EurAnalysis

Quoting CommercialB

Disliked

S&P and Dow soaring, EU languishing ... don't they usually move in tandem ...any ideas anyone?

Ignored

Quoting fibstalker

Disliked

They may move in tandem during the US session, but it also depends on the setup.

The Euro is in 4-hour and 15min shorts with targets below

The ES reached 2nd target on the daily and could start a retracement. On the 15min timeframe is in extension longs. If they fail we could see retracement into support at 1494 and even a larger retrace into 1479 area.

Just my 2 pips!

Ignored

Quoting EuroTraderJD

Disliked

I think E is struggling due to the recent Draghi Call and not Put.

From hearing between the words (like reading between the lines) he is aware of the higher price of E and its implications for Euroland recovery.

He has to walk a fine line ole Super Mario and his words have market meaning (is that why he is Super?).

Enough confidence to keep bond yield lower and not too much to kill the economies which IMHO is a lagging situation being bigger and more important.

The money is just flowing into US equities while the Dollar and PMs are holding...

Ignored

Quoting CommercialB

Disliked

Thanks EuroTrader, personally I don't think Mario cares much for any of the political pressure from politicians which as most of us he probably regards with disdain. A strong euro at least temporarily proves also the success of his policies while at the same time putting pressure on the more profligate Piigs to do a bit more of his infamous "fiscal consolidation"! Anyway, main Q was why is EU not hightailing it after the S&P and I guess I still have a lot to learn on this and much other matters.

Big thanks also to fibstalker for your...

Ignored

Quoting fibstalker

Disliked

Parco,
I cannot promote my blog on FF.
But if you look on the net with my nickname you should find something

Cheers
G.

Ignored

Quoting PipTrapper

Disliked

http://elitefive.wordpress.com/2013/...lish-language/

Ignored

Quoting EuroTraderJD

Disliked

From ZH

"Italy's February 24-25th election, courtesy of the seemingly improbable surge in Berlusconi's popularity in recent weeks, the biggest emerging risk for Europe in the coming month is that of an Italian "Hung Parliament" which would then likely result in another round of elections in a matter of months, jeopardizing the Italian "success story" and pushing headline political risk once again into the open."

Just tracking another black swan. Are there any forum participants from Italy? The polls will be...

Ignored

Quoting parco

Disliked

thanks for hospitality sir, and happy holidays

Ignored

Quoting CommercialB

Disliked

Big thanks also to fibstalker for your reply ...can't say I understood it all but it's a start!

Ignored

Quoting PipTrapper

Disliked

That would be Mr. FibStalker

Ignored

Quoting EuroTraderJD

Disliked

You are welcome. I dont know much and dont claim to. I said today I am a natural born fool from the USA (recently USS of A but that is for another day)

My mother used to tell me...."Mine is not to question why. Mine is to do or die."

(paraphrased from "Charge of the Light Brigade" by Alfred, Lord Tennyson.)

So in that vain I watch the PA and trade accordingly.

Ignored

Quoting EuroTraderJD

Disliked

From ZH

"Italy's February 24-25th election, courtesy of the seemingly improbable surge in Berlusconi's popularity in recent weeks, the biggest emerging risk for Europe in the coming month is that of an Italian "Hung Parliament" which would then likely result in another round of elections in a matter of months, jeopardizing the Italian "success story" and pushing headline political risk once again into the open."

Just tracking another black swan. Are there any forum participants from Italy? The polls will be shut off...

Ignored

Quoting CommercialB

Disliked

Ha ha, been reading your posts and you understand a lot more than you let on! Anyway fundamentals help and it's nice to understand what the hell is going on sometimes, but PA is God and he giveth and taketh away at his pleasure! Gd luck

Ignored

Quoting parco

Disliked

Looking at the situation from a political point of view is really
difficult to make sense of it. it seems to me a comedy.
I think there are many influences behind the scenes,
also from the international point of view.

On food and women, of course you're right

Ignored

Quoting EuroTraderJD

Disliked

From ZH

"Italy's February 24-25th election, courtesy of the seemingly improbable surge in Berlusconi's popularity in recent weeks, the biggest emerging risk for Europe in the coming month is that of an Italian "Hung Parliament" which would then likely result in another round of elections in a matter of months, jeopardizing the Italian "success story" and pushing headline political risk once again into the open."

Just tracking another black swan. Are there any forum participants from Italy? The polls will be shut off...

Ignored

Quoting fibstalker

Disliked

Here I am, I think there are other people from Italy as well.
All true unfortunately.
This is the current split of consensus if you are interested:

Mr. Monti - Eu elite 14%
Mr.(?) Berlusconi - Liberal right 20% (stable)
Mr. Bersani - Democratic left 34%
Mr. Beppe Grillo - 5star movement 15%

other .... (make your calculation)

At the moment Monti + Bersani wont' have the numbers for a majority in the senate.

Will keep you updated.

Ignored

Quoting EuroTraderJD

Disliked

Thanks for your view point. If Bunga Bunga takes the lead it could affect E. BTW I like the guy. He got a set!

AMEN and AMEN on the food and women. At times I have blurred the lines between both.

Ignored