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  • #767,621
  • Mar 5, 2013 4:56pm Mar 5, 2013 4:56pm
Quoting Kanzler
Venezuelan dictator?
Yes ! I think so. i have googled and found the same.
  • #767,622
  • Mar 5, 2013 4:59pm Mar 5, 2013 4:59pm
Thats what I saw in the morning. Right now I am short biased with chances of the real 120 pip thrust not developing until lower. However for now we have to assume that we are going 120 pip down based on ratios to 3076-120 = 2956.

The 120 pip is not a slow move, its a fast move like the other 2 that I have mentioned

Quoting msetai
so are you saying if 3076 is broken we are headed up for a bit? and if it cant break it then expect a ~120pip drop?
  • #767,623
  • Mar 5, 2013 5:00pm Mar 5, 2013 5:00pm
Quoting Ken A
Probably will impact investment on South Korea. Beyond that, I can't see anything.
What, how?
Not all sins are created equal
  • #767,624
  • Mar 5, 2013 5:00pm Mar 5, 2013 5:00pm
Quoting Ken A
I was never bearish on E/J since Oct 2012 until two weeks ago they pushed it down -640 pips in one stroke. Still it's the best R:R to short with tight SL and another reason is U/J was capped below 94.00.

This is more or less to long AUD/USD at 1.0116.


Attachment

Eh what the hell it is a decent ratio. Short.

Quoting Qayas
Yes ! I think so. i have googled and found the same.
  • #767,625
  • Mar 5, 2013 5:06pm Mar 5, 2013 5:06pm
Quoting tomspin
Aussie is my current hero, thought we hit the bottom about 1,0285 area (balanced COT) but we saw further sell off down to 1,0116 imo due to interest rate decision and now we should be on our way up, no cuts, good levels and carrie trade at its best, should be bullish from now for some time.
hey bro long time no see

not disagreeing with your thoughts on AU, but need be little cautious with her, looking either 4 or 12hr charts can see she been stuck in a 500 pip range since mid july last year, the "bottom" rejection you mention was the bears break of range, and accordingly the bulls stepped in with power and this 120pip bounce has been very quick, which isnt unusual for this girl, bull moves are always quick almost vertical, this has a lot to do with the swap componant, 100 of those pips is back inside the range
However pa is still below the breached daily rising tl, if shee keeps rrising that tl retest will be worth watching, if bears can rebreak the range and then make a new low <0114, I think they will be train driver, "south"

I have posted the relevant charts for her present situation
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1362450087http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1362451180
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  • #767,626
  • Mar 5, 2013 5:09pm Mar 5, 2013 5:09pm
i see it going up fist target 1.311 where it ll finish first leg of correction a of wave b to the upside
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eur12.gif Size: 24 KB
  • #767,627
  • Mar 5, 2013 5:13pm Mar 5, 2013 5:13pm
Quoting Jay Walker
What, how?
He was close with Kim and with his death one socialist power socialist has gone? Impact on Valenzuela not sure as the oil fields were nationalized. Perhaps will have to wait who is replacing him and his/her political stance.
  • #767,628
  • Mar 5, 2013 5:15pm Mar 5, 2013 5:15pm
Quoting Ken A
He was close with Kim and with his death one socialist power socialist has gone? Impact on Valenzuela not sure as the oil fields were nationalized. Perhaps will have to wait who is replacing him and his/her political stance.
Wasn't he better buds with Fidel? Who ironically in his poor health and old age is still ticking...
  • #767,629
  • Mar 5, 2013 5:20pm Mar 5, 2013 5:20pm
Quoting Kanzler
Wasn't he better buds with Fidel? Who ironically in his poor health and old age is still ticking...
They all are buddies for the obvious reasons.

Cat and dog don't mix well unless the circus cat and dog.
  • #767,630
  • Mar 5, 2013 5:21pm Mar 5, 2013 5:21pm
Quoting KiwiTrada
hey bro long time no see

not disagreeing with your thoughts on AU, but need be little cautious with her, looking either 4 or 12hr charts can see she been stuck in a 500 pip range since mid july last year, the "bottom" rejection you mention was the bears break of range, and accordingly the bulls stepped in with power and this 120pip bounce has been very quick, which isnt unusual for this girl, bull moves are always quick almost vertical, this has a lot to do with the swap componant, 100 of those pips is back inside the range
However pa is...

this is another view AU 4hr

shows her ground through the 50sma right now retesting the falling tl with one my monthly levels just above, the blue rising tl is the daily if pa can keep climbing watching the falling 200sma and the rising daily tl possibly as merging, could be an interesting battle
for now watching tl test
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Aussie 4hr 6 3 2013.png Size: 129 KB
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  • #767,631
  • Mar 5, 2013 5:24pm Mar 5, 2013 5:24pm
Quoting gatorinla
here we are. and here is where we stopped last week. the month and levels are still very bearish. the one marked 2013 open is actually 2012 open. last weeks low. i fu.. a possible s of bull weakness near/at 3197 may happen at some point. if we get there again. maybe with a bounce from 2894/2909 ish..

ey also closed the month under 121.30.. lower box
gee.. we didn't move. i wonder why...

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1362380774http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1362380790
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #767,632
  • Mar 5, 2013 5:25pm Mar 5, 2013 5:25pm
Quoting Ken A
He was close with Kim and with his death one socialist power socialist has gone? Impact on Valenzuela not sure as the oil fields were nationalized. Perhaps will have to wait who is replacing him and his/her political stance.
Yeah but Kim runs NORTH Korea when you said south. That's what got me confused.
Not all sins are created equal
  • #767,633
  • Mar 5, 2013 5:36pm Mar 5, 2013 5:36pm
looking to short the aj 95.87....95.838 was a target. aj is indicative of markets and commodities.. = eu
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #767,634
  • Mar 5, 2013 5:41pm Mar 5, 2013 5:41pm
Quoting KiwiTrada
hey bro long time no see

not disagreeing with your thoughts on AU, but need be little cautious with her, looking either 4 or 12hr charts can see she been stuck in a 500 pip range since mid july last year, the "bottom" rejection you mention was the bears break of range, and accordingly the bulls stepped in with power and this 120pip bounce has been very quick, which isnt unusual for this girl, bull moves are always quick almost vertical, this has a lot to do with the swap componant, 100 of those pips is back inside the range
However...
Hey Kiwi
Very valid points, love the charts, I can see you change your theme a bit
Got exactly the same trendline as you and I am aware of a breach, but this thing happen Nison call it "crack & snap",
I am totally crap at explaining things I lack writing skills but I basically believe that aussie was pretty cheap and as soon as there was no cut decision, big boys jumped in.
Will be watching my monthly PP around 1,0285 what happen there PA wise as FA part is done for now imo. If there is breach, then back down to pivot, then buying we will see 1,06xxx imo as the range continue, This weekly close will be imp
If we fail to close the week above 1,0285 I would close longs and flip the swith just like that
Chart attached, CCI rarely fails me at weekly and at current levels I think we have a good chance to go further up.
Take care buddy

http://s17.postimage.org/urm1o7vlr/aussie.gif
image sharing
swing it!
  • #767,635
  • Mar 5, 2013 5:45pm Mar 5, 2013 5:45pm
Quoting KiwiTrada
this is another view AU 4hr

shows her ground through the 50sma right now retesting the falling tl with one my monthly levels just above, the blue rising tl is the daily if pa can keep climbing watching the falling 200sma and the rising daily tl possibly as merging, could be an interesting battle
for now watching tl test
bro ,

i guess we might have rate cut in next month or following month , one of our mayor bank started FIX rate mortgage promotion (0.6% less than variable) which is usually sign of rate cut
Mohan
  • #767,636
  • Mar 5, 2013 5:46pm Mar 5, 2013 5:46pm
Also pay attention to Euro/Aussie as trendline been breached, I think there is a real interest in Aussie at these levels purely for a carry trade purpose.
swing it!
  • #767,637
  • Mar 5, 2013 6:02pm Mar 5, 2013 6:02pm
Quoting gatorinla
looking to short the aj 95.87....95.838 was a target. aj is indicative of markets and commodities.. = eu
atm high 95.852
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #767,638
  • Mar 5, 2013 6:09pm Mar 5, 2013 6:09pm
Quoting gatorinla
looking to short the aj 95.87....95.838 was a target. aj is indicative of markets and commodities.. = eu
Not because I am long A/J but, A/U is being bought up atm.
  • #767,639
  • Mar 5, 2013 6:17pm Mar 5, 2013 6:17pm
Quoting tomspin
Also pay attention to Euro/Aussie as trendline been breached, I think there is a real interest in Aussie at these levels purely for a carry trade purpose.
If you are in for swap, check EUR/TRY short - triple swap.
  • #767,640
  • Mar 5, 2013 6:28pm Mar 5, 2013 6:28pm
Quoting Ken A
Not because I am long A/J but, A/U is being bought up atm.
that would make sense. i dont have all the levels here.. 1.0273 is part of my .9687 target.
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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