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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #35,721
  • Aug 8, 2013 3:34am Aug 8, 2013 3:34am
Quoting Afaqkhalid
well to me it will go back down again....
if a seller will push the price to 96
Gold Annihilation System
  • #35,722
  • Aug 8, 2013 3:42am Aug 8, 2013 3:42am
Quoting apfrezza
I don't want to be offensive to anybody here...but it seems that lately this thead has created a lot of losses! First when saying that with Abe election yen should have declined and uj should have touched 110...then in the last day everyboy waiting to go long...and loosing and loosing and loosing I think we should all rethink if what we do have a sense...
Haha I know what you mean.. I definitely was off my trade this week.. but hey it happens. Seems to me when these threads start hypin up like this you can't get any quality opinions.. I'm a bit lost on the yen right now. But see in it push down this week hasnt been right.. it just feels weird.

My gut has been to long the dollar but I just might have been a bit early on it. Bond buying should weaken a currency inflation is not a strengthener of a currency and we've seen what the yen has done across the board due to hyper inflation...
Fall down 7 times, Stand up 8.
  • #35,723
  • Aug 8, 2013 6:00am Aug 8, 2013 6:00am
Quoting apfrezza
I don't want to be offensive to anybody here...but it seems that lately this thead has created a lot of losses! First when saying that with Abe election yen should have declined and uj should have touched 110...then in the last day everyboy waiting to go long...and loosing and loosing and loosing I think we should all rethink if what we do have a sense...
  • #35,724
  • Aug 8, 2013 6:00am Aug 8, 2013 6:00am
The price have been playing around with the 96 low area, i've put in few long orders at 96.34, with TP at 97 and SL at 95.80, it seems the bear gonna be over soon if the US unemployment claims releases better than expected data.


But as compilation from all the previous data and news:

ADP unemployment = releases better than expected
US NON ISM manufacturing = releases better than expected
Non-farm payroll = created less jobs
US Unemployment rate = decrease 0.1% to 7.4%

So foresee that the unemployment data later might release good data from the above news and data previously.
  • #35,725
  • Aug 8, 2013 6:04am Aug 8, 2013 6:04am
Quoting str33t
{quote} Haha I know what you mean.. I definitely was off my trade this week.. but hey it happens. Seems to me when these threads start hypin up like this you can't get any quality opinions.. I'm a bit lost on the yen right now. But see in it push down this week hasnt been right.. it just feels weird. My gut has been to long the dollar but I just might have been a bit early on it. Bond buying should weaken a currency inflation is not a strengthener of a currency and we've seen what the yen has done across the board due to hyper inflation...
stop worrying about what will happen and worry about what is happening .. dont over think.. price goes down sell .. price continues to drop continue to sell..
  • #35,726
  • Aug 8, 2013 6:05am Aug 8, 2013 6:05am
As a result of this analysis, Commerzbank holds on its Shorta with stop loss at 100.45 and TP 95 CB plans to enlarge the position if the price rises to 100
  • #35,727
  • Aug 8, 2013 6:59am Aug 8, 2013 6:59am
My broker has two indices for NIKKIE i.e NKDU3 and NKDZ3. Why one broker has different indeices for one thing? And what are the difference between them?
Anybody know this?
  • #35,728
  • Aug 8, 2013 7:26am Aug 8, 2013 7:26am
Price is trying hard to break down but looks seller has lost power now.
  • #35,729
  • Aug 8, 2013 7:33am Aug 8, 2013 7:33am
Quoting domino
{quote} stop worrying about what will happen and worry about what is happening .. dont over think.. price goes down sell .. price continues to drop continue to sell..
it is that simple, is not it? but it is so difficult to get it. path to comprehend this simplicity goes through countless failures and complexities.
As Above, So Below
  • #35,730
  • Aug 8, 2013 7:35am Aug 8, 2013 7:35am
how come price dropped despite good Unemployment news
  • #35,731
  • Aug 8, 2013 7:53am Aug 8, 2013 7:53am
Quoting aSTRONAUT
how come price dropped despite good Unemployment news
That is mystery. This is wave.. sellers are more than buyers. People are selling usd and buying eur and gbp. That's why.

Edit: I think price will keep falling till gbpusd reaches 1.57
  • #35,732
  • Aug 8, 2013 8:00am Aug 8, 2013 8:00am
Quoting aSTRONAUT
how come price dropped despite good Unemployment news
Technically it wasn't THAT good news. Barely beat forecast...

so it mehhh fart in the wind
  • #35,733
  • Aug 8, 2013 8:10am Aug 8, 2013 8:10am
Quoting iahmedz
{quote} That is mystery. This is wave.. sellers are more than buyers. People are selling usd and buying eur and gbp. That's why. Edit: I think price will keep falling till gbpusd reaches 1.57

Expect a bounce from here, or else technically it is going be "BIG RED " for USDJPY.

96.00 should hold here as this option barrier.
Intraday only.
  • #35,734
  • Aug 8, 2013 8:10am Aug 8, 2013 8:10am
the unemployment has significantly increased compared to last report , shouldn't that be bad for usd ?
  • #35,735
  • Aug 8, 2013 8:16am Aug 8, 2013 8:16am
Been short since 97.30ish and won't take a long position until 95 or 94.50ish.
"A true speculator tries the market small." - Jesse Livermore
  • #35,736
  • Aug 8, 2013 8:26am Aug 8, 2013 8:26am
Quoting sharif_pc
the unemployment has significantly increased compared to last report , shouldn't that be bad for usd ?
significantly increased but not more then expected meaning it is already priced into the market.. and unexpected increase over the amount expected would create price shock sending the usd down but it was expected amount meaning no price shock.. it is priced into market

the market prices in all given known and rare know data efficiently .. so the only real heavy movement is when the market is adjusting to the new information or data shock
  • #35,737
  • Aug 8, 2013 8:45am Aug 8, 2013 8:45am
Quoting navk
{quote} Expect a bounce from here, or else technically it is going be "BIG RED " for USDJPY. 96.00 should hold here as this option barrier.
You are right... I expect bounce when gbpusd will be up 1.56. At that point traders will start selling gbp and buying usd.
  • #35,738
  • Aug 8, 2013 9:00am Aug 8, 2013 9:00am
an 80 point sell down from here pushes us down to the long term neckline .. this would be indirection of long term trend .. I believe cracking that neckline will cause this pair to bleed red for a while.
  • #35,739
  • Aug 8, 2013 9:25am Aug 8, 2013 9:25am
Quoting domino
an 80 point sell down from here pushes us down to the long term neckline .. this would be indirection of long term trend .. I believe cracking that neckline will cause this pair to bleed red for a while.
Below 95.90 there are bigger stops.
Intraday only.
  • #35,740
  • Aug 8, 2013 12:06pm Aug 8, 2013 12:06pm
bounced from neckline it seems this may take more time to develop
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