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EURUSD

  • #752,101
  • Jan 30, 2013 10:13am Jan 30, 2013 10:13am
Quoting MaxDoom
such fun

the big problem I have is that I will be in the bar when FOMC comes out ummmm.
It's great fun

I'll be rushing back from the gym, will have to use my mobile if I'm delayed
  • #752,102
  • Jan 30, 2013 10:14am Jan 30, 2013 10:14am
Spike up coming prior to FOMC ?
  • #752,103
  • Jan 30, 2013 10:15am Jan 30, 2013 10:15am
Quoting MaxDoom
such fun

the big problem I have is that I will be in the bar when FOMC comes out ummmm.
I'll text you if it;s drinks for everybody or Leave Without Pay
  • #752,104
  • Jan 30, 2013 10:16am Jan 30, 2013 10:16am
Taking the swing low on the H4 chart. 12-07-13 and the swing high on 12-19-13. Reverse fib ratios. And look at where price is at right now. Right on the 1.618 Golden Ratio.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: euh4swing.jpg Size: 105 KB
Time turns trend. - W.D. Gann
  • #752,105
  • Jan 30, 2013 10:16am Jan 30, 2013 10:16am
Quoting bennyblanco
There just isn't a bear case at the moment, we'd need a really good down move to alter the trend. And that would need a fundamental catalyst & I don't see one in the short term
Thing is EU bods can jawbone their currency but they are just shafting themselves as the Euro is losing international competitiveness. Seems utterly short sighted.
  • #752,106
  • Jan 30, 2013 10:17am Jan 30, 2013 10:17am
Quoting MaxDoom
such fun

the big problem I have is that I will be in the bar when FOMC comes out ummmm.
Leave the bread crumbs to us and close everything mate... Enough already...!
  • #752,107
  • Jan 30, 2013 10:17am Jan 30, 2013 10:17am
Quoting Fxnewdeal
Spike up coming ?

was just thinking that... super obvious trend channel from ~8:30 with the false break below ltl (suckers wanted sign) is almost always followed by a break of the utl --- little intuition there.

i'd say 3600 by lunchtime is a good bet (well, maybe a little after)
  • #752,108
  • Jan 30, 2013 10:17am Jan 30, 2013 10:17am
Quoting mercy seat
Further ENTRY short @ 1.35755 ...

16h20 CET

Avg at 1.355945 currently ...

And can be adjusted with with a few procedures ...

Re-do arrays will be mounted when it will cross below 1.3558 again ...








;-|


No need to mention ... as you might have been noticed as well ... it has been done already ...

Done at 16h42 CET ...

Profitable adjustments below avg BE by unwinding largest part of previous entries @ 1.35570 ...

Funny as well ...

###

Re-done at above 1.35760 again ...

Done at 17h12 CET

Further pendings in 1.3580 - 1.3604 zone ...

Same method as before ...

Avg for total amounts currently risen up to 1.356945 ...

Ende der Durchsage ...






;-|
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #752,109
  • Jan 30, 2013 10:19am Jan 30, 2013 10:19am
Quoting prezd
I'll text you if it;s drinks for everybody or Leave Without Pay
why thanks

in reality I will probably set up a straddle trade to cover all situations
  • #752,110
  • Jan 30, 2013 10:22am Jan 30, 2013 10:22am
Quoting tarrentino
Thing is EU bods can jawbone their currency but they are just shafting themselves as the Euro is losing international competitiveness. Seems utterly short sighted.
However the euro isn't that high if you look at historical levels, the current rate is not causing the euro area concerns at the moment. Most export companies (if they are intelligent) will hedge themselves to cover FX moves as much as is possible.

See this from today;

Quote
European Central Bank Governing Council member Ewald Nowotny said the appreciating euro shows the central bank’s measures helped boost the economic outlook, and the currency is trading in line with historic rates.
“We have seen that economic prospects are improving in Europe as a whole,” Nowotny told reporters in Vienna today. “The measures taken by the ECB have undoubtedly had a stabilizing effect. But this is still an exchange rate that’s...
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-0...erm-band-.html
  • #752,111
  • Jan 30, 2013 10:28am Jan 30, 2013 10:28am
Some new people say they are here to learn.
To those who think that playing the news is smart I ask to read this post from my blog.

"Do you think facts and 'Truth' (i.e. market news) make money?"

Read this and think again: http://wp.me/p2oF7p-pr

My opinion, of course, but found that a few successful traders agree with that article.

Let me know your thoughts...
"markets traded by programs/HFT offer a significant trading edge..."
  • #752,112
  • Jan 30, 2013 10:29am Jan 30, 2013 10:29am
Quoting bennyblanco
However the euro isn't that high if you look at historical levels, the current rate is not causing the euro area concerns at the moment. Most export companies (if they are intelligent) will hedge themselves to cover FX moves as much as is possible.

See this from today;

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-0...erm-band-.html
You could say that about all currencies - they're all in long term bands but the when you compare them relative to each other the EUR is pretty out of line right now. If the rate wasn't an issue why has it been a headline topic in Davos? I think the Euro muppets are obsessed with positive messaging to try and create a self fulfilling prophecy that they're out of the woods. Not convinced just yet.
  • #752,113
  • Jan 30, 2013 10:33am Jan 30, 2013 10:33am
e close... most ez markets closed red today. u.s. contraction weighs on the ez markets. q4 growth in the u.s. looks bad.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #752,114
  • Jan 30, 2013 10:38am Jan 30, 2013 10:38am
Daily RSI is crying for a retrace to cool itself down yet still no profit taking - no bear what so ever...
  • #752,115
  • Jan 30, 2013 10:39am Jan 30, 2013 10:39am
Quoting fibstalker
Some new people say they are here to learn.
To those who think that playing the news is smart I ask to read this post from my blog.

"Do you think facts and 'Truth' (i.e. market news) make money?"

Read this and think again: http://wp.me/p2oF7p-pr

My opinion, of course, but found that a few successful traders agree with that article.

Let me know your thoughts...
good article, at the end of the day you have to go with PA. Having a understanding of the fundamentals can help give context to a move, for example I'm sat here enjoying the ride up and it's not surprising me. I haven''t got the mindset of "OMG, how can this piece of crap go higher"" etc

But you shouldn't try to trade off the news, go with what the market decides to do & don't fight it
  • #752,116
  • Jan 30, 2013 10:40am Jan 30, 2013 10:40am
.eu doing its "i'm fallen and can't get up ... i'm weak!" routine at xx75 --- guess we'll see in a few...
  • #752,117
  • Jan 30, 2013 10:42am Jan 30, 2013 10:42am
Took the short @1.3572, for scalp am no keeper for this one yet.
  • #752,118
  • Jan 30, 2013 10:44am Jan 30, 2013 10:44am
Quoting math_GB
Took the short @1.3572, for scalp am no keeper for this one yet.

if ur lucky, i made it self-conscious and now it'll go down
  • #752,119
  • Jan 30, 2013 10:51am Jan 30, 2013 10:51am
Quoting tarrentino
You could say that about all currencies - they're all in long term bands but the when you compare them relative to each other the EUR is pretty out of line right now. If the rate wasn't an issue why has it been a headline topic in Davos? I think the Euro muppets are obsessed with positive messaging to try and create a self fulfilling prophecy that they're out of the woods. Not convinced just yet.

what you mean you wont be joining the singing of kumbayah around the campfire with mario, merkel, etc ? roasting up a few marshmallows ?

looking over some charts with my lab monkeys 3680 shows up for me. to be fair i didnt think it would head this high just yet.

higher than 3680 and i think we will start to hear those exporters moaning whether they've hedged or not.
  • #752,120
  • Jan 30, 2013 10:54am Jan 30, 2013 10:54am
Quoting math_GB
Took the short @1.3572, for scalp am no keeper for this one yet.
I've gone long the Dow today
see if it makes the 14k LoL
rat
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