EURUSD | Page 38807 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Related Instruments

EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Similar Threads

MT4: how to change "EURUSD" to "#EURUSD"? 3 replies

Re: EurUsd short term 15 replies

did oanda just drop its spread for eurusd to 1 pip? 11 replies

EA for multiple lot limit order for EURUSD 0 replies

NFP nice bump up on EURUSD 2 replies

Attachments: EURUSD
Exit Attachments

EURUSD

  • #776,121
  • Mar 21, 2013 2:47pm Mar 21, 2013 2:47pm
Quoting math_GB
Your signature colour made me somewhat blind...
]

i will change it sorry
focus while relaxed to see better
  • #776,122
  • Mar 21, 2013 2:47pm Mar 21, 2013 2:47pm
Quoting MaxDoom
It will have to breach 2927 first which has been difficult all day
2900 a 2906 was nice buying 10 candela up than test half if valid and now up...this is what I see...might be wrong ... just guessing
  • #776,123
  • Mar 21, 2013 2:50pm Mar 21, 2013 2:50pm
Quoting math_GB
Indeed funny statement, " Due to Olympics no budget". That is hilarious. I can't blame Putin tough, he has all the right to make fun of the situation...
Lack of organization on the Cypriots part constitute no emergency on the Russians part.

The Russian account holders won't lose their money. You don't exactly want to mess with these people.

And Putin either knows something we don't or he sees what will happen;

 

  1. For Germany, the cost of bailing Cyprus out is less than what a default or worse, leaving the zone would be.
  2. Germany will do everything it can to implement fiscal discipline. But in the end, they will pick up the tab.

Not all sins are created equal
  • #776,124
  • Mar 21, 2013 2:55pm Mar 21, 2013 2:55pm
Quoting Mad Russian
.......... It is well known that the Soviet Union has provided significant support to half the world for ideological reasons, which, together with the fall in oil prices eventually undermine its economy. ...........
It is well known that Soviet Union provided opression and exploitation half the world for own sellfish reasons - this forum is not about a politics but as a Polish guy my blood just boiled....you better learn the history son - REAL history not a propaganda that been poured in your head since you were a kid.
swing it!
  • #776,125
  • Mar 21, 2013 2:56pm Mar 21, 2013 2:56pm
Quoting Mad Russian
According to Greek media, Cyprus intends to seek the assistance of Patriarch Kirill to the negotiations on the financial support. The financial situation of the island nation to say the poor.

Perhaps investors Cypriot banks at the moment avoided losses. However, the situation is very complicated. Confidence in the banking system of the island eroded. scale capital flight seems almost inevitable and can only be stopped by administrative methods. With the amount of financial assistance needed to Cyprus while far below Greece. In the market say...
Your text is filled with misguided and incorrect statements. Southern Cyprus is Orthodox - at least 90% I don,'t know the exact percentage - and they are Xtian not Muslims. Russia never helped any Muslims in their history for nothing, they helped Ottoman Empire/Turkey after the I. World War due to the fact Russia needed a channel to the Mediterrenean and did not want to leave the control of Anatolia to English and French.

As you say, there was help time to time but understandably this was due to some benefits Russians disn't want to miss.

But as far as I know apart from the World wars, Russians had their biggest wars with Ottoman Turks and Muslims who are still living under their border.
  • #776,126
  • Mar 21, 2013 2:56pm Mar 21, 2013 2:56pm
Quoting hlina9
2900 a 2906 was nice buying 10 candela up than test half if valid and now up...this is what I see...might be wrong ... just guessing
this was weird ....totally wrong
  • #776,127
  • Mar 21, 2013 2:57pm Mar 21, 2013 2:57pm
Quoting Jay Walker
Read between the lines. It says f@#k you Cyprus, signed: Russia.
Last years I saw lots of Russian businessmen bouhgt their credit obligations with a Very big discounts..
So why Russian government should enter the deal re Cyprus at the begining
  • #776,128
  • Mar 21, 2013 2:58pm Mar 21, 2013 2:58pm
Something to think about. These calls called the down trend almost to the day....

In last night's weekly missive the cycle gurus forecast that the short term EUR/USD downtrend is over - or will be very soon. "The cycles argue the first half of April should see the European currencies strengthen" they say quite confidently ... "EUR/USD may have just formed the medium-term low expected around this time, but it is more likely the low is reached between Friday (tomorrow) and early next week. There is a risk it spikes to as low as 1.2725 before bottoming, but we are starting to doubt it will prove that weak"

Following this low the euro should turn higher. Now, it will only take a close above 1.3020 to turn the outlook positive" Our stuff tends to concur with the cycle gurus; as we noted last week the day before a 2 big fig pull back in EUR/USD, 1.2910/60 was oversold for 8 of the 15 components M/A of our rudimentary M/A model between 1.2910/60; spot bottomed at 1.2911 and was paid 1.3107 within 48 hours. This week our model shows 10 of 15 components are oversold between 1.2834/88 and with the exception of one outlier (1.2773) everything from 24-hrs to 77 days was oversold. Only 4 components fell outside of that, all long term- 100-days thru 55 weeks. This tells us a pull back is on the cards and 1.3100/1.3200 looks like the pullback area with an outside shot at 1.3270. Our blended model flattens out at between 1.3180/1.3240 (-1 to +1) and is extremely vulnerable to a pullback being the maximum 15 units EUR/USD short. Ultra-short term model turns fully long 1.2945, short term model 1.2995, medium term 1.3240. This tells us that a good sized pullback is in the offing. If they're right and we break above 1.3020, the cycle gurus say "The euro is then headed higher into the week of April 8 or the following week and our target for this up-move will become the 1.3225 area." This handily dove-tails in with our analysis above and we believe is the more likely scenario. The cycle gurus do caution however "There is a risk the strength expected into the middle of April proves aggressive, which would signal the start of a sustained rally lasting through the fall, but at this point it is our less likely scenario." Before anyone gets too carried away on the possibility of impending EUR/USD strength they have further comments re medium term prospects "Provided this target area holds (1.3225) the downtrend will resume into early May and this overall weakness could last up to several months longer. Our further objective for the downtrend is the 1.2425 area.". So, book some profits, look for a pop to fade is the basic strategy. Our black box friend Brian told us this AM "Thought this interests you Peter. today's 50 and 100 day average targets are exactly the same at 1.3222, the 253 day just turned negative, barely. We are wildly oversold, I see 3000 tomorrow, hopefully". So three separate analyses, similar pullback conclusions - food for thought.
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #776,129
  • Mar 21, 2013 3:01pm Mar 21, 2013 3:01pm
Quoting Jay Walker
Lack of organization on the Cypriots part constitute no emergency on the Russians part.

The Russian account holders won't lose their money. You don't exactly want to mess with these people.

And Putin either knows something we don't or he sees what will happen;

 

  1. For Germany, the cost of bailing Cyprus out is less than what a default or worse, leaving the zone would be.
  2. Germany will do everything it can to implement fiscal discipline. But in the end, they will pick up the tab.

What I am having difficulty to understand is, the amount in question is not a signnificant, why do they want to piss off Russians for nothing...? Is it worth the trouble..? There are surely things we don't know... EU may be trying to divert the attention of the investors from the BIG & FAT "ITALY and SPAIN" debt problems to a little tiny problem. I dunno...
  • #776,130
  • Mar 21, 2013 3:02pm Mar 21, 2013 3:02pm
Quoting EuroTraderJD
Something to think about. These calls called the down trend almost to the day....

......
This would work if Cypress Hill is "sorted" and sell in May and go away is on the table, so I wouldn't be suprised to see bullish April just to dumb all of it in May - could be good scenario.
swing it!
  • #776,131
  • Mar 21, 2013 3:06pm Mar 21, 2013 3:06pm
Quoting tomspin
This would work if Cypress Hill is "sorted" and sell in May and go away is on the table, so I wouldn't be suprised to see bullish April just to dumb all of it in May - could be good scenario.
This is what I have been saying for months...! We shall see if we live long enough... First things first tough, I need to see a close above 1.3060s end of March...
  • #776,132
  • Mar 21, 2013 3:07pm Mar 21, 2013 3:07pm
Quoting tomspin
This would work if Cypress Hill is "sorted" and sell in May and go away is on the table, so I wouldn't be suprised to see bullish April just to dumb all of it in May - could be good scenario.
Agreed. The only reason I posted this was because these Cycle Gurus as they are called nailed the sell off almost to the day a while back. Just a FYI to file away.
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #776,133
  • Mar 21, 2013 3:08pm Mar 21, 2013 3:08pm
Here are two options. The first is that the Cypriot depositors run in this scheme," - stated his position Igor Dombrovan , Managing Director "Saxo Bank" . He said (listen to the program) in the "bottom line" on Finam FM. According to him, the first option relates to the fact that there is such an assessment, which says that in order to overcome the debt that is in the world, will have to say goodbye to 30% of deposits and the general welfare. Cyprus has been chosen - the perfect site for obkalyvaniya, as it had developed enormously banking sector, the economy is burdened by debt and the national debt is also low. "I would look deeper. Fact that the banking sector of Cyprus is the GDP of the three countries: Iceland, Ireland, and most of Cyprus",
Quoting math_GB
What I am having difficulty to understand is, the amount in question is not a signnificant, why do they want to piss off Russians for nothing...? Is it worth the trouble..? There are surely things we don't know... EU may be trying to divert the attention of the investors from the BIG & FAT "ITALY and SPAIN" debt problems to a little tiny problem. I dunno...
  • #776,134
  • Mar 21, 2013 3:08pm Mar 21, 2013 3:08pm
Speaking about the second option, look at what is happening in Cyprus, he said that it is worth talking about some sort of desire of politicians to justify what they have done before, that is to "print money and stifle credit market excess liquidity."
"They had to choose a small area to show what will happen if they stop doing their business," - said the expert.
Quoting math_GB
This is what I have been saying for months...! We shall see if we live long enough... First things first tough, I need to see a close above 1.3060s end of March...
  • #776,135
  • Mar 21, 2013 3:09pm Mar 21, 2013 3:09pm
Their TA doesnt take into account the Sh*t meeting Fan. Cyprus and Italy are wildcards not counted their soup.
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #776,136
  • Mar 21, 2013 3:14pm Mar 21, 2013 3:14pm
Quoting EuroTraderJD
Their TA doesnt take into account the Sh*t meeting Fan. Cyprus and Italy are wildcards not counted their soup.
That is why I never understand how anybody can give swing targets without taking FA into consideration - sure it is valid from the supply and demand point of view - but sudden newsflash can change it all very quickly.
swing it!
  • #776,137
  • Edited 3:36pm Mar 21, 2013 3:21pm | Edited 3:36pm
Quoting Mad Russian
Here are two options. The first is that the Cypriot depositors run in this scheme," - stated his position Igor Dombrovan , Managing Director "Saxo Bank" . He said (listen to the program) in the "bottom line" on Finam FM. According to him, the first option relates to the fact that there is such an assessment, which says that in order to overcome the debt that is in the world, will have to say goodbye to 30% of deposits and the general welfare. Cyprus has been chosen - the perfect site for obkalyvaniya, as it had developed enormously banking...
Scaring "money" is a dangerous game and no one can estimate the damage it would do to the world economy and bear in mind, wealth always creates a new location where it will feel safe.

What the analyst is imposing may be true but a stupid act since the test area is holding deposits of non-EU nationals mostly who happen to be the key power of energy and peace in the eastern world. The equations may change dramatically while we still have non-rest in middle east, fear of Iran and crazy North Koreans.

If there will be a test, I would expect it to happen in a better spot say Portugal or Greece, not where Russians deposited their billions...!
  • #776,138
  • Mar 21, 2013 3:24pm Mar 21, 2013 3:24pm
Quoting tomspin
That is why I never understand how anybody can give swing targets without taking FA into consideration - sure it is valid from the supply and demand point of view - but sudden newsflash can change it all very quickly.
Don't you remember the good old days where we could have sweet swing trades each day...? Aaahh summer of 2011, sweet memories... Now I feel like a hit-man, 20 pips in profit and I am like "Should I close? Should I close...? - OK, closed"
  • #776,139
  • Mar 21, 2013 3:26pm Mar 21, 2013 3:26pm
Quoting math_GB
This is what I have been saying for months...! We shall see if we live long enough... First things first tough, I need to see a close above 1.3060s end of March...
I believe tom we might see a test of 2994
  • #776,140
  • Mar 21, 2013 3:26pm Mar 21, 2013 3:26pm
Quoting tomspin
That is why I never understand how anybody can give swing targets without taking FA into consideration - sure it is valid from the supply and demand point of view - but sudden newsflash can change it all very quickly.
Agreed
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
527 traders viewing now, 2 are registered:
F.g
,
Gecco8