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  • #804,821
  • Jun 4, 2013 9:27pm Jun 4, 2013 9:27pm
looks like backwards 3 drives pattern / triple top off upper tl. I'm not convinced.
Founder of Sutherland Wave Principle
  • #804,822
  • Jun 4, 2013 9:37pm Jun 4, 2013 9:37pm
tried to load this over an h ago


L au 9613, 12 pip stop. target 9844 64 or more
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #804,823
  • Jun 4, 2013 9:45pm Jun 4, 2013 9:45pm
Quoting gatorinla
tried to load this over an h ago L au 9613, 12 pip stop. target 9844 64 or more
Good entry...Got half at 17 and tried to get the other half at 02, but missed that one.. Looking to re-load a bit lower here again...

You agree with the levels that I mentioned earlier? (I have short-term levels at .96804 and .9706 and a bigger target at .9862)
  • #804,824
  • Jun 4, 2013 9:45pm Jun 4, 2013 9:45pm
Quoting gatorinla
tried to load this over an h ago L au 9613, 12 pip stop. target 9844 64 or more
she may let some on at 9627.. i dont know.. i may close before s/l if i see something i dont like... i have a bear target 1300 pips lower. but she completed 2 not long ago w/o a decent retrace. that could be a normal amount at 650... half is fine also.. 250 bull indicated atm.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #804,825
  • Jun 4, 2013 9:47pm Jun 4, 2013 9:47pm
Quoting gatorinla
tried to load this over an h ago L au 9613, 12 pip stop. target 9844 64 or more
Well that's nice entry but .98 is way away! It's in downtrend, and a series of bad data published by AUD will take it down to .95 or even .94x IMO
  • #804,826
  • Jun 4, 2013 9:48pm Jun 4, 2013 9:48pm
Quoting BlueCirrus
{quote} Good entry...Got half at 17 and tried to get the other half at 02, but missed that one.. Looking to re-load a bit lower here again... You agree with the levels that I mentioned earlier? (I have short-term levels at .96804 and .9706 and a bigger target at .9862)

Never mind Gator....I need to read your post before responding
  • #804,827
  • Jun 4, 2013 9:48pm Jun 4, 2013 9:48pm
Quoting BlueCirrus
{quote} Good entry...Got half at 17 and tried to get the other half at 02, but missed that one.. Looking to re-load a bit lower here again... You agree with the levels that I mentioned earlier? (I have short-term levels at .96804 and .9706 and a bigger target at .9862)

ea is the one i want..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #804,828
  • Jun 4, 2013 9:50pm Jun 4, 2013 9:50pm
like this one ? if so.. still in downtrend trendline then... not broken yet to the upside

Quoting BlueCirrus
{quote} Unless you have software that will plot quarterly bars, you just look at Jan, Feb and March for the 1st quarter and "imagine" the single candle that they make....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: euq.png Size: 39 KB
not euphoria follower
  • #804,829
  • Jun 4, 2013 9:50pm Jun 4, 2013 9:50pm
Quoting namitak007
{quote} Well that's nice entry but .98 is way away! It's in downtrend, and a series of bad data published by AUD will take it down to .95 or even .94x IMO
why not .82xxxx?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #804,830
  • Jun 4, 2013 9:56pm Jun 4, 2013 9:56pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} why not .82xxxx?
Well that will require a lot of bad data. Possibility is there in forex but AUD isn't that weak to easily give up. The last historic support is at .93x and below it's a free fall but again 82 cents is too weak. USD need to climb higher for this
  • #804,831
  • Jun 4, 2013 10:00pm Jun 4, 2013 10:00pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} ea is the one i want..
More volalility and range in that pair I think...Never traded it though....
  • #804,832
  • Jun 4, 2013 10:00pm Jun 4, 2013 10:00pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} ea is the one i want..

when the eu is 3198 area, and the au is in the .9844/64 area.. the ea may be getting ready for a drop. 3701 or3811 area .. bull weakness needs to be considered.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #804,833
  • Jun 4, 2013 10:02pm Jun 4, 2013 10:02pm
Quoting namitak007
{quote} Well that will require a lot of bad data. Possibility is there in forex but AUD isn't that weak to easily give up. The last historic support is at .93x and below it's a free fall but again 82 cents is too weak. USD need to climb higher for this
this could happen on good data,,,
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #804,834
  • Jun 4, 2013 10:05pm Jun 4, 2013 10:05pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} this could happen on good data,,,
I mean to say bad AUD data. So good USD data. AUD is mainly relied on Housing. So if housing collapses like in 2008, then only 0.82x is possible. Else I doubt that. But in current trend .93x is what I am targeting to load Longs. Till then I will only place shorts on this.
  • #804,835
  • Jun 4, 2013 10:08pm Jun 4, 2013 10:08pm
Quoting namitak007
{quote} I mean to say bad AUD data. So good USD data. AUD is mainly relied on Housing. So if housing collapses like in 2008, then only 0.82x is possible. Else I doubt that. But in current trend .93x is what I am targeting to load Longs. Till then I will only place shorts on this.
You need to broaden your scope. Aussie is a commodity currency. Seen a gold or silver chart lately? They are a prequel for things to come for the Aussie..

Heard about the end of the mining boom? China? You are forgetting some major fundamentals!
  • #804,836
  • Jun 4, 2013 10:09pm Jun 4, 2013 10:09pm
Quoting namitak007
{quote} I mean to say bad AUD data. So good USD data. AUD is mainly relied on Housing. So if housing collapses like in 2008, then only 0.82x is possible. Else I doubt that. But in current trend .93x is what I am targeting to load Longs. Till then I will only place shorts on this.

doubt what you want. its in the charts. it was in the charts this time last summer when some dummy had au below 1. on the charts. we were near/at the highs then
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #804,837
  • Jun 4, 2013 10:14pm Jun 4, 2013 10:14pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} when the eu is 3198 area, and the au is in the .9844/64 area.. the ea may be getting ready for a drop. 3701 or3811 area .. bull weakness needs to be considered.
...Have 1.3740 shorting area with 1.2316 target on the EA....
  • #804,838
  • Jun 4, 2013 10:18pm Jun 4, 2013 10:18pm
There are some pretty cool tools on here to play with I didnt know about. Not sure Ill use them all the time but I had some time to look at them and pretty well thought out by Forex Factory. I especially like the sentiment indicators on here, but wouldnt ever follow them personally. Im not sure anyone does, but I initiated one.
  • #804,839
  • Jun 4, 2013 10:19pm Jun 4, 2013 10:19pm
Anyone have any idea why the EUR/USD has been stuck in this range for over a day?
Luck has no place in trading. Leave that for the poker table.
  • #804,840
  • Jun 4, 2013 10:24pm Jun 4, 2013 10:24pm
Quoting diggo
{quote} You need to broaden your scope. Aussie is a commodity currency. Seen a gold or silver chart lately? They are a prequel for things to come for the Aussie.. Heard about the end of the mining boom? China? You are forgetting some major fundamentals!
Well yes I know those fundamental but are you expecting Gold to touch 1100 or 1000? I don't think so! It's possible but that will be another recession wave around the world. Well yes it's fact that China is slowing in it's growth but does that mean they will collapse soon? Again I don't think so. On the other hand I am doubtful about USD. They are more probable to get hit.


Quoting gatorinla
{quote} doubt what you want. its in the charts. it was in the charts this time last summer when some dummy had au below 1. on the charts. we were near/at the highs then
Well I have different views on my charts. I usually use h4 and daily for AU but here is my weekly. I kept it for reference and I am not agree if .82 is soon there. It's already in oversold region and I expect it to come near or above parity in next couple of months but again Elections and all can extend the time period. Also Rate are at 2.75% I am expecting it to back to 3% or even 3.25% if USD stops it's manipulation.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au5.jpg Size: 221 KB


Again I have low experience than you all Gurus. But it's how I look ate market.
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