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  • #753,421
  • Feb 1, 2013 9:20am Feb 1, 2013 9:20am
Quoting nic pickle
does anyone think that the trend is still long? I'm aiming for a target of 1.3714, just waiting for the retrace to stop, then I'll enter. Oh, its friday... maybe not
yes, till its not. the trend since 2043 is up.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #753,422
  • Feb 1, 2013 9:21am Feb 1, 2013 9:21am
Quoting gatorinla
peek at the Spanish banks today..
The LTRO payback for the ES banks is brutal.
  • #753,423
  • Feb 1, 2013 9:27am Feb 1, 2013 9:27am
Quoting Cuso
The LTRO payback for the ES banks is brutal.
It will definitely have a negative effect on eur spain is not doing it good and number which were published are totally nonsense it is in deep sh****
Loosening is not an option
  • #753,424
  • Feb 1, 2013 9:34am Feb 1, 2013 9:34am
Market has a problem with 40/70 area, maybe looking into it now.

Hourly close below 60 creates a new problem. But i dont think that happen, just quick visit.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #753,425
  • Feb 1, 2013 9:43am Feb 1, 2013 9:43am
all i need is a weekly close at or above 3713, that's all. GL all
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #753,426
  • Feb 1, 2013 9:46am Feb 1, 2013 9:46am
Quoting Vilkas
It will definitely have a negative effect on eur spain is not doing it good and number which were published are totally nonsense it is in deep sh****
Do not worry about such large spectrum while trading intraday mate... It won't help your trading decisions but only prevent you from what is happening in the very short term. You are neither a bank nor a long term equity fund. Try to act like a small fish which can escape even in the toughest situations.
  • #753,427
  • Feb 1, 2013 9:47am Feb 1, 2013 9:47am
Bloody roller coaster, I think I lost a few hairs

Went long at 1.3660 just as it was about to crash (donkey timing, go me!) but stuck to it under the condition that the 1.3600 level wouldn't be broken strongly...and luckily that level held. That 1.3700 level just had to be touched and I just think the EUR up trend isn't over just yet. Bought in for another 0.5 lots at 1.3605, so a pretty awesome 140pip'ish day after all. Got out of everything at 1.37 sharp because it's Friday afternoon and people are going to the pub...doubt there's more upside potential today.
  • #753,428
  • Feb 1, 2013 9:48am Feb 1, 2013 9:48am
Quoting Avir
all i need is a weekly close at or above 3713, that's all. GL all
That is a trademark, do not use it in your posts
  • #753,429
  • Feb 1, 2013 9:48am Feb 1, 2013 9:48am
Quoting math_GB
Do not worry about such large spectrum while trading intraday mate... It won't help your trading decisions but only prevent you what is happening in the very short term. You are neither a bank or a long term equity fund. Try to act like a small fish which can escape even in the toughest situations.
We are all small fishes and thats what we do all the time
Loosening is not an option
  • #753,430
  • Feb 1, 2013 9:52am Feb 1, 2013 9:52am
Quoting Vilkas
We are all small fishes and thats what we do all the time
Except for Max, yeah...
  • #753,431
  • Feb 1, 2013 9:52am Feb 1, 2013 9:52am
Quoting Avir
all i need is a weekly close at or above 3713, that's all. GL all
Why you need that?

I would like to see a few days trading / touching around 1.3550 to consider this uptrend healthy, until that I am not sure which direction to take it. It was 1.36, a short spike today.

Today I was very sick in both sense: couldn't watch the monitor more than 40 min continuously(high temperature): banked more than +100 pip (around 150) with max leverage... one of most profitable days, but I was "sure".
I want to buy PATIENCE
  • #753,432
  • Feb 1, 2013 9:54am Feb 1, 2013 9:54am
Quoting Cuso
The LTRO payback for the ES banks is brutal.
exactly.. companies selling to german auto makers are missing forecast. the aud is not showing what china claims. the boj is not and cant let up. the euro is up 13.x% on the usd. its up 35% on the yen. all since July.. so it makes German (ez) products that much more expensive comparably to the ones exported to... a squeeze in exporters add in higher energy for them comparably.. this is yen caused.
japan is not going to let up..they are phucked... and they are going to take the ez with them.. down here we have hurricane parties.. i see the ecb as "a deer in the headlights".. they always react late.. but the market is smarter most times.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #753,433
  • Feb 1, 2013 9:55am Feb 1, 2013 9:55am
Quoting math_GB
Except for Max, yeah...
Yup...
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  • #753,434
  • Feb 1, 2013 10:03am Feb 1, 2013 10:03am
For a little icing on the cake, grabbing the leftovers for a 10 - 20 pip long. It is out of balance traders are short again. They just don't learn their lesson........well
  • #753,435
  • Feb 1, 2013 10:05am Feb 1, 2013 10:05am
what a week of drama! different strokes for different folks! lol
the bullish chasers would have bagged alot of pips this week!
I think next week would be for the bears!
just my opinion.
Maximizing your potentials!
  • #753,436
  • Feb 1, 2013 10:11am Feb 1, 2013 10:11am
Quoting brio
what a week of drama! different strokes for different folks! lol
the bullish chasers would have bagged alot of pips this week!
I think next week would be for the bears!
just my opinion.
Believe it or not recently banks actually just turned net positive while the cattle folks still believe it will depreciate soon. It certainly could retrace for a while before heading to nonsensical levels.
  • #753,437
  • Feb 1, 2013 10:19am Feb 1, 2013 10:19am
I believe the price is still going long. I've anticipated the end of the pull back and jumped in. My tgt of 3714 gives me a nice risk/reward of 11/1. fingers crossed.
  • #753,438
  • Feb 1, 2013 10:20am Feb 1, 2013 10:20am
Could it be possible that japanese invested on eurozone stuff today ? They intervened the forex market on the USD side about a year ago - what if they are now moving their assets to the euro side ? what if their statements are total opposite stories ?
  • #753,439
  • Feb 1, 2013 10:29am Feb 1, 2013 10:29am
Quoting voltagetoe
Could it be possible that japanese invested on eurozone stuff today ? They intervened the forex market on the USD side about a year ago - what if they are now moving their assets to the euro side ? what if their statements are total opposite stories ?
Jay Walker could probably answer that, if he's on line...
Gone to a better place
  • #753,440
  • Feb 1, 2013 10:31am Feb 1, 2013 10:31am
Quoting voltagetoe
Could it be possible that japanese invested on eurozone stuff today ? They intervened the forex market on the USD side about a year ago - what if they are now moving their assets on the euro side ? what if their public reports are total opposite stories ?
Traditionally all asian central banks are filled with USD due to trading with US, they surely have been purchasing EUR assets, may it be bonds or currency due to portfolio diversification reasons, there have been announcements back in 2011 I recall from BoC and a few other central banks.

This is probably one of the reasons for the movement of EUR, Asia lost interest in the single currency once it dropped below 1.30 but they sure are back. You will start hearing plenty of news if the EUR gets closer to 1.40s again, which says "an Asian bank has bids here and there".
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