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EURUSD

  • #798,641
  • May 16, 2013 11:15am May 16, 2013 11:15am
S&P Index Futures also referred to as ES
  • #798,642
  • May 16, 2013 11:21am May 16, 2013 11:21am
Quoting IMARICH1
S&P Index Futures also referred to as ES
how do we compare it with eu if s n p goes down eu should go up?
  • #798,643
  • May 16, 2013 11:24am May 16, 2013 11:24am
Quoting Mahfooz
{quote} how do we compare it with eu if s n p goes down eu should go up?
I don't care when they're in synch, but I do when they're not.. Just think about what's going on... You'll have to figure this one out yourself.
  • #798,644
  • May 16, 2013 11:34am May 16, 2013 11:34am
Baffling on every level, this market behaviour. Anybody any clues as to what is trying to happen here?
  • #798,645
  • May 16, 2013 11:36am May 16, 2013 11:36am
Quoting attila
{quote}... You'll have to figure this one out yourself.
Oh no.

Inserted Video
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #798,646
  • May 16, 2013 11:37am May 16, 2013 11:37am
Quoting Likerty
mid of prev swing down is at 2935, but it may turn at 2940
how do you find mid highs?
  • #798,647
  • May 16, 2013 11:39am May 16, 2013 11:39am
Quoting The Fool
{quote} Oh no. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tZmDWltBziM
thank you, i ll watch the video with proxy or some youtube is block here in Pakistan
  • #798,648
  • May 16, 2013 11:48am May 16, 2013 11:48am
I know, not many care, but watch out for the current H4. If it closes < 2885.1, bears got what they needed. The higher bounce targets remain valid, but I suspect they could be delayed 'til later, when many have forgotten about them.
Attached Image
  • #798,649
  • May 16, 2013 11:49am May 16, 2013 11:49am
Quoting Likerty
{quote} But lesser inflation takes pressure from QE isnt..? So why BB should hint anything..?
As Lumesh said, lesser inflation equals more room for increased QE.

BB as his colleagues in the BOJ, SNB, ECB, etc is the ultimate voice for communicating a monetary decision. Don't forget that one (if not the most) important CB functions in their job description is creating, communicating and MANAGING expectations.

These can be about macro numbers (inflation, economic outlooks, etc) or monetary technical decisions (rates, QE's, etc) but both are highly correlated in how expectations its managed across all participants in the markets. The effectiveness is given in how these expectations can sharply create new mid and long term conditions, leaving the short term for participants to catch up.

Its useless for a policy if everybody already know it before it's implemented as actors will simply overshoot and adjust their views before they actual work...etc, etc, etc thats why we usually have theater before a key move (e.g) with Bullards, Weidmann, etc creating the devils advocate, etc, and the language and slips or mouths are key (that come from all time master Greenspan and after with Trichet,)

In simple words, the final voice is the one to follow if and for any CB decision. Many recent examples with Draghi "whatever it takes" or Kuroda "all in"

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #798,650
  • May 16, 2013 11:55am May 16, 2013 11:55am
Quoting Mr Hatch
I know, not many care, but watch out for the current H4. If it closes < 2885.1, bears got what they needed. The higher bounce targets remain valid, but I suspect they could be delayed 'til later, when many have forgotten about them. {image}
another attempt in the works. we may need 2866/67 for a trip wire. its as close as gets to a nut bet at 2929/30
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #798,651
  • May 16, 2013 11:55am May 16, 2013 11:55am
blablablabla after all maybe they are not going to rewinde QE blablablabla
you don't say...
"You're solid gold, see you in hell"
  • #798,652
  • May 16, 2013 12:00pm May 16, 2013 12:00pm
Quoting Mr Hatch
I know, not many care, but watch out for the current H4. If it closes < 2885.1, bears got what they needed. The higher bounce targets remain valid, but I suspect they could be delayed 'til later, when many have forgotten about them. {image}
closed above? what does that mean now?
  • #798,653
  • May 16, 2013 12:03pm May 16, 2013 12:03pm
Kicked advance bearish b*tt what was moaning to move more down without securing topside.
I won't be surprise if this is the end of bear for now.
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #798,654
  • May 16, 2013 12:06pm May 16, 2013 12:06pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} .... But long bond yields down
Well if we don't get the high in long bond yields in this leg I retire from trading... .. Even myself that avoid calling tops. We are set for a very very very long term low in Bonds. We will not see higher yield until the next economic cycle down in a decade or so .... A bold call but I think 99.99% of investor know it but everybody is waiting for the 1st to jump in....

Quote
. BB is between a rock and a hard place but he knows he better watch his mouth. Traders are whining for a pullback but markets may just be shifting into overdrive.
Indeed. The FED has been very aggressive but is "working" everybody is benefiting (not only the bastards) and inflation is still well under control...no sane economist, analyst, or investor can say anything yet. Lots of haters around but they eat shit and accept that they are "riding" the pig but the hate the FED ...lol ...

Quote
And that's why the pos EUR has not dropped through the floor.
100% Agree. I myself will prefer that final leg down in dollar to complete the technical moves across the board and be ready and aligned when inflation and rates start knocking the door in a few months....

We'll see.

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #798,655
  • May 16, 2013 12:06pm May 16, 2013 12:06pm
Quoting sisse
{quote} As Lumesh said, lesser inflation equals more room for increased QE. BB as his colleagues in the BOJ, SNB, ECB, etc is the ultimate voice for communicating a monetary decision. Don't forget that one (if not the most) important CB functions in their job description is creating, communicating and MANAGING expectations. These can be about macro numbers (inflation, economic outlooks, etc) or monetary technical decisions (rates, QE's, etc) but both are highly correlated in how expectations its managed across all participants in the markets. The...
if those guys were so good. why was 2008 unforeseen, by either? or bb... a lot of credit is given to the doctor operating on the guy, he shot with the unloaded shotgun, while duck hunting, in the cabin
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #798,656
  • May 16, 2013 12:10pm May 16, 2013 12:10pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if those guys were so good. why was 2008 unforeseen, by either? or bb... a lot of credit is given to the doctor operating on the guy, he shot with the unloaded shotgun, while duck hunting.
Not sure if they are good. But the 2008 financial crisis wasn't created by the CBs but the banks & bastards abusing the system in the 1st place ...the rest is just a domino effect of the correlated bubbles.

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #798,657
  • May 16, 2013 12:16pm May 16, 2013 12:16pm
Quoting sisse
{quote} Not sure if they are good. But the 2008 financial crisis wasn't created by the CBs but the banks & bastards abusing the system in the 1st place ...the rest is just a domino effect of the correlated bubbles. sisse
no... look at what allowed the over leveraging that created/allowed the abuse before the abuse happened.. this isn't the first time Greenspan and Paulson almost sunk the entire system.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #798,658
  • May 16, 2013 12:19pm May 16, 2013 12:19pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} no... look at what allowed the over leveraging that created/allowed the abuse before the abuse happened.. this isn't the first time Greenspan and Paulson almost sunk the entire system.
Well I was referring about the institution and CBS as monetary policy perspective. Oh sure agree with you GS, JPM & friends have more tentacles than octopus in key levels everywhere in the world from the Minister of Finances in xxx Coutries (better not say much) to the highest level in office in Washington, London, BOE or FED, etc...oh that's for sure Gator, that is "normal", but is nothing to do with monetary policy or CBs.

susse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #798,659
  • May 16, 2013 12:20pm May 16, 2013 12:20pm
nice bull momentum at m1, expect UP recovery.
  • #798,660
  • Edited 12:33pm May 16, 2013 12:21pm | Edited 12:33pm
Quoting sisse
{quote} As Lumesh said, lesser inflation equals more room for increased QE. BB as his colleagues in the BOJ, SNB, ECB, etc is the ultimate voice for communicating a monetary decision. Don't forget that one (if not the most) important CB functions in their job description is creating, communicating and MANAGING expectations. These can be about macro numbers (inflation, economic outlooks, etc) or monetary technical decisions (rates, QE's, etc) but both are highly correlated in how expectations its managed across all participants in the markets. The...
Did anything changed in econ data since last BB speach that could give a reason for a doubt about QE? With lesser inflation he could even hint about possible increase of QE ( as he "prepared to increase or decrease" in last speach) isn it? That would be the bastardous way to go after bearish W close..

He should make a "higher high" in expectations before any hints about reducing
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