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Sonic R. System

  • #44,541
  • Mar 1, 2013 4:55am Mar 1, 2013 4:55am
Quoting traderathome
GU Comment:

One look at a Daily chart of GU and you just know it is ripe for reversal. In the real world of forex, where the Market Manipulators must first Accumulate their long positions, we must be careful to not "jump the gun."

Consider current PA for example. Since the Asian session got underway price has just been inching upwards, lots of time going by with the price definately bullish, but not so much so as to discourage would-be longs from jumping in. PA is saying "I'm going higher, and it is not too late to join up!"

Exactly!...
GU Comment:

........Told cha!
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  • #44,542
  • Mar 1, 2013 5:42am Mar 1, 2013 5:42am
Great stuff as always..

Sonic
  • #44,543
  • Mar 1, 2013 5:58am Mar 1, 2013 5:58am
FOund this nice ebook while I was clearing up my com..

Inserted Video


Sonic
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  • #44,544
  • Mar 1, 2013 9:34am Mar 1, 2013 9:34am
Since we're posting trade sheets, I'd just like to point out that proper use of sonic principles will lead you to an account like this. 90% of the trades were sonic based.

Happy trading, study hard!
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  • #44,545
  • Mar 1, 2013 9:41am Mar 1, 2013 9:41am
Eu short reentry.

Regards,

H.
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"The future is already written in the past"
  • #44,546
  • Mar 1, 2013 2:30pm Mar 1, 2013 2:30pm
Quoting traderathome
UCad: Entered short.
Quoting traderathome
UCad: Added short #2, Scout. Per Daily chart, this has had a tremendous run up, and is at key resistance now. Mental SL not shown, but above RDH to give swing room for US MMs. TP1 lowered, but is tentative as this could drop into next week.
UCad: Manually closed both trades at TP2 for 36x2= 72 pips gain, average EP x2 to TP2. Yes, it could still drop into next week, but the market is irradic, maybe with Big Money behind surprise moves. Decided to take profits and wait and see what next week brings.
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  • #44,547
  • Mar 1, 2013 2:39pm Mar 1, 2013 2:39pm
Quoting traderathome
UCad: Manually closed both trades at TP2 for 36x2= 72 pips gain, average EP x2 to TP2. Yes, it could still drop into next week, but the market is irradic, maybe with Big Money behind surprise moves. Decided to take profits and wait and see what next week brings.



and the support has nothing to due with it?
FXBlog h**p://talaiatradingsystem(dot)blogspot(dot)pt
  • #44,548
  • Mar 1, 2013 2:47pm Mar 1, 2013 2:47pm
can you guess where is the next bus stop if it breaks ST line?
(aka neckline).
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FXBlog h**p://talaiatradingsystem(dot)blogspot(dot)pt
  • #44,549
  • Mar 1, 2013 2:59pm Mar 1, 2013 2:59pm
Quoting traderathome
GU: Added trade #7 long, Scout.
GU: Added trade #8, Scout. Basis is that price has been severly bottomed to major S&R on Monthly. My take is Big Money engaged in a surprise "take out all weak hand longs" at the end of an Accumulation phase (see multiple posts on this over past days).
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  • #44,550
  • Mar 1, 2013 3:15pm Mar 1, 2013 3:15pm
this one, USDJPY, spookes me a little...
if i look to daily chart, i see a hugh rail up (UPTREND), hitting resistance.
then this week gap was closed wtih a big move down.
in the next a high volume stopping the the drop. (so, was the market still bullish?).
the week ends with a nice up candle, at this moment...(was this the answer?)
then whhhenn i switch to weekly chart...
Woohw....what a bullish candle is that?
or am i wrong?
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FXBlog h**p://talaiatradingsystem(dot)blogspot(dot)pt
  • #44,551
  • Mar 1, 2013 3:42pm Mar 1, 2013 3:42pm
Quoting talaia
can you guess where is the next bus stop if it breaks ST line?
(aka neckline).
EU:

No H&S formation on Daily yet. Firsts needs to move higher to form a right shoulder and then come back down to neckline. Such a move up would be maybe 300 pips to the 1.3300 area, and back down. That is lots of pips both ways before even thinking about a neckline break! The Weekly shows the price back down to a significant S&R area after multiple passes thru it in both directions. With recent higher HLs, this is ideal for a turnabout run back higher.
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  • #44,552
  • Mar 1, 2013 4:06pm Mar 1, 2013 4:06pm
Quoting traderathome
EU:

No H&S formation on Daily yet. Firsts needs to move higher to form a right shoulder and then come back down to neckline. Such a move up would be maybe 300 pips to the 1.3300 area, and back down. That is lots of pips both ways before even thinking about a neckline break! The Weekly shows the price back down to a significant S&R area after multiple passes thru it in both directions. With recent higher HLs, this is ideal for a turnabout run back higher.
FFcal at right-down corner?
when to? (pleeeeeeease!)

I''m talkinf about this H&S... i know is not perfect... but where is the standard?
i do not disagree with you but, that move wouldn't change much the neckline, would it?
ps: i'm not question you... now way... i'm trying to learn... a lot with you!
i dont' want to be misunderstood.
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FXBlog h**p://talaiatradingsystem(dot)blogspot(dot)pt
  • #44,553
  • Mar 1, 2013 4:16pm Mar 1, 2013 4:16pm
Quoting talaia
this one, USDJPY, spookes me a little...
if i look to daily chart, i see a hugh rail up (UPTREND), hitting resistance.
then this week gap was closed wtih a big move down.
in the next a high volume stopping the the drop. (so, was the market still bullish?).
the week ends with a nice up candle, at this moment...(was this the answer?)
then whhhenn i switch to weekly chart...
Woohw....what a bullish candle is that?
or am i wrong?
UJ:

Yes, you are likely wrong. This week, with all it's activity, is probably Big Money seeing the top has arrived and exiting longs. That would account for the large spread of the Weekly candle and it making new lows in the process. You can see the story better on H1.

Speculation

H1 starts the week with a gap up. This is the MMs closing out their longs first, in anticipation that all Big Money will see that PA has been at a significant SR area for too long and will start selling off. Sure enough, that day saw a massive drop in price as the selloff happened. The rest of the week has been to repump the price (Pump & Dump gets underway) to encourage unsuspecting longs to come in so Big Money can finish closing longs, and even start to build shorts. Have we seen the last of this?

Unlikely. Now that the MMs have the price back high again, why not support it a while longer? All the better for finishing up any long closures and for continuing the building of shorts. The market appears to be in the Distribuition phase. It can go on and on, and even finish will a climatic new high. And so.....

So What!

Whether price is moving up or down, or just ranging, the Sonic R. System does not care because good setups occur in both directions in all three of these situations. It is probably good for a trader to have a concept of the big picture of what is happening in the market. That builds confidence, and that is a lot better for a trader than trading with the feeling they have absolutely no clue as to what is going on. But in the "final analysis" the big picture can be totally meaningless so far as trading Sonic R. System setups, other than perhaps having a good understanding the trade is with or against the "trend", or is participation in the completion of a significant pattern found on a high TF chart.
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  • #44,554
  • Mar 1, 2013 4:28pm Mar 1, 2013 4:28pm
Quoting traderathome
UJ:

Yes, you are likely wrong. This week, with all it's activity, is probably Big Money seeing the top has arrived and exiting longs. That would account for the large spread of the Weekly candle and it making new lows in the process. You can see the story better on H1.

Speculation

H1 starts the week with a gap up. This is the MMs closing out their longs first, in anticipation that all Big Money will see that PA has been at a significant SR area for too long and will start selling off. Sure enough, that day saw a massive drop in...

got that!
you still the best...
thanks.
relax and have a nice weekend...
(FFcal?)
FXBlog h**p://talaiatradingsystem(dot)blogspot(dot)pt
  • #44,555
  • Mar 1, 2013 4:42pm Mar 1, 2013 4:42pm
Sorry talaia, what is the name of the indicator I see in your charts that mark the SR with blue stripes and red, please?
Newbie trader
  • #44,556
  • Edited 1:13am Mar 2, 2013 12:47am | Edited 1:13am
Quoting talaia
FFcal at right-down corner?
when to? (pleeeeeeease!)

I''m talkinf about this H&S... i know is not perfect... but where is the standard?
i do not disagree with you but, that move wouldn't change much the neckline, would it?
ps: i'm not question you... now way... i'm trying to learn... a lot with you!
i dont' want to be misunderstood.
Talaia,

The neckline for a Head & Shoulders formation is the straight line that joins the lowest points of PA between each shoulder and the head. So, on either side of the head, as you come down and away from the head and up to the top of a shoulder, there will have been a lowest point along that path. Such a lowest point exists on both sides of the head before you get far enough out to reach the top of each shoulder. Join these two points and you have the neckline. It is the bottom of the neck, and that is why it is called a neckline.

The significance of a properly placed neckline is that if you measure the distance from the top of the Head down to the Neckline, and then apply that distance to where PA last touched the Neckline and dropped, you will have a target level for the completion of the H&S pattern.

This is a situation where there are two different H&S formations, depending on what where you consider the right shoulder to be. Either or both could be correct, and therefore there might be more downside to go.

On the other hand, based on S&R on high TF charts, PA might have been torpedoed as far as it is going to be. Upside moves might dominate now, and possibly take price back up to form yet another right shoulder of an even bigger potential H&S formation. Things are rarely predicatable, even when things seem clear enough to be so.

-tah

P.S: As for the FFCal indy with new placement ooptions, it is finished. However the overall upgrade package is still in-work. And I want to test it when the next DST changeover comes, so the next release won't be until after then. Please be patient.
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  • #44,557
  • Edited 12:47pm Mar 2, 2013 11:55am | Edited 12:47pm
EU and GU and Market Comment:

Both dropped thru this past week, but why? My speculation is that Big Money simply saw an opportunity to continue their down trends right up to Friday. Why Friday? Well, maybe because in all likelyhood the US Sequester would go into effect. This could be interpreted (at first) as good for USD, and justify building into prices the upcoming enactment of the Sequester. That excuse to further drop prices ahead of the Sequester would be palatable, if questioned. If the Sequester were to be avoided in the "eleventh hour", then the market would have nice low prices from which to rebound,.....the MMs favorite strategy...."Ping Pong Pricing for Profits." If the Sequester went into effect (which it did), then after some time (maybe a day or so) the MMs could bounce prices anyway on the basis that "after thinking it all out over the weekend" the Sequester would further restrict the US economy, a bad thing, and so justify moving prices higher again!

Of particular note is the huge torpedo attack on GU of about 200 pips when the London session got underway Friday. Was this due to bad GBP news? It certainly was not due to USD news, or the Sequester, because EU was not also under such an attack. But, really now, was there anything about the GBP that could have come out on Friday that the Big Boys were not already well aware of for days in advance? This is hardly likely. If you examine the GU charts, it is plausible that after a severe Mark Down Phase an Accumulation Phase started, and that it has been going on this past week. And as the MMs loaded longs, so would lots of other folks. And what better move could Big Money make on Friday than to suddenly wack the price, stop all those other longs out, and use that ill gotten liquidity to further add to their own long positions,.....at extremely low prices! This is, I think, the reason for the extreme move down on GU that did not happen on EU. Any GBP "news" being touted by "talking heads" as the reason is just bullshit!

Now, both EU and GU are at lows (GU particularly so with a parabolic drop that is easy to see on the Daily chart). Both have had their pricing torpedoed to significant S&R areas, and both have had exceptionally high volume over the recent past days! So it is totally logical to consider the viewpoint that Big Money had a hand in this past week of Price Action, transitioning these two pairs from Mark Down to Accumulation.

Next week, in fact all of March should be an exciting time as "The Saga of the Market Manipulators" opens with a new chapter! Will the Sequester finally be deemed good or bad (i.e., which way will make the most profits for Big Money)? Will the euro ever go in for it's much needed face lift? And what will the stuffed shirts of London do now that they sit upon sunken treasure?

And speaking of sunken treasure, Soros once made billions betting against the GBP. I wonder if he has just recently bet for it?

-tah
  • #44,558
  • Mar 2, 2013 8:51pm Mar 2, 2013 8:51pm
Inserted Video


Capitalization is very important...


Sonic
  • #44,559
  • Mar 2, 2013 9:37pm Mar 2, 2013 9:37pm
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...90#post6486790

EU Weekly..


Sonic
  • #44,560
  • Mar 3, 2013 12:26pm Mar 3, 2013 12:26pm
to me there is no long at the time in cable -

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i need more cause ... - my short cable play from last week - folks that is classic stuff

enigma4x
enjoy my life ... and ride the waves - all what I do
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