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  • #441
  • Jun 7, 2006 12:15pm Jun 7, 2006 12:15pm
Quoting tojoko
The market is lookin' for a 50 bps rate hike.

If only a 25 bps rate hike is delivered, i wouldn't trade at all.

If non rate hike is deliverd, i'd go short the eur/usd.

But only a 50 bps rate hike is in my opinion a clear sight for a
long eur/usd. 25 is well expected, and, as usuall in europe,
already priced into the markets.
I must agree with you here.

I am a big supporter of prices incorporating BIG NEWS ahead of us.
  • #442
  • Jun 7, 2006 1:34pm Jun 7, 2006 1:34pm
A great read on fundamentals of dollar, commodities and tomorrow ECB's interest rate statement:

http://www.dismally.com/mt/archives/...teresting.html
-soso
  • #443
  • Jun 7, 2006 2:28pm Jun 7, 2006 2:28pm
Quoting soso_beton
A great read on fundamentals of dollar, commodities and tomorrow ECB's interest rate statement:

http://www.dismally.com/mt/archives/...teresting.html
great blog. thanks for sharing beton
  • #444
  • Jun 7, 2006 2:30pm Jun 7, 2006 2:30pm
Quoting soso_beton
A great read on fundamentals of dollar, commodities and tomorrow ECB's interest rate statement:

http://www.dismally.com/mt/archives/...teresting.html
Hey that really was a good article.! Thanks!
  • #445
  • Jun 7, 2006 2:39pm Jun 7, 2006 2:39pm
Not at all if you position size according to your risk and money parameters...

I don't follow the news so I don't care!

I will just follow the charts and wait for market to tell me I'm wrong...

So anyway I'm still in...

Quoting bigballer
Ouch, then you are hurting.....

But I feel it is temp, and once ECB comes out, watch out for the Long side!!
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  • #446
  • Jun 7, 2006 3:20pm Jun 7, 2006 3:20pm
Quoting Isotonic
Not at all if you position size according to your risk and money parameters...

I don't follow the news so I don't care!

I will just follow the charts and wait for market to tell me I'm wrong...

So anyway I'm still in...
Good for you dude
"We are the superior beings, we obey no one!"
  • #447
  • Jun 7, 2006 3:21pm Jun 7, 2006 3:21pm
I also think we going higher, much higher
"We are the superior beings, we obey no one!"
  • #448
  • Jun 7, 2006 7:01pm Jun 7, 2006 7:01pm
And what is this thinking based on?



Quoting bigballer
I also think we going higher, much higher
  • #449
  • Edited 8:19pm Jun 7, 2006 7:19pm | Edited 8:19pm
Quoting Yardie
And what is this thinking based on?
1. There are alot of negative issues happening with the dollar and the economy. Yes there is inflation and posible stagflation, but rates will pause of come to an end soon.

2. Many of the big boys are shorting the dollar, Warren Buffet, ects. They can make markets move........dont be fooled....watch where the Smart Money is flowing.......

3. Interest rates are coming to a end shortly, regardless of the hawkish comments by Bernancke.

4. Interest rates are continuing in other countries, Japan for one could start to raise in the near future. Others are raising also.

Although we need to see ECB raise by .50 basis to see 1.30 and above according to Dailyfx.com. But we shall see this next mourning with the release of the ECB.

Take heed to our economy we have had a great last 10 years, needs to be corrected till the next bull economy....

what goes up must come down

Just my humble opinion
"We are the superior beings, we obey no one!"
  • #450
  • Jun 7, 2006 8:23pm Jun 7, 2006 8:23pm
Come on guys, you should all know this by now.

It was Bernancke's comments to push this down.

This is where the smart money is pushing it to, to set it up for a possible up thrust if the ECB raises rates by 50 basis points. They want to shake out the weak investors.

But if they dont, and only do 25 basis points then who knows if the market will react. If no raise, then the dollar will stregthen some more.

Lets all hold out till thurs mourning !!!!
"We are the superior beings, we obey no one!"
  • #451
  • Jun 7, 2006 9:57pm Jun 7, 2006 9:57pm
hold out until morning? Sure! I'm staying up all night for this! We need a live chat room so I can stay up while waiting...
  • #452
  • Jun 7, 2006 11:08pm Jun 7, 2006 11:08pm
Could somebody clarify for me please, exactly what time the ECB statement is expected? Thanks
  • #453
  • Jun 7, 2006 11:19pm Jun 7, 2006 11:19pm
Heres what ive noticed no comments on Im assuming that theres no rike hike that the market is expecting from BoE.

How did cable react to last BoE unchanged rate statement ?

And will cable move north if euro moves north from ECB rate hike ?
  • #454
  • Jun 7, 2006 11:30pm Jun 7, 2006 11:30pm
The last time the GBPUSD went up... that was on May 4th it ended day up about 100 pips. But back then it was still in its bull run. These days the pair is looking a bit weak.
  • #455
  • Jun 8, 2006 12:12am Jun 8, 2006 12:12am
Quoting Adrian
Could somebody clarify for me please, exactly what time the ECB statement is expected? Thanks
7:45am EST
new york time
"We are the superior beings, we obey no one!"
  • #456
  • Jun 8, 2006 12:22am Jun 8, 2006 12:22am
Thank you bigballer.
  • #457
  • Jun 8, 2006 12:44am Jun 8, 2006 12:44am
11:45 GMT
Quoting Adrian
Could somebody clarify for me please, exactly what time the ECB statement is expected? Thanks
  • #458
  • Jun 8, 2006 1:28am Jun 8, 2006 1:28am
Quoting bigballer
Come on guys, you should all know this by now.

It was Bernancke's comments to push this down.

This is where the smart money is pushing it to, to set it up for a possible up thrust if the ECB raises rates by 50 basis points. They want to shake out the weak investors.

But if they dont, and only do 25 basis points then who knows if the market will react. If no raise, then the dollar will stregthen some more.

Lets all hold out till thurs mourning !!!!
Bigballer, you mean they are preparing a good buy price in case of 50 hike ? and at the same time disorient and discourage little traders ? Im not sure I got what you mean (cause of My english )
  • #459
  • Jun 8, 2006 1:39am Jun 8, 2006 1:39am
wow, they want to trigger all stops...
  • #460
  • Jun 8, 2006 1:52am Jun 8, 2006 1:52am
I was stopped out, but my stop was even, so at least i didnt loose.

now i bought gbp-usd from bottom after the fall and got 20 pisp.
I think for the moment I stop a moment and try to wait the after ECB...
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