EURUSD | Page 41413 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Related Instruments

EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Similar Threads

MT4: how to change "EURUSD" to "#EURUSD"? 3 replies

Re: EurUsd short term 15 replies

did oanda just drop its spread for eurusd to 1 pip? 11 replies

EA for multiple lot limit order for EURUSD 0 replies

NFP nice bump up on EURUSD 2 replies

Attachments: EURUSD
Exit Attachments

EURUSD

  • #828,241
  • Aug 22, 2013 1:16am Aug 22, 2013 1:16am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} If you buy into the classical Gaussian model. If there is not something like a black swan. I recommend to read 'Antifragility' by Nassim Taleb.
I have seen him talk, quite interesting. I will check it out. And my point was only to suggest cdndollar not to mock individuals that bring to light his inaccuracies. I believe "black swans", or outliers, are valid. And I do believe there is validity to the black swan theory.

What I was getting at was the root basis of risk of ruin. Just like VaR, you have some fancy math to do, some monte carlo sims, but I wouldn't base my portfolio on it.
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #828,242
  • Aug 22, 2013 1:19am Aug 22, 2013 1:19am
Quoting cdndollar
{quote} yes, I am serious.. you need to get real if you're serious about longevity playing in this cesspool, the alternate safe route is to stick to books & academia..
You clearly are diverging from the point. You mentioned risk to ruin. You either A) did know what it was or B) misstated it and than attacked me once I mentioned what it was.

You cannot take a principle and that rearrange it to fit your argument. And I am real given the context of the risk of ruin which, again, is the mathematical probability of winners/losers and capital base. It really is that simple.

FYI you quoted the academia and books, I just filled in the blanks
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #828,243
  • Aug 22, 2013 1:30am Aug 22, 2013 1:30am
Quoting cdndollar
{quote} yes, I am serious.. you need to get real if you're serious about longevity playing in this cesspool, the alternate safe route is to stick to books & academia..

Yo Canadian...! How are you buddy...?
  • #828,244
  • Aug 22, 2013 1:35am Aug 22, 2013 1:35am
DX H4 H1

break and retest?

would like to see a bit more of a dip to short EU
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dxh4.PNG Size: 53 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: dxh1.PNG Size: 41 KB
  • #828,245
  • Aug 22, 2013 1:46am Aug 22, 2013 1:46am
Quoting math_GB
{quote} Yo Canadian...! How are you buddy...?
Hello Matt, hope you're fine..
me having fun "jumping with the Grasshopper" & killing some time here after the "stinky tofu party" & tropical typhoon here in this wonderful island..
Playing in this fx cesspool is such a boring serious business..
  • #828,246
  • Aug 22, 2013 1:51am Aug 22, 2013 1:51am
Quoting cdndollar
{quote} Hello Matt, hope you're fine.. me having fun with the noob & killing some time here after the "stinky tofu party" & tropical typhoon here in this wonderful island.. Playing in this fx cesspool is such a boring serious business..
Hell yeah...! Yes all good mate...Any levels you see above 1.3400...? I don't think it is over yet... What does your Bull tell you...?
  • #828,247
  • Aug 22, 2013 2:09am Aug 22, 2013 2:09am
i think i'm seeing a st path to 1.3380 today... hmm...

Attached Image
it is highly likely that i'm wrong... so dont follow me!
  • #828,248
  • Aug 22, 2013 2:13am Aug 22, 2013 2:13am
EURUSD My support levels for today are 1.3320-1.3300 and 1.3280.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD.JPG Size: 51 KB
  • #828,249
  • Aug 22, 2013 2:21am Aug 22, 2013 2:21am
Quoting math_GB
{quote} Hell yeah...! Yes all good mate...Any levels you see above 1.3400...? I don't think it is over yet... What does your Bull tell you...?
Euro painting the 3rd consecutive weekly close above 1.33 suggest good odds it had level shifted on this M/T leg from the year lows..
Over the near term, taking out the mofus stacked infront of 1.3450 could see an impulsive climb up to 1.37 again for this round.. keep an eye on the little dollar CHF .9150 & it's bigger siberling USDX 80.80 tofu lines..

Quoting cdndollar
{quote} With 2 Quarters gone, yearly ATR suggest good odds for another 500 to 800 bps ATR expansion up to USDX 86 or down to 76 in Q3~Q4.. {image} Seasonal "tofu zone" under test after being rejected from year high.. Deja Vu or stinky Tofu?
  • #828,250
  • Aug 22, 2013 2:24am Aug 22, 2013 2:24am
interesting sell order trigger at that 1.34 ...on my 4hrs chart 3320 is a good buy it as a small range of demand and 1.3380 also have a small range supply....before the journey of 3200 the real fall...i am looking for a rebound to 3380-90 for new sell order
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #828,251
  • Aug 22, 2013 2:28am Aug 22, 2013 2:28am
Quoting cdndollar
{quote} Euro painting the 3rd consecutive weekly close above 1.33 suggest good odds it had level shifted on this M/T leg from the year lows.. Over the near term, taking out the mofus stacked infront of 1.3450 could see an impulsive climb up to 1.37 again for this round.. keep an eye on the little dollar CHF .9150 it's bigger siberling USDX 80.80 tofu lines.. {quote}

WHY DID WE DROP DOWN FROM 1.345x IF THE REAL CARD WAS TO PLAY OF TO 1.37,,,WHAT I THINK NOW IS U SHOULD BE LOOKING TO BUY DIP..THE RULES IS SELL WEAKNESS BUY STRENGHT
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #828,252
  • Aug 22, 2013 2:32am Aug 22, 2013 2:32am
Quoting flam
i think i'm seeing a st path to 1.3380 today... hmm... {image}

3302 is a norm, I have a pending l @ 3295. Is 3380 a st bull target?
  • #828,253
  • Aug 22, 2013 2:34am Aug 22, 2013 2:34am
Quoting cdndollar
{quote} Euro painting the 3rd consecutive weekly close above 1.33 suggest good odds it had level shifted on this M/T leg from the year lows.. Over the near term, taking out the mofus stacked infront of 1.3450 could see an impulsive climb up to 1.37 again for this round.. keep an eye on the little dollar CHF .9150 & it's bigger siberling USDX 80.80 tofu lines.. {quote}

Cool, let's see how it behaves today, weekly close is what I actually care most at the moment...
  • #828,254
  • Aug 22, 2013 2:37am Aug 22, 2013 2:37am
Are there any traders here using 'dustbin' levels or similar approach for scalping <20 pips ??
  • #828,255
  • Aug 22, 2013 2:41am Aug 22, 2013 2:41am
Quoting OfWolfAndMan
Are there any traders here using 'dustbin' levels or similar approach for scalping <20 pips ??
yes
  • #828,256
  • Aug 22, 2013 2:48am Aug 22, 2013 2:48am
Quoting chazzle
{quote} yes

Good to know, Do you use dustbin levels?
  • #828,257
  • Aug 22, 2013 2:49am Aug 22, 2013 2:49am
Quoting OfWolfAndMan
{quote} Good to know, Do you use dustbin levels?
what do you mean by dustbin levels?
  • #828,258
  • Edited 3:12am Aug 22, 2013 2:53am | Edited 3:12am
Quoting chazzle
{quote} what do you mean by dustbin levels?

Horizontal levels 20pip apart, used mainly on EURUSD to scalp between those levels for 12, 15 or 20pips

& Don't tell me you don't remember Gleneagles or AllyB.
  • #828,259
  • Aug 22, 2013 2:57am Aug 22, 2013 2:57am
Quoting donfriday
{quote} WHY DID WE DROP DOWN FROM 1.345x IF THE REAL CARD WAS TO PLAY OF TO 1.37,,,WHAT I THINK NOW IS U SHOULD BE LOOKING TO BUY DIP..THE RULES IS SELL WEAKNESS BUY STRENGHT
Market rarely move in a straight line.. it took the mofu bullies 2 no news days from Thursday to do the 1st touch party up at the tofu zone.. so patience & good MM is needed if one is looking for those multi-figure paydays..
as for "RULES", perhaps we are looking at the RULES through different lens as what is weakness to you may be strength to me.. no?
  • #828,260
  • Aug 22, 2013 2:59am Aug 22, 2013 2:59am
Quoting OfWolfAndMan
{quote} Horizontal levels 20pip apart, used mainly on EURUSD to scalping between those levles for 12, 15 or 20pips Don't tell me you dont remember Gleaneagles or AllyB.
of course I do

but what I was getting at was ... how do you find these levels?
416 traders viewing now