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EURUSD

  • #778,961
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:30am Mar 27, 2013 8:30am
Quoting Ken A
Was expecting a touch of new low. 119.80 the mid of Monthly Support and Monthly Pivot.

Hhhmmm... OK, it does make sense but will close just above the daily low the latest shorts... I need my daily dose of Sarah Vandella, am losing steam...
  • #778,962
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:31am Mar 27, 2013 8:31am
Quoting MaxDoom
short EJ @ 120.49 looking to see a test of the low
well I did say there is no meaningful support didn't I and shortly after that it touched 120.06. I think a rebound till 120.71 is still valid
  • #778,963
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:34am Mar 27, 2013 8:34am
Quoting math_GB
Hhhmmm... OK, it does make sense but will close just above the daily low the latest shorts... I need my daily dose of Sarah Vandella, am losing steam...
119.80 still a valid target as E/U is going to make new lows
  • #778,964
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:37am Mar 27, 2013 8:37am
Quoting Ken A
119.80 still a valid target as E/U is going to make new lows
Closed @120.20, I told you I am exhausted... Waiting for the data...
  • #778,965
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:39am Mar 27, 2013 8:39am
Just a little bit lower for EU before there's a possible serious move higher. Wasn't quite cooked yet before.
  • #778,966
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:39am Mar 27, 2013 8:39am
Quoting Ken A
119.80 still a valid target as E/U is going to make new lows
120.71 rebound is still valid. if not touched it will come down to 119.80 but that is just 50 pips from here. so would like if it rebounds from here
  • #778,967
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:40am Mar 27, 2013 8:40am
Quoting doggette
Just a little bit lower for EU before there's a possible serious move higher. Wasn't quite cooked yet before.
I am watching 1.2740 as the last line of defence...
  • #778,968
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:41am Mar 27, 2013 8:41am
I don't know how relevant it could be but, on estimating the bottom of this down-leg for EUR, I noticed that the USD index is rising towards 83.60 which could be a good turning point (83.60-83.65 was a peak hit a couple of times in August & May last year).


?
  • #778,969
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:42am Mar 27, 2013 8:42am
Quoting math_GB
I am watching 1.2740 as the last line of defence...
I'm waiting for 83.30 in USDX, it's still acting as a magnet, needs to be hit before EU can go anywhere
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDXWeekly.png Size: 55 KB
  • #778,970
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:42am Mar 27, 2013 8:42am
long in 1.2779...but market still in down move ....any possibility to retrace level 1.2900....
  • #778,971
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:45am Mar 27, 2013 8:45am
long 2772. full lots now.
looking for investors . pm me
  • #778,972
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:47am Mar 27, 2013 8:47am
83.27... is it high enough. Let's try a long 2771, half of normal position. sl 2734
  • #778,973
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:48am Mar 27, 2013 8:48am
Quoting Ken A
50 pip is nothing for E/J
rebound and test of resistance has to come for continued weakness. I am not new to this pair. so I know 50 pips is nothing.
  • #778,974
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:50am Mar 27, 2013 8:50am
Quoting doggette
83.27... is it high enough. Let's try a long 2771, half of normal position. sl 2734
Hehehe obviously not
  • #778,975
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:53am Mar 27, 2013 8:53am
eur/jpy approaching 120.71. fasten your seat belts. if crash landing 120.06
  • #778,976
  • Mar 27, 2013 8:59am Mar 27, 2013 8:59am
From FX Crunch



After the break to a new 4 month low and a break of support at 1.2805, EUR/USD extends its falls and is already challenging the next support line, which is only minor.
The pair is pressured by the uncertainty in Cyprus, as well as a few other negative headlines and after breaking lower, the move accelerated.
Minor support appears at 1.2750, where the pair found support back in early September. More support is found at 1.27 and 1.2660.
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #778,977
  • Mar 27, 2013 9:01am Mar 27, 2013 9:01am
Pending Home Sales m/m -0.4% vs. -0.3% expected, 4.5% prior
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #778,978
  • Mar 27, 2013 9:02am Mar 27, 2013 9:02am
The 4H close Solid below Monthly S1 and u guys keep buying Euro ?
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #778,979
  • Mar 27, 2013 9:02am Mar 27, 2013 9:02am

  1. 1.2800 breach anticipated, market not short downside barriers/vanillas
  2. Vols higher since Cyprus crisis, remain supported but not running away
  3. 1wk 9.0 ahead of long weekend, gains tomorrow on ECB and Fri on NFP
  4. 1mth peaked 9.8 early Mon vs 7.85 pre Cyprus and trades 9.0-9.25 today
  5. 3mth traded 9.1-9.25 today from 8.0 pre Cyprus, 1yr 9.45 from 8.8
  6. Potential to buy vols on dips, but gains likely to be orderly as EUR weakens

Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #778,980
  • Mar 27, 2013 9:03am Mar 27, 2013 9:03am
the latter looks pretty neat. moving another channel below, the spike up during italy election got it to move back up a channel. but moved right back below again. this week's open, the lows on the last 8 hours of that gap down 2 weeks ago, are nicely lined up at the boundary.

nevermind... I've been enjoying this
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