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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #33,401
  • Apr 14, 2013 11:16pm Apr 14, 2013 11:16pm
yeah with my knowledge i think that USD/JPY will went down more like leats 97.00 or 96.50 in D1 Chart Because After few hours BOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks and when he speaks jpy got strong,
  • #33,402
  • Apr 15, 2013 2:10am Apr 15, 2013 2:10am
Time for another wave down?
Twitter: @zusch_ -- Preselecting trending pairs, stocks on a weekly basis.
  • #33,403
  • Apr 15, 2013 5:04am Apr 15, 2013 5:04am
Quoting zusch
Time for another wave down?
Maybe. Certainly it would be surprising to see another march on the 100 line this week.
My guess is that Kuroda won't be talking the JPY down until he's home from the G20 meetings in Washington this Thu/Fri, because that would be very (currency) undiplomatic.
(Compare also with the way the Chinese allowed the CNY to appreciate last week in the days before John Kerry visited.)
  • #33,404
  • Apr 15, 2013 9:51pm Apr 15, 2013 9:51pm
this pair was trending downwards but looks like there is a reversal at hand. It stopped at the 50 fib mark from the last swing high and low before moving back upwards.
  • #33,405
  • Apr 16, 2013 11:00am Apr 16, 2013 11:00am
Quoting forex_fairy
this pair was trending downwards but looks like there is a reversal at hand. It stopped at the 50 fib mark from the last swing high and low before moving back upwards.
agree
  • #33,406
  • Apr 16, 2013 4:06pm Apr 16, 2013 4:06pm
Buyers did a nice job today retracing over most of Monday's move and closing the daily candle green. Anticipating a retrace down to 97 where I'll be a buyer. Wouldn't want to see it drop below 96.70 -- the 61.8% Fib of Tuesday.
Twitter: @zusch_ -- Preselecting trending pairs, stocks on a weekly basis.
  • #33,407
  • Apr 16, 2013 4:46pm Apr 16, 2013 4:46pm
Hidden bullish divergence and Morning Star on H4
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  • #33,408
  • Apr 16, 2013 7:00pm Apr 16, 2013 7:00pm
Quoting frantic_777
Hidden bullish divergence and Morning Star on H4 {image}
I don't think divergence is hiding. My MACD isn't showing any such thing. But enlighten us more.
  • #33,409
  • Apr 16, 2013 8:16pm Apr 16, 2013 8:16pm
this morning, has increased over 60 pips in 60 mins..a pip a minute..this thing is a pip machine..at current rate of increase targeting 99 by end of session, up nearly 300 from the low 24 hrs ago
  • #33,410
  • Apr 17, 2013 3:41am Apr 17, 2013 3:41am
Based on what ??
How to opt out annoying user signatures ??
  • #33,411
  • Apr 18, 2013 11:30am Apr 18, 2013 11:30am
Any of you guys anticipating a move to 99 or 100?
  • #33,412
  • Apr 18, 2013 4:18pm Apr 18, 2013 4:18pm
Quoting forex_fairy
Any of you guys anticipating a move to 99 or 100?
Still possible we reach there in the future, but tomorrow not likely. Daily candles are slowing down and we've now had 2 closes below Tuesday's high. I lost some money trying to buy today because the price action is just so damn choppy. Anything can happen, but the charts are saying there is still a fair amount of sellers out there.
Twitter: @zusch_ -- Preselecting trending pairs, stocks on a weekly basis.
  • #33,413
  • Apr 19, 2013 1:51am Apr 19, 2013 1:51am
Quoting zusch
Still possible we reach there in the future, but tomorrow not likely. Daily candles are slowing down and we've now had 2 closes below Tuesday's high. I lost some money trying to buy today because the price action is just so damn choppy. Anything can happen, but the charts are saying there is still a fair amount of sellers out there.
depends on where the G-20 attendees have placed their long .uj TP's .

they won't accomplish anything, but they're all in back-slapping agreement that what japan is doing really is for domestic purposes (yeah, and it is too!). christine lagarde even applauds... plus, when their economies fall apart, they all need to own an island for escape to safety!

wouldn't be surprised to see it hit 100 today.
  • #33,414
  • Apr 19, 2013 1:59am Apr 19, 2013 1:59am
Quoting forex_fairy
Any of you guys anticipating a move to 99 or 100?
I have already burned my money on this pair! it's such a sensitive pair that you can get to 200 pips movement in either direction within couple of hours! I am just keeping my money away right now! Just hoping for a stable environment!
  • #33,415
  • Apr 19, 2013 2:09am Apr 19, 2013 2:09am
Quoting 1candlepower
depends on where the G-20 attendees have placed their long .uj TP's . they won't accomplish anything, but they're all in back-slapping agreement that what japan is doing really is for domestic purposes (yeah, and it is too!). christine lagarde even applauds... plus, when their economies fall apart, they all need to own an island for escape to safety! wouldn't be surprised to see it hit 100 today.
the lower tl defined by today's lo and the lo on wed matching an upper tl drawn off wed's high gives a nice channel in which .uj is going parabolic. if it stays within the channel, it could hit 100 as early as 1030 est.

guess that depends on how hard the G-20 attendees pump it .
  • #33,416
  • Apr 19, 2013 2:23am Apr 19, 2013 2:23am
Quoting 1candlepower
the lower tl defined by today's lo and the lo on wed matching an upper tl drawn off wed's high gives a nice channel in which .uj is going parabolic. if it stays within the channel, it could hit 100 as early as 1030 est. guess that depends on how hard the G-20 attendees pump it .
1% down, last 12 hours. another 1% to go.
  • #33,417
  • Apr 19, 2013 2:34am Apr 19, 2013 2:34am
Quoting 1candlepower
1% down, last 12 hours. another 1% to go.
.uj's gone nearly vertical now (35 p in 10 mins), but no doubt some will try shorting it.
  • #33,418
  • Apr 19, 2013 2:37am Apr 19, 2013 2:37am
the usd/jpy is a pip machine played by hedge funds
  • #33,419
  • Apr 19, 2013 3:15am Apr 19, 2013 3:15am
i am really amazed at strong influence of approval on yen strength. the last time "G people" got together and sang the yen cumbaya song, .uj went off on a tear like it's doing today. seems like only thing keeping boj from trashing the yen is a signal of approval of the international community... not so much anything internal to japan.
  • #33,420
  • Edited 4:14am Apr 19, 2013 4:02am | Edited 4:14am
Quoting 1candlepower
i am really amazed at strong influence of approval on yen strength. the last time "G people" got together and sang the yen cumbaya song, .uj went off on a tear like it's doing today. seems like only thing keeping boj from trashing the yen is a signal of approval of the international community... not so much anything internal to japan.
the bank of Israel's fischer and his ''cut em some slack" hit late est yesterday afternoon, and was followed by a gradually increasing chorus of commiseration leading the strong .uj move.

i believe this is the third time this has happened now... you could call it the yen commiseration trade ...everyone holds hands and says whatever you is okay boj, and the pair skyrockets.

if gartman is right and .uj goes to 150 in the next year of two, you might be able to profit from this effect many times before japan incinerates itself financially
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