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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #35,481
  • Aug 2, 2013 2:37pm Aug 2, 2013 2:37pm
...unless Al Qaeda is really doing something...
  • #35,482
  • Aug 2, 2013 3:31pm Aug 2, 2013 3:31pm
Quoting khol_hands
long 98.93.Mrs trend is bringing cup of tea to ABE.
yes. that's my base case too... there are technical factors at work, but i don't think they're strong enough to overcome abe's plans. having secured the upper house, and wanting a weaker yen, he will now make it so.
  • #35,483
  • Aug 4, 2013 7:01am Aug 4, 2013 7:01am
A little lookout for next week, we're still in the midst of a pennant. Technically could still go either way.
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"If you won't risk the usual, you'll have to settle for the ordinary."
  • #35,484
  • Aug 4, 2013 4:41pm Aug 4, 2013 4:41pm
Quoting livethedream
A little lookout for next week, we're still in the midst of a pennant. Technically could still go either way. {image}
Good! I hope for a strong surge on Nikkei.
Carbon-Dioxide: the gas of life! https://youtu.be/ttJBdr6eBuo
  • #35,485
  • Aug 4, 2013 6:55pm Aug 4, 2013 6:55pm
Opened short 98.98.

SL: 99.18

Planning to keep it open till BOJ on thursday
  • #35,486
  • Aug 4, 2013 7:58pm Aug 4, 2013 7:58pm
Weekly chart outlook

Still higher and higher lowers. Recently pullback still forming an bull flag. A close below 94 will signal reverse of bullish momentum. Break above bull flag should at least yield 105.
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Trade what you see, not what you think!
  • #35,487
  • Aug 4, 2013 8:06pm Aug 4, 2013 8:06pm
NZD/JPY printing new lows as new week starts.

sellers paradise...

U/J still has some downside potential before BoJ (at least thats what I hope.)
my aim is longs from 96.800-97.200
  • #35,488
  • Aug 4, 2013 8:08pm Aug 4, 2013 8:08pm
Quoting Lucky_FX
Opened short 98.98. SL: 99.18 Planning to keep it open till BOJ on thursday
SL too tight?
  • #35,489
  • Aug 4, 2013 8:14pm Aug 4, 2013 8:14pm
Quoting openyoureyes
{quote} SL too tight?
Yeah today's high nearly triggered it. But its ok, if 99.18 breaks, 99.25-99.60 is in view

But like you said in your other post also, downside potential till BOJ?
  • #35,490
  • Aug 4, 2013 8:20pm Aug 4, 2013 8:20pm
I'll try to go long after BoJ,
I don't carry positions...

I just trade the price action/reaction after news.

Feels safer, I can snipe great prices and ofc less stressful.
  • #35,491
  • Aug 4, 2013 8:22pm Aug 4, 2013 8:22pm
Quoting Lucky_FX
Opened short 98.98. SL: 99.18 Planning to keep it open till BOJ on thursday
Short from 99.1. SL moved to 99.4, will move to b/e if I get the chance.
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"If you won't risk the usual, you'll have to settle for the ordinary."
  • #35,492
  • Aug 4, 2013 8:22pm Aug 4, 2013 8:22pm
Yeah me too, after BOJ I am switching to long, and meantime I am shorting to gain profit, so by BOJ time, I'll open bigger lot position
  • #35,493
  • Aug 4, 2013 8:23pm Aug 4, 2013 8:23pm
Quoting livethedream
{quote} Short from 99.1. SL moved to 99.4, will move to b/e if I get the chance. {image}
Good to know there are other shorters out there
  • #35,494
  • Aug 4, 2013 8:30pm Aug 4, 2013 8:30pm
Quoting Lucky_FX
{quote} Good to know there are other shorters out there
Haha S/L moved to b/e... looks like it's gonna get hit to. Off to work.
"If you won't risk the usual, you'll have to settle for the ordinary."
  • #35,495
  • Aug 4, 2013 8:59pm Aug 4, 2013 8:59pm
Quoting livethedream
{quote} Haha S/L moved to b/e... looks like it's gonna get hit to. Off to work.
Well I f'd that up by about a pip and a half. Shoulda kept the s/l where it was at -4 pips instead of b/e. Of well. Waiting for the next opportunity.
"If you won't risk the usual, you'll have to settle for the ordinary."
  • #35,496
  • Aug 4, 2013 9:08pm Aug 4, 2013 9:08pm
x/JPY basket went down,

aud/jpy
nzd/jpy

was going down,
now others are following...
  • #35,497
  • Aug 4, 2013 9:43pm Aug 4, 2013 9:43pm
confirmed bear market for me until news,

today: US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
tomorrow: US Trade Balance

thursday:

JPY Current Account / Monetary Policy Statement
USD Unemployment Claims
  • #35,498
  • Aug 4, 2013 9:54pm Aug 4, 2013 9:54pm
98.70 will be attacked, (98.40 etc.)
hope it will be broken, 97.80 is the first target for me downside...
  • #35,499
  • Aug 4, 2013 11:05pm Aug 4, 2013 11:05pm
Contemplating whether to close my short for +25 pips or let it run...98.73 seems to be support in H1 chart..
  • #35,500
  • Aug 4, 2013 11:18pm Aug 4, 2013 11:18pm
Quoting Lucky_FX
Contemplating whether to close my short for +25 pips or let it run...98.73 seems to be support in H1 chart..
maybe another test of 98.70?
(100 tick chart U/J)


just follow your strategy =)
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