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  • #815,821
  • Jul 16, 2013 11:30am Jul 16, 2013 11:30am
Quoting ffleo
hello guys, no matter what methods you use, with good money management applied to a little probability, you should make money in the long run. the FX market has a range, unlike the equity market can be manipulated to infinitely high. you play small within the range of the FX market (suppose you have enough money in your account) you should make money. the only thing that kills your account is over-leverage.

could not say better.........


When I remember correctly, BigMike from the BigMike trading blog once draw a completely random line in his chart and traded off of it. When you apply the correct rules to this lines, and according money management, it can work

But I think we can make better methods with a bit of more high probability edge
  • #815,822
  • Jul 16, 2013 11:34am Jul 16, 2013 11:34am
Quoting Fx-gtg
{quote} if return to launch risk of down continuation. i still want to see above 1.3140 first
here we are.
up or down explosion. I am spectator.
come Ben I am waiting
  • #815,823
  • Jul 16, 2013 11:35am Jul 16, 2013 11:35am
Quoting attila
{quote} sub 3050

my Market profiles show good suport at 3064 and 3042. Hurdle at the moment is the 3122


But when we break 3042, 277x could be the target
  • #815,824
  • Jul 16, 2013 11:42am Jul 16, 2013 11:42am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 3103 or 3105 would be my second... near 3119 the last.

s/o my 3 shorts ... -.75%
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #815,825
  • Jul 16, 2013 11:45am Jul 16, 2013 11:45am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} maybe, with no offense, you FIRST read about, what EW is all about, and THEN try to make an educated guess.......... Yes, when social mood changes, we have to adapt our counts to reflect the best probability for the next waves........ Can not be soooo hard to understand

it is not that bad even if one fits a curve to an exasting data. the market goes up and down, in a zig-zag way. the market cannot go in a up wave for ever, so there must be some down waves. and vice versa. I longed cable when it was at 1.54, and it dropped ever since and i added my longs. did i go broke? no. because i know it cannot go down for ever and it will go up at some point. i allocate my money carefully into positions i took at diffrent levels. i only need it to go up some to my BE point. Do i need to get out completely at BE? no. I only need to get out part of my positions, and use the money freed to manage the rest positions further. i also get-in and out multiple times at key levels to improve my average price.

the thing i want to say is that with good money management (no matter it is R/R ratio or allocation of money in positions) one should make money in the long run no matter you are bulls or bears.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #815,826
  • Jul 16, 2013 11:55am Jul 16, 2013 11:55am
flat sitting on my hands. time to nap. later
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #815,827
  • Jul 16, 2013 11:58am Jul 16, 2013 11:58am
thanks MGS for the vouch
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #815,828
  • Jul 16, 2013 11:58am Jul 16, 2013 11:58am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} freed to manage the rest positions further. i also get-in and out multiple times at key levels to improve my average price. the thing i want to say is that with good money management (no matter it is R/R ratio or allocation of money in positions) one should make money in the long run no matter you are bulls or bears.

exactly
  • #815,829
  • Jul 16, 2013 12:00pm Jul 16, 2013 12:00pm
Quoting ForExtraPips
{quote} Up to the 1.3150 area, then down it goes? Yes. I agree. Then to the 1.2919 area.
Short @ 1.3153. sl @ 1.3163. tp @ 1.2919.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: whynot.gif Size: 121 KB
Time turns trend. - W.D. Gann
  • #815,830
  • Jul 16, 2013 12:02pm Jul 16, 2013 12:02pm
Quoting ForExtraPips
{quote} Short @ 1.3153. sl @ 1.3163. tp @ 1.2919. {image}

with you bit lower @ 41
  • #815,831
  • Jul 16, 2013 12:03pm Jul 16, 2013 12:03pm
First closing of the H4 candle above the line.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd.gif Size: 110 KB
"You have to BE before you can DO, and DO before you can HAVE." Zig Ziglar
  • #815,832
  • Jul 16, 2013 12:06pm Jul 16, 2013 12:06pm
Quoting BlueGas
{quote} with you bit lower @ 41
GL
Time turns trend. - W.D. Gann
  • #815,833
  • Jul 16, 2013 12:07pm Jul 16, 2013 12:07pm
Quoting godim
First closing of the H4 candle above the line. {image}

For the cable is the same situation.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbpusd.gif Size: 99 KB
"You have to BE before you can DO, and DO before you can HAVE." Zig Ziglar
  • #815,834
  • Jul 16, 2013 12:09pm Jul 16, 2013 12:09pm
Quoting Kambooj
EUR Expecting a rather strong spike downwards. The shifting of angles as shown in the chart below is only reinforcing a faster spike down. {image}

check out the cad.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #815,835
  • Jul 16, 2013 12:11pm Jul 16, 2013 12:11pm
Wanna see 1.3163 reaction!!!
  • #815,836
  • Jul 16, 2013 12:15pm Jul 16, 2013 12:15pm
Quoting ForExtraPips
{quote} Short @ 1.3153. sl @ 1.3163. tp @ 1.2919. {image}

me @1.3144 pending @1.32 and @1.31 let's see which triggers 1st!
  • #815,837
  • Jul 16, 2013 12:16pm Jul 16, 2013 12:16pm
Quoting Tadej89
{quote} Hah why? Dortmund could only bring me luck. Anyway it seems that just everyone is buying this, I haven't expected 140 for today, especially with all that data (IMO it was okay for usa). I have my short opened from 120...and its sucks donkey dick.

Hi Tradej,


well, I think it is Schickeria, who is big fan of Bayern München, who is driving price up LOL


Regarding 3120:

mean reverting on M15 would lead to 3118 in my modell. But the 15min TF is sometimes a Diva LOL

Mean reverting on H1 will give 3079 with a POC @ 3064.

Since the 1h run in the Market profile to the +2SD level, chnace of revertingis quiet high. 3117 is the +1SD


Murrey Math hurdle will be around 3123 to 3119 on 5 min TF. But if we reverse here at 3126 to 3130 your BE may be delay a bit
  • #815,838
  • Jul 16, 2013 12:27pm Jul 16, 2013 12:27pm
enough going north!
Don’t complain, just work harder.
  • #815,839
  • Jul 16, 2013 12:38pm Jul 16, 2013 12:38pm
Quoting Magicmen
Wanna see 1.3163 reaction!!!

interested in 3197+- myself.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #815,840
  • Jul 16, 2013 12:55pm Jul 16, 2013 12:55pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} check out the cad.

From a quick look at USD/CAD I see a upward movement to 1.06, but havent look at more details to be more specific. Thanks for pointing it out.
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