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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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  • #69,061
  • Aug 19, 2013 12:47pm Aug 19, 2013 12:47pm
Quoting halkins
Heh... really boring day so you've got guys here something to laugh - LOL Do you like your new forexfactory profile layout? Do you enjoy new features available in your profile? I think "ignore list", which is visible now is most popular, and this is the hit of the month... http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...04#post6903504
777 users on his ignore list. Wow. You and I are probably on there. LOL
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,062
  • Aug 19, 2013 4:37pm Aug 19, 2013 4:37pm
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} 777 users on his ignore list. Wow. You and I are probably on there. LOL

you wish ) i am still around
Loosening is not an option
  • #69,063
  • Aug 19, 2013 9:02pm Aug 19, 2013 9:02pm
pt, ive had such a good month messing with FX i reopened a spot account w citifx today. ive been wary of trading anything other than EU on futures because its so thin but now i have the CITI LIQUIDITY lol.

short usdjpy 9785

i can already say that i suddenly remember how much i dislike the concept of pipettes. utter nonsense. give whole number TICKS
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #69,064
  • Aug 20, 2013 1:26am Aug 20, 2013 1:26am
Quoting redteamgo
pt, ive had such a good month messing with FX i reopened a spot account w citifx today. ive been wary of trading anything other than EU on futures because its so thin but now i have the CITI LIQUIDITY lol. short usdjpy 9785 i can already say that i suddenly remember how much i dislike the concept of pipettes. utter nonsense. give whole number TICKS
Morning Red. Agreed. I don't like pipettes too much either. No particular reason other than the fact that I am used to whole pips pricing so it's been a bit confusing during the transition and I've made a few mistakes as a result. I am getting used to it though. Must say it's a lot easier for a newbie as they start off with fractional pips. I imagine they would get confused if they had to deal with a switch to whole pips. Point is that we like that to which we become accustomed, and don't deal with change all that easily. That's human nature and it is our challenge to rise above it
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,065
  • Aug 20, 2013 2:05am Aug 20, 2013 2:05am
...and the Bundesbank said what?
That the ECB will raise rates?
That EZ are facing inflation?
Seems more like a risk of deflation to me.
Yep, all political horse dung.

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Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,066
  • Aug 20, 2013 2:53am Aug 20, 2013 2:53am
Quoting PipTrapper
...and the Bundesbank said what? That the ECB will raise rates? That EZ are facing inflation? Seems more like a risk of deflation to me. Yep, all political horse dung. {image} {image}
Interesting article
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-0...ing-next-month
  • #69,067
  • Aug 20, 2013 3:59am Aug 20, 2013 3:59am
Quoting Ambar
{quote} Interesting article http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-0...ing-next-month

agreed
Loosening is not an option
  • #69,068
  • Aug 20, 2013 4:41am Aug 20, 2013 4:41am
Quoting PipTrapper
{quote} Morning Red. Agreed. I don't like pipettes too much either. No particular reason other than the fact that I am used to whole pips pricing so it's been a bit confusing during the transition and I've made a few mistakes as a result. I am getting used to it though. Must say it's a lot easier for a newbie as they start off with fractional pips. I imagine they would get confused if they had to deal with a switch to whole pips. Point is that we like that to which we become accustomed, and don't deal with change all that easily. That's human nature...
Yeah. It introduces the possibility of a missed fill based on fractional error which is annoying. But.. fx futures are really, really thin in certain instances. Like <500 traded daily. So, sacrifices must be made I suppose.
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #69,069
  • Aug 20, 2013 4:48am Aug 20, 2013 4:48am
Quoting PipTrapper
...and the Bundesbank said what? That the ECB will raise rates? That EZ are facing inflation? Seems more like a risk of deflation to me. Yep, all political horse dung. {image} {image}

exactly what I thought
  • #69,070
  • Edited 6:34am Aug 20, 2013 6:03am | Edited 6:34am
German PPI forecast 0.2, actual -0.1 and EurUsd up 90pips...

So if the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse showed up at the EU parliament, the EurUsd should instantly gap up to 1.50?


edit: update - June EZ construction output +0.7% vs -0.3% prior m/m (but for some reason not reported on FF - strange... don't they have EVERYTHING of importance in the newsfeed?)
cryptocurrency everytime
  • #69,071
  • Aug 20, 2013 6:22am Aug 20, 2013 6:22am
Quoting venzen
German PPI forecast 0.2, actual -0.1 and EurUsd up 90pips... So if the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse showed up at the EU parliament, the EurUsd should instantly gap up to 1.50?
EurUsd had to hit 1.34. Thatīs done now and over with (Finally...). The new trend begins now to test 127.50 by October. My charts tell me we are headed for parity sometime before the Spring. What will be the trigger to cause this? I have no clue and it is irrelevant but it could be that the US economy is clearly the strongest in the world right now. It could be the diminishing budget deficit of the US. It could be the lower trade deficit that the US has now. Maybe it could be that the US is the first to run out of ink in the money printing business. It could be the Oil and Gas boom that the US is living through. It could be a realization that Europe is an Economic Leper with no sustainable cure, or it could be all of the above or none of the above... It makes no difference. USD will rule the next few years. EUR, JPY and to a lesser degree GBP will cater to King USD.
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #69,072
  • Aug 20, 2013 6:50am Aug 20, 2013 6:50am
Quoting Alorente
{quote} EurUsd had to hit 1.34. Thatīs done now and over with (Finally...). The new trend begins now to test 127.50 by October. My charts tell me we are headed for parity sometime before the Spring. What will be the trigger to cause this? I have no clue and it is irrelevant but it could be that the US economy is clearly the strongest in the world right now. It could be the diminishing budget deficit of the US. It could be the lower trade deficit that the US has now. Maybe it could be that the US is the first to run out of ink in the money printing...

Alorente, well if you put it like that...

Good points. i agree with your Dollar is King argument. However, just prior to making an upward trajectory, I believe it needs to go tag 79.x, before closing "the box". USD strength may be the outlook irrespective of what the Fed says, does or doesn't do. Psychologically speaking, i think the US and the Dollar will be the last resorts, until they no longer are.
cryptocurrency everytime
  • #69,073
  • Aug 20, 2013 7:26am Aug 20, 2013 7:26am
Quoting Alorente
{quote} EurUsd had to hit 1.34. Thatīs done now and over with (Finally...). The new trend begins now to test 127.50 by October. My charts tell me we are headed for parity sometime before the Spring. What will be the trigger to cause this? I have no clue and it is irrelevant but it could be that the US economy is clearly the strongest in the world right now. It could be the diminishing budget deficit of the US. It could be the lower trade deficit that the US has now. Maybe it could be that the US is the first to run out of ink in the money printing...
I agree that Usa have the keys of markets. In any case they could still decide to pump up economy by further sustaining indices and therefore to refrain from tapering till the end of year .
Per aspera ad astra
  • #69,074
  • Aug 20, 2013 7:33am Aug 20, 2013 7:33am
Quoting venzen
German PPI forecast 0.2, actual -0.1 and EurUsd up 90pips... So if the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse showed up at the EU parliament, the EurUsd should instantly gap up to 1.50? edit: update - June EZ construction output +0.7% vs -0.3% prior m/m (but for some reason not reported on FF - strange... don't they have EVERYTHING of importance in the newsfeed?)
Apparently not. I have mentioned this to them in a lengthy email and I was told that they filter out events which do not have an immediate impact on price (they call it noise). I explained to them that even though it may not have an immediate impact, it certainly has a cumulative impact and should be listed with a green marker (as opposed to yellow, orange or red) as "no expected impact" so that at least we can all see what is happening. In return I was told that it will be presented to the team for consideration. Now I wait
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,075
  • Aug 20, 2013 7:47am Aug 20, 2013 7:47am
just my opnion but i think yall are discounting momentum here. it likely has legs to 137
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #69,076
  • Aug 20, 2013 7:49am Aug 20, 2013 7:49am
what if it retraced to 4125? I would risk my entire fking account shorting that. what a superb resistance level.
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #69,077
  • Aug 20, 2013 7:59am Aug 20, 2013 7:59am
Quoting redteamgo
what if it retraced to 4125? I would risk my entire fking account shorting that. what a superb resistance level.
Tomorrow we get the FOMC minutes from the July meeting.
Either the house of cards comes tumbling down, or we head towards 3710 (or 4125)
However, If the target is the upside, I can almost guarantee you a rate cut at the next ECB meeting... or maybe even a surprise one beforehand.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #69,078
  • Aug 20, 2013 8:18am Aug 20, 2013 8:18am
Quoting venzen
German PPI forecast 0.2, actual -0.1 and EurUsd up 90pips... So if the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse showed up at the EU parliament, the EurUsd should instantly gap up to 1.50? edit: update - June EZ construction output +0.7% vs -0.3% prior m/m (but for some reason not reported on FF - strange... don't they have EVERYTHING of importance in the newsfeed?)
Monthly is long, this is where the big money is going, 2nd push up...................
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The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #69,079
  • Aug 20, 2013 8:22am Aug 20, 2013 8:22am
Weekly
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The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #69,080
  • Aug 20, 2013 8:28am Aug 20, 2013 8:28am
Quoting redteamgo
just my opnion but i think yall are discounting momentum here. it likely has legs to 137

yep and USD index is heading down strongly.

Quoting forexalien
Monthly is long, this is where the big money is going, 2nd push up...................
evidently so, alien, coz if it was going down it would have done so the past 2 weeks: failed H&S, indicators emitting steam, wavecounts screaming down...
cryptocurrency everytime
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