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Sonic R. System

  • #49,021
  • May 16, 2013 9:39am May 16, 2013 9:39am
Quoting revoli
PVSRA showed the way
i edited your chart

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  • #49,022
  • May 16, 2013 9:53am May 16, 2013 9:53am
Quoting ebabra
{quote} Prof. TAH for UJ 1m PA we can consider 2 different analysis, First SM selling off heavilly and pump back the price for additionall selling, and second way of analysis is SM moving the price below whole number and quarter to add buying, by looking M15 also we find more volume on bottom even, considering recent releases and the fact that SM using that for their moves, how you find the former is right? for me is confusing,... Thanks {image}

Quoting Msis125125
USDJPY Volume on M1, Tah can you help me out here? I see high volume on short action around half number right? It means MM Bear right. Even though everyone sees bull? {image}
PVSRA, UJ

Yes, Msis125125, you understand correctly.

ebabra, you will get it eventually. Read everything written on it so far. This is a new way of analysis. It is still being explored for best techniques and effectiveness.

Once SM gets price above an important SR level, look to see if there follows notable increases in trading activity. Buy low, sell high. This is the fundamental premise behind PVSRA, that and the fact that SM likes to do their buying or selling in below or above, respectively, certain fundamental S&R levels.
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  • #49,023
  • May 16, 2013 10:08am May 16, 2013 10:08am
Quoting traderathome
GU Long Trade: Entered long trade #1, Scout. M1 PVSRA shows heavy trading just above whole number, after the price had been driven down there earlier. I have been holding out, waiting for price to be taken below the whole number, but decided to make this entry. It still might happen that price goes below the whole number, and if it does I plan to add to this long trade. Edit: Added long trade #2 (pic2). Price was dropped below whole number + extremely high trading while that happened = SM are bulls. {image} {image}
GU Long Trade:

Closed both long trades for 100x2= 200 pips gain, average EPx2 to close at TP1.
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  • #49,024
  • May 16, 2013 10:16am May 16, 2013 10:16am
Quoting traderathome
EU Long Trade: Entered long trade #1, Scout. M1 PVSRA shows price dropped thru half number on a very high increase in relative volume = SM are bulls. {image}
EU Long Trade:

Closed long trade for 50 pips gain, EP1 to TP1. Will stalk thru to next London session for any next, quick trade before weekend.
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  • #49,025
  • May 16, 2013 10:22am May 16, 2013 10:22am
Quoting traderathome
{quote} {quote} PVSRA, UJ Yes, Msis125125, you understand correctly. ebabra, you will get it eventually. Read everything written on it so far. This is a new way of analysis. It is still being explored for best techniques and effectiveness. Once SM gets price above an important SR level, look to see if there follows notable increases in trading activity. Buy low, sell high. This is the fundamental premise behind PVSRA, that and the fact that SM likes to do their buying or selling in below or above, respectively, certain fundamental S&R levels. {image}...
Thanks Prof. TAH, by M5 is clear to me now,
  • #49,026
  • Edited 11:06am May 16, 2013 10:46am | Edited 11:06am
YEN PVSRA, the YEN Sting (and the Banks Stink) Revisited

There is no sense in showing pictures of all the YEN pairs because any one of them will suffice to show the same things.

1. Gap up launched in area of previous highs, followed by the banks continuously manipulating prices higher as trading activity falls off!
2. Historic climatic trading activity by somebody (banks?) following the gap up, before overall trading starts to decline.

It is obvious the banks have been supporting the price by gapping it up, and then keeping upwards pressure on it, and all the while they have been doing an historic amount of trading of these highs. The obvious conclusion? Well, if you subscribe to the addage, "Buy low, sell high." then there is only one conclusion. And since that historic amount of trading, volume has been falling off even though the banks have kept up with supporting the price to higher levels. So......

.....The price manipulating banks are running low on suckers!

Now the question is, will this potential for an Island Reversal turn out to become one? Each week I review this and the possibility that the next week will open with a gap down followed by the relentless sabotaging of the price by the stinking banks, the YEN Sting!
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  • #49,027
  • May 16, 2013 11:04am May 16, 2013 11:04am
yow .. andyvxr
what do you think about stink

  • #49,028
  • May 16, 2013 12:28pm May 16, 2013 12:28pm
Quoting hansma
{quote} I hope not - still have a date with 1.2821 Regards, H {image}

Added some more sells at better prices

Same target.

Regards,

H.
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"The future is already written in the past"
  • #49,029
  • May 16, 2013 1:00pm May 16, 2013 1:00pm
Quoting traderathome
...It is obvious the banks have been supporting the price by gapping it up, and then keeping upwards pressure on it, and all the while they have been doing an historic amount of trading of these highs. The obvious conclusion? Well, if you subscribe to the addage, "Buy low, sell high." then there is only one conclusion...
PA vs. Time

Guys, retrace is much faster (and almost complete) compared to the whole previous drop (takes much less time, see blue vertical lines). So worth keeping in mind the time vs PA in context with the broader pic when judging what the smart money seems to do. The bottom line is that wouldn't be surprised if PA would hit the pink area within a few weeks.

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Mind the gap
  • #49,030
  • May 16, 2013 1:37pm May 16, 2013 1:37pm
GBPUSD time for short Big red bar with high volume above dragon= SM
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  • #49,031
  • May 16, 2013 3:28pm May 16, 2013 3:28pm
GU Long Trade:

Entered long trade #1, Scout. PVSRA: price quickly moved down to 1/4SR (market makers going after orders?) followed by increased activity (market makers filling orders?), indicating SM are bulls seeking lower prices to add longs.
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  • #49,032
  • May 16, 2013 3:30pm May 16, 2013 3:30pm
EU Long Trade:

Entered long trade #1, Scout. PVSRA: price quickly dropped to 3/4SR (market makers going after orders?) followed by increased activity (market makers filling orders?) indicating SM is a bull seeking lower prices to add longs.
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  • #49,033
  • Edited 5:39pm May 16, 2013 3:48pm | Edited 5:39pm
Quoting traderathome
YEN PVSRA, the YEN Sting (and the Banks Stink) Revisited There is no sense in showing pictures of all the YEN pairs because any one of them will suffice to show the same things. 1. Gap up launched in area of previous highs, followed by the banks continuously manipulating prices higher as trading activity falls off! 2. Historic climatic trading activity by somebody (banks?) following the gap up, before overall trading starts to decline. It is obvious the banks have been supporting the price by gapping it up, and then keeping upwards pressure on it, and all the while they have been doing an historic amount of trading of these highs. The obvious conclusion? Well, if you subscribe to the addage, "Buy low, sell high." then there is only one conclusion. And since that historic amount of trading, volume has been falling off even though the banks have kept up with supporting the price to higher levels. So...... .....The price manipulating banks are running low on suckers! Now the question is, will this potential for an Island Reversal turn out to become one? Each week I review this and the possibility that the next week will open with a gap down followed by the relentless sabotaging of the price by the stinking banks, the YEN Sting! {image}

Quoting Sunbrella
{quote} PA vs. Time Guys, retrace is much faster (and almost complete) compared to the whole previous drop (takes much less time, see blue vertical lines). So worth keeping in mind the time vs PA in context with the broader pic when judging what the smart money seems to do. The bottom line is that wouldn't be surprised if PA would hit the pink area within a few weeks. {image} {image}
YEN Pairs, At What Time is the High the Top?

Sunbrella, the unspoken premise behind your assumption that the retrace is "....almost complete..." is that retraces always go back to the topmost areas of previous price action and consolidation. I have provided examples on the same chart proving that premise to be incorrect. There is no assurance of where or when price will reverse. The area in which that takes place, and when that takes place, is up to those that are driving the price. For all we know the reversal could happen tomorrow, or at the open next week, or could already be underway. The one thing we can never know is when (time) SM will reverse price and initiate their "run for profits", otherwise people would be consistently and accurately predicting the times of tops, bottoms and reversals, trading them, and getting rich in quick fashion!

Price, volume, S&R,....the three most important datum in trading are all that are required for an effective, real time analysis (PVSRA) to indicate if SM is a bull or a bear. Once that is known by a trader, the trader can best strategize how to trade.
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  • #49,034
  • Edited May 17, 2013 1:23am May 16, 2013 5:33pm | Edited May 17, 2013 1:23am
AU Long Trade:

Entered long trade #1, Scout. PVSRA, M1: price was dropped back below the 1/4SR followed by higher activity, indicating SM is a bull seeking lower prices to add longs.

Edit: Added long trade #2, Scout (pic2).
Edit: Added long trade #3, Scout (pic3).
Edit: Added long trade #4, Scout (pic4).
Edit: Added long trade #5, Scout (pic4).
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  • #49,035
  • Edited 7:51pm May 16, 2013 6:21pm | Edited 7:51pm
Quoting traderathome
EU Long Trade: Entered long trade #1, Scout. PVSRA: price quickly dropped to 3/4SR (market makers going after orders?) followed by increased activity (market makers filling orders?) indicating SM is a bull seeking lower prices to add longs. {image}
EU Long Trade:

Added long trade #2 (pic1), Scout.
Added long trade #3 (pic3), Scout.
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  • #49,036
  • Edited 7:10pm May 16, 2013 6:24pm | Edited 7:10pm
Quoting traderathome
GU Long Trade: Entered long trade #1, Scout. PVSRA: price quickly moved down to 1/4SR (market makers going after orders?) followed by increased activity (market makers filling orders?), indicating SM are bulls seeking lower prices to add longs. {image}
GU Long Trade:

Added long trade #2 (pic1), Scout.
Added long trade #3 (pic2), Scout.
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  • #49,037
  • May 16, 2013 6:38pm May 16, 2013 6:38pm
Quoting meirk
GBPUSD time for short Big red bar with high volume above dragon= SM {image}
told cha..

Quoting jasakreatif
{quote} try it , GU at R2
  • #49,038
  • May 16, 2013 8:36pm May 16, 2013 8:36pm
Quoting jasakreatif
{quote} told cha.. {quote}
I changed from short to long after making some pips'
we lucky that we have proffesor TAH
  • #49,039
  • May 16, 2013 11:20pm May 16, 2013 11:20pm
Quoting traderathome
...the unspoken premise behind your assumption that the retrace is "....almost complete..." is that retraces always go back to the topmost areas of previous price action and consolidation...
Wrong assumption, TAH. What I wanted to point out is nothing more than the speed (elapsed time) of PA compared to the speed of previous drop counts in context of the bigger picture - especially if PA travels almost the same distance 1/3 times of the previous drop approaching a relevant S/R level. Personally I wouldn't be surprised if PA would go above the pink area before the real drop starts. It has the momentum to accomplish this even if smart money turns the power off and really start building short positions. That's what the current PA along with the complete old trading area to the left suggests to me on weekly tf.

Quote
...There is no assurance of where or when price will reverse. The area in which that takes place, and when that takes place, is up to those that are driving the price. For all we know the reversal could happen tomorrow, or at the open next week, or could already be underway. The one thing we can never know is when (time) SM will reverse price and initiate their "run for profits", otherwise people would be consistently and accurately predicting the times of tops, bottoms and reversals, trading them, and getting rich in quick fashion!

Agree. We are always guessing what may happen.

Quote
...Price, volume, S&R,....the three most important datum in trading are all that are required for an effective, real time analysis (PVSRA) to indicate if SM is a bull or a bear. Once that is known by a trader, the trader can best strategize how to trade.

Agree again. On the other hand, the major part of the old trading area to the left was missing completely from your weekly chart. If you are talking about S&R and possible reversals on this timeframe, ask yourself, why is that missing?

I'm pretty sure that your PVSRA is a good thing and all of my posting was about possible ways of fine-tuning it. The big picture along with PA vs. Time in context only adds to, not take away anything from it. May turn out to be completely useless for you or anyone else of course.
Mind the gap
  • #49,040
  • Edited 1:20am May 17, 2013 12:43am | Edited 1:20am
Quoting jasakreatif
{quote} i edited your chart {image}
Hi Jasakreatif. Just looked back over my chart down at M1 level. I am not sure why you think those first two are wrong as they still scream out to me building of volume as price gets pushed down below psyche levels which was then confirmed by the later ones. I maintain that one PVSRA event on its own is not a valid signal, it takes a bunch of them to really tempt me in. Remember its the relative position of the volume bars and the action around them that is significant. Action just below 1.52 level to me shows at least shorts closing if not longs opening. Please explain your view in case I am missing a trick.

thx.

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Katte, kabuto no o wo shime yo. Size doesn't matter, leverage is the killer
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