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd-d1-hf-markets-ltd.png Size: 49 KB

Yellow areas at 1H chart are showing the increasing of volumes while the price is falling. Pay attention to decreasing of volumes at pullbacks.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd-h1-hf-markets-ltd.png Size: 51 KB

15m chart is showing very notable activities below QN's.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd-m15-hf-markets-ltd.png Size: 52 KB

And last one confirmation from 1M chart is very BULLISH bars below DS1 in 1 hour before Londen close.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd-m1-hf-markets-ltd.png Size: 49 KB

On the base of above mentioned signs I think that MM's are BULLs now. Anybody agree?
Everything is possible!!! Step by Step...
  • #57,946
  • Aug 30, 2013 2:15pm Aug 30, 2013 2:15pm
Quoting qFish
{quote} Tah, I meant time Tah, Time, lol. Even with 4 pairs, checking up on them can be quite the effort. But yeah, in terms of your account size, it's 3 times mine, so I DO definitely see that you can trade around... 12 pairs each taking up about 20 scouts and still have more than half your margin left in reserve. It's funny you mentioned number of trades and I think you are completely right. I've done a simple analysis on my past trade history (so nice when you actually have some to play with). Gauging my still maturing performance, I've created...
qFish,

A "martingale" is a zero sum game. The sum total of all "indicators" applied results in the next play having no more or less statistical odds one way or the other than the last play. Zilch! Then came along a real brain that suggested doubling each subsequent bet. Carried to it's conclusion, the bets get so large that eventually an inevitable losing play wipes out the player!

PVSRA is predicated on trading very light relative to account size. That should never change. That is the failsafe!

I had to laugh to myself how ignorant that tin star Troll is (jmn5611), spouting off on stuff. It was obvious he was only parroting stuff he must have read, but which he totally failed to comprehend. Thought he was so smart to equate PVSRA to martingale! What an idiot!

-tah
  • #57,947
  • Aug 30, 2013 2:15pm Aug 30, 2013 2:15pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} faststare08, Then use the latest TAH released indys and templates. No "VSA" there! You will find PVA instead. You need to follow all instruction in the releasing post, which is clearly linked in Post #1. That you refer to VSA tells me once more that you have not bothered to read. You are not even referring to the proper latest released indicators! That tells me you have not even carefully read Post#1! There is a wealth of information on the use of volume contained in this thread. As much as you seem to be unwilling to read the thread to...
You have Control Panel Error TAH. Its a EURUSD. your Control panel a USDCAD. kindly check your LATEST TEMPLETE
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  • #57,948
  • Aug 30, 2013 2:18pm Aug 30, 2013 2:18pm
Tah, I noticed on some of your charts there is a small pip indicator on the right-hand side, black print with a yellow tab. If you have the indicator, I would greatly appreciate it. I am testing the PVSRA method on a practice account to get the knack of it. First results for this week are impressive. I will attempt next week to post charts.

Thx Hendal
  • #57,949
  • Aug 30, 2013 2:25pm Aug 30, 2013 2:25pm
Quoting faststare08
{quote} You have Control Panel Error TAH. Its a EURUSD. your Control panel a USDCAD. kindly check your LATEST TEMPLETE {image}
Yes, acknowledged in an earlier post. Few have problems with it. Change the chart TF once, which might set things straight. Corrected code will be in next release.
  • #57,950
  • Aug 30, 2013 2:26pm Aug 30, 2013 2:26pm
Quoting Hendal
Tah, I noticed on some of your charts there is a small pip indicator on the right-hand side, black print with a yellow tab. If you have the indicator, I would greatly appreciate it. I am testing the PVSRA method on a practice account to get the knack of it. First results for this week are impressive. I will attempt next week to post charts. Thx Hendal
A new release is coming. Being held while work takes place on the Trade Levels indicator you refer to. More has been discussed on this in a previous post.
  • #57,951
  • Aug 30, 2013 2:37pm Aug 30, 2013 2:37pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} Yes, acknowledged in an earlier post. Few have problems with it. Change the chart TF once, which might set things straight. Corrected code will be in next release.
I will read later from latest update post to til I drop to enlighten me this trading method.
anyway, thanks for answering my query TAH. kundos senor.
  • #57,952
  • Aug 30, 2013 2:42pm Aug 30, 2013 2:42pm
Quoting srt
{quote} UJ at a big resistance level on monthly chart. {image}

Oh My!
you guys follow the S/R levels here, too
I'm definitely joining this crew
Winners never quit and quitters never win. Vince Lombardi
  • #57,953
  • Aug 30, 2013 2:54pm Aug 30, 2013 2:54pm
Quoting DmitryFX
EU analyze From daily chart we can found bounce of the price from historical support around RN 1.32 {image} Yellow areas at 1H chart are showing the increasing of volumes while the price is falling. Pay attention to decreasing of volumes at pullbacks. {image} 15m chart is showing very notable activities below QN's. {image} And last one confirmation from 1M chart is very BULLISH bars below DS1 in 1 hour before Londen close. {image} On the base of above mentioned signs I think that MM's are BULLs now. Anybody agree?
EU:

DmitryFX,

H1 shows Dragon has crossed down thru Trend Line. Since that happened, there has not been the "traditional" pullback upwards by the bear MMs to load up more shorts. There is one at the time of the crossing, but a subsequent one is something they most frequently do when they "smell" their bear run for profits is near at hand. The price has dropped less than 200 pips since then. Not much in the broader picture. Therefore, a push up to/into/thru the Dragon might yet be coming before a true run for profits. Signs of that might be what you are picking up. Overall, though, there is a preponderance of PVSRA bear indications.

-tah
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  • #57,954
  • Aug 30, 2013 2:56pm Aug 30, 2013 2:56pm
Quoting DmitryFX
EU analyze From daily chart we can found bounce of the price from historical support around RN 1.32 {image} Yellow areas at 1H chart are showing the increasing of volumes while the price is falling. Pay attention to decreasing of volumes at pullbacks. {image} 15m chart is showing very notable activities below QN's. {image} And last one confirmation from 1M chart is very BULLISH bars below DS1 in 1 hour before Londen close. {image} On the base of above mentioned signs I think that MM's are BULLs now. Anybody agree?
Hi Dmitry,

let me use your excellent post as an example about something I'm noticing lately in the thread. Maybe your post is not the best example to take but some of you guys are saying in this or another pairs that MMs are bulls because volume is increasing in a S/R area, and that doesn't have to be true. Of course, volume will increase in those areas because they are supply/demand areas, and in those areas always there will be guys trying to catch a bounce and that is volume. The hard part here is to try to identify if that is a simple bounce or a possible trend reversal. Fortunately, we have more tools for that.

"Off hours"

Let's take a look to how the market reacts when London closes. Take a look to my first image and you will understand me. Last 3 days, when London closes, price decided to "breath", to bounce a little bit with low volume. Can you guess why? More shorts could be coming and if the price is not attractive enough, they pump it. It's always important to observe the price behaviour here because it can gives us a clue about MMs intention.

Candle patterns and volume

Another important tool to use. Take a look to the second image. I don't see anything telling me that a potential trend reversal is coming. Same with volume. purple candle has more volume (at least in my broker) that the second one, and that tell me that the "semi pin-bar" should not have enough power to change the current trend.

However, if we see a clearer pinbar or engulfing bar with more volume than the previous candle, we must pay attention there. This is not that case and it smells more like a stopping volume candle just before LC than a possible trend reversal.

The trend

Take a look to the trend now. All I see is LH and LL. We can see as well a consolidation zone, a zone that was broken making a new LL before LC. For now, the downtrend is intact. If you see the image again, I have a brown lane always to mark where is the trend change level to break. As long as the price is below that line, there isn't weakness. Of course, the purpose of PVSRA is always to be ahead that trend changes, but here nothing is telling me that a possible trend change is coming.

1H volume (personal experiment)

This is the first time I write about this because it's just a personal experiment that I'm trying to observe. Take a look to the thirst image. Using the volume in H1, I'm detecting that normally at the beginning and at the end there is always a candle with huge volume. And after that I start to see trend weakness and volume telling me that a potential reversal could be coming. In this case, I would like to seea 1H candle with a volume equal (or almost equal) than the candle we saw at the top of the chart. It isn't happen all the time (that is why I didn't write about it until now) but it happens 80% of the time. If you see a 1H candle with a volume like the other ones, pay attention to it.

---------------

Again, I think your post is an excellent analysis, but these are my 2 cents.

Best, Tymedu.
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To fail is just an opportunity to learn
  • #57,955
  • Aug 30, 2013 3:02pm Aug 30, 2013 3:02pm
Quoting DmitryFX
EU analyze From daily chart we can found bounce of the price from historical support around RN 1.32 {image} Yellow areas at 1H chart are showing the increasing of volumes while the price is falling. Pay attention to decreasing of volumes at pullbacks. {image} 15m chart is showing very notable activities below QN's. {image} And last one confirmation from 1M chart is very BULLISH bars below DS1 in 1 hour before Londen close. {image} On the base of above mentioned signs I think that MM's are BULLs now. Anybody agree?
I do agree with you DmitryFX I had already realized that. Currently I have 19 parts in this trade (and many old errors), and at breakeven. However, I think it is likely that the MM still remain many longs (you know very well that). It may only be a stoping volume (resume shorts) and then a pullback? I guess next week we will have better clues for our analysis. Good weekend.
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Newbie trader
  • #57,956
  • Aug 30, 2013 3:07pm Aug 30, 2013 3:07pm
A Sign of the Times for YEN Pairs

Just look at M1 for UJ. Not that UJ is something special to be considering. Just the opposite. It is completely ordinary. But, take a closer look. Think about what you are seeing!

The MMs are manipulating the price up/down in cycles. We already understand this is what they do when position building. Look how they keep it between the PVT and the 1/4 SR, both being above the whole number SR. That gives all this the PVSRA bear indication. Want to know what stands out? Folks, this is a hell of a lot of price manipulation and volume activity for late on a Friday!

The MMs are working overtime here to add shorts. This is a dead give-a-way that the MMs have already planned something special for the YEN pairs. And this overtime effort by the MMs on a Friday suggests it could happen next week, maybe early in the week, in spite of next week being a short week concluding with NFP.

One might think that the MMs would use next week simply building, and hold off runs for profit until the following week. But with the YEN pairs, a different picture has formed.
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  • #57,957
  • Aug 30, 2013 3:11pm Aug 30, 2013 3:11pm
USDYEN
There are two things I know about triangles:

  1. it will be break out
  2. i don't know the side of break out

Thanks to PVA I have a clue now! Three red candles noted by blue circles at daily chart is very good information about long term hidden intentions of MM's.
It's looks like somebody very big is preparing very deep drop of Yen

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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1h chart is showing bearish activity very clear, level by level MM's are loading it's positions.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdjpy-h1-hf-markets-ltd.png Size: 53 KB

Yellow rectangles at 15m chart are showing areas where price was raised together with volume increasing. After every new High volumes were falling.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdjpy-m15-hf-markets-ltd.png Size: 58 KB

And final accord of analyzing at 1M chart. Price pushed up above QN by big volume and new shorts were definitely loaded by MM's.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdjpy-m1-hf-markets-ltd.png Size: 54 KB

My conclusion is to continue the loading of trades to short position. It's looks like very promising now.
Everything is possible!!! Step by Step...
  • #57,958
  • Aug 30, 2013 3:21pm Aug 30, 2013 3:21pm
Quoting Tymedu
{quote} Hi Dmitry, let me use your excellent post as an example about something I'm noticing lately in the thread. Maybe your post is not the best example to take but some of you guys are saying in this or another pairs that MMs are bulls because volume is increasing in a S/R area, and that doesn't have to be true. Of course, volume will increase in those areas because they are supply/demand areas, and in those areas always there will be guys trying to catch a bounce and that is volume. The hard part here is to try to identify if that is a simple...
Tymedu

Sonicers,

If you are involved with PVSRA, Tymedu's post is a "Must Read"!
  • #57,959
  • Aug 30, 2013 3:24pm Aug 30, 2013 3:24pm
Quoting DmitryFX
USDYEN There are two things I know about triangles: it will be break out i don't know the side of break out Thanks to PVA I have a clue now! Three red candles noted by blue circles at daily chart is very good information about long term hidden intentions of MM's. It's looks like somebody very big is preparing very deep drop of Yen {image} 1h chart is showing bearish activity very clear, level by level MM's are loading it's positions. {image} Yellow rectangles at 15m chart are showing areas where price was raised together with volume increasing....
DmitryFX,

Your post,

You nailed it!

Sonicers, anyone of you involved with UJ (or any YEN pairs, imho) should read DmitryFX's post above.
  • #57,960
  • Aug 30, 2013 3:31pm Aug 30, 2013 3:31pm
I'm not good at English, not my native language. Can i speak Mandarin here? hahaha kidding.
by the way i have a question, what is the sign of MM is changing from bulls to bears or vice versa
I cant find a lot of information on pdf.

Thank you masters..
t.me/LWBRfx Discord.io/LWBR
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