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  • #31,101
  • May 29, 2013 3:15am May 29, 2013 3:15am
Quoting dare2dream
Everybody supporting USD,because the FED wants to scale back its stimulus program.Why is that?If they stops the program they won't print money because their economy is in the healing period.So they're strengthening dollar.I really don't understand it.
I don't understand it either just follow the market which is down for now, and control the only thing you can which is your risk.
  • #31,102
  • May 29, 2013 3:18am May 29, 2013 3:18am
Quoting dare2dream
Everybody supporting USD,because the FED wants to scale back its stimulus program.Why is that?If they stops the program they won't print money because their economy is in the healing period.So they're strengthening dollar.I really don't understand it.

not only you don;t understand, i think whole world also don;t understand,
as the USD haven;t stop the QE, only say it might reduce or stop QE( but every month still printing money),
the market already acting so funny......i think this is the effect of over printing money.........
the excess money will go the way they are thinking to..( perhaps FED printing money to Long USD - funny?).....
i think AUD will continues down, until all the long, turn to short,
then big crap eat all the profit,then it will turn the other way round........
  • #31,103
  • May 29, 2013 3:39am May 29, 2013 3:39am
Fake bounce occur? ready to short?
  • #31,104
  • May 29, 2013 3:44am May 29, 2013 3:44am
Quoting feather
{quote} I don't understand it either just follow the market which is down for now, and control the only thing you can which is your risk.
I've checked your profile and I noticed that you're from Australia.I tried to find significant news about the low Australian currency, but I didn't find any.As native Australian,what's your opinion?I think the optimal price is around parity.Am I right or not?
  • #31,105
  • May 29, 2013 5:29am May 29, 2013 5:29am
Quoting dare2dream
Can somebody explain this situation?What is going on with Aussie?It is falling over and over again.When it will stop?Is any considerable correction expected?They have AAA,good economy with low unemployment rate.I know the gold's price is lower also but this is very weird.
When you trade the forex, you must think about the future and not the present. I learned it the hard way but i'm pretty sure about this now.

If you think this decline is very weird you have hard work to become a better trader because...speculators turned from very net long to very net short in a very short time, so they must have obvious reasons.

AUD will go up when these reasons will be put in serious doubt
  • #31,106
  • May 29, 2013 5:46am May 29, 2013 5:46am
Quoting dare2dream
{quote} I've checked your profile and I noticed that you're from Australia.I tried to find significant news about the low Australian currency, but I didn't find any.As native Australian,what's your opinion?I think the optimal price is around parity.Am I right or not?
The AUD is at top for few year, now the USD want to take it back.........
according to the CFTC on 21th may, the short position was up to 32409, and previous week is only 13450,

and it is funny if you see the oanda long short position
http://fxtrade.oanda.com/analysis/open-position-ratios

the long ratio is at above 70%

it is clearly show that, the big fish is shorting the AUD,
and the small fish is longing the AUD,

the big fish sure need to clear major of the small fish, so...............hahahaha.........AUD is still long way to down until all the small fish die.........

but once it bounce back, still need to see big fish slowly out or fast fast out........

So, do you think the big fish stomach is full now? or still very hungry of your money?
  • #31,107
  • May 29, 2013 5:48am May 29, 2013 5:48am
Quoting Forex Looser
{quote}When you trade the forex, you must think about the future and not the present. I learned it the hard way but i'm pretty sure about this now. If you think this decline is very weird you have hard work to become a better trader because...speculators turned from very net long to very net short in a very short time, so they must have obvious reasons. AUD will go up when these reasons will be put in serious doubt
not a quite right mindset. while trading you do not think about past and you do not think about future. you trade only whatever you have right here, right now, the present moment.
As Above, So Below
  • #31,108
  • May 29, 2013 5:55am May 29, 2013 5:55am
Quoting tashkent
{quote} not a quite right mindset. while trading you do not think about past and you do not think about future. you trade only whatever you have right here, right now, the present moment.
Thinking about the future is the essense of trading, you would not want to buy something going cheaper.
If you short AUDUSD do you expect it to be lower in the present or the future?
  • #31,109
  • May 29, 2013 6:04am May 29, 2013 6:04am
Quoting Forex Looser
{quote}Thinking about the future is the essense of trading, you would not want to buy something going cheaper.If you short AUDUSD do you expect it to be lower in the present or the future?
you did not understand me. you may expect, predict, project, plan, anticipate, hope, pray, wish the price goes your way in the future. this thought itself is wrong to its core, because price does not do what you want and does not care what you think. trading without any expectation and with expectation - that is what differs %5 from %95. i know this discussion goes nowhere but just my 2 pips.
As Above, So Below
  • #31,110
  • May 29, 2013 6:05am May 29, 2013 6:05am
WOW, it up alot,
Do this is big fish is full? or the small fish struggle to fight back?
  • #31,111
  • May 29, 2013 6:06am May 29, 2013 6:06am
Hi all,

I close my long from 0.9568.68 pip profit.Maybe early...But far enough to me.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusdh1.png Size: 48 KB
  • #31,112
  • May 29, 2013 6:10am May 29, 2013 6:10am
Wow! Like a rocket launched into the space....
daddybearforex. com
  • #31,113
  • May 29, 2013 6:13am May 29, 2013 6:13am
there are buyers with money, but will others support them?
how will Big bear react to this, would this insult him and try to take revenge or punish the little bull?
watch the chart and it will tell you everything.
As Above, So Below
  • #31,114
  • May 29, 2013 6:16am May 29, 2013 6:16am
If it could stay in this area, maybe we have a tiny little chance to break this trend.
  • #31,115
  • Edited 6:35am May 29, 2013 6:21am | Edited 6:35am
I still keep my long to got RSI level weekly chart between 30-35 and daily chart now at level 25 this still oversold.its most effective maybe till the sun light. make it simple right INA
  • #31,116
  • May 29, 2013 6:37am May 29, 2013 6:37am
Quoting khol_hands
I still keep my long to got RSI level weekly chart between 30-35 and daily chart now at level 25 this still oversold.its most effective maybe till the sun light. make it simple right INA
Ok.Just be attention.Look at 1H ugly pattern.
  • #31,117
  • May 29, 2013 6:57am May 29, 2013 6:57am
Quoting gstup
{quote} Ok.Just be attention.Look at 1H ugly pattern.
do you short from the bottom???? we knew aud bearish from last month ago.maybe she hit your sl soon
  • #31,118
  • May 29, 2013 7:07am May 29, 2013 7:07am
short short short......fake bounce,
AUD/USD only follow EUR/USD,
the weakening position of the AUD/USD will reflect sooner........short until 0.6!!!!
gogogo!!!
  • #31,119
  • May 29, 2013 7:17am May 29, 2013 7:17am
Quoting tashkent
{quote} you did not understand me. you may expect, predict, project, plan, anticipate, hope, pray, wish the price goes your way in the future. this thought itself is wrong to its core, because price does not do what you want and does not care what you think. trading without any expectation and with expectation - that is what differs %5 from %95. i know this discussion goes nowhere but just my 2 pips.
I will try with a simple example to explain myself...
What i mean is if Mr Bernanke tell us "I will increase rates by mid-june".

You should not think "Right now rates have not changed, it's ok" because AUDUSD would go though the floor right now and not in mid-june.
  • #31,120
  • May 29, 2013 8:27am May 29, 2013 8:27am
An ending diagonal?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Image1.png Size: 21 KB
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