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EURUSD

  • #805,521
  • Jun 6, 2013 10:04am Jun 6, 2013 10:04am
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New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #805,522
  • Jun 6, 2013 10:05am Jun 6, 2013 10:05am
Quoting maximinus
Ole ! we have a valid cross of my R and T ? {image}
Opening the gate for
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Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #805,523
  • Jun 6, 2013 10:06am Jun 6, 2013 10:06am
Quoting Petiedawgs
{quote} MASTER OF PATIENCE. I shorted too early but still confident on my short....for now.
whoa... I wanted to take screenshots of your weekly gains down in your signature, but I forgot. You killed >26% since the day before yesterday...
  • #805,524
  • Jun 6, 2013 10:07am Jun 6, 2013 10:07am
Quoting KillerWhale
{image}
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #805,525
  • Jun 6, 2013 10:08am Jun 6, 2013 10:08am
Time to go back to 1,3650 ?

Only this 1,32xx area can save bears.

And we have so many downside level to reach as well.....erm follow the trend it seems
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #805,526
  • Jun 6, 2013 10:09am Jun 6, 2013 10:09am
Quoting maximinus
Ole ! we have a valid cross of my R and T ? {image}
What time frame? And has that candle closed above it? Or pierced above it, but has yet to close?
Time turns trend. - W.D. Gann
  • #805,527
  • Jun 6, 2013 10:09am Jun 6, 2013 10:09am
Hey Hatch what do you make about the "sell in may and go away" now? ....

Quoting Mr Hatch
I just remember all the bullshitters in the beginning of the month reasoning, why "Sell in May..." absolutely cannot happen in 2013. And of all those dumb asses that saw buy-zones everywhere, nothing is heard since... they are surely very busy in real-life... grass grows slow.
Quoting sisse
{quote} As far as I know May has 31 days .... In my view we are as close to a top in equities as "one" single daily candle......

Quoting Mr Hatch
{quote} I was just talking about the currencies, not equities. What they are doing there is to be seen. A sell-off in equities would lead to even further $-strength, wouldn't it. If so, "sell in May" would remain intact, or am I wrong?
sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #805,528
  • Jun 6, 2013 10:11am Jun 6, 2013 10:11am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 3133.7 bulls need 3133.7 closed. the current high is the mid for 3159.9... 3198 was the larger indicated aud 9524.8 for bulls, the same story with the high to target 9582. both have a start to do it this h.. the h after is better.

this was corrected later to 9516,,, anyway 9516,, and 9524 have bull closes. the aud will probably bounce or drop slower then the euro now/soon. that may make the euro short a better trade verse usd over the aud.. or the aud the better long over the euro, verse the usd.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #805,529
  • Jun 6, 2013 10:11am Jun 6, 2013 10:11am
Quoting Ssm
Have been observing this formation for quite sometime. Head and Shoulder formation invalidated once resistance above .3180-3190 break? Clean break means 20 to 30 pips break. Comments welcome. {image}
Good chart. I'm looking at the neckline break as markets probable intention - as long as 3150-3200 holds R - but I wouldn't trade the downside upon the signal eg neckline break, in that TF. While the H&S statistically does trigger more often than not, its higher odds as well as best R/R to trade its failure , once bears are trapped under that neckline.

One exception there - unless the pattern is at absolute highs relative to your chart, or IHS at absolute lows - eg at multiweek/-month highs on your 4H/1H or multi-year highs on daily/weekly, or smth else on smaller TFs.... If that's not the case and it's somewhere in between - then its best for a trap/failure trade.
Patience, persistence and probabilities.
  • #805,530
  • Jun 6, 2013 10:11am Jun 6, 2013 10:11am
Quoting ForExtraPips
{quote} What time frame? And has that candle closed above it? Or pierced above it, but has yet to close?
Sorry, the cross, in M30 and new target in H1. Better ask G, I'm new in this mofuthing, and I'm not an orthodox one.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #805,531
  • Jun 6, 2013 10:12am Jun 6, 2013 10:12am
My demand supply stats are showing weakening demand here on 5 minute chart. Shorting now.
  • #805,532
  • Jun 6, 2013 10:14am Jun 6, 2013 10:14am
Quoting ForExtraPips
{quote} What time frame? And has that candle closed above it? Or pierced above it, but has yet to close?

M30 clearly closed above (I've 3185). better wait for the close of the new candle.
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  • #805,533
  • Jun 6, 2013 10:14am Jun 6, 2013 10:14am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} this was corrected later to 9516,,, anyway 9516,, and 9524 have bull closes. the aud will probably bounce or drop slower then the aeuro now/soon. that may make the euro short a better trade verse usd over the aud.. or the aud the better long over the euro, verse the usd.
Almost at 1,3198, what's the plan now ? Any hope for a downmove? Or you see more upside?
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #805,534
  • Jun 6, 2013 10:14am Jun 6, 2013 10:14am
Quoting bbakker
{quote} It will hit 1.40 or close to it before we go back to 1.20.
It'd be nice if you posted some kind of logic as to why.
  • #805,535
  • Jun 6, 2013 10:17am Jun 6, 2013 10:17am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} Almost at 1,3198, what's the plan now ? Any hope for a downmove? Or you see more upside?
I know that its not short yet, need to test Tokyo closing time (not exchange, meaning Thursday turning to Friday) on usdjpy.

98.29 should hold or it will see 98 during US i think. It may trigger stops on dollarindex.

When it bounces well, can look for retrace on eurusd.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #805,536
  • Jun 6, 2013 10:17am Jun 6, 2013 10:17am
Quoting kuroro001
Time to go back to 1,3650 ? Only this 1,32xx area can save bears. And we have so many downside level to reach as well.....erm follow the trend it seems

I do not think this kind of moves are made by the regular bears or bulls. It is a move by the biggest banks.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #805,537
  • Jun 6, 2013 10:17am Jun 6, 2013 10:17am
Quoting maximinus
{quote} M30 clearly closed above. better wait for the close of the new candle.
I used to jump in before it closed and would get burned. That's why I asked. GL
Time turns trend. - W.D. Gann
  • #805,538
  • Jun 6, 2013 10:17am Jun 6, 2013 10:17am
Quoting Mr Hatch
{quote} whoa... I wanted to take screenshots of your weekly gains down in your signature, but I forgot. You killed >26% since the day before yesterday...
Yea I trade heavy and im pretty confident on my short for now. I am still within my pain threshold and have funds on standby to support if needed. We'll see.

I took a few too many shorts too early still one of my discipline problems jumping the gun afraid to miss the train. Still got lots of work to do to conquer that. Thats why I said to gator master of patience as I have only some.
  • #805,539
  • Jun 6, 2013 10:18am Jun 6, 2013 10:18am
Quoting sisse
Hey Hatch what do you make about the "sell in may and go away" now? .... {quote} {quote} {quote} sisse

those sneaky sons of bitches... all the free money in the world and the charts stuck it to them... the same as apple, or gold.. or aj
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #805,540
  • Jun 6, 2013 10:19am Jun 6, 2013 10:19am
Quoting sisse
Hey Hatch what do you make about the "sell in may and go away" now? .... {quote} {quote} {quote} sisse
I don't know what to answer to that question. I remember that we discussed that topic, not in any detail... I also remember that someone insisted on moving higher before lower, both in e/u AND especially in g/u. I don't know, what to say...

Ah, yes... now I know... it doesn't matter, how much time will have passed, because at one point in time, every one will be right.
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Yaruki