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Geppy's Geppy Thread (GBP/JPY)

  • #6,441
  • Apr 25, 2013 9:41am Apr 25, 2013 9:41am
Quoting KillerWhale
Trying a short on gj now
Tread lightly, there could be more gas in this tank!
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  • #6,442
  • Apr 25, 2013 9:43am Apr 25, 2013 9:43am
if u-j would break out of this trap, we'll also see some movement on g-j.
i've got pending longs above 99.76 and shorts below 98.96.
arrows indicate background action, and if price goes above each significant setup then it's pretty much safe to enter the trade. right now it looks like a trap between bulls and bears and i will not trade it unless i see clear break (either way).
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: u-j-swing.gif Size: 19 KB
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #6,443
  • Apr 25, 2013 9:54am Apr 25, 2013 9:54am
as for g-j, i don't see any selling background for now so my guess is price will continue to rise. i can't help noticing that this entire move up from 147 looked undecided. but hey, it's still going up... no signs of bears... if it walks like a duck and it quacks like a duck
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #6,444
  • Apr 25, 2013 9:59am Apr 25, 2013 9:59am
Quoting Scrat
as for g-j, i don't see any selling background for now so my guess is price will continue to rise. i can't help noticing that this entire move up from 147 looked undecided. but hey, it's still going up... no signs of bears... if it walks like a duck and it quacks like a duck
Yeah, she definitely doesn't look like she wants to give up too much ground quite yet. Buy the dips mode until PA says differently...
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  • #6,445
  • Apr 25, 2013 5:01pm Apr 25, 2013 5:01pm
I made mistakes and I'm not shy to share them with you,
I put in a short @ 152.15 yesterday and early this morning again @ 152.90 and 153.25.

For now I'm gonna let it ride and see what's going to happen.
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  • #6,446
  • Apr 25, 2013 5:03pm Apr 25, 2013 5:03pm
Quoting KillerWhale
I made mistakes and I'm not shy to share them with you, I put in a short @ 152.15 yesterday and early this morning again @ 152.90 and 153.25. For now I'm gonna let it ride and see what's going to happen.
But fortunately it can never take away the great gains I had earlier this week.
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  • #6,447
  • Apr 25, 2013 5:04pm Apr 25, 2013 5:04pm
Quoting KillerWhale
I made mistakes and I'm not shy to share them with you, I put in a short @ 152.15 yesterday and early this morning again @ 152.90 and 153.25. For now I'm gonna let it ride and see what's going to happen.
I respect that, Killer. I'd cheer it on for ya, but I'm afraid I started building longs again just below (and in) this current zone (153.30s)... I do hope you get out win minimal damage. I know it's never fun having to babysit an underwater position.
check out my blog: forexmademillionaire dot com
  • #6,448
  • Apr 25, 2013 6:06pm Apr 25, 2013 6:06pm
Quoting Geppy
{quote} I respect that, Killer. I'd cheer it on for ya, but I'm afraid I started building longs again just below (and in) this current zone (153.30s)... I do hope you get out win minimal damage. I know it's never fun having to babysit an underwater position.
My star sign is Aries, and if you know anything about astrology, you will know this .................
Aries is always honest and doesn't mind telling you about his failures, but look forward, he will always win out on you in the long term.
Aries are winners or they commit suicide if they are not!
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  • #6,449
  • Apr 25, 2013 6:07pm Apr 25, 2013 6:07pm
Quoting KillerWhale
{quote} My star sign is Aries, and if you know anything about astrology, you will know this ................. Aries is always honest and doesn't mind telling you about his failures, but look forward, he will always win out on you in the long term. Aries are winners or they commit suicide if they are not!
And I'm still here
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  • #6,450
  • Edited 6:43pm Apr 25, 2013 6:20pm | Edited 6:43pm
And now I'm gonna watch a James Bond movie on Netflix,
Did you know James Bond has it's 50th birthday this year?
The first one was Doctor No in 1963.
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  • #6,451
  • Apr 25, 2013 7:25pm Apr 25, 2013 7:25pm
Might be a good opportunity to bail from those shorts here, Killer. Obviously your call, but a nice drop here to do it if you were planning on it.
check out my blog: forexmademillionaire dot com
  • #6,452
  • Apr 25, 2013 7:56pm Apr 25, 2013 7:56pm
Quoting Geppy
{quote} Maybe you can simplify some of it ........
excellent point.....

re: u/j

Last night Japan's MoF numbers showed selling of foreign bonds although mkt consensus has been the BOJ's aggressive monetary policy is pushing money (insurers/pension funds) into foreign mkts (soverign debt)

Kuroda and BOJ Policy Stmt tonight.......don't know...maybe can shorten the timeline to achieve 2% inflation?

Tomorrow....US GDP Q1....expectation for 3% looks to be the high side given weak ec prints recently....if GDP comes in on the downside the recent highs just below 100 may be a top for u/j until at least next weeks FOMC and NFP

my 2 cents for what that is worth, but think the FA here fits with Scrat's post about possible drop and u'j being trapped in the tight range the past several days all of which may also as Scrat pointed out affect gj

personal bias is to sell, but may be wrong.....was wrong on ES and mini Dow shorts off poor German IFO and Durable Goods fail/closed the trades for some losses but that is the risk

part of the point with last night's MoF numbers gives question as to how much frontrunning has been taking place ahead of actual buying by the Japanese (i trade european equity indexes and given the RADICAL rallies out of the blue it looks QUITE A LOT)........next week is also Golden Week Japan...4 national holidays within a 7 day week..

if i were a Japanese insurer and or pension fund (which i am not obviously) and next week is pretyy slow for business i would be inclined to wait for better pricing opportunities especially knowing that foreign markets are literally drooling to be debt bailed out again

again, i may be wrong but that is what i think
  • #6,453
  • Apr 25, 2013 7:56pm Apr 25, 2013 7:56pm
Quoting Geppy
Might be a good opportunity to bail from those shorts here, Killer. Obviously your call, but a nice drop here to do it if you were planning on it.
Thanks Geppy, I just dropped the latest one, with 9 pips profit.
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  • #6,454
  • Apr 25, 2013 7:59pm Apr 25, 2013 7:59pm
Quoting KillerWhale
{quote} Thanks Geppy, I just dropped the latest one, with 9 pips profit.
The other 2 will need patience till they are in profit too.
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  • #6,455
  • Apr 25, 2013 8:04pm Apr 25, 2013 8:04pm
Quoting KillerWhale
{quote} The other 2 will need patience till they are in profit too.
For now I don't see it go higher.
We had kind of a double top this morning and it didn't break,

So the only way it can go right now is down, because up was rejected,
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  • #6,456
  • Apr 25, 2013 8:09pm Apr 25, 2013 8:09pm
Quoting KillerWhale
{quote} For now I don't see it go higher. We had kind of a double top this morning and it didn't break, So the only way it can go right now is down, because up was rejected,
And here is the pic to back it up!
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  • #6,457
  • Apr 25, 2013 8:10pm Apr 25, 2013 8:10pm
Quoting KillerWhale
{quote} And here is the pic to back it up!
here? where?
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  • #6,458
  • Apr 25, 2013 8:10pm Apr 25, 2013 8:10pm
Quoting KillerWhale
{quote} here? where?
oh here
Attached Image
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  • #6,459
  • Apr 25, 2013 9:48pm Apr 25, 2013 9:48pm
Quoting KillerWhale
{quote} oh here {image}
I hope you got out of the rest unscathed, bro!
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  • #6,460
  • Apr 25, 2013 10:26pm Apr 25, 2013 10:26pm
Quoting Geppy
{quote} I hope you got out of the rest unscathed, bro!
Only 1 left, at this moment @ -79 pips.
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