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  • #33,061
  • Jul 12, 2013 5:07am Jul 12, 2013 5:07am
tried a long at 9000 on this oversold illiquid piece of aussie


we need a weekly retrace wave soon. thought it was going to be this week but, obviously it was a fakeout..


next week?
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #33,062
  • Jul 12, 2013 5:31am Jul 12, 2013 5:31am
Technical Move,

And the H4 had to cycle down again.........

When you see multiple TF's have the 8,3,3 Stochastic drop below the 20% Line ALL AT THE SAME TIME...........!

Then a move like this is almost a sure deal.............

H1 had a little divergence but not much....

A Bollinger squeeze was slightly happening on all tf's also....

There is more downside to this, I am only catching a short term bounce here................
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The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #33,063
  • Jul 12, 2013 5:32am Jul 12, 2013 5:32am
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
tried a long at 9000 on this oversold illiquid piece of aussie we need a weekly retrace wave soon. thought it was going to be this week but, obviously it was a fakeout.. next week?
POA < not POS........?
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #33,064
  • Jul 12, 2013 5:37am Jul 12, 2013 5:37am
indicators..LOL

observe what happens at SnR. simple
  • #33,065
  • Jul 12, 2013 5:52am Jul 12, 2013 5:52am
Quoting namitak007
{quote} that sounds good! I stopped buying this b*tch. I am only selling since she busted my longs! Green pips to both of us!
Luckily I closed that bigger long. Looking for PA to tell me to long now. So many people going short though.
A 1 pip gain is better than a 1 pip loss.
  • #33,066
  • Jul 12, 2013 6:12am Jul 12, 2013 6:12am
Quoting aeternum
{quote} Luckily I closed that bigger long. Looking for PA to tell me to long now. So many people going short though.
Well I will not post "I told you" thing but just stay safe while longing! Don't trust RSI,MACD etc lagging indicators! Most of the time you get burned out. Even though they show "oversold" you can see another 200 pip drop!

Best example is move from 11/6/13 to 20/6/13

I can smell the similarity! That time too the upward move crossed the upper channel trade line where most of the traders said "this is it" about reversal and within next week it touched .916 from .966 a 500 pip move!

Anyways! I am done with this week! Wish you all a happy weekend!
  • #33,067
  • Jul 12, 2013 6:39am Jul 12, 2013 6:39am
Quoting j2by4
indicators..LOL observe what happens at SnR. simple
but you are not giving a clear answer to direction for now.......
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #33,068
  • Jul 12, 2013 7:41am Jul 12, 2013 7:41am
I predicted the sell off, no one listened to me? See my last post ^
  • #33,069
  • Jul 12, 2013 8:05am Jul 12, 2013 8:05am
Quoting Arman_A
I predicted the sell off, no one listened to me? See my last post ^
When does your hedge fund open? I'd like a ticket
  • #33,070
  • Jul 12, 2013 8:46am Jul 12, 2013 8:46am
Bought .90 based on weekly chart, being Friday entry might get hammered may have to wait for next week to decide on targets
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  • #33,071
  • Jul 12, 2013 9:17am Jul 12, 2013 9:17am
I think we may get a new low before markets close.
  • #33,072
  • Jul 12, 2013 10:22am Jul 12, 2013 10:22am
Quoting Arman_A
I predicted the sell off, no one listened to me? See my last post ^
You Don't know if no one listened to you...........do you.......?
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #33,073
  • Jul 12, 2013 5:13pm Jul 12, 2013 5:13pm
we need daily closes above the july 7 and july 8 low, and bulls have another chance next week
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #33,074
  • Jul 12, 2013 8:30pm Jul 12, 2013 8:30pm
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
we need daily closes above the july 7 and july 8 low, and bulls have another chance next week
2nd half of last year range was 1.01 to 1-06

perhaps this 2nd half range is 90 - 95
afterall the banks have 90 as their low except a few who said 85 is low..
  • #33,075
  • Jul 12, 2013 8:33pm Jul 12, 2013 8:33pm
Quoting HelloOz
{quote} 2nd half of last year range was 1.01 to 1-06 perhaps this 2nd half range is 90 - 95 afterall the banks have 90 as their low except a few who said 85 is low..

not .85 but I am still expecting .88xx
  • #33,076
  • Jul 12, 2013 10:03pm Jul 12, 2013 10:03pm
Quoting namitak007
{quote} Well I will not post "I told you" thing but just stay safe while longing! Don't trust RSI,MACD etc lagging indicators! Most of the time you get burned out. Even though they show "oversold" you can see another 200 pip drop! Best example is move from 11/6/13 to 20/6/13 I can smell the similarity! That time too the upward move crossed the upper channel trade line where most of the traders said "this is it" about reversal and within next week it touched .916 from .966 a 500 pip move! Anyways! I am done with this week! Wish you all a happy...
Definitely. I will be watching PA and setting stop losses. Happy weekend to you too!
A 1 pip gain is better than a 1 pip loss.
  • #33,077
  • Jul 13, 2013 8:11am Jul 13, 2013 8:11am
Quoting HelloOz
{quote} 2nd half of last year range was 1.01 to 1-06 perhaps this 2nd half range is 90 - 95 afterall the banks have 90 as their low except a few who said 85 is low..

Hi Oz,

Keep up the good work here.

I like this 90 level here for a bounce but would not be surprised if it gets to 848.
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The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #33,078
  • Jul 13, 2013 9:01am Jul 13, 2013 9:01am
Quoting HelloOz
{quote} 2nd half of last year range was 1.01 to 1-06 perhaps this 2nd half range is 90 - 95 afterall the banks have 90 as their low except a few who said 85 is low..
I Knight Thee, The New Resident Manager The Great "Oz"...................of the Aussie.......
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #33,079
  • Jul 13, 2013 10:29am Jul 13, 2013 10:29am
Quoting namitak007
{quote} not .85 but I am still expecting .88xx

8769.1 = swing low

8916.6 = last bearish monthly close

8901.3 = daily S3 level


8500 is possible but i think it will be the divergence low, not the first low, meaning first we swing higher..
perhaps 400-500 pips of correction, then another 800-1000 pips down, then aussie bear is over, and carry trade will start again

lifetime 50.0% fib is at 8550 or so...
and 61.8% extension of OCT 2011 to FEB 2012 is at 8470 or so..

very nice confluence there
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #33,080
  • Jul 13, 2013 11:08am Jul 13, 2013 11:08am
somebody knows what happened??....spike to 0.9132, 13 hrs ago...now 0.90615
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