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Sonic R. System

  • #52,321
  • Jul 2, 2013 8:50am Jul 2, 2013 8:50am
EU Update

http://500euroalgiorno.blogspot.it/2...1545-rome.html
500euroalgiorno.wordpress com
  • #52,322
  • Jul 2, 2013 8:57am Jul 2, 2013 8:57am
USDCAD short.

Actual open 3 short level trades.

NY MM's did pump price above half and 3/4 number, price did reach RDH, PVSRA show MM's are bears.

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  • #52,323
  • Jul 2, 2013 9:11am Jul 2, 2013 9:11am
GBPJPY short.

Actual 4 short level trades open, MM's pumping price above full number (152.000) with heavy volume, PVSRA indicates MM's are bears and selling high.

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  • #52,324
  • Jul 2, 2013 9:23am Jul 2, 2013 9:23am
USDJPY short.

Actual 4 short level trades open, same situation as GJ, NY MM's did pump price above full- and 1/4 quarter number which indicates they are bears.

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This pump (same as GJ) was intensive and I expect more up pumps caused by the bearish MM's.
  • #52,325
  • Jul 2, 2013 9:32am Jul 2, 2013 9:32am
Quoting traderathome
{quote} When I add, I will post. Otherwise, search my posts using the FF thread search feature to find last of AJ, GJ and EJ. My thoughts are they are all going lower. Also, since the MMs seem to be prepping USD pairs for a dollar weakness move, I suspect UJ will fall particularly hard when the MMs instigate their plans. This is just speculation.

tah, according to your posts you began shorting EJ in Nov of last year. I will not bother to post a monthly chart of how badly this theory has run against you on this pair. But according to my calcs, you are down about 2000 pips. And no that is not a typo.

At what point do you capitulate. Are you that averse to take a loss? Do you see how this can snowball?
If you are good at something, never do it for free--Joker
  • #52,326
  • Jul 2, 2013 9:38am Jul 2, 2013 9:38am
AU long - target 127,2 fib - lovely increased volume at bottom (purple candle)

Regards,

H.
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"The future is already written in the past"
  • #52,327
  • Jul 2, 2013 9:51am Jul 2, 2013 9:51am
Quoting jmn5611
{quote} tah, according to your posts you began shorting EJ in Nov of last year. I will not bother to post a monthly chart of how badly this theory has run against you on this pair. But according to my calcs, you are down about 2000 pips. And no that is not a typo. At what point do you capitulate. Are you that averse to take a loss? Do you see how this can snowball?
I already updated on this, yesterday I think. Keep in mind PVSRA was not around when that all started. Bad habits were. I am down a lot more pips than that according to my last post. I won't capitulate on this particular one, though I should never have taken it so far early on. At this point, it is all downhill.
  • #52,328
  • Jul 2, 2013 10:07am Jul 2, 2013 10:07am
Quoting traderathome
{quote} GJ Short Trade: Added short #13, Scout. The basis for this entry is that the MMs are hiking price to add shorts early in week, and it reached the upper whole number SR. {image}
GJ Short Trade:

Added short #14, Scout. M1 PVSRA shows MMs stepping up prices, trading more heavily at the higher parts of each step up. They've been doing this is a concerted way, so something big is likely slated to happen this week with the YEN pairs. That part is speculative. Adjusted TP.
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  • #52,329
  • Jul 2, 2013 10:10am Jul 2, 2013 10:10am
Quoting jmn5611
{quote} tah, according to your posts you began shorting EJ in Nov of last year. I will not bother to post a monthly chart of how badly this theory has run against you on this pair. But according to my calcs, you are down about 2000 pips. And no that is not a typo. At what point do you capitulate. Are you that averse to take a loss? Do you see how this can snowball?
Margin Call strategy.

Inserted Video
Keep it simple and trade with the trend
  • #52,330
  • Jul 2, 2013 10:20am Jul 2, 2013 10:20am
Quoting traderathome
{quote} I already updated on this, yesterday I think. Keep in mind PVSRA was not around when that all started. Bad habits were. I am down a lot more pips than that according to my last post. I won't capitulate on this particular one, though I should never have taken it so far early on. At this point, it is all downhill.

Your honesty makes you a likeable guy, tah.

Your warts and flaws are in plain view. You make no excuses, you try no obfuscation. Very very rare.

May I ask what made you begin to short EJ? Why didn't classic SonicR give you some pause? I am not busting your kahunas, I really want to know. We all have bad habits, and you might be of aid. Please tell us your personal cautionary tale. I am learning a lot here. Oddly, it is not about trading, per se. it is about ego and humility.
If you are good at something, never do it for free--Joker
  • #52,331
  • Jul 2, 2013 10:30am Jul 2, 2013 10:30am
Quoting emilnow
{quote} Margin Call strategy. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_5f0eCfPYFw
I disagree on this. tah has been able to weather a very very serious move against this position. I know he is trading around it. And so he lives. But still he has amazing conviction, he is actually fighting the BOJ.

He is a smart enuf coder to know this. He is a massive underdog with this pair.

I have always rooted for the underdog.
If you are good at something, never do it for free--Joker
  • #52,332
  • Jul 2, 2013 10:40am Jul 2, 2013 10:40am
Quoting jmn5611
{quote} Your honesty makes you a likeable guy, tah. Your warts and flaws are in plain view. You make no excuses, you try no obfuscation. Very very rare. May I ask what made you begin to short EJ? Why didn't classic SonicR give you some pause? I am not busting your kahunas, I really want to know. We all have bad habits, and you might be of aid. Please tell us your personal cautionary tale. I am learning a lot here. Oddly, it is not about trading, per se. it is about ego and humility.
Gee. At this point I have forgotten what made me think to be shorting when I started doing so. It seemed like a good idea at the time.

Plagued with not wanting to give up, not wanting to lose, I stuck it out with not much to go on but belief. I think I discussed all this before. One thing I really like about PVSRA is that we can now know if the MMs are bulls or bears, so hanging on to a trade will either be supported or not supported by this analysis. Such as EJ, holding on belief alone, won't happen to me again now that we have PVSRA.

As for now, you know the saying, "In for a pig, in for a poke." I've weathered the storm to this point, and now PVSRA indicates bears, not only on this pair but on all YEN pairs. Interestingly enough, I almost made enough pips last week to simply close EJ out,....and give up just one week of pips that have been gained analyzing with PVSRA and trading accordingly.
  • #52,333
  • Edited 10:57am Jul 2, 2013 10:40am | Edited 10:57am
short UCHF
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  • #52,334
  • Jul 2, 2013 10:43am Jul 2, 2013 10:43am
Quoting jmn5611
{quote} he is actually fighting the BOJ.
I find this funny (not stupid at all, but funny). Who knows what is the real BOJ intention? Maybe people adding longs are fighting with de BOJ and not the shorts, maybe the longs are just giving liquidity to the big sharks. We don't know that.

But every shark leaves a trace, and TAH is only following that trace. I´m learning a lot from TAH, I can say he changes my life. I don't know if I will keep trading like this in the future, but my learning path is just awesome since I met TAH and this thread. Maybe in the future I don't trade using this strategy, but I will have the knowledge, and that's the important thing for me.

I understand (because I went through that phase) that when you (or anyone else) see a strategy without SL, the first impression is that we are gambling. I understand that because it's normal. But I'm pretty sure people called gambler the first guy using Fibonacci, the first guy using RSI, etc. This is not a normal strategy, this is a new approach and people (not you, cause you are being extremely respectful) should study it a little bit before to flame.

Ah, and because you seems new in this thread (maybe I am wrong), you have to know that TAH is a gambler from the 1st to 15th and a god from the 20th to 30th. Every month it's the same!
To fail is just an opportunity to learn
  • #52,335
  • Jul 2, 2013 10:52am Jul 2, 2013 10:52am
  •  Ravelt
  • | Joined Feb 2013 | Status: The Closer You Look The Less You Se | 194 Posts
Quoting Tymedu
Ah, and because you seems new in this thread (maybe I am wrong), you have to know that TAH is a gambler from the 1st to 15th and a god from the 20th to 30th. Every month it's the same!

LMFAO can't stop laughing but that's a fact and for me from 1st to 30th he's still a god
  • #52,336
  • Edited 11:09am Jul 2, 2013 10:57am | Edited 11:09am
PVSRA, EU: Bulls or Bears?

Nice "Torpedo & Buy!" bullish move just as the LS comes to a close. MMs are setting price low for another round of buying, triggering stops, pending orders, whatever it takes to squeeze out any remaining liquidity within decent range before the close, in order to get more of their long orders filled.
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  • #52,337
  • Jul 2, 2013 10:57am Jul 2, 2013 10:57am
Hi Tah,

I don't understand :''''''-( . I'll keep studying. :-/
insanity: Doing the same thing over... and expecting different results -AE
  • #52,338
  • Jul 2, 2013 11:13am Jul 2, 2013 11:13am
Quoting traderathome
PVSRA, EU: Bulls or Bears? Nice "Torpedo & Buy!" bullish move just as the LS comes to a close. MMs are setting price low for another round of buying, triggering stops, pending orders, whatever it takes to squeeze out any remaining liquidity within decent range before the close, in order to get more of their long orders filled. {image}
PVSRA, EU: Bulls or Bears?

See how persistent the MMs are? They torpedoed the price into the LS close. Then, after the LS close, they "bought up" the price and then suddenly wacked it again! All this is proof positive the MMs are bulls, manipulating the price up and down to squeeze liquidity out of the market to get their long orders filled. That this is happening so soon after the LS close, might be a sign the MMs are using every bit of time they have, and every strategy they have to create liquidity, to load up on longs before the USD releases tomorrow!
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  • #52,339
  • Jul 2, 2013 11:27am Jul 2, 2013 11:27am
PVSRA, All YEN Pairs: Bulls or Bears?

Using GJ as an example, just look at the Pump & Dump! Folks, this is the US MMs working during lunch!!!!!!!!! Kinda gives you an idea of how important they consider it to be to load up on shorts before tomorrow!
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  • #52,340
  • Jul 2, 2013 11:33am Jul 2, 2013 11:33am
HI,

First of all, i don't use mt4, but on my graph dragon and ema89 are here.
Before going long on AU , is this SHS valid? If yes, so i i'll have to wait until target is reached before EP.
Volumes on marketscope are on the high (M15)for the last few hours.

I'm a bit doubtful
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