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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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  • #69,221
  • Aug 23, 2013 2:55pm Aug 23, 2013 2:55pm
Quoting PipTrapper
I am out. It's Friday and $185 gain x 3 is good enough for me. Best of luck with the rest.

to be fair, ive cashed most of my longs aswell

very nice month for me, like last month with AUD/USD
How to Win at Sports Betting: DON'T DO IT!
  • #69,222
  • Aug 23, 2013 3:00pm Aug 23, 2013 3:00pm
Quoting PipTrapper
I am out. It's Friday and $185 gain x 3 is good enough for me. Best of luck with the rest.
555$ damn bro, nice

where did you long it ?
How to Win at Sports Betting: DON'T DO IT!
  • #69,223
  • Aug 23, 2013 3:12pm Aug 23, 2013 3:12pm
Quoting Vtmn
{quote} 555$ damn bro, nice where did you long it ?
1200, 1211 and 1220

Entered at the arrows
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: xauusdh4.png Size: 61 KB
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,224
  • Aug 23, 2013 3:25pm Aug 23, 2013 3:25pm
Quoting PipTrapper
1200, 1211 and 1220 Entered at the arrows

oh i didnt know youve been long for 1.5 months already i thought it was a one day payment
How to Win at Sports Betting: DON'T DO IT!
  • #69,225
  • Aug 23, 2013 3:30pm Aug 23, 2013 3:30pm
Quoting Vtmn
{quote} oh i didnt know youve been long for 1.5 months already i thought it was a one day payment
haha. I wish I could do that in one day on gold. I never leverage myself that much on one pair. I like to spread my risk over 4 to 8 pairs at a time.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,226
  • Aug 23, 2013 3:36pm Aug 23, 2013 3:36pm
Quoting PipTrapper
haha. I wish I could do that in one day on gold. I never leverage myself that much on one pair. I like to spread my risk over 4 to 8 pairs at a time.

i see


im pretty addicted to Gold right now, its worth the time (i dont have time) to wait a week or so
How to Win at Sports Betting: DON'T DO IT!
  • #69,227
  • Aug 23, 2013 3:47pm Aug 23, 2013 3:47pm
Quoting Vtmn
{quote} i see im pretty addicted to Gold right now, its worth the time (i dont have time) to wait a week or so
Time is all I have. If I am not trading or doing the occasional IT project, I am either eating, sleeping or humping
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,228
  • Aug 23, 2013 3:51pm Aug 23, 2013 3:51pm
Quoting PipTrapper
Time is all I have. If I am not trading or doing the occasional IT project, I am either eating, sleeping or humping

have you tried sleep humping while eating
How to Win at Sports Betting: DON'T DO IT!
  • #69,229
  • Aug 23, 2013 3:54pm Aug 23, 2013 3:54pm
Quoting Vtmn
{quote} have you tried sleep humping while eating
When I was a teenager
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,230
  • Aug 23, 2013 4:28pm Aug 23, 2013 4:28pm
Quoting Sober_Colm
No close under 3340. Monday's a biggie for me; imo we'll either be going south next week, starting Monday or else have to languish in the red for a couple of weeks & then head south & who knows how far north that "languishing" could go. If it does break then 3450+ wouldn't surprise me. Durable goods could be a decent catalyst. Still holding short from 3340 with mid/long term short bias.
If there is another move up, it will exhaust itself between 3410 and 3455 and that will be the end.

If we get a weekly close above 3455 next Friday, then 3600 and 3710 could be in view, but that is very highly unlikely according to long term counts.

Obviously nothing can be ruled out, but I take comfort in the fact that no matter how much good pmi data comes out of Europe, it will not transfer to the real economy because the profits (if any) will be used for deleveraging and banks will not lend to SMEs nor will SMEs borrow. On top of that, US rates will definitely rise from here forward and they will pull European rates up along with them as they always have, which in turn is a no brainer of an economy killer for Europe.

As they say in Italian; "Punto e basta". In english it means "Plain and simple".
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,231
  • Aug 23, 2013 5:00pm Aug 23, 2013 5:00pm
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} If there is another move up, it will exhaust itself between 3410 and 3455 and that will be the end. If we get a weekly close above 3455 next Friday, then 3600 and 3710 could be in view, but that is very highly unlikely according to long term counts. Obviously nothing can be ruled out, but I take comfort in the fact that no matter how much good pmi data comes out of Europe, it will not transfer to the real economy because the profits (if any) will be used for deleveraging and banks will not lend to SMEs nor will SMEs borrow. On top of that,...
i actually find EU extraordinarily hard to read the past few days and have stayed out. i dont like aggressive bidding like when it touched 3300 on the 22nd. who is to say that it wont fall right through to 3240? anyway, it didnt i digress.

i will, however, say that there is no resistance under 137 that i am willing to short. i dont see any exposed, obvious trades where i will be shorting. obvious areas are the money makers and i try to only take the best when possible. so, no new EU action from me. have a good weekend PT.
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #69,232
  • Aug 23, 2013 5:09pm Aug 23, 2013 5:09pm
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} If there is another move up, it will exhaust itself between 3410 and 3455 and that will be the end. If we get a weekly close above 3455 next Friday, then 3600 and 3710 could be in view, but that is very highly unlikely according to long term counts. Obviously nothing can be ruled out, but I take comfort in the fact that no matter how much good pmi data comes out of Europe, it will not transfer to the real economy because the profits (if any) will be used for deleveraging and banks will not lend to SMEs nor will SMEs borrow. On top of that,...
Record Bank Rally in Southern Europe May End on Economy

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-0...n-economy.html
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,233
  • Aug 23, 2013 9:06pm Aug 23, 2013 9:06pm

  1. food for thought...

    http://www.cftc.gov/dea/futures/deacmelf.htm

    scroll down to:
    EURO FX - CHICAGO MERCANTILE EXCHANGE for example

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commitments_of_Traders

    hope this helps..

    adios hasta el lunes

  • #69,234
  • Aug 24, 2013 3:58am Aug 24, 2013 3:58am
Quoting TraderPablo
food for thought... http://www.cftc.gov/dea/futures/deacmelf.htm scroll down to: EURO FX - CHICAGO MERCANTILE EXCHANGE for example http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commitments_of_Traders hope this helps.. adios hasta el lunes
This is a better view than just raw numbers
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Commodity Futures & FOREX Charts - Commitments of Traders Database.png Size: 145 KB
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,235
  • Aug 24, 2013 4:35am Aug 24, 2013 4:35am
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} This is a better view than just raw numbers {image}
Great chart, where did you get it (website)?

Thanks PT, hope all is well with you.
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #69,236
  • Aug 24, 2013 7:27am Aug 24, 2013 7:27am
Currency Positioning and Technical Outlook: Dollar Heaviness may Continue

http://www.marctomarket.com/2013/08/...hnical_24.html
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,237
  • Edited 8:40am Aug 24, 2013 8:29am | Edited 8:40am
I also follow Marc to Market. Interesting!

Here is my USDx (weekly)
I see a potential rebound to 82.30/50 before it sells off again
Then target is 79xx

However to reach this 82.30 I believe we need to close August above 81.57
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdxweekly.jpg Size: 119 KB
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #69,238
  • Aug 24, 2013 10:29am Aug 24, 2013 10:29am
EU

Month is Long
Weekly is Long
Daily Long to mixed with the theme of Hanging Long here for some time , Like till the end of the month...........
H4 is Mixed to Long..............
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 8_24_13 eu daily.JPG Size: 275 KB
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #69,239
  • Aug 24, 2013 4:26pm Aug 24, 2013 4:26pm
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} This is a better view than just raw numbers {image}
http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/fx/cftc-tff/main.html

this one is not bad neither....

click on Costumer Segment to see other groups positions
  • #69,240
  • Aug 24, 2013 4:28pm Aug 24, 2013 4:28pm
QE was a grand monetary experiment. We just don't know how withdrawal will play out.

http://www.theguardian.com/business/...ntative-easing
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
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