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  • #825,621
  • Aug 14, 2013 12:20pm Aug 14, 2013 12:20pm
Also ,biggest bullshit graph of the day - GB-FR 10 spread at 30bps

Bear in mind 5Y CDS' are -30bps. Hmm... free money anyone?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: FRGBs.png Size: 116 KB
  • #825,622
  • Aug 14, 2013 12:20pm Aug 14, 2013 12:20pm
Quoting JeremyWS
the Citi model has worked well today, keeping nice and tight, about 50 pips above mkt on hourly though. {image}

the citi bank uses a market model to predict every market move? coooool. howd youde get access to that?
  • #825,623
  • Aug 14, 2013 12:20pm Aug 14, 2013 12:20pm
Quoting hoom
{quote} just to show the chart for those talkin about the inverted hammer on H4 I would help with my thoughts as soon as I spot a good opportunity
thanks for clarifying. imo the inverted hammer is where pa crosses your green ascending line, however it did not result in a reversal...
  • #825,624
  • Aug 14, 2013 12:22pm Aug 14, 2013 12:22pm
Quoting Starry
{quote} the citi bank uses a market model to predict every market move? coooool. howd youde get access to that?
If you google hard enough you should find it, but I was told - you could ask a Citi trader by email but I don't know if they'll tell you. BNPP steer model is good too.
  • #825,625
  • Aug 14, 2013 12:24pm Aug 14, 2013 12:24pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i took some off also... the trade, no matter what, has made money now. 260 pips with less then a 10 pip s/l was not a bad trade. it will still not be a good trade if s/o.. it will be a better trade at 900 pips..
Wtf... in times, when everybody and their pubic louses cries for huge areas, ridicules any 5th digit they come across and scream 'patience' while running all over this place, that trade - no matter what - was a masterpiece in all due respect.

With the 900 potential pips in mind, even I didn't just set 2 positions, but took the time to split it up as much as possible.

Now, we are patiently waiting for the A/J to materialize (I didn't look yet)... if that happens, we'll definitely make money with more than satisfactory r/r.
  • #825,626
  • Aug 14, 2013 12:24pm Aug 14, 2013 12:24pm
Quoting JeremyWS
{quote} If you google hard enough you should find it, but I was told - you could ask a Citi trader by email but I don't know if they'll tell you. BNPP steer model is good too.
thanks

edit: hey thats a french bank, i lived over in grenoble one summer
  • #825,627
  • Aug 14, 2013 12:25pm Aug 14, 2013 12:25pm
Quoting JeremyWS
the Citi model has worked well today, keeping nice and tight, about 50 pips above mkt on hourly though. {image}

u amaze me with those chart and how you trade fx with them...i understand shht abt your chart...

could you pls post chart on fx i am sure only few people will understand what those chart is saying..
cheers..
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #825,628
  • Aug 14, 2013 12:26pm Aug 14, 2013 12:26pm
2 Standard deviation arb opportunity between CDS and Bonds here = EURGBP bearish in a way
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBCDS.png Size: 150 KB
  • #825,629
  • Aug 14, 2013 12:32pm Aug 14, 2013 12:32pm
hi all....im new in this forum...hope could learn from ALL master from here....your guidance much helpful...
cheers...

here is my lazy chart showing the EU ....HOPE ALL POST COOKS WELL TILL TP...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 15OGOS EU.png Size: 34 KB
  • #825,630
  • Aug 14, 2013 12:50pm Aug 14, 2013 12:50pm
lols now ill admit its going down(well, not up anyways). gg, im outta here

edit: ill probably regretit, and it will be the low of the daily timeframe
  • #825,631
  • Aug 14, 2013 12:51pm Aug 14, 2013 12:51pm
A few notes from the wires on today's Fed Governor Bullard speech:

- Inflation has not yet materialized, though there is still a risk of inflation in the future.
- Fed must meet it's 2% inflation target or it risks losing credibility
- GDP growth over the last 3 quarters has been lackluster
- Balance sheet size of US Fed vs. other central banks is not that high
- Employment data, GDP, Inflation, and Size of Balance Sheet key factors in QE (tapering) decision.

This coming from a centrist fed governor tells me that tapering next month is far from certain.

Still long EURUSD from 1.3270.
  • #825,632
  • Aug 14, 2013 12:52pm Aug 14, 2013 12:52pm
1.32446 buy, 1.32420 sl
  • #825,633
  • Aug 14, 2013 12:56pm Aug 14, 2013 12:56pm
Quoting JeremyWS
Also ,biggest bullshit graph of the day - GB-FR 10 spread at 30bps Bear in mind 5Y CDS' are -30bps. Hmm... free money anyone? {image}

Hi Jeremy, possible to go into details?

thanks

  • #825,634
  • Aug 14, 2013 12:59pm Aug 14, 2013 12:59pm
Quoting sanacasta
1.32446 buy, 1.32420 sl
super tight SL
target at ?
Together We Stand !
  • #825,635
  • Edited 1:27pm Aug 14, 2013 1:00pm | Edited 1:27pm
Quoting theonlyone
{quote} super tight SL target at ?
manuel fernandes
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eur.png Size: 42 KB
  • #825,636
  • Aug 14, 2013 1:10pm Aug 14, 2013 1:10pm
out of shorts from 3383 .nw going long .stop loss low of the day .
  • #825,637
  • Edited 2:42pm Aug 14, 2013 2:05pm | Edited 2:42pm
usa let the market close, that's coming blood.
gold up, target the beast 1426
  • #825,638
  • Aug 14, 2013 2:37pm Aug 14, 2013 2:37pm
Quoting CJayB
A few notes from the wires on today's Fed Governor Bullard speech: - Inflation has not yet materialized, though there is still a risk of inflation in the future. - Fed must meet it's 2% inflation target or it risks losing credibility - GDP growth over the last 3 quarters has been lackluster - Balance sheet size of US Fed vs. other central banks is not that high - Employment data, GDP, Inflation, and Size of Balance Sheet key factors in QE (tapering) decision. This coming from a centrist fed governor tells me that tapering next month is far from...
Thank you!
  • #825,639
  • Aug 14, 2013 2:54pm Aug 14, 2013 2:54pm
Stuck in the same 45 pip range for the past 32 hours... zzzzzzzzzzzzzzz.
  • #825,640
  • Aug 14, 2013 3:28pm Aug 14, 2013 3:28pm
Quoting CJayB
Stuck in the same 45 pip range for the past 32 hours... zzzzzzzzzzzzzzz.
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