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AUD/USD

  • #60,021
  • Jul 3, 2013 7:25pm Jul 3, 2013 7:25pm
Quoting Hunterrus
bullshit, smart money is going only north
yup.. only price chasers would sell at these levels... or scalpers. the 2 month carry trade will have a temporary pull back very soon..


yes it could push to 8800 first but the demand we are seeing now indicates it probably won't see that level without a nice bounce to 9400


of course... could all change with NFP... but chart says start taking profits on short and go long
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #60,022
  • Jul 3, 2013 7:44pm Jul 3, 2013 7:44pm
Quoting seaman2
{quote} you may be right but I will be scalping increased size on the downside and let run winners for longer. Hoping to touch stop point of 1B or so position
yes for scalping positions u can simply scale in bigger and bigger shorts very easily because pull backs to the downside are guaranteed..
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #60,023
  • Jul 3, 2013 7:47pm Jul 3, 2013 7:47pm
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
{quote} yes for scalping positions u can simply scale in bigger and bigger shorts very easily because pull backs to the downside are guaranteed..
I will start scalping short if/when price touches 9035, not earlier.
  • #60,024
  • Jul 3, 2013 7:49pm Jul 3, 2013 7:49pm
Quoting seaman2
{quote} I will start scalping short if/when price touches 9035, not earlier.
i like the patience

9135 and 9180 i will sell
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #60,025
  • Jul 3, 2013 8:15pm Jul 3, 2013 8:15pm
thu & fri liquidity will be lower, however, stops are still out there. Moves in multiyear lows could be really meaty.
  • #60,026
  • Jul 3, 2013 10:32pm Jul 3, 2013 10:32pm
Quoting seaman2
thu & fri liquidity will be lower, however, stops are still out there. Moves in multiyear lows could be really meaty.
Friday will be good.

Tomorrow = smores and fireworks
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #60,027
  • Jul 3, 2013 10:41pm Jul 3, 2013 10:41pm
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
Best buy limit order I've ever had... should fall to 9090... maybe 9080.. then i think it will find big buyers just look at the weekly chart.... AUDUSD 1hr {image}
  • #60,028
  • Jul 3, 2013 10:44pm Jul 3, 2013 10:44pm
reason for spike ?!

http://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news...704-2pds6.html
  • #60,029
  • Jul 3, 2013 11:40pm Jul 3, 2013 11:40pm
More reason for a correction.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aud-rbarateforecast.png Size: 950 KB
Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #60,030
  • Jul 4, 2013 1:38am Jul 4, 2013 1:38am
Looks like it will recover soon to 1,0500
  • #60,031
  • Jul 4, 2013 1:45am Jul 4, 2013 1:45am
Quoting Trader88q
Looks like it will recover soon to 1,0500

For f*** sake, provide a chart or a little more info for that analysis. Are we talking in the next day, month year? on what basis is the assertion made?
  • #60,032
  • Jul 4, 2013 1:45am Jul 4, 2013 1:45am
Quoting Trader88q
Looks like it will recover soon to 1,0500
So? then you can get out of your longs?
It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #60,033
  • Jul 4, 2013 2:19am Jul 4, 2013 2:19am
50% profit made on the last down wave were quickly being taken back by market by the ridiculous spike on asian hours.

Off to the sideline for now.
  • #60,034
  • Jul 4, 2013 2:55am Jul 4, 2013 2:55am
For the past few weeks i see no real buyers of AUD. After FED it has dropped from 9550 key support to 9036 and then what? Where it will go?
I think that it could sky rocket back to 9500 again but at time when nobody will expect that. what do you think? Did really china so bad?
  • #60,035
  • Jul 4, 2013 2:59am Jul 4, 2013 2:59am
Quoting Trader88q
For the past few weeks i see no real buyers of AUD. After FED it has dropped from 9550 key support to 9036 and then what? Where it will go? I think that it could sky rocket back to 9500 again but at time when nobody will expect that. what do you think? Did really china so bad?

ahhh again with pointless insight.... thanks that was helpful. next time post a chart, talk about price more, rather than my balls are itchy so i think it will go up....
  • #60,036
  • Jul 4, 2013 3:01am Jul 4, 2013 3:01am
Morning everybody!
So 50p on the AUD/USD and another 45p on the EUR/AUD looking good so far.
I was so tempted to buy last night when the EUR/AUD was at 1.435... but why be so greedy
Last night data was kinda sweet so I'll close my positions and open them again few mins before EUR data will show up.
And remember kids - when people sell out from panic, BUY
  • #60,037
  • Jul 4, 2013 3:20am Jul 4, 2013 3:20am
Take a look at that :

http://www.smh.com.au/business/marke...704-2pe7a.html

BANKS FIGHT!!!
Attached Image
  • #60,038
  • Jul 4, 2013 3:25am Jul 4, 2013 3:25am
Quoting tomersror
Morning everybody! So 50p on the AUD/USD and another 45p on the EUR/AUD looking good so far. I was so tempted to buy last night when the EUR/AUD was at 1.435... but why be so greedy Last night data was kinda sweet so I'll close my positions and open them again few mins before EUR data will show up. And remember kids - when people sell out from panic, BUY
Your advice is good , only that now it doesn't look like panic sell. As I can see people are trying to pick the bottom which is fueling the down movement.
Even if looking only in this thread and u see a lot of people entering long which is a proof that people are buying.
  • #60,039
  • Jul 4, 2013 5:13am Jul 4, 2013 5:13am
Some rumors came out that banks in europe buy AUD & ILS today.
  • #60,040
  • Jul 4, 2013 5:28am Jul 4, 2013 5:28am
Morning/Evening AUD speculators

There has been much talk of selling the AUD as it falls through the crust towards the pits of hell. Talk of bottom picking. Comments suggesting that other traders might be totally deranged for even suggesting price might actually go up!.

Opinion is great but I prefer to concentrate on what I can safely deduce from the price action.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusddaily.png Size: 39 KB


This daily chart has just one Fib drawn the length of the downtrend. The two thumbs show points at which 23.6% fib retracements have already occurred during the downtrend. It has happened twice and price is now much lower. A 38.2% retrace is coming and at current price levels that represents a 600pip move!!..... Nice amount of wonga to puff up the mattresss.

I am not predicting a reversal in price or that a retrace will happen from the current low. Simply that a 38.2% retrace is probable and will yield 600pips or more when it happens.

VP
Nil desperandum
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