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  • #808,141
  • Jun 16, 2013 8:36pm Jun 16, 2013 8:36pm
Quoting Myo
{quote} Itīs turning bullish because smart money is trend following?
Smart Money (non-commercials, or Large speculators) are in it for the money only.. as a group, they have the ammo to form tops & bottoms while large predators provide short-term liquidity distortions scaring pikers sh*tless as the market re-align the food chain hierarchy in this zero sum game..

Follow the Trail of the Smart Money with simplistic near term reading of inter-market PA is a useful confirmation tool to track money moving around the market..
  • #808,142
  • Jun 16, 2013 8:43pm Jun 16, 2013 8:43pm
no interesting trade at this moment,
I'll be just waiting for another high to go short, perhaps,.. around 3365
  • #808,143
  • Jun 16, 2013 8:59pm Jun 16, 2013 8:59pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} yep that will happen when the world equities market do a plunge. cannot wait for it. nikkie plunged 50% of the last rally. im just waiting for sp500 to plunge again. im mostly a bear. been following your posts for a while. there are a few terms that you use that i do not know what they mean, such as st and um.

i dont know. i kinda think it will be more in the u.s. favor this time. the u.s. consumes more then it exports. those u.s. companies focusing on this will be in better shape. money follows money... those with the cheaper energy win the war.
wall-mart = china
china decides aud power.
Caterpillar shows whats happening..
less china means more u.s production = less u.s. imports = more gdp= less unemployment=more tax revenue= less bb= war.

what happens if the u.s. gets involved in Syria? Then Iran jumps, then the u.s. seals the Iran ports and china losses oils suppliers... then the aud may jump..

cat making a LL on that chart is not good for the aud. cat can go either way here. the 2007 wall mart low and this years high it about 100% move.. so a pullback is normal..i dont have precise #s here..just a chart glance.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: cat.PNG Size: 63 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #808,144
  • Jun 16, 2013 9:26pm Jun 16, 2013 9:26pm
Quoting cdndollar
{quote} Smart Money (non-commercials, or Large speculators) are in it for the money only.. as a group, they have the ammo to form tops & bottoms while large predators provide short-term liquidity distortions scaring pikers sh*tless as the market re-align the food chain hierarchy in this zero sum game.. Follow the Trail of the Smart Money with simplistic near term reading of inter-market PA is a useful confirmation tool to track money moving around the market..
What I meant was that the blue bars in your picture seem to trail the yellow line most of the time. And a possible explanation for this would be that "smart money" is mainly trend following.
  • #808,145
  • Jun 16, 2013 9:35pm Jun 16, 2013 9:35pm
Quoting Myo
{quote} What I meant was that the blue bars in your picture seem to trail the yellow line most of the time. And a possible explanation for this would be that "smart money" is mainly trend following.
what i noticed is that smart money leads about two weeks to a month in the cot chart.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #808,146
  • Jun 16, 2013 9:40pm Jun 16, 2013 9:40pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} what i noticed is that smart money leads about two weeks to a month in the cot chart.
smart money even leads couple of months in a few cases.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #808,147
  • Jun 16, 2013 10:00pm Jun 16, 2013 10:00pm
Quoting CoolJL
{quote} Been looking at that, and did a search and it turns out its in line with bearish Bat pattern . Anyway do you trade Gartley like pattern s and how effective are they?
Yup most of the time. But this time it's little bit off the ratios. So I don't know if it will work.
  • #808,148
  • Jun 16, 2013 10:03pm Jun 16, 2013 10:03pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} what i noticed is that smart money leads about two weeks to a month in the cot chart.
most of the times "smart money" finally became "net long" or "net short", a top or valley was already in place. alternatively, count the major tops and boughs in EURUSD: See how "smart money" was positioned each time.
  • #808,149
  • Jun 16, 2013 10:17pm Jun 16, 2013 10:17pm
Quoting Myo
{quote} most of the times "smart money" finally became "net long" or "net short", a top or valley was already in place. alternatively, count the major tops and boughs in EURUSD: See how "smart money" was positioned each time.
i believe it is the change in smart money positioning that causes price change. a change in one thing leads to a change in another thing.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #808,150
  • Jun 16, 2013 10:33pm Jun 16, 2013 10:33pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} i believe it is the change in smart money positioning that causes price change. a change in one thing leads to a change in another thing.
that would only be logical since they are the ones who move the markets, I suppose.
  • #808,151
  • Jun 16, 2013 10:40pm Jun 16, 2013 10:40pm
Quoting Myo
{quote} that would only be logical since they are the ones who move the markets, I suppose.
Not everyone can move the market but there are few who know how and where to move it to. Check my earlier posts on this thread to understand the details of this process. Its a 40 day process. Difficult but not impossible.
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #808,152
  • Jun 16, 2013 10:47pm Jun 16, 2013 10:47pm
Quoting Chicky
{quote} Not everyone can move the market

I can, just a little bit.
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #808,153
  • Jun 16, 2013 10:48pm Jun 16, 2013 10:48pm
Quoting KillerWhale
{quote} I can, just a little bit.
count me in
  • #808,154
  • Jun 16, 2013 10:49pm Jun 16, 2013 10:49pm
Quoting Chicky
{quote} Not everyone can move the market but there are few who know how and where to move it to. Check my earlier posts on this thread to understand the details of this process. Its a 40 day process. Difficult but not impossible.
I think only Akbarrisnadi and Jan Mohammad of all here would be able to understand and master this money minting method.
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #808,155
  • Jun 16, 2013 10:55pm Jun 16, 2013 10:55pm
can the micro bears close -3331.9m this h then/or next? if so Fridays low has a shot,, 5m till this h close
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #808,156
  • Jun 16, 2013 10:55pm Jun 16, 2013 10:55pm
Quoting KillerWhale
{quote} I can, just a little bit.
I am moved by your this statement.
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #808,157
  • Jun 16, 2013 11:13pm Jun 16, 2013 11:13pm
What I can see on my h1 chart
1)Possible bearish Gartley where 1.3297 as C leg and then 1.34x as D
2)Possible Bullish butterfly with D around 1.325x

I am short for 50 pips @ 1.335 Let's see what happens!
  • #808,158
  • Jun 16, 2013 11:20pm Jun 16, 2013 11:20pm
Good Morning , Just update of the week start to carry out the whole week possibly . wish good luck to all specially bears .
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...63#post6756863
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #808,159
  • Jun 16, 2013 11:24pm Jun 16, 2013 11:24pm
Quoting gatorinla
can the micro bears close -3331.9m this h then/or next? if so Fridays low has a shot,, 5m till this h close

the h did what bears wanted. next h is a 4-8h and a little stronger 3325 may be R in a micro tf.. 3329 in the same sequence um
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #808,160
  • Jun 16, 2013 11:26pm Jun 16, 2013 11:26pm
Quoting KillerWhale
{quote} I can, just a little bit.
I sometimes seem to move the market too. When I go long, it goes down, when I go short, it goes up...
A journey of a thousand miles begins with a single step. Lao-tzu
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