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  • #826,441
  • Aug 15, 2013 6:05pm Aug 15, 2013 6:05pm
I've been away for a while, and just took a look at the latest eurusd endeavours. All I can say the PA could be described from "random" (mild language) to completely moronic (more factual, given the amount of wasted energy needed to propel this gem up and down in this directionless jitter). Regardless of the language used, no one seems to have a clue.
  • #826,442
  • Aug 15, 2013 6:07pm Aug 15, 2013 6:07pm
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
dollar got absolutely smashed today. id be shocked if this doesn't fade back into 3325, maybe even 3300 im taking 80% of profits here, buying the dip, targeting 1.34 then 1.36 i havent looked at the screen since two hours before London open... TRUST IN YOUR LIMITS/STOPS.... all the big traders do I might even take a short here to fade this RIDICULOUSLY inefficient market move (price spike) {image}

I am not so sure about that statement, because Tick-volume was fairly high
  • #826,443
  • Aug 15, 2013 6:11pm Aug 15, 2013 6:11pm
USDx looking like it wants to shoot for 79xx at this point. ... man this chart is UGLY

usdx monthly
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdx.jpg Size: 126 KB
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #826,444
  • Aug 15, 2013 6:13pm Aug 15, 2013 6:13pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} I am not so sure about that statement, because Tick-volume was fairly high
but there is no solid trend, 150 pip move in 6 hours usually gets faded.

really its that 1 hour candle that was 80 pips in length, its panic buying, panic moves are usually faded


it doesnt have to but i think it will fade back into that zone and then go to 1.34
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #826,445
  • Aug 15, 2013 6:18pm Aug 15, 2013 6:18pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} pity is: only with movement below 3269 we will know, if the count is right
But not now,i guess imho, well have to wait for LO and NY, though i think/g its got to get bit lower before up or(3320,3297)? (yeah i know, watched/tried too much Fear and Loathing Las Vegas )

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  • #826,446
  • Aug 15, 2013 6:20pm Aug 15, 2013 6:20pm
Quoting attila
{quote} LOL. no gator, there are rules.. something you will never understand.. what you see there is a data mining algorithm ran on millions of pure tick data records.. my Oracle data base has close to one billion records atm, and I'm constantly running it.. Anyway, the algorithm is called K-Means (again something you'll never understand unless you look up Wikipedia) and it discovers the clusters of data and how they are structured.. There are clusters within clusters within clusters and then there are the leaves... Also each cluster has something...


Interesting approach for me since I am working with a special kind of market profiles, which are based on Tick-Volume/ price data.

For me this gained data help me to see market movements structured, and since I deal with Gaussian-models, help to estimate, how far a move on a specific time frame can run, until the probability of mean-reverting becomes huge.

Very interesting to see that you work similar :-) Did not know that beforehand
  • #826,447
  • Aug 15, 2013 6:22pm Aug 15, 2013 6:22pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} Interesting approach for me since I am working with a special kind of market profiles, which are based on Tick-Volume/ price data. For me this gained data help me to see market movements structured, and since I deal with Gaussian-models, help to estimate, how far a move on a specific time frame can run, until the probability of mean-reverting becomes huge. Very interesting to see that you work similar :-) Did not know that beforehand
yep, it's all in the data + applied logic to it..
  • #826,448
  • Aug 15, 2013 6:22pm Aug 15, 2013 6:22pm
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
{quote} but there is no solid trend, 150 pip move in 6 hours usually gets faded. really its that 1 hour candle that was 80 pips in length, its panic buying, panic moves are usually faded it doesnt have to but i think it will fade back into that zone and then go to 1.34

hehehe, yes, that may be right. After last months 450 pip on single day movement I am a bit of paranoid
  • #826,449
  • Aug 15, 2013 6:24pm Aug 15, 2013 6:24pm
3356 will tell..edit 57
  • #826,450
  • Aug 15, 2013 6:25pm Aug 15, 2013 6:25pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} pity is: only with movement below 3269 we will know, if the count is right
Yes. Practically no divergence atm which I don't like....
  • #826,451
  • Aug 15, 2013 6:34pm Aug 15, 2013 6:34pm
Quoting infinitus
{quote} hehehe, yes, that may be right. After last months 450 pip on single day movement I am a bit of paranoid
remember this faded 200 pips, im only asking for a 25-50 pip fade
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #826,452
  • Aug 15, 2013 6:35pm Aug 15, 2013 6:35pm
Quoting attila
{quote} you are messing with a computer scientist turned trader..
it's why I respect Dr. Doom so much.. he walks softly but he carries a big stick..
  • #826,453
  • Aug 15, 2013 6:40pm Aug 15, 2013 6:40pm
Quoting cdndollar
Morning.. lotsa over-night enterainment here in this classic thread.. Looks like 1/2 of the "Mofu Twin" may be off to EW Wonderland for while just when I was getting used to the daily dosage of "mofu precisions".. Woke up to 5 figs on auto-pilot in front of the "Tofu Zone" {image} {quote}
Morning..
woke up to see the elephants had a fest down @ the 1.3238~68 stomping paths over-night while the other half of the "Mofu Twin" are back from EW Wonderland flooding the screen with "mofu precisions" ..

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next party up at the stinky Tofu Zone?
  • #826,454
  • Aug 15, 2013 6:46pm Aug 15, 2013 6:46pm
Quoting attila
{quote} LOL. no gator, there are rules.. something you will never understand.. what you see there is a data mining algorithm ran on millions of pure tick data records.. my Oracle data base has close to one billion records atm, and I'm constantly running it.. Anyway, the algorithm is called K-Means (again something you'll never understand unless you look up Wikipedia) and it discovers the clusters of data and how they are structured.. There are clusters within clusters within clusters and then there are the leaves... Also each cluster has something...
are you meaning its same kind of loop occuring constantly at different levels ?
  • #826,455
  • Aug 15, 2013 6:50pm Aug 15, 2013 6:50pm
Quoting booze007
{quote} are you meaning its same kind of loop occuring constantly at different levels ?
Its a GUIDE.. A Map.. I don't trade the map. I LOOK at it and then decide..

Algo's described here.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/K-means_clustering
  • #826,456
  • Aug 15, 2013 6:52pm Aug 15, 2013 6:52pm
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
{quote} remember this faded 200 pips, im only asking for a 25-50 pip fade

exceedingly modest
  • #826,457
  • Aug 15, 2013 6:55pm Aug 15, 2013 6:55pm
Quoting attila
{quote} Its a GUIDE.. A Map.. I don't trade the map. I LOOK at it and then decide.. Algo's described here. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/K-means_clustering
Buddy, How goes it?, Tusseling with the G-Man? Lol
Been a while. Interesting concept you got here. How does it measure up against time fractals or do you bypass that using tick data?

V
A pip is only worth it if you know how much you risked to earn it
  • #826,458
  • Aug 15, 2013 6:56pm Aug 15, 2013 6:56pm
we can return aver gold in 1330 and em1681 mini sp500 and then back everything ha zero over the index falls and rising gold
  • #826,459
  • Aug 15, 2013 6:56pm Aug 15, 2013 6:56pm
Tokyo please move XXX/yen crosses ass....
Get Rich or Die Tryin
  • #826,460
  • Aug 15, 2013 6:59pm Aug 15, 2013 6:59pm
Quoting hoom
Tokyo please move XXX/yen crosses ass....
wow, you heard me !!!
Get Rich or Die Tryin
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