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  • #799,541
  • May 21, 2013 5:38am May 21, 2013 5:38am
Morning.. same chart same story as yesterday.. Still looking for that green arrow... Bump here.


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  • #799,542
  • May 21, 2013 5:38am May 21, 2013 5:38am
Quoting KiwiTrada
cable & geppy bears are attacking very good support, this could turn into nasty nasty period for gbp
Daily GU 1,5000
Weekly GU 1,4200
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #799,543
  • May 21, 2013 5:39am May 21, 2013 5:39am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} Daily GU 1,5000 Weekly GU 1,4200
look at 1.22ish
  • #799,544
  • Edited 10:52am May 21, 2013 5:41am | Edited 10:52am
Quoting tomspin
{quote} H4 is getting good mommentum from 1,2900, there is good potential for clear swing down to establish new low for the week, still no clear commitment. We will prolly play these lines till Ben
Still thinking intraday to short-term, 1.29-1.2914 is going to cap upside for now. I thought 1.294 would be a nice cap, but the euro hasn't had any moment. Trading in 30 or 50 pip range is no momentum until broken with force.


Close above 1.2910 would still keep my minor upside to 1.294 in play. Lots of data this week: FOMC, Draghi, German GDP.
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #799,545
  • May 21, 2013 5:42am May 21, 2013 5:42am
Quoting nathaniel
price trading below both weekly and daily pivot. Short @ 2855
you sold potential bottom in the range, poor RR
swing it!
  • #799,546
  • May 21, 2013 5:43am May 21, 2013 5:43am
Quoting Mr Hatch
{quote} look at 1.22ish
For GU ? or you mean EU ?
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #799,547
  • May 21, 2013 5:43am May 21, 2013 5:43am
Daily did a nice back test.. Day is young though.. If I were short late I would be careful here per previous chart.. GL..

edit: I might even go long. Not sure yet..

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  • #799,548
  • May 21, 2013 5:46am May 21, 2013 5:46am
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} Still thinking intraday to short-term, 1.29-1.2914 is going to cap upside for now. I thought 1.294 would be a nice cap, but the euro hasn't had any moment. Trading in 30 or 50 pip range is no momentum until broken with force.
Just because we do not see euro going to hell doesn't mean there is no momentum, have a look at H4 and that is lost steam from the rally, turning into sell - this is what I understand as momentum, it doesn't have to be brutal - steady and systematic will do as well,
swing it!
  • #799,549
  • May 21, 2013 5:47am May 21, 2013 5:47am
Quoting fontu
Morning , An update : http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...68#post6693968 fontu
Just midday update :

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...30#post6694830
Take care.
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #799,550
  • May 21, 2013 5:51am May 21, 2013 5:51am
Hi all..

Initiating a short position here...could be a nice idea.
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  • #799,551
  • May 21, 2013 5:54am May 21, 2013 5:54am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} For GU ? or you mean EU ?
g/U
  • #799,552
  • May 21, 2013 5:59am May 21, 2013 5:59am
Let's see if 1,2874 turns that crap back down
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #799,553
  • May 21, 2013 6:00am May 21, 2013 6:00am
Quoting tomspin
{quote} Just because we do not see euro going to hell doesn't mean there is no momentum, have a look at H4 and that is lost steam from the rally, turning into sell - this is what I understand as momentum, it doesn't have to be brutal - steady and systematic will do as well,
I can understand that. I have been bearish for months. And I know momentum needs to gain "momentum." Just looking at the 1H and 4H, which I don't do too often, euro-dollar is still relatively range bound 1H about 70 pips and 4H roughly 150 pips.

IMO I don't count momentum moving from one end of the range to the other. I would say the systemic momentum would be moving from one end of the range and breaking through the other end.
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When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #799,554
  • May 21, 2013 6:00am May 21, 2013 6:00am
Fed Bullard is going to speak today, last time he spoke no one payed any attention to him becase Draghi overspoke him at almost exactly same time (negative deposit rate).
But he said that FED may buy MORE bonds if 'inflation continues to go down' . And it continues to go down (look at last week CPI reading from US)

So yeah.. he will speak again today.
"You're solid gold, see you in hell"
  • #799,555
  • May 21, 2013 6:02am May 21, 2013 6:02am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} Daily GU 1,5000 Weekly GU 1,4200
, I think a lot lower, I was more concerned for the possible speed of drop rather than any target

looking at Daily cable, bears just pierced what I would consider strong support, dosnt mean breached retested and continue, but the strength of support if broken could be a wtf moment, crap data again tonight, this weeks data is mainly gbp so it makes sense to be keeping at least one eyeball on gbp prs,
And Geppy I still feel is building a toppish pattern, been stuck up around ther forlast 8 days, boj could easiliy fuk up things, but even they cant hold back market forever.

My sentiment is slowly changing, geppy has been contrarian ladies for long time now, and for her to fall back into sync would suit me
Cable last 6 daily candles are very bearish, but bulls know they have to fight, otherwise, will be hamburger patties everywhere
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #799,556
  • May 21, 2013 6:05am May 21, 2013 6:05am
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} I can understand that. I have been bearish for months. And I know momentum needs to gain "momentum." Just looking at the 1H and 4H, which I don't do too often, euro-dollar is still relatively range bound 1H about 70 pips and 4H roughly 150 pips. IMO I don't count momentum moving from one end of the range to the other. I would say the systemic momentum would be moving from one end of the range and breaking through the other end. {image}
The problem(or not) is I like to be as early as I can - risked 5 pips on current position and it is set at 76 that is BE+1
I know what you are trying to say - and that is fine and all true however most people who are trying to catch violent break tend to loose money - it is matter of cutting your risk - it always is.
btw that H4 close is fine for me, we should go down.
swing it!
  • #799,557
  • May 21, 2013 6:11am May 21, 2013 6:11am
Quoting tomspin
{quote} The problem(or not) is I like to be as early as I can - risked 5 pips on current position and it is set at 76 that is BE+1 I know what you are trying to say - and that is fine and all true however most people who are trying to catch violent break tend to loose money - it is matter of cutting your risk - it always is. btw that H4 close is fine for me, we should go down.
I understand you positioning and just conversing with my opinion. Early is good, but early can be a pain. I had a target of 1350 on gold with a short at 1453. Got stopped out and well we see where it is now. A week too early and a trade to waste.

I know you know what you're doing, and you have a plan with an exit strategy - that's all you could ask for.
When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do sir
  • #799,558
  • May 21, 2013 6:13am May 21, 2013 6:13am
my long term long kissed be
Mohan
  • #799,559
  • May 21, 2013 6:15am May 21, 2013 6:15am
Quoting Pip Anon
{quote} I understand you positioning and just conversing with my opinion. Early is good, but early can be a pain. I had a target of 1350 on gold with a short at 1453. Got stopped out and well we see where it is now. A week too early and a trade to waste. I know you know what you're doing, and you have a plan with an exit strategy - that's all you could ask for.
Quoting tomspin
{quote} just sold gold target is 1330
six days ago, same story - no worries there are chances everyday
swing it!
  • #799,560
  • May 21, 2013 6:16am May 21, 2013 6:16am
small L 2841.
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