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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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EurAnalysis

  • #66,441
  • Mar 20, 2013 12:24pm Mar 20, 2013 12:24pm
Quoting EuroTraderJD
Yes you are correct.

I have been missing out on the volatility news creates because I don't know how to trade it. Question (to you or any trader): How do you trade volatile news or what are some strategies? I know even the volatility itself is not certain, but I feel like there should be a method to approach these events. I would expect a breakout or rejection corresponding with some S/R and any significant move may even create new S/R. Is there an initial and post reaction of sorts? (example: the market reacts 50 pips one way only to change it's mind minutes later and dive the other way 200 pips.).
Thanks and happy hunting!
Do what you are afraid to do -Emerson
  • #66,442
  • Mar 20, 2013 2:15pm Mar 20, 2013 2:15pm
Quoting Vtmn
soo... whats next? 2850 or 3050
and the winner is: 2950!
How to Win at Sports Betting: DON'T DO IT!
  • #66,443
  • Mar 20, 2013 2:31pm Mar 20, 2013 2:31pm
Quoting Pip_Warrior
I have been missing out on the volatility news creates because I don't know how to trade it. Question (to you or any trader): How do you trade volatile news or what are some strategies? I know even the volatility itself is not certain, but I feel like there should be a method to approach these events. I would expect a breakout or rejection corresponding with some S/R and any significant move may even create new S/R. Is there an initial and post reaction of sorts? (example: the market reacts 50 pips one way only to change it's mind minutes later...
The best solution I have found (and I have got burned) is to stand down for 10 minutes and watch the 5 min candles. If you get 2 going the same way then the trend is your friend. Also dont trade 10-15 minutes before the event. Traders are jocking their horses....so to speak.

Most knee jerk reactions are wrong unless the news is over whelming in one bias or another. Such as a rate cut/hike. big employment miss ect.

I have seen times when there is a huge spike right before (seconds) the announcement. To me this means someone got tipped off.

I gambled today and jumped in @ 61 when the PA broke above the 5 SMA. was up as much as 15+ pips. You have to be quick to get out during a spike. Ms Market giveth and Ms Market taketh away...
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #66,444
  • Mar 20, 2013 4:23pm Mar 20, 2013 4:23pm
As I said that I would I called PipTrapper this morning and I left him a message to call me. I have not had a reply as yet.

I will send him an email and see if he answers me. I will keep you informed.

That is it for now and We shall see what happens.

Good evening all.

,
  • #66,445
  • Mar 20, 2013 5:29pm Mar 20, 2013 5:29pm
Quoting CurrencyMan
As I said that I would I called PipTrapper this morning and I left him a message to call me. I have not had a reply as yet.

I will send him an email and see if he answers me. I will keep you informed.

That is it for now and We shall see what happens.

Good evening all.

,
Thank you CM for your efforts. It is unlike PT not to be on his blog or his forum.
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #66,446
  • Mar 21, 2013 9:34am Mar 21, 2013 9:34am
Quoting fibstalker
Sisse,
You are very welcome, but, please, show us something, instead of critizing....
Not going to lose time.
Dear Stalker,

it is quite hard to maintain good profile in internet community, especially when it comes to trading community, where emotions are involved. Please, show some respect to one of the most valuable participants here. You definitely aint loosing time while reading Sisses posts, he is always trying to help and expand your analysis. Fundamental analysis of the market is such a complex science, that if you want someone just to "throw you a bone" and tell you what is happening in three lines of text, you aint going to get that. Every man has his own knowledge and understanding of underlying principles which move the market. Some of them are based in economic theory and are the same for everyone, but thats not the point. Point is, that in FF, people who actually understand fundamental analysis can share only small part of their thoughts. You simply cant write all your life experience in a line of text. They just present one angle of view, or correct somebody elses angle of view, to move on with analysis. To say "show us something" shows lack of honor to knowledge, as well as lack of patience. Fundamental analysis aint fast and cant be written in few lines. I hope you understand and dont take it as offence, but please try to read, more than compete.

T
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #66,447
  • Mar 21, 2013 4:49pm Mar 21, 2013 4:49pm
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Dear Stalker,

it is quite hard to maintain good profile in internet community, especially when it comes to trading community, where emotions are involved. Please, show some respect to one of the most valuable participants here. You definitely aint loosing time while reading Sisses posts, he is always trying to help and expand your analysis. Fundamental analysis of the market is such a complex science, that if you want someone just to "throw you a bone" and tell you what is happening in three lines of text, you aint going to get that. Every...
Hello How are you doing ?

Bye for now.
  • #66,448
  • Mar 21, 2013 6:48pm Mar 21, 2013 6:48pm
cyprus can stop the markets for a week .... I believe that the euro will have even a very bad year ahead ....
I may be mistaken opinion is worth what it's worth .... but failed banks .. 20% unemployment in Spain, Portugal, etc...ummmm !?
who will sustain the economy of the poorest countries in the eurozone....? Germany!!!?
  • #66,449
  • Mar 21, 2013 7:17pm Mar 21, 2013 7:17pm
Quoting chess king
cyprus can stop the markets for a week .... I believe that the euro will have even a very bad year ahead ....
I may be mistaken opinion is worth what it's worth .... but failed banks .. 20% unemployment in Spain, Portugal, etc...ummmm !?
who will sustain the economy of the poorest countries in the eurozone....? Germany!!!?
The Risk is the Unknown.

I agree with you. Nice to see you post here on our quiet thread.

Let's bring things back to life while we await the return of PipTrapper.

Bank holiday in Cyprus is not making Putin happy. Maybe they will rescue the banks to shove it in the face of the IMF and it will be very revealing to see the solution.

There is hardball going on in the back rooms and this time Goldman Saxs will not get the spoils. Where is Paulson now ?

Buying Gold and storing it somewhere overseas.

We live in fascinating times.

Go to WWW.JSMINESET.COM to be informed without the SPIN or the BS from the FED.
  • #66,450
  • Mar 22, 2013 10:20pm Mar 22, 2013 10:20pm
Cyprus is expected to make a dramatic U-turn on Saturday to avert the imminent threat of financial meltdown, having signaled it is willing to tax big savers in its stricken banks to clinch a bailout from the European Union.

The island's partners in the 17-nation euro zone scheduled a meeting for Sunday in Brussels, in a strong sign they believe a solution is near.
As hundreds of demonstrators faced off with riot police outside parliament late into Friday night, lawmakers inside voted to nationalize pension funds, pool state assets for a bond issue and peel good assets from bad in stricken banks.

Officials said a deal was imminent to raise 5.8 billion euros demanded by the EU in return for a 10 billion euro ($13.00 billion) lifeline, including some kind of levy on bank deposits, which could be voted on as soon as Saturday.

Without a deal by Monday, the European Central Bank has threatened to cut off cash for Cypriot banks, spelling certain collapse and possible ejection from the euro.
  • #66,451
  • Mar 24, 2013 12:41am Mar 24, 2013 12:41am
Getting a bit quite in here...

Updating neural s-range tracker sheet and screen shot updated with the last projection.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eucast.jpg Size: 480 KB


Attached File(s)
File Type: xlsx eucast.xlsx   17 KB | 247 downloads
  • #66,452
  • Mar 24, 2013 3:52pm Mar 24, 2013 3:52pm
We agree and I will start posting here everyday until PipTrapper returns.

Please keep posting and contributing.

This should be a very interesting week with ALL Eyes on Cyprus and the Troika and the Russians.
  • #66,453
  • Mar 24, 2013 4:26pm Mar 24, 2013 4:26pm
Neural s-range for week 25 Mar 2013

1.2937 - 1.3000
  • #66,454
  • Mar 24, 2013 4:53pm Mar 24, 2013 4:53pm
Quoting msood
Neural s-range for week 25 Mar 2013

1.2937 - 1.3000
The system has been updated to (hopefully) provide a better and wider range to trade after close of the first half hour and one hour candles of the week start. Consequently, if I do get a wider range within the hour of week open I will post this. This will override the previous one posted for the current week. So here goes:

EURUSD neural s-range for week 25 Mar:

1.2939 - 1.3027
  • #66,455
  • Mar 24, 2013 8:02pm Mar 24, 2013 8:02pm
went long @ 29

booked +41 on the surge.
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #66,456
  • Mar 25, 2013 5:21am Mar 25, 2013 5:21am
Wakey Wakey, Rise and Shine

Green Pips to ya'll
How to Win at Sports Betting: DON'T DO IT!
  • #66,457
  • Mar 25, 2013 5:56am Mar 25, 2013 5:56am
Quoting Vtmn
Wakey Wakey, Rise and Shine

Green Pips to ya'll
Good Morning

Watch how US Bonds react to Risk Off if Equity markets in the USA go up. Gold also can be a barometer because of the banking disaster in Cyprus. Please read the information posted at WWW.JSMINESET.COM in order to really understand what will happen as Money starts to FLOW out of Europe and especially Greece, Spain and Italy.

This will be a very exciting week.

Trade safe and use a good trade plan.

My bias for EUR/USD is down however short term I will watch Price Action and unfolding events.

Risk On is an Illusion since most people including the so called experts on CNBC think ALL is Well when ALL is NOT AT All.

Have a good day and Trade wisely.
  • #66,458
  • Mar 25, 2013 5:59am Mar 25, 2013 5:59am
Hi folks
am i correct in saying eu 1.30 is correction from wave 5 ,and now continuation of dollar strength.
Regards.
Cross
  • #66,459
  • Mar 25, 2013 7:07am Mar 25, 2013 7:07am
Still holding my short @ 10 from eariler this AM. 10M 5 SMA is down and 10M 15 SMA rolling over.

CNBC should be moved to the Comedy Central channel.
Trade smaller than rational because the market is irrational...
  • #66,460
  • Mar 25, 2013 9:34am Mar 25, 2013 9:34am
http://www.hindecapital.com/attachme...ly'_So.pdf

Fascinating Reading. My view is that the worst is now ahead for EUR/USD. Watch the Bond Yields in Spain Greece and Italy. See if Money starts flowing into Gold.

Follow the latest developments at least once a day on WWW.JSMINESET.COM

We are now in Uncharted Waters and MONEY FLOW will determine where EUR/USD goes as the Russians and others get out of Dodge before the IMF (USA) and the ECB (Europe Bankers) steal more money from Bank Depositors who never authorized anyone to gamble with their money and KEEP the Profits and have them pay for the Losses.

All feedback on my post is encouraged AND WELCOME.

We LIVE IN INTERESTING TIMES AS THE FED and ECB AND JAPAN PRINT AWAY AS Nero Fiddles and Rome Burns.

In present times I say as Bernake prints and everyone else follows as all currencies race to the bottom as Gold no persons debt continues to hold value.
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