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NZD/USD

  • #2,161
  • Jun 26, 2013 4:50pm Jun 26, 2013 4:50pm
NZD has its trade balance and business confidence data coming out tonight and i was wondering if anyone thinks the numbers tonight will be enough to move the NZD/USD up or down before tomorrow's data comes out?
  • #2,162
  • Jun 26, 2013 5:48pm Jun 26, 2013 5:48pm
Every time the NZD or the AUD get some bad news they always go up first before falling.
  • #2,163
  • Jun 26, 2013 6:01pm Jun 26, 2013 6:01pm
Quoting irongoose
NZD has its trade balance and business confidence data coming out tonight and i was wondering if anyone thinks the numbers tonight will be enough to move the NZD/USD up or down before tomorrow's data comes out?

Maybe. The trade balance had no effect. So now we wait for the Business data coming out in 2 hrs.
  • #2,164
  • Jun 26, 2013 6:14pm Jun 26, 2013 6:14pm
Quoting pbylina
{quote} Maybe. The trade balance had no effect. So now we wait for the Business data coming out in 2 hrs.
Maybe everyone is waiting for the business confidence data to come in in a couple of hours, after reading the report below I'm expecting confidence to be shaken a little bit.

Just about every thing in imports exports is down.

http://www.stats.govt.nz/browse_for_...ommentary.aspx
  • #2,165
  • Jun 26, 2013 8:01pm Jun 26, 2013 8:01pm
50.1 certainly complicates things. LOL
  • #2,166
  • Jun 27, 2013 3:17am Jun 27, 2013 3:17am
Shorts, don't exit yet. Wait til price is higher to buy it back
  • #2,167
  • Jul 1, 2013 7:56pm Jul 1, 2013 7:56pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eur usd 01 06 2013.gif Size: 27 KB


Looking at this I'm not sure if it will stay in the blue sideways channel or not, I really feel like pulling the trigger on a short but the little voice inside of me is saying wait until the price gos up to the red line on the 4hr channel where the price will also line up with the 61.8 Fib, opinions anyone?
  • #2,168
  • Jul 2, 2013 11:43pm Jul 2, 2013 11:43pm
Quoting irongoose
{image} Looking at this I'm not sure if it will stay in the blue sideways channel or not, I really feel like pulling the trigger on a short but the little voice inside of me is saying wait until the price gos up to the red line on the 4hr channel where the price will also line up with the 61.8 Fib, opinions anyone?
i think will go up to 0.79000 area before we see a down again. sorry was unable to post my chart as i am working =)
  • #2,169
  • Jul 3, 2013 12:51am Jul 3, 2013 12:51am
Quoting Kennykhoo
{quote} i think will go up to 0.79000 area before we see a down again. sorry was unable to post my chart as i am working =)

Much depends on the Aussie.If Aussie slides 90 then I think Kiwi most likely will fall to 7650 area.
Wait my advise.
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #2,170
  • Jul 4, 2013 12:54am Jul 4, 2013 12:54am
nzd usd


TIME weekly
http://pcm-fx.com/englishforum/showt...=2361#post2361
pattern : inv ab=cd

http://pcmbrokers.org/pcmfileupload/...2916991761.gif

time : h4

http://pcmbrokers.org/pcmfileupload/...2917096691.gif
  • #2,171
  • Jul 8, 2013 4:02am Jul 8, 2013 4:02am
I am long NZDUSD with a target at 0.82 area (:
Shit Happens
  • #2,172
  • Jul 8, 2013 8:42pm Jul 8, 2013 8:42pm
i see 0.785 area first if it break then 0.79
  • #2,173
  • Jul 9, 2013 3:56pm Jul 9, 2013 3:56pm
Got a nice Head and Shoulders forming on the 15 min right now. Almost at the neckline. Could be a nice lil drop soon
  • #2,174
  • Jul 9, 2013 4:43pm Jul 9, 2013 4:43pm
Quoting Jeremy Oak
Got a nice Head and Shoulders forming on the 15 min right now. Almost at the neckline. Could be a nice lil drop soon
Nice name
  • #2,175
  • Jul 12, 2013 8:15am Jul 12, 2013 8:15am
interesting to see how the kiwi plays with the monthly pivot !

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nzdusdh1.png Size: 80 KB
  • #2,176
  • Jul 12, 2013 8:24am Jul 12, 2013 8:24am
Quoting act333
I am long NZDUSD with a target at 0.82 area (:
I am with you Long, I see higher lows and higher highs.....
Gary
  • #2,177
  • Jul 12, 2013 8:29am Jul 12, 2013 8:29am
Quoting alpine4133
{quote} I am with you Long, I see higher lows and higher highs.....
i'm long too and i think many are , one more time patience is the key.
  • #2,178
  • Jul 12, 2013 8:34am Jul 12, 2013 8:34am
I'm short. Technically i see a H4 head and shoulder formed and fundamentally we know how closely kiwi is tied with aussie, and AUD just tested the major physiological 0.9 and is still fiercely bearish. Let's see how this plays out
  • #2,179
  • Jul 12, 2013 1:00pm Jul 12, 2013 1:00pm
I agree that the pair is likely to rise next week, but I still believe the NZD is overvalued. Therefore I personally won't go long on this pair, but will wait for the right moment to sell. Those going for 0.82 should be cautious as I predict strong resistance at 0.8.
  • #2,180
  • Jul 13, 2013 5:22am Jul 13, 2013 5:22am
I don't see how this will go up very high (if at all) unless there is more talk of rate hikes. And I thought RBNZ's Wheeler is kind of trapped with the housing bubble preventing him from lowering rates and him wanting to push the Kiwi lower? I went short on 7/12 at 0.7850 and rode it down to the support at 0.7780, but I would like to see it severely break 0.7780 and then test to 0.7713 as the next major support.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot 2013-07-13 at 06.19.37.png Size: 60 KB
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