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  • #823,381
  • Aug 8, 2013 8:38pm Aug 8, 2013 8:38pm
Quoting attila
I don't think it's gonna happen but it would be funny... find ourselves at 3080 tomorrow afternoon...
It will need a trigger that will cause global risk aversion and it might happen. Although say, U/J hit 100.00 but followed by all XXX/JPY crosses will not necessarily bring E/U down.

At this level E/U is very tempting to short because my mind keeps telling me easy 300-500 pips should it crash.
  • #823,382
  • Aug 8, 2013 8:38pm Aug 8, 2013 8:38pm
Quoting Matt5508
I found a really great article on Position Sizing and risk management.... Something that every trader needs to do with every single trade you take!! Long-term success in the markets is about minimizing losses and letting the winners run! The acticle is on this site... www.candlesavvy.com

will you please stop peddling your bullsh*t site
  • #823,383
  • Aug 8, 2013 8:42pm Aug 8, 2013 8:42pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} It will need a trigger that will cause global risk aversion and it might happen. Although say, U/J hit 100.00 but followed by all XXX/JPY crosses will not necessarily bring E/U down. At this level E/U is very tempting to short because my mind keeps telling me easy 300-500 pips should it crash.
I know..been talking about it.. but what's 300 pips among friends? this crap owes 200 pips down as we speak, question is from where..
  • #823,384
  • Aug 8, 2013 8:44pm Aug 8, 2013 8:44pm
Quoting attila
{quote} I know..been talking about it.. but what's 300 pips among friends? this crap owes 200 pips down as we speak, question is from where..

Who stands to get fecked over the most right now? LOL. I love that... Rings so true.
  • #823,385
  • Aug 8, 2013 8:44pm Aug 8, 2013 8:44pm
Quoting Venice
{quote} Been waiting for 3390 since late June... orders are in... let's see. Daily chart... so I am running around 100 pips risk. Realistically though if supplies highs are popped it will most likely be game over. 1.27780'ish final target... but who knows when it will get there. We may break north as well, who knows.
june... man you're patient..
  • #823,386
  • Aug 8, 2013 8:46pm Aug 8, 2013 8:46pm
Quoting Venice
{quote} Who stands to get fecked over the most right now? LOL. I love that... Rings so true.
I don't know.. but bulls got pretty cocky lately..
  • #823,387
  • Aug 8, 2013 8:47pm Aug 8, 2013 8:47pm
Quoting attila
{quote} june... man you're patient..
haha, I've slinged the 4h in the interim. Each wave on the Daily averages around 600-1000 ( a few 400 pippers as well) pips lasting 1-2 months. Just nature of that beasty...
  • #823,388
  • Aug 8, 2013 8:51pm Aug 8, 2013 8:51pm
Quoting attila
{quote} I don't know.. but bulls got pretty cocky lately..
TBH... the play looks to obvious from a S/D standpoint... and on course for the markets... this is either a best case or worst case scenario... depending on which personality is in control of skitzo
  • #823,389
  • Aug 8, 2013 8:53pm Aug 8, 2013 8:53pm
Quoting Venice
{quote} TBH... the play looks to obvious from a S/D standpoint... and on course for the markets... this is either a best case or worst case scenario... depending on which personality is in control of skitzo
now see? that's what I'm worried about.. looks too good..
  • #823,390
  • Aug 8, 2013 8:56pm Aug 8, 2013 8:56pm
Quoting attila
{quote} I know..been talking about it.. but what's 300 pips among friends? this crap owes 200 pips down as we speak, question is from where..
It will, one day no one knows when other than those central bankers. This is just my own guessing without any facts. There must be a purpose E/U at this current rate or even say at 1.3800. If I am looking at all the EUR/XXX crosses are at the extreme high. EURO is spread all over the world perhaps for foreign asset purchase or investment (EXPATRIATION). After all done the rate will come down for the benefits of EZ exports/imports. This movement doesn't look like by regular average Joe currency speculators. It's tax free to wild guessing so why not
  • #823,391
  • Aug 8, 2013 8:57pm Aug 8, 2013 8:57pm
Quoting attila
{quote} now see? that's what I'm worried about.. looks too good..
Yep... That's why I let the maths of r/r take care of it. It has more than enough breathing room and if we go up 100 pips from here I have no problem taking that loss. When the wins are on the daily are 400+ pips (minimum)... that is ample r/r.
  • #823,392
  • Aug 8, 2013 9:00pm Aug 8, 2013 9:00pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} It will, one day no one knows when other than those central bankers. This is just my own guessing without any facts. There must be a purpose E/U at this current rate or even say at 1.3800. If I am looking at all the EUR/XXX crosses are at the extreme high. EURO is spread all over the world perhaps for foreign asset purchase or investment. After all done the rate will come down for the benefits of EZ exports/imports. This movement doesn't look like regular average Joe currency speculators. It's tax free to wild guessing so why not
maybe I'm crazy but I'm watching France, not sure you caught the discussion earlier..
  • #823,393
  • Aug 8, 2013 9:05pm Aug 8, 2013 9:05pm
Quoting attila
{quote} maybe I'm crazy but I'm watching France, not sure you caught the discussion earlier..
No, I didn't almost impossible to read this thread during peak hours
  • #823,394
  • Aug 8, 2013 9:06pm Aug 8, 2013 9:06pm
hour close above 1.33865 would put pressure back on the upside shorting here really gives great risk reward
  • #823,395
  • Aug 8, 2013 9:06pm Aug 8, 2013 9:06pm
I would say ucad could have a bit more down, but don't forget it's in uptrend almost a year now.
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #823,396
  • Aug 8, 2013 9:09pm Aug 8, 2013 9:09pm
Quoting KillerWhale
I would say ucad could have a bit more down, but don't forget it's in uptrend almost a year now.
Weekly chart shows what I said.
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New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #823,397
  • Aug 8, 2013 9:10pm Aug 8, 2013 9:10pm
Quoting KillerWhale
{quote} Weekly chart shows what I said. {image}
Killer agree completely shorting in the 1.036 area offers great risk reward
  • #823,398
  • Aug 8, 2013 9:10pm Aug 8, 2013 9:10pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} No, I didn't almost impossible to read this thread during peak hours
All right, bragging time.. This is what I said yesterday, right around this time..

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...86#post6877686

Today Fisher said "out of all European countries he is most worried about France..." Now, where the hell did that come from? I'm keeping an eye on their bonds atm..

out of all European countries... more worried than Spain, or Portugal... France IS the yuro.. I just find it very odd..

and add to the fact, s&p is ready to downgrade 37 entities, out of which one is a sovereign.. hm.. Initially I thought it was Germany, but now the picture may come together.
  • #823,399
  • Aug 8, 2013 9:11pm Aug 8, 2013 9:11pm
Quoting attila
{quote} All right, bragging time.. This is what I said yesterday, right around this time.. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...86#post6877686 Today Fisher said "out of all European countries he is most worried about France..." Now, where the hell did that come from? I'm
keeping an eye on their bonds atm.. out of all European countries... more worried than Spain, or Portugal... France IS the yuro.. I just find it very odd..
I have read several pieces over the last 2-3 months that speculate France is nearly bankrupt.
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #823,400
  • Aug 8, 2013 9:14pm Aug 8, 2013 9:14pm
Quoting attila
{quote} All right, bragging time.. This is what I said yesterday, right around this time.. http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...86#post6877686 Today Fisher said "out of all European countries he is most worried about France..." Now, where the hell did that come from? I'm keeping an eye on their bonds atm.. out of all European countries... more worried than Spain, or Portugal... France IS the yuro.. I just find it very odd.. and add to the fact, s&p is ready to downgrade 37 entities, out of which one is a sovereign.. hm.....
And this could the reason they move the EURO out of EU to retain the value in other foreign currencies/assets and to benefit from the high E/U exchange rate? Just guessing.
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