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  • #808,101
  • Jun 16, 2013 11:52am Jun 16, 2013 11:52am
Quoting tomspin
find euro dollar thread few first pages and my posts in late jan 2013, if you have some ideas pm me about you views please, gl {quote}
Thanks Tom, I'll check it out.
  • #808,102
  • Jun 16, 2013 11:58am Jun 16, 2013 11:58am
Quoting tomspin
{quote} do not confuse yourself with all that, cot should be read as a relation between commercial part and non comm. Go to your weekly, find last three major legs and check cot week before and after and spot the pattern, I have been writing about this many times without any response, either I am waisting my time or I am actualy the only guy here who can read reports properly. I did not see the same thing at 2750 which I saw at 1.20and 1.37
yes cot should be read as a relation between commercial and non commercial. the open interest is the sum of commercial, non-commercial. since retail traders open interest is small and we negelect it. you devide open interest by 2 you get the open interest of all speculators. you relate the open interest with the net positions you would end up what i got. price pattern does not tell you money flow. my analysis tells you money flow.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #808,103
  • Jun 16, 2013 12:06pm Jun 16, 2013 12:06pm
please go to eurodollar thread on the second page there is my post related to what I have noticed about cot, this is the only way I look at it

Quoting ffleo
{quote} yes cot should be read as a relation between commercial and non commercial. the open interest is the sum of commercial, non-commercial. since retail traders open interest is small and we negelect it. you devide open interest by 2 you get the open interest of all speculators. you relate the open interest with the net positions you would end up what i got. price pattern does not tell you money flow. my analysis tells you money flow.
swing it!
  • #808,104
  • Jun 16, 2013 12:07pm Jun 16, 2013 12:07pm
links for cot data:

http://fxtrade.oanda.com/analysis/co...nts-of-traders

http://www.cftc.gov/marketreports/co...ders/index.htm
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #808,105
  • Jun 16, 2013 12:09pm Jun 16, 2013 12:09pm
Quoting tomspin
please go to eurodollar thread on the second page there is my post related to what I have noticed about cot, this is the only way I look at it {quote}
thanks i will look up your post. it is always good to learn useful things from other traders.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #808,106
  • Jun 16, 2013 12:22pm Jun 16, 2013 12:22pm
Quoting Willow
{quote} ok, that the indexes summer collapse is clear and if correlations with EU are what you say, then it will go to the sky. but how could the Dow fall and the dollar depreciates in the same time ? you should explain that
manipulation
Will be handled'll see if I have not got the reason. I tou sold on the mini sp500 index this week when the weekly candle is formed will not pass until 1638 1639 until 1530 but may fall back to climb up and down because in the end they will fall or a rock in my post can take 7 weeks coming to 1430.90 will be their weapon to bust the stops where he will stay and in 1454 or 1461. will walk up and down then for next week will be 1620 where the maximum will walk up and down when I say that the index will spend the 2000 points but no one believes we wait when eurousd reach the destination.
  • #808,107
  • Jun 16, 2013 2:00pm Jun 16, 2013 2:00pm
Quoting Rag2RichesFX
{quote} Monthly charts are insanely important. You can do without looking at a yearly chart but I personally love it. Without the monthly chart (or RSI) I wouldn't have known to go short on the opening of the February monthly candle. But just taking one look at the yearly chart you can see why we bounced so hard with ONLY technical support at 1.2040 last year (and i guess some QE3 front running) I'm just showing based off technical patterns and momentum that work extremely well. Do you think that this years candle is going to engulf the doji we...
yep I wouldn't do anything without starting with monthly charts, would be crazy to trade against a monthly level, unless micro scalping
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #808,108
  • Jun 16, 2013 2:09pm Jun 16, 2013 2:09pm
Hello everyone! Sunday time to work!! My thoughts for next EU moves. AGREE DISAGREE I WILL APPRECIATE ANY OPINION !!!
1H first; I see a little bull weakening and mid range between 1.327 and 1.337
1D chart confirm it , because on my chart it is on upper channel border and it needs a bit retrace to make a picture look good.
If broken above 1.3370 my next target will be 1.3420-90.
I think it will try to break 1.34 again on following week but all depends on date coming and mood of speculators. :-)
if broken below 1.3270 my next target will be 1.3190 which is also confirm 1D chart as aprox 50% retrace from previous wave.

BUT I MIGHT BE WRONG AT EVERYTHING. THIS IS JUST MY THOUGHTS I AM SHARE WITH YOU!
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  • #808,109
  • Jun 16, 2013 2:37pm Jun 16, 2013 2:37pm
Quoting deni b
Hello everyone! Sunday time to work!! My thoughts for next EU moves. AGREE DISAGREE I WILL APPRECIATE ANY OPINION !!! 1H first; I see a little bull weakening and mid range between 1.327 and 1.337 1D chart confirm it , because on my chart it is on upper channel border and it needs a bit retrace to make a picture look good. If broken above 1.3370 my next target will be 1.3420-90. I think it will try to break 1.34 again on following week but all depends on date coming and mood of speculators. :-) if broken below 1.3270 my next target will be 1.3190...

Me like it, I see where the logic is!
There is no spoon....
  • #808,110
  • Jun 16, 2013 2:43pm Jun 16, 2013 2:43pm
Quoting Msis125125
{quote} Me like it, I see where the logic is!

THANK YOU!
  • #808,111
  • Jun 16, 2013 2:50pm Jun 16, 2013 2:50pm
Quoting deni b
Hello everyone! Sunday time to work!! My thoughts for next EU moves. AGREE DISAGREE I WILL APPRECIATE ANY OPINION !!! 1H first; I see a little bull weakening and mid range between 1.327 and 1.337 1D chart confirm it , because on my chart it is on upper channel border and it needs a bit retrace to make a picture look good. If broken above 1.3370 my next target will be 1.3420-90. I think it will try to break 1.34 again on following week but all depends on date coming and mood of speculators. :-) if broken below 1.3270 my next target will be 1.3190...
your numbers make sense, they align pretty well with market profile. or you just used market profile but did not show it?
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #808,112
  • Jun 16, 2013 2:56pm Jun 16, 2013 2:56pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} your numbers make sense, they align pretty well with market profile. or you just used market profile but did not show it?
Every number based on my view of market moves and overall experience ! I have been watching EU move for long time and realized it repeats itself a lot. Plus a little secret information i will share later!! :-)
P.S. I dont see clear picture of next movements so i will wait for better signal before open anything. Plus tomorrow G8 and market will be volatile a lot.
  • #808,113
  • Jun 16, 2013 3:23pm Jun 16, 2013 3:23pm
this pair is just lame .... 3.3pips 1h.20m
  • #808,114
  • Jun 16, 2013 3:24pm Jun 16, 2013 3:24pm
Quoting Willow
IMO, the Dow will crash this summer. it may be only a semi-crash, in the best case. -> Dow down, then Euro down. 1.3350 will remain as a high for 2013 and 2014 ! i eventually enter short on Monday.
expecting light trading volume in the beginning of the week. looks like everyone is waiting for wednesday to see what feds got up their sleeves. if you are going to play reversal, i would pick that day.
  • #808,115
  • Jun 16, 2013 4:21pm Jun 16, 2013 4:21pm
snoooooze.
  • #808,116
  • Jun 16, 2013 4:32pm Jun 16, 2013 4:32pm
Quoting pkimnyc
{quote} expecting light trading volume in the beginning of the week. looks like everyone is waiting for wednesday to see what feds got up their sleeves. if you are going to play reversal, i would pick that day.
yup I am just keeping eye on todays open for now, could pop either way lower tfs higher is bit clearer

could be a nice we trade forming on aussie,
au 1hr, she @ ltl of rising channel and ltl of smaller falling channel the ltl cross should give a reasonable clue, if it holds could grind on up if it breaks should plop down, almost converges with todays open
I have thrown on a small long, but watching incase she breaks south, I am normally super bear, but I fell bears struggling and geppy (yen) bears building, 1st trade and probably only one this week
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aussie 1hr 17 6 2013.png Size: 86 KB
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #808,117
  • Jun 16, 2013 4:46pm Jun 16, 2013 4:46pm
Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} yup I am just keeping eye on todays open for now, could pop either way lower tfs higher is bit clearer could be a nice we trade forming on aussie, au 1hr, she @ ltl of rising channel and ltl of smaller falling channel the ltl cross should give a reasonable clue, if it holds could grind on up if it breaks should plop down, almost converges with todays open I have thrown on a small long, but watching incase she breaks south, I am normally super bear, but I fell bears struggling and geppy (yen) bears building, 1st trade and probably only one...
heyyy kiwiii!! today I was remembering, while I was washing dishes, that day I posted a train leaving station, and you draw a bear on top of the train!! funny moment!!!
  • #808,118
  • Edited 5:08pm Jun 16, 2013 4:47pm | Edited 5:08pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i see that one also as possible. i also see her tired atm. i expect 2997/85 ish... timing is the hard part. we haven't made the st LL since the hh. i have a 3420 target with many R points between, up to 3465 ish... but with 3420, 3237 happens most times first. 3237 is below 3276, that was the last low before the hh.. so a break in it, sets up 3176. below 3176, voids 3420. atm high is 339x... if the bears take 3176 area or just get close. we may bounce toward 3280/3320 ish. if we then break past (3176) we should go below 2997 (after bounce).....


3244///.......... 3276 may still set up 3176. its a little weaker bull then -3244. its still is not a 3176 break. atm 3366/67 w/o a hh, is a good place to make a move with a close below 3352 and so on... no bears w/o the LL's...

a aggressive r/r s near 3377 with a few pip stop.. .. could be ok.. if there is going to be a turn, it probably will not get to 3379. if it passes 3279, then its probably a dt bull break. the area 3366/52 is part of 3420,, and 3237
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #808,119
  • Jun 16, 2013 4:53pm Jun 16, 2013 4:53pm
Chart is still slightly bullish,

Looking to see if we break out either side of 1.337 and 1.327 to signal where we might be leaning.

My guess is that this will be the range until Wednesday when the fed will make the decision as to what is next.
Money never sleeps...
  • #808,120
  • Jun 16, 2013 4:57pm Jun 16, 2013 4:57pm
A little action after Japan's Tertiary Industry Activity m/m ... It is likely going to just walk down... But we have a heart beat!!
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