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  • #790,121
  • Apr 19, 2013 8:13am Apr 19, 2013 8:13am
Quoting gatorinla
more pa, more tweaking. we made a little b/o on the smaller charts. so if she gets past 3124.. she still may want 3148/51. we are in a tight area so st pa my be lying. still not in yet.. with the st indication.. 3123 is safer then 3119 r/r wise. nice rejection on the unclosed hour atm.
for the bullish, if st is not lying. a long above 3043 with a 3148 min target may be the way to go. 3068 is the mid.. void target below 3043
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #790,122
  • Apr 19, 2013 8:15am Apr 19, 2013 8:15am
1.3200 next week
  • #790,123
  • Apr 19, 2013 8:16am Apr 19, 2013 8:16am
Quoting ForExtraPips
3142 area haunts me on one of my weekly charts. That's why I closed my short scalp. Don't like what I'm seeing.
i still hold some s from 3197.. but i may put a sneaky L near 3043,,
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #790,124
  • Apr 19, 2013 8:17am Apr 19, 2013 8:17am
Good morning, the light momentum has come to an end. I am now short
1.3081
One of the backpack killers are dead.
  • #790,125
  • Apr 19, 2013 8:18am Apr 19, 2013 8:18am
Quoting adriano2013
1.3200 next week

After seeing this retrace again after a pop, i believe we close today just shy of 1.301. Bears are taking this back under their control.
"It is not enough to have a good mind; the main thing is to use it well"
  • #790,126
  • Apr 19, 2013 8:19am Apr 19, 2013 8:19am
EUR/USD order update

EUR/USD Intraday order update 19 April
Following the Schaeuble induced pop, stops are being noted now at 1.0365/75 area. We’ve got to 1.3071 on the way down so one would assume there’s some bids ahead of the stops. We also have the 55 H1ma at 1.3067 an we still can’t sustain a break of the 100 & 200 H1 ma in the 1.0380/85 region.
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #790,127
  • Apr 19, 2013 8:20am Apr 19, 2013 8:20am
I'm out EU short. Early weekend for me. 3070 looks strong.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusdh1.png Size: 19 KB
back... and more dangerous.
  • #790,128
  • Apr 19, 2013 8:22am Apr 19, 2013 8:22am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Man, I am watching your posts for quite some time and find them very interesting. Could you please expand here? I am with your scenario, but think gold is now about to tank some more and will take E/U @ ,297 at minimum, before we bounce here. You see, main reason for this is, that I think slump in gold was caused by economic outlook of China, and think (after Wednesdays daily EU close at ,3054) commodities lead by Copper and followed by Gold and Silver are going to push us a bit lower today. Edit: just to expand here, as you can see, Copper is still...

Looks like you have good gasp of FA.. try balancing your above scenarios with some simple inter-market TA as interpreting PA without considering correlated inter-market movements is like fighting well-armed Forex robbers in the dark with a handbag..

Gold @ major demand zone after losing it's shine big time.. GBP turning from major support & now @ good daily support zone.. EURGBP consolidating @ good support after the recent correction.. EURJPY now heading for new highs..

the above inter-market lead/lag line dance for Euro in simple terms;
Gold side to up +GBP side to up +EUR crosses side to up =Euro in consolidation side to up
Gold up +GBP up +EURGBP side to up =Euro up up
Gold up +GBP up + EURGBP up +EURJPY up =Euro up up up..
  • #790,129
  • Apr 19, 2013 8:22am Apr 19, 2013 8:22am
Scheauble spike fades as risk sours

 

  1. Earlier comments by FinMin Schaeuble see stops run up to 1.3118
  2. Mkt takes a second look at all comments & decide Schaeuble's a wash
  3. Sour risk sentiment takes over & USD goes bid
  4. EUR/USD back under the 200 HMA & threatens 10 DMA
  5. Bear flag developing on hourly charts, typically these resolve lower
  6. Stops ~ 1.3065/70, bids touted 1.300/15. larger stops through 1.2990
  7. Break of 1.30 opens door to 200 DMA & April 5 low
  8. Chart: http://link.reuters.com/nuh57t

Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #790,130
  • Apr 19, 2013 8:25am Apr 19, 2013 8:25am
Quoting gatorinla
if i get s/o.. i target 1466... but will not L until 1369/70 or near 1337.. the current s needs a low below 1336.. then the target will be a new low at 1271/72 +. 11xx is the other one
i got s/o a gold demo s last night. if i wanted to short, i would have to wait for 1466 or more. if i wanted to L is above.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #790,131
  • Apr 19, 2013 8:33am Apr 19, 2013 8:33am
keeps spiking up

seems like long would be a good bet, i may jump in at the close of the m5 candle

edit: or is that a weak double top?
  • #790,132
  • Apr 19, 2013 8:33am Apr 19, 2013 8:33am
when i see this beautiful spike up , i know it is for hunting SLs before heading down

Waiting here for the big action
Skype: tlcodelearncircle
  • #790,133
  • Apr 19, 2013 8:35am Apr 19, 2013 8:35am
can anyone explain this
"Weidmann says interest rates 'currently appropriate"
  • #790,134
  • Apr 19, 2013 8:36am Apr 19, 2013 8:36am
EUR

Will continue to go down to 2970, good selling opportunity now:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_H1.jpg Size: 133 KB
  • #790,135
  • Apr 19, 2013 8:36am Apr 19, 2013 8:36am
Weidmann to the speaker again.

Short again ....for you Weidmann
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #790,136
  • Apr 19, 2013 8:38am Apr 19, 2013 8:38am
WEIDMANN SAYS INTEREST RATES 'CURRENTLY APPROPRIATE'

WEIDMANN SAYS ECB MAY REASSESS INTEREST RATES IF DATA CHANGE. And he is not talking about a rate hike
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #790,137
  • Apr 19, 2013 8:39am Apr 19, 2013 8:39am
Quoting gaurav.132
can anyone explain this "Weidmann says interest rates 'currently appropriate"
how long does it take for President Weidmann to get to the main points in his speech?
man... 2hrs already...

40mins to the first point (1st spike)
2hrs later to his second point (2nd spike)
...
back... and more dangerous.
  • #790,138
  • Apr 19, 2013 8:39am Apr 19, 2013 8:39am
Quoting kuroro001
Weidmann to the speaker again. Short again ....for you Weidmann
what level are you eyeing?

in a decent long from 3099

edit: out +25
  • #790,139
  • Apr 19, 2013 8:40am Apr 19, 2013 8:40am
Chop feast continues as Weidman runs his mouth

 

  1. Headline algos get a work out today as EUR/USD remains whippy intra-day
  2. ECB's Weidmann: rates appropriate, if data changes will need to check again
  3. EUR/USD spikes to new session high 1.3121 but runs into offers
  4. Stops reported just above the highs then offers 1.3140 & above
  5. With no conviction in the mkt whippy action likely to persist

Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #790,140
  • Apr 19, 2013 8:43am Apr 19, 2013 8:43am
Looks like I should go back to my day job. Hopefully it slows
1.3150
I am in on big losses.
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