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  • #787,321
  • Apr 14, 2013 10:34pm Apr 14, 2013 10:34pm
Quoting gatorinla
and if i did. and u lost 1/4%... what is the deal?
Well im sure you know best when to get out... cant say for sure about forex4india though....
besides i didnt lose anything... i made a 400 pip profit on CHFJPY from 98.5
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #787,322
  • Apr 14, 2013 10:37pm Apr 14, 2013 10:37pm
Going to bed and setting a BE +2 on my short @98 already +21

Nothing like a free trade to sleep like a baby. Might awake to more than what I have now

 

  1. The EUR/USD is under pressure and is testing hourly support at 1.3075/80
  2. The USD and JPY are broadly bid in "risk-off" Asia after weaker Chin data
  3. A break below 1.3070 targets Friday's low at 1.3036

Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #787,323
  • Apr 14, 2013 10:39pm Apr 14, 2013 10:39pm
Quoting gatorinla
its at 6275 atm.. if u want to risk the high with a s/o.. it has very good r/r.. under 6310.. conservative 200 pips.. for the 40 risk. unless you think the gbp is going up 800 more pips.
made a few myself, in the middle of boj easing.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #787,324
  • Apr 14, 2013 10:39pm Apr 14, 2013 10:39pm
Quoting mohan76
i think cost is between $1100 ~ 1300 depend , some annalist saying warned about brutal reattainment since 2011 , usually i don't trade gold as well , but today got burned edit i was wrong looks 900 ~ 1100 http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-0...mmodities.html
lol year after year these analysis are tuning down the cost of gold production, maybe gold is only worth 400USD? LOL who knows...

ALL i can say is to watch this chart....
Gold Stock Indices vs Gold Spot....
THeres a huge gap created at the back end of 2010, and this gap is gona close sooner or later.... either Gold stocks rallying or Gold Spot tanking... take your pick.

my prediction is that we are on a global economic recovery track so really investors would pull money out of gold to invest in equities and other stuff that generates returns higher than inflation.... especially folks in japan are about to face inflation... they will want to start investing in something with higher returns of more than 2% now ahahah

watch GOLD tank in general...
My view is gold spot to tank the most super bearish , and gold stock indices to remain in a resilient/bearish state

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We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #787,325
  • Apr 14, 2013 10:43pm Apr 14, 2013 10:43pm
Quoting gatorinla
if not for the boj.. i would be out on a limb saying we are at the top of a new/(old resuming) down trend here. not just a pullback.. with a sub 1876 target. but with boj.. i cant.. it has to develop in the other ways..
made a few here also at 3709 short... um
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #787,326
  • Apr 14, 2013 10:47pm Apr 14, 2013 10:47pm
Quoting fxtyrant
pls dont tell me hes made another bold call like he did with shorting the EURJPY on the day BOJ intervened lol...

look lets not talk abt the success ratio. I know what stupid calls you have given in the past and their success rates. you were calling for gbp at 1.58 when it was at 1.54 just for it to tank to 1.49. so keep your views to yourself
  • #787,327
  • Apr 14, 2013 10:53pm Apr 14, 2013 10:53pm
Quoting forex4india1
look lets not talk abt the success ratio. I know what stupid calls you have given in the past and their success rates. you were calling for gbp at 1.58 when it was at 1.54 just for it to tank to 1.49. so keep your views to yourself
well well... 1.54 is not far now... and yes 1.58 is still in the medium term ranges so the call is still valid...
besides now im saying theres 50/50 chance itll either go up to 1.58 or go down to retest low at 1.49.... btw its April... Start of 2nd quarter.... god knows What hapened to EURUSD and GBPUSD in the 2nd quarter of 2012.... oh yes... they rallied.... who knows perhaps the 2nd quarter of 2013 could be the same.
but we shall see in time....
who knows.... perhaps new BOE chairman Carney would be the catalyst of Renewed GBP strength...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #787,328
  • Apr 14, 2013 10:55pm Apr 14, 2013 10:55pm
Quoting fxtyrant
well well... 1.54 is not far now... and yes 1.58 is still in the medium term ranges so the call is still valid... but we shall see in time.... who knows.... perhaps new BOE chairman Carney would be the catalyst of Renewed GBP strength...
carney is a dovish person and it would be difficult for UK to recover with a high pound. so in his interest more QE is good for UK as inflation is also pretty low
  • #787,329
  • Apr 14, 2013 11:03pm Apr 14, 2013 11:03pm
Quoting forex4india1
carney is a dovish person and it would be difficult for UK to recover with a high pound. so in his interest more QE is good for UK as inflation is also pretty low
oh god.... u are SOOOOO correct.. yes QE only devalues a currency in the SHORT TERM!!! but in the Long term, QE causes inflation, and price inflationary encourages growth, hence a renewed chance for GBP strengh. nuff said....
time for you to go back to studying the books.....

go google up something called the J-Curve....

besides look at EUROPE, when DRAGHI said he'll do whatever it takes (for example printing shit loads of money) to keep the EURO alive, that ACTUALLY SPARKED the rally in EURUSD back in 2012!....

so yes CARNEY pls PUSH FOR MORE QE so UK coudl have a chance to recover.... only reason why GBPUSD is tanking so much from 1.63 is because MERVYN KING held back from QE.... he's been avoiding QE over the last quarter....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #787,330
  • Apr 14, 2013 11:04pm Apr 14, 2013 11:04pm
Quoting fxtyrant
well well... 1.54 is not far now... and yes 1.58 is still in the medium term ranges so the call is still valid... but we shall see in time.... who knows.... perhaps new BOE chairman Carney would be the catalyst of Renewed GBP strength...
perhaps, he will help your thought .. personally i trade pure pa. no indis little fundis... sometimes wrong, sometimes right. but with a sl..for the wrong times. i dont rely on what someone may or may not do..boj and bb will screw me at times. but hopefully i am not stupid enough to give them more then a few %.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #787,331
  • Apr 14, 2013 11:06pm Apr 14, 2013 11:06pm
Quoting fxtyrant
oh god.... u are SOOOOO correct.. yes QE only devalues a currency in the SHORT TERM!!! but in the Long term, QE causes inflation, and price inflationary encourages growth, hence a renewed chance for GBP strengh. nuff said.... time for you to go back to studying the books..... go google up something called the J-Curve.... besides look at EUROPE, when DRAGHI said he'll do whatever it takes (for example printing shit loads of money) to keep the EURO alive, that ACTUALLY SPARKED the rally in EURUSD back in 2012!.... so yes CARNEY pls PUSH FOR MORE QE...
ok worth noting. although my stoploss is at 1.54 on the shorts on low leverage. would not lose more if it were to turn. may be i will focus on the euro today and see what it does
  • #787,332
  • Apr 14, 2013 11:07pm Apr 14, 2013 11:07pm
Quoting gatorinla
perhaps, he will help your thought .. personally i trade pure pa. no indis little fundis... sometimes wrong, sometimes right. but with a sl..for the wrong times. i dont rely on what someone may or may not do..boj and bb will screw me at times. but hopefully i am not stupid enough to give them more then a few %.
Perhaps, but i find it difficult for a scalper who trades charts under 4 hour to change my view much on the Daily, Weekly and Monthly....
but who knows....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #787,333
  • Apr 14, 2013 11:07pm Apr 14, 2013 11:07pm
Quoting fxtyrant
oh god.... u are SOOOOO correct.. yes QE only devalues a currency in the SHORT TERM!!! but in the Long term, QE causes inflation, and price inflationary encourages growth, hence a renewed chance for GBP strengh. nuff said.... time for you to go back to studying the books..... go google up something called the J-Curve.... besides look at EUROPE, when DRAGHI said he'll do whatever it takes (for example printing shit loads of money) to keep the EURO alive, that ACTUALLY SPARKED the rally in EURUSD back in 2012!.... so yes CARNEY pls PUSH FOR MORE QE...
??? 1.49 . so it being in the charts long before is not a factor?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #787,334
  • Apr 14, 2013 11:10pm Apr 14, 2013 11:10pm
Quoting forex4india1
ok worth noting. although my stoploss is at 1.54 on the shorts on low leverage. would not lose more if it were to turn. may be i will focus on the euro today and see what it does
as for the GBPUSD, im not saying you are wrong, but not saying you are right either.... all im saying is GBPUSD looks stuck in this 1.5350/1.5400 for the foreseeable future.... it will create a tight enough range within the next few days for us to trade a breakout pattern.... but really could be a breakout downwards or a breakout upwards... im staying neutral with the GBPUSD....
thats why you caught my call for a long at 1.54 to catch the SWING HIGH to 1.58.... maybe a month ago? but the trade is still valid....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #787,335
  • Apr 14, 2013 11:14pm Apr 14, 2013 11:14pm
Quoting gatorinla
??? 1.49 . so it being in the charts long before is not a factor?
charts long before is definitely a factor, but the argument comes down to the Time frame you place your arguments....
if we talk about the Monthly chart? which a trade could take maybe years to develop, for me GBPUSD looking at monthly chart... if monthly manages to close back below 1.5300, 1.4500 is probable in the charts

but since forex4india is talking bout charts tf under daily... we cant discard the fact that theres still possibility of GBPUSD going to retest 1.57/1.58 before the next leg down....
and if we manage to get up to 1.58 area im definitely gona scale in some shorts on the GBPUSD.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #787,336
  • Edited 11:35pm Apr 14, 2013 11:21pm | Edited 11:35pm
Morning,

so, here you can observe holes in my entry system, as my limit order failed again for 0,5%. Classics "trust to analysis too much", market moves more , should have set SL below Daily low cap 3058. But maybe we going down.

Anyway, trying small long here @,308 again, SL 3055.

T

Quoting Tom_D_Trader
So currently attempting small long at ,3092. I hope I am going to get chance to load on Asia, or at start of LO. edit: SL 3067.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #787,337
  • Apr 14, 2013 11:22pm Apr 14, 2013 11:22pm
Quoting fxtyrant
charts long before is definitely a factor, but the argument comes down to the Time frame you place your arguments.... if we talk about the Monthly chart? which a trade could take maybe years to develop, for me GBPUSD looking at monthly chart... if monthly manages to close back below 1.5300, 1.4500 is probable in the charts but since forex4india is talking bout charts tf under daily... we cant discard the fact that theres still possibility of GBPUSD going to retest 1.57/1.58 before the next leg down.... and if we manage to get up to 1.58 area...
1.5422 is 38.1% retracement of 1.6379 to 1.4830. if this level is breached I have 1.5604 and 1.5778. these are the levels as far as monthly goes
  • #787,338
  • Apr 14, 2013 11:27pm Apr 14, 2013 11:27pm
Quoting forex4india1
1.5422 is 38.1% retracement of 1.6379 to 1.4830. if this level is breached I have 1.5604 and 1.5778. these are the levels as far as monthly goes
see? dont discard 1.58 area just yet dude....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #787,339
  • Apr 14, 2013 11:29pm Apr 14, 2013 11:29pm
Quoting fxtyrant
see? dont discard 1.58 area just yet dude....

no I am not but then again what would be the factors which would cause gbp to reach there
  • #787,340
  • Apr 14, 2013 11:37pm Apr 14, 2013 11:37pm
HS setup possible on 4h.
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