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  • #827,941
  • Aug 21, 2013 9:51am Aug 21, 2013 9:51am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} And if it doesn't happen ? Does it happen the next day ? Or new day, new setup ?

It is very rare that it doesn't happen. Think about this mate, they need a range to trade and the higher the range the better. Best time to achieve that is when two major liquidity source is online at the same time. Of course today is a major event, this thing can expand the range much bigger than any ordinary day after London close.
  • #827,942
  • Aug 21, 2013 9:53am Aug 21, 2013 9:53am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} you are basically saying that when New York opens new high or new low will be formed before London goes home and then reverse.
Not necessarily reverse the whole move of the day but retraces do happen after London close, you may check on your chart.
London fix is about to happen tough. If a combined new low is to happen, it should happen soon...
  • #827,943
  • Aug 21, 2013 9:57am Aug 21, 2013 9:57am
Quoting math_GB
{quote} Not necessarily reverse the whole move of the day but retraces do happen after London close, you may check on your chart. London fix is about to happen tough. If a combined new low is to happen, it should happen soon...
i think it is just market dynamics. they can create any range they want at any time.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #827,944
  • Aug 21, 2013 9:58am Aug 21, 2013 9:58am
Dunno what returned seller's confidence before fomc. Strongly defending all bullish attempt even price near support TL.
This is really weird.

EDIT: Last careful slow bullish attempt also defended with better selling volume.
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #827,945
  • Aug 21, 2013 9:58am Aug 21, 2013 9:58am
Quoting math_GB
{quote} I became aware of this by "attila", so credit on him...
excellent...could be a little different today...swing swing...at 1pm ct..i'll be curious to find out...
  • #827,946
  • Aug 21, 2013 10:02am Aug 21, 2013 10:02am
Quoting kuroro001
loads of sellers at 1,3390/92 the 2 first rejections lead to new lows...the 3rd one didn't. It may be weaker ? Rare scenario, usually it goes up

real punch from that weekly supply zone..
Attached Image
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #827,947
  • Aug 21, 2013 10:07am Aug 21, 2013 10:07am
it would be funny if the FOMC turns out to have small impact today.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #827,948
  • Aug 21, 2013 10:09am Aug 21, 2013 10:09am
Quoting ffleo
it would be funny if the FOMC turns out to have small impact today.
most are expecting a small impact so won't be too surprising if there is a <50 pip move
  • #827,949
  • Aug 21, 2013 10:11am Aug 21, 2013 10:11am
Quoting JeremyWS
{quote} most are expecting a small impact so won't be too surprising if there is a <50 pip move
did you close your 10y US bond trade you took last week?
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #827,950
  • Aug 21, 2013 10:13am Aug 21, 2013 10:13am
Quoting Miguel.N
it seems, friday we may see 1.3505 !?
Bear seems strong enough now, won't surprise if we already got last high yesterday
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #827,951
  • Aug 21, 2013 10:13am Aug 21, 2013 10:13am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} did you close your 10y US bond trade you took last week?
yeah covered for -10bps shame really, I didn't expect it to move higher without "firm" data for the taper not just petty rumors.

Still in a 2s10s flattener though from 250bps. in the historical 95th percentile of PA and so shouldn't really stay here for long.

On european side, added long IT-DE spread at 235bps (av 242bps) and it has moved to ~250 today so that is nice.
  • #827,952
  • Aug 21, 2013 10:17am Aug 21, 2013 10:17am
yesterday candle was a false breakout if not today candle must not close below supply line..if we close below supply line 3202 will be the way ..a buy back to 3400 .....

only my expectation as a speculator
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 67 KB
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #827,953
  • Aug 21, 2013 10:26am Aug 21, 2013 10:26am
Quoting donfriday
yesterday candle was a false breakout if not today candle must not close below supply line..if we close below supply line 3202 will be the way ..a buy back to 3400 ..... only my expectation as a speculator {image}
right now it is just bouncing back and forth in the ascending channel,

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EUR-USD - Charts - -----4410TDA Main@thinkorswim [build 1844.9]_021.png Size: 172 KB
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #827,954
  • Aug 21, 2013 10:27am Aug 21, 2013 10:27am
Quoting ffleo
it would be funny if the fomc turns out to have small impact today.


here is my opinion....sometime the effect take place before the news or sometime after the news ...its not always that the impact happen at the time of the news..
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #827,955
  • Aug 21, 2013 10:28am Aug 21, 2013 10:28am
Quoting donfriday
yesterday candle was a false breakout if not today candle must not close below supply line..if we close below supply line 3202 will be the way ..a buy back to 3400 ..... only my expectation as a speculator {image}
Was this lower move 1.3352 expected?
  • #827,956
  • Aug 21, 2013 10:29am Aug 21, 2013 10:29am
Quoting cspip
speaking of levels..... anyone got EU if up 1.3567.......if down 1.3232 ...and ....GU if up 1.5934 / 1.5880.........if down 1.5444 ?
Quoting cspip
{quote} If reaches and bounce from 1.3353 then 1.3567 area more likely.
Did you guys get it ?....
  • #827,957
  • Aug 21, 2013 10:31am Aug 21, 2013 10:31am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} right now it is just bouncing back and forth in the ascending channel, {image}
the demand as been weak for days before the false breakout yesterday if we had close 50pips above it would have trigger more people to buy euro..
..the horizontal line is daily and weekly supply line ....the days is long and several hours to close the daily candle but some hard sell was triggered at 3400...let watch how we close today its very very important...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 82 KB
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #827,958
  • Aug 21, 2013 10:31am Aug 21, 2013 10:31am
Quoting cspip
{quote} {quote} Did you guys get it ?....
  • #827,959
  • Aug 21, 2013 10:32am Aug 21, 2013 10:32am
Quoting Miguel.N
it seems, friday we may see 1.3505 !?
Quoting forexings
{quote} Bear seems strong enough now, won't surprise if we already got last high yesterday
agree, but still not realy trust short !
  • #827,960
  • Aug 21, 2013 10:33am Aug 21, 2013 10:33am
Understand why we didn't go down just now ?
The US News remembered the housing ?
it tanked for a moment.. and started losing momentum and went down..
we might see a run up to 1.3500 from fomc
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