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  • #793,521
  • May 1, 2013 6:54pm May 1, 2013 6:54pm
Quoting freelinks
{quote} That is very right, it's going to affect EU because they correlate
not really, depends how much impact on market there is and what tools they use, more interesteded in yen prs and asia pacific currencies considering it is the asia pacific session
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  • #793,522
  • May 1, 2013 7:18pm May 1, 2013 7:18pm
Does anyone have the odds for the ECB interest rate decision today? (as a decimal or percentage)

This data is always available for the AUD each month but I can't seem to find any data for the EU.

Cheers.
  • #793,523
  • May 1, 2013 7:31pm May 1, 2013 7:31pm
There has been a lot of talk about a drop of 0.25% in EC rates, but the eye EURUSD has been very fixed on US data recently, pretty much ignored the bad German and Euro data this week. I have shorted Euro (last night) on the basis I think attention will return to Euro woes over the last couple of days of the week....also another Euro minnow looks like putting out its hand for help soon and poor French/German data, with some austeriety rebellion in Italy and Greece
  • #793,524
  • May 1, 2013 7:36pm May 1, 2013 7:36pm
ECB can't lower rate, because inflation would be huge. Also in autumn Merkel will have elections. Germans are very angry, rise of living dropped. This is a game - south vs north. Who will win - recless spenders or working idiots? Austerity leads only to right left revolt.
On euro I think it will stay ~1.31, because fed did nothing and ecb will do nothing. This rise was rumuor.
  • #793,525
  • May 1, 2013 7:51pm May 1, 2013 7:51pm
Quoting aahmad29
{quote} Me too. Short at 1.3191 EU
Close short at 1.3171. +20 Pips profit
Love for all; Hatred for none.
  • #793,526
  • May 1, 2013 7:53pm May 1, 2013 7:53pm
Quoting vaidas7777
ECB can't lower rate, because inflation would be huge. Also in autumn Merkel will have elections. Germans are very angry, rise of living dropped. This is a game - south vs north. Who will win - recless spenders or working idiots? Austerity leads only to right left revolt. On euro I think it will stay ~1.31, because fed did nothing and ecb will do nothing. This rise was rumuor.
As of now, that's not true. The majority has no idea what trap Merkel has laid out.
  • #793,527
  • May 1, 2013 8:08pm May 1, 2013 8:08pm
Quoting gatorinla
so much drama and conspiracy theory.. mofus r mofus. what would one expect, other then a bounce there. .
not that its got a shot at holding... i was bored with the lack of new conspiracy theory on why we bounced this time.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #793,528
  • May 1, 2013 8:09pm May 1, 2013 8:09pm
:nerd:mohan where are you bro, aussie train might be getting up some steam, taking 1 low at a time
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  • #793,529
  • May 1, 2013 8:11pm May 1, 2013 8:11pm
30 pips to go down.
  • #793,530
  • May 1, 2013 8:18pm May 1, 2013 8:18pm
Quoting KiwiTrada
:nerd:mohan where are you bro, aussie train might be getting up some steam, taking 1 low at a time
many are worried about ecb cut, u.s. employment. they didn't notice china.. u.s. oil dropping allows ecb some cutting room.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #793,531
  • May 1, 2013 8:22pm May 1, 2013 8:22pm
Merkel at the moment will not/or is too close to call to get re-elected. The number one reason Cyprus had is banks smacked about was to placate those in her OWN party.

Euro inflation fell to 1.2% almost .5% down on expectations, this is dangerously close to stagfaltion. This and the other woeful news came out on Tuesday but was lost in a very US centric news cycle impacting EURUSD. This is seen as the straw that breaks the camels back for the ECB and thus lots of articles (check Bloomberg today) on expectations of Euro rate cut. Obviously no guarantee and Draghi n co. often surprise.

Even if inflation doubled as a result, it would still be below target range and if it did double, one would expect this to reflect will in subsequent manufacturing indexes.

The core of Europe's financial engine is slowing down, France and Germany are becoming strained. Weak chinese data (leading indicator) is not providing the ray of hope needed to get the Euro Machine working again. Slovakia is expected to do a Cyprus soon.
  • #793,532
  • May 1, 2013 8:23pm May 1, 2013 8:23pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} many are worried about ecb cut, u.s. employment. they didn't notice china.. u.s. oil dropping allows ecb some cutting room.

and gold priming as typing,

aussie data in 6mins
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  • #793,533
  • May 1, 2013 8:26pm May 1, 2013 8:26pm
Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} and gold priming as typing, aussie data in 6mins
b.e.+
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  • #793,534
  • May 1, 2013 8:33pm May 1, 2013 8:33pm
getting close to a 3110 or 3089 target.... just need a LL... then if there is a bounce 3191/97 may be the s of the week +.. of course pa dependent with a tight stop../ a small stop you can risk less, and make more
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #793,535
  • May 1, 2013 8:37pm May 1, 2013 8:37pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} b.e.+ {image}
I am building, partial banking once 1/3 achieved and leaving runners, if this gorl keeps taking out the daily lows, going to be hard for her to recover for awhile, but the lows probaby be ping pong so watchingclosely and manual managing, but aim is a bunch of runners
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  • #793,536
  • May 1, 2013 8:40pm May 1, 2013 8:40pm
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #793,537
  • May 1, 2013 8:42pm May 1, 2013 8:42pm
Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} I am building, partial banking once 1/3 achieved and leaving runners, if this gorl keeps taking out the daily lows, going to be hard for her to recover for awhile, but the lows probaby be ping pong so watchingclosely and manual managing, but aim is a bunch of runners {image}
posted 11xx a while back.. still expected
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #793,538
  • May 1, 2013 8:45pm May 1, 2013 8:45pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} posted 11xx a while back.. still expected
Aussie below 0.9?
  • #793,539
  • May 1, 2013 8:47pm May 1, 2013 8:47pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} posted 11xx a while back.. still expected
I seen, your levels been pretty good lately, Im not posting levels no more, eu is under too many conflicting influences, but i am trading for a May Sell Off, but not rushing, I think there will be plenty time / oppotunities

Kiwi is tapping pretty good support right now, if she can get through aussie should follow,
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  • #793,540
  • May 1, 2013 8:48pm May 1, 2013 8:48pm
Quoting diggo
{quote} Aussie below 0.9?
.9xxx was indicated last summer.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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