Do you believe moving average systems work? | Page 18 | Forex Factory

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Do you believe moving average systems work?

  • #341
  • Edited 8:00am Jul 5, 2013 6:51am | Edited 8:00am
I believe MA strategy, with well-defined stop losses. (trend following strategy). I use back testing, but I have not found good enough, robust method that applied to the FX market.
I prefer a simple strategy. If someone has a system that believes it is a good and reliable, have it published, and I'll try to do a back test and publish the results.
  • #342
  • Jul 5, 2013 6:53am Jul 5, 2013 6:53am
Quoting Puritan
After spending years testing out all of the indicators, I have successfully settled on just one, a moving average cross over. I have found that it works best with a specific pair and a specific time frame. It should be noted that they work not in and of themselves but because large numbers of people use them.
yes I agree, my girl ( I always speak of her) only trades(or did) on e/u with a 2/20 ema on hour chart. I only trade the e/j on 9/18/30 with hour chart and 10 min confirmation when it happens
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
  • #343
  • Jul 5, 2013 6:56am Jul 5, 2013 6:56am
Quoting pipy
I believe MA strategy, with well-defined stop losses. (trend folloeing strategy). I use back testing, but I have not found good enough, robust method that applied to the FX market. I prefer a simple strategy. If someone has a system that believes it is a good and reliable, have it published, and I'll try to do a back test and publish the results.
Trade qopen range breakout and/or inside bars and you cannot go wrong. I think trying to develop a MA strategy could prove wrong but it can be done or going off my testing , be good
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
  • #344
  • Jul 5, 2013 6:58am Jul 5, 2013 6:58am
we had on e/j an inside bar which could of been traded aggressively for 10 pips, I did not do this one as the spread was too much and close to us open

that's on the hour chart
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
  • #345
  • Jul 5, 2013 6:59am Jul 5, 2013 6:59am
Shahroor,

What's happened to the interesting MA system that you started but haven't quite finished? Ignore the naysayers and let's see the product of your research.

quin2k
  • #346
  • Jul 5, 2013 7:13am Jul 5, 2013 7:13am
catch you guys later, I will be trading very soon, lets see what happens, trade well
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
  • #347
  • Jul 5, 2013 7:20am Jul 5, 2013 7:20am
hi..
i work on SMAs..
30,50, and 100
it reeally rewards,,
must have heard about Hector trading principles....
sir it pays,, ,,
  • #348
  • Jul 5, 2013 7:47am Jul 5, 2013 7:47am
STRATEGY DEFINITION
1H
EMA 1 20
EMA 2 2

TEST PERIOD
PERIOD 05/07/2012-05/07/2013

TRADING APPROACH:LONG / SHORT

INITIAL CAPITAL
100 K



LONG SHORT TOTAL
TRADES 194 194 388
WINS 55 53 108
LOSSES 139 139 278
P/L 2.15K "-2,82K" "-468,29"
% P/L "2.15" "-2,82" "-0,67"
AVG P/L 11,07 "-14,52" "-1,72"
TOTAL WINS 23,53k 19,42k 42,95k
TOTAL LOSSES 21,38k 22,24k 43,62k
% WINNING RATIO 27,84
% LOSING RATIO 71,65

% MAX DD 9,54

% MAX INCREASE 12,53
  • #349
  • Jul 5, 2013 7:58am Jul 5, 2013 7:58am
Thanks for the offer. Here is one that I have found to be effective. It is in the Euro/yen 5 min TF and the MA's are 5 and 8. I haven't done a lot of back testing on this so it would be interesting to see what the results would be.
  • #350
  • Jul 5, 2013 8:00am Jul 5, 2013 8:00am
have a good weekend guys, I am done. I am not going to trade the next inside bar after the news release. Beautiful move up, tell the truth I was busted on one trade as I made a slight error with the calculations probably because I was speaking online lol but on the whole a gooooooooooooooooooood day, be good. I am off out in the sun and beer
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
  • #351
  • Jul 5, 2013 8:02am Jul 5, 2013 8:02am
Quoting pipy
STRATEGY DEFINITION 1H EMA 1 20 EMA 2 2 TEST PERIOD PERIOD 05/07/2012-05/07/2013 TRADING APPROACH:LONG / SHORT INITIAL CAPITAL 100 K LONG SHORT TOTAL TRADES 194 194 388 WINS 55 53 108 LOSSES 139 139 278 P/L 2.15K "-2,82K" "-468,29" % P/L "2.15" "-2,82" "-0,67" AVG P/L 11,07 "-14,52" "-1,72" TOTAL WINS 23,53k 19,42k 42,95k TOTAL LOSSES 21,38k 22,24k 43,62k % WINNING RATIO 27,84 % LOSING RATIO 71,65 % MAX DD 9,54 % MAX INCREASE 12,53
pipy, before I go are you trading using e/j today is a special day for trading crosses due to NFP news release, be good
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
  • #352
  • Jul 5, 2013 8:06am Jul 5, 2013 8:06am
I m long on usdjpy from 99,98
  • #353
  • Jul 5, 2013 10:06am Jul 5, 2013 10:06am
Quoting Kanzler
{quote} Money has a funny way of finding its way to the right peoples' pockets. I don't regret to inform you whatever account gains you have are simply in transit.
Eat your heart out dude...Im no pro...I make a lot of mistakes and miss a lot of opportunities...I am still evolving and I will be the trader you'd hate to be fading....
wo-yoy! wo-yoy! wo-yoy! wo-yoi! wo-yoy-yoy-yoy!
  • #354
  • Jul 5, 2013 10:12am Jul 5, 2013 10:12am
Quoting pemully
{quote} Eat your heart out dude...Im no pro...I make a lot of mistakes and miss a lot of opportunities...I am still evolving and I will be the trader you'd hate to be fading....
MA works guys,but not in the conventional sense....the future is linked to history...all speculation relies on this fact as Livermore once said.
wo-yoy! wo-yoy! wo-yoy! wo-yoi! wo-yoy-yoy-yoy!
  • #355
  • Jul 5, 2013 12:06pm Jul 5, 2013 12:06pm
Hi guys, I am back from holiday now, its so annoying to find out that the weather forecast for the next few days is 100% better that it was over my holiday week ie no rain or wind but never mind we still had a great time . hope you were having good time on this thread too
  • #356
  • Jul 5, 2013 12:09pm Jul 5, 2013 12:09pm
Quoting Pat494
A pity that this interesting thread has been hijacked by the name calling lot. Let's keep on track guys
Thanks for this reminder Pat , you are absolutely right the thread has been drifting away from its main person but don't worry I am back now with some interesting updates
  • #357
  • Jul 5, 2013 12:13pm Jul 5, 2013 12:13pm
Quoting billytt
{quote} Hi bud, this thread is more of a jolly but it does have its serious side if you read between the lines, Their is one part missing though, be good
billytt, you are right about the serious side of this thread and I like the way you look at things , however a bit of friendly chat and fun is welcomed too
  • #358
  • Jul 5, 2013 12:19pm Jul 5, 2013 12:19pm
Quoting pipy
I believe MA strategy, with well-defined stop losses. (trend following strategy). I use back testing, but I have not found good enough, robust method that applied to the FX market. I prefer a simple strategy. If someone has a system that believes it is a good and reliable, have it published, and I'll try to do a back test and publish the results.
HI pipy, thanks for your offer . I will definitely need your help to test our system once its finalised, not that I cant do it but being the creator of the system I'd rather have someone else check it to eliminate any bias in my testing and results
  • #359
  • Jul 5, 2013 12:22pm Jul 5, 2013 12:22pm
Quoting billytt
{quote} Trade qopen range breakout and/or inside bars and you cannot go wrong. I think trying to develop a MA strategy could prove wrong but it can be done or going off my testing , be good
billytt don't say that , keep the encouragement going and say we will definitely do it and develop a profitable system
  • #360
  • Jul 5, 2013 12:25pm Jul 5, 2013 12:25pm
Quoting quin2k
Shahroor, What's happened to the interesting MA system that you started but haven't quite finished? Ignore the naysayers and let's see the product of your research. quin2k
thanks for asking my friend . I am pleased to tell you that the system has only got better , I will post more details later tonight , as just arrived home from holiday
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