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  • #822,761
  • Aug 8, 2013 3:32am Aug 8, 2013 3:32am
Quoting chazzle
h1 bear pin. anyone on it?
mine has little leg, anyway I see the close as the critical level, bears need no closes above 3omin then 1hr etc it is smack mid of todays range (so far)
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #822,762
  • Aug 8, 2013 3:32am Aug 8, 2013 3:32am
Quoting chazzle
h1 bear pin. anyone on it?
Being conservative here, better to have the next candle bearish before jumping in.
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #822,763
  • Aug 8, 2013 3:32am Aug 8, 2013 3:32am
Quoting TsunamiPL
{quote} I'm in.
DX M15

me too - wick mid@ 360 - looking to hold - dx to hit this channel top please
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  • #822,764
  • Aug 8, 2013 3:37am Aug 8, 2013 3:37am
Quoting Ssm
{quote} Being conservative here, better to have the next candle bearish before jumping in.
Just to remind you, there is no need before September 18 for any institution to wind anything down. If the dollar gains from 'right now' to then, then it is because of risk aversion kicking in. The closer to that date we get, the more likely such a move will become, but until further developments, these are simply short scalps. The institutions are going to squeeze every single pip they can get. S&P is right at a continuation-level, be careful if you want to wait for confirmation under these circumstances, because the two bars you want to be looking at already contain the 'profit-takers'.

Just a hint...
  • #822,765
  • Aug 8, 2013 3:37am Aug 8, 2013 3:37am
Quoting venzen
{quote} excuse me for smiling to myself, but it is funny when ppl think that forex = stocks. Having bullish or bearish sentiments in forex are only good for the next swing, but when the fundamental and sentiment landscape changes you, as a trader, have to flick mindset and be agile. It is not in any country or central bank's interest that their currency be too weak or too strong, that is why forex always swings but never keeps going in one direction - soon market forces and cenbank intervention pulls it back towards parity. right? right: EU and...
True what you say.

I'd be happy if most of us know exactly where they mingled and all that we have gained steadily than to look at transactions in the red and the nerves themselves and not waste time. I know this is not my calling the shots in forex trading.

For a few months I noticed the graph W1, that from my point of view, EURO has potential for growth. As Mr. Draghi said that in the second half of 2013 will be the EU's economic recovery. Therefore, I believe that the five-plus weeks ago, it started with the exchange rate 1.2760 and flies

I think we should go around 1.3260 in the coming days and then we'll see what happens.
I just am deaf to hear radio and tv

I wish you all the green pips.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusdweekly.png Size: 70 KB
  • #822,766
  • Aug 8, 2013 3:38am Aug 8, 2013 3:38am
Quoting Ssm
{quote} Being conservative here, better to have the next candle bearish before jumping in.
depends on target i suppose - gl
  • #822,767
  • Aug 8, 2013 3:43am Aug 8, 2013 3:43am
Quoting chazzle
h1 bear pin. anyone on it?
doesnt look convincingly bear esp when the past 12 hours or so it has been around this range..
it is highly likely that i'm wrong... so dont follow me!
  • #822,768
  • Aug 8, 2013 3:50am Aug 8, 2013 3:50am
Quoting flam
{quote} doesnt look convincingly bear esp when the past 12 hours or so it has been around this range..
same situation in g/u. short term target at 5515.3 hit, the small profit-takers did their thing and bulls need to start below 5503.1 and close above 5527.5 in a single candle to move towards the next st-target at 56186, which is just below the bigger 5630.5-target. I'll be lurking there for ~5412.x. If they move to 54xx now, I'll look for a long there.
  • #822,769
  • Aug 8, 2013 3:52am Aug 8, 2013 3:52am
Quoting Mr Hatch
{quote} Just to remind you, there is no need before September 18 for any institution to wind anything down. If the dollar gains from 'right now' to then, then it is because of risk aversion kicking in. The closer to that date we get, the more likely such a move will become, but until further developments, these are simply short scalps. The institutions are going to squeeze every single pip they can get. S&P is right at a continuation-level, be careful if you want to wait for confirmation under these circumstances, because the two bars you want to...
primo post
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #822,770
  • Aug 8, 2013 3:58am Aug 8, 2013 3:58am
Quoting Mr Hatch
{quote} Just to remind you, there is no need before September 18 for any institution to wind anything down. If the dollar gains from 'right now' to then, then it is because of risk aversion kicking in. The closer to that date we get, the more likely such a move will become, but until further developments, these are simply short scalps. The institutions are going to squeeze every single pip they can get. S&P is right at a continuation-level, be careful if you want to wait for confirmation under these circumstances, because the two bars you want to...
Mr Hatch, pardon me but why Sep 18?
The true fact is market doesn't care, risk mgt is important.
  • #822,771
  • Aug 8, 2013 3:58am Aug 8, 2013 3:58am
Quoting Siuwax88
{quote} True what you say. I'd be happy if most of us know exactly where they mingled and all that we have gained steadily than to look at transactions in the red and the nerves themselves and not waste time. I know this is not my calling the shots in forex trading. For a few months I noticed the graph W1, that from my point of view, EURO has potential for growth. As Mr. Draghi said that in the second half of 2013 will be the EU's economic recovery. Therefore, I believe that the five-plus weeks ago, it started with the exchange rate 1.2760 and flies...

just a thought ??
Attached Image
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #822,772
  • Aug 8, 2013 3:59am Aug 8, 2013 3:59am
Quoting flam
{quote} doesnt look convincingly bear esp when the past 12 hours or so it has been around this range..
EU H1

not very big is it? might be good for a few though
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: euh1.PNG Size: 37 KB
  • #822,773
  • Aug 8, 2013 4:04am Aug 8, 2013 4:04am
EU H4

It seems to me just a false reverse signal, some retrace till next rise...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd_h4_08.png Size: 83 KB
Anything is math!
  • #822,774
  • Aug 8, 2013 4:06am Aug 8, 2013 4:06am
Quoting chazzle
{quote} EU H1 not very big is it? might be good for a few though {image}

no offence but given the long upper shadow it doesnt really give a good RR to enter unless you know the future... Rather wait for 1.3417 area. maybe double top maybe continue i dont know..
it is highly likely that i'm wrong... so dont follow me!
  • #822,775
  • Aug 8, 2013 4:06am Aug 8, 2013 4:06am
Just see chart MN (or months), which says that the EURUSD has the potential to 1.47x. Previous candle ended up with a hammer.

Be careful with keeping short.

Can somebody confirm that this works?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusdmonthly.png Size: 71 KB
  • #822,776
  • Aug 8, 2013 4:07am Aug 8, 2013 4:07am
Quoting Kajos2250
EU H4 It seems to me just a false reverse signal, some retrace till next rise... {image}
I'd be happy with that
  • #822,777
  • Aug 8, 2013 4:09am Aug 8, 2013 4:09am
Quoting flam
{quote} no offence but given the long upper shadow it doesnt really give a good RR to enter unless you know the future... Rather wait for 1.3417 area. maybe double top maybe continue i dont know..
no offence taken mate. If it wasn't for the long upper shadow - it wouldn't be bearish in the first place , to me at least ... the mid of such wicks - offers s/r more times than not
  • #822,778
  • Aug 8, 2013 4:10am Aug 8, 2013 4:10am
Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} just a thought ?? {image}
And why do you market eurusd would go to hell 1.275 and 1.18? I do not see the potential of the European crisis.
  • #822,779
  • Aug 8, 2013 4:13am Aug 8, 2013 4:13am
Quoting chazzle
{quote} no offence taken mate. If it wasn't for the long upper shadow - it wouldn't be bearish in the first place , to me at least ... the mid of such wicks - offers s/r more times than not
hmmm... thats new, will keep that in mind.. but if you're looking for just a few should you look into the lower TF to confirm your view? doesnt look good on m15 at all.. bulls keep retaking...
it is highly likely that i'm wrong... so dont follow me!
  • #822,780
  • Aug 8, 2013 4:18am Aug 8, 2013 4:18am
Quoting flam
{quote} hmmm... thats new, will keep that in mind.. but if you're looking for just a few should you look into the lower TF to confirm your view? doesnt look good on m15 at all.. bulls keep retaking...
yes - my main view is H4/M15 - but look at all other TFs also

I generally follow a "HTF beats LTF" rule of thumb when it comes to analysis
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