EURUSD | Page 37539 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Related Instruments

EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Similar Threads

MT4: how to change "EURUSD" to "#EURUSD"? 3 replies

Re: EurUsd short term 15 replies

did oanda just drop its spread for eurusd to 1 pip? 11 replies

EA for multiple lot limit order for EURUSD 0 replies

NFP nice bump up on EURUSD 2 replies

Attachments: EURUSD
Exit Attachments

EURUSD

  • #750,761
  • Jan 27, 2013 4:52am Jan 27, 2013 4:52am
Quoting KillerWhale
Short UCAD at parity, short stop 10 pips but heavy load.
Just for 25 pips, target 0.9975
How are your shorts doing?
Did you move your sl from 10010?
  • #750,762
  • Jan 27, 2013 4:59am Jan 27, 2013 4:59am
Quoting KillerWhale
Finally showing some bear
Great call. Except it shoot right up over 100 pips.
  • #750,763
  • Jan 27, 2013 5:07am Jan 27, 2013 5:07am
Quoting geniusztc
1.35 is the Medium-term target.

Now we will see a pull back to the lower edge of the bullish channel lines.

Wait and see.
Nice charts 財弟弟.. seems like your charts attract the same crowds at tops & bottoms..
I also think Euro will pull back for long distance runners to re-load & for those who missed the bull wagon to hop on-board.. but after over-shooting another figure or two from here to clean out more top pickers & stall shorts..

Trail of the Smart Money:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Euro CFTC COT-20130122-4 years.png Size: 118 KB



http://www.livpage.com/PageContent/2...ge/187876l.jpg
  • #750,764
  • Jan 27, 2013 5:23am Jan 27, 2013 5:23am
Quoting KillerWhale
And my mother, guess what she did? She's 87 and just called me from 10,000 kilometers away to check if I got the $7000 she put in my bank account
Did it cover ur forex result?
  • #750,765
  • Jan 27, 2013 5:27am Jan 27, 2013 5:27am
Quoting cdndollar
Nice charts 財弟弟.. seems like your charts attract the same crowds at tops & bottoms..
I also think Euro will pull back for long distance runners to re-load & for those who missed the bull wagon to hop on-board.. but after over-shooting another figure or two from here to clean out more top pickers & stall shorts..

Trail of the Smart Money:
Attachment


http://www.livpage.com/PageContent/2...ge/187876l.jpg
Your chart projections are correct!
EUR is TOAST!!!
Daytrader
  • #750,766
  • Jan 27, 2013 5:37am Jan 27, 2013 5:37am
In the lack of negative influences, the VIX index at lows and EUR/USD showing so much strength, I'm just going to play this as a simple H&S breakout in the weekly.


First the chart:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: HS.png Size: 104 KB


I have 4 supporting arguements:

#1) Printed a higher shoulder = upside breakout.
#2) Breakout volume pattern developing which is only in its third week.
#3) COT Positioning has flipped for the third time, non commercial data for last week could give direction.
#4) Weekly close above the 100 MVA (the 20er had crossed the 50 in December)

#5) As a measure from head to neckline of about 1000 pips, which gives me a final target of about 1.45 or the .764 fib and the decending trendline of the wedge everybody knows. It could make this all in 3 weeks (just look back to September 2010) but I doubt it.

Of course we could just bounce off the 50% fib and fall off a cliff, but the .618 could be reachable if we power through the 1.3490. Will be watching pa like a hawk next week.
  • #750,767
  • Edited 8:00am Jan 27, 2013 7:35am | Edited 8:00am
Quoting gatorinla
3477.5 is the um.. mid is 3469 lm @ 3460.7... a nice R zone in a mofu... a -3452 h close may mean pullback. this is for a 3539/40 target. using st pa..

we missed a larger norm the last time we were near here for 3594.. if we do 3592, but not 2894 we will miss the 2894 norm.. that one was very close at 3592.. meaning 2894 before 3592... it looks like its a dud atm..

i wait for the cheap seats to become available, if it happens in a earlier post -3328 area... but not below 325x low... and look for 300+ pips... for...
i closed short Friday, when it wasn't moving just before close. not recommending a short... i do expect 3327 at some point and look to long 325x /3327 to target 3539/40 min.. and maybe 3592 or 3594 +. unless before 3592 norm wants 2894.. we missed a norm last time we were here near 3594 (34xx high).. in that cycle 1876 was the low. but w/o norm it could not be taken most times. once norm is reached that will allow lower lows below 1876.. but we need to wait and see some.. we have a minor norm at 3327/325x for 3539/40... +3592 is a edge to spoil 2894... and 3594 us a older norm.. all can be right still..

its just unlikely for 2894 to be at this point.. that one's rule is 2894 before 3592
the older one for the 3594 was 3594 before... (a lower target below 1876, that atm i am too lazy to figure out.) after a norm is reached, it allows for the pair to continue to target.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #750,768
  • Jan 27, 2013 10:39am Jan 27, 2013 10:39am
Quoting england33
I fixed your charts for you mate. It appears you had your lines drawn incorrectly.
yes.that is one possibility.but i do not know if price will break the bullish channel lines, or not.of course,if the bullish lines are broken, bearish will THEN be on the way.
A chart helps those who can read it.
  • #750,769
  • Jan 27, 2013 10:42am Jan 27, 2013 10:42am
Quoting cdndollar
Nice charts 財弟弟.. seems like your charts attract the same crowds at tops & bottoms..
I also think Euro will pull back for long distance runners to re-load & for those who missed the bull wagon to hop on-board.. but after over-shooting another figure or two from here to clean out more top pickers & stall shorts..

Trail of the Smart Money:
Attachment


http://www.livpage.com/PageContent/2...ge/187876l.jpg
your chart seems more professional.
A chart helps those who can read it.
  • #750,770
  • Jan 27, 2013 10:50am Jan 27, 2013 10:50am
Hope everyone had a good weekend! Will the bull continue this week or will the bear grow some balls and try to step in??
Want the lifestyle of the top traders in the world? TAKE RISK.
  • #750,771
  • Jan 27, 2013 11:24am Jan 27, 2013 11:24am
Quoting gatorinla
i closed short Friday, when it wasn't moving just before close. not recommending a short... i do expect 3327 at some point and look to long 325x /3327 to target 3539/40 min.. and maybe 3592 or 3594 +. unless before 3592 norm wants 2894.. we missed a norm last time we were here near 3594 (34xx high).. in that cycle 1876 was the low. but w/o norm it could not be taken most times. once norm is reached that will allow lower lows below 1876.. but we need to wait and see some.. we have a minor norm at 3327/325x for 3539/40... +3592 is a edge to spoil...
watching for weakness here on larger charts. 3484/3510 ish, with a um at 3661.7... some strategist use 3490.9. just watching to see if the R is strong here. interested in 3484/90.9 reaction
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #750,772
  • Jan 27, 2013 11:33am Jan 27, 2013 11:33am
Quoting gatorinla
watching for weakness here on larger charts. 3484/3510 ish, with a um at 3661.7... some strategist use 3490.9. just watching to see if the R is strong here. interested in 3484/90.9 reaction

I see some strong R in the 33484/85 area for sure
Want the lifestyle of the top traders in the world? TAKE RISK.
  • #750,773
  • Jan 27, 2013 11:38am Jan 27, 2013 11:38am
first stage 4047.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...69574&page=434
Iam just A pips on the rode :nerd:
  • #750,774
  • Jan 27, 2013 11:50am Jan 27, 2013 11:50am
market when will open Euro/USD trend buy or sell can any body help .,?
  • #750,775
  • Jan 27, 2013 12:48pm Jan 27, 2013 12:48pm
Quoting mercy seat
Some of you might have been noticed by chance that I was prepaired for that breakout to the upside in order to go beyond that former top at 1.3404 and 1.3415 as our beloved burst up point ... and we went to the longside with taken ENTRIES and we even have been long until beyond 1.343xx zone

And nobody of them has been running around and yelling like a rotten clan of poor slum kids while I was taking my positions to the long side from 1.335xx zone ...

That has been in done in the early morning on Friday and I did start to sit in the market...

Quick survey for the EUR/USD (Jan 25, 2012 23:00) ...


2013-01-25_23h00 - ZigZag + Pivot Survey _ EURUSD _ Roll Up _ W-05 # FV91 (EN Daily, Weekly).PNG (124.6 KB)


Everything as mentioned in all those summary views before ...



Burst down at around 1.3370 ...

Elliottwise : impulse wave up 1.3504 or 1.3538 in case of extention ...

Key-point : 1.3415 ...

###

Further upside - then down ... upside TGTs valid as long as above 1.3415 / 1.3370 zone ...

Otherwise correction down towards below 1.3337 / 1.3290 ...






Faites vos jeux! ... Palim palim ...







;-|
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #750,776
  • Jan 27, 2013 1:27pm Jan 27, 2013 1:27pm
to add my two cents... friday was the first day of truly being above all moving averages from a daily perspective. did it exhibit the strength? does it feel like the fundamentals have shifted for it to climb to the next level up... ie above 1.36. i'm not sure. if it hasn't, it won't stay at these levels long before heading back into our previous range... the longer it stays now, the more bullish it becomes. it could very well stay in this range the next few days but it needs to do something if it wants to stay. 1.3360 would be the first stop on the down side with 1.3280 and 1.3210-1.3150 certainly possible. that seems like a lot but retracing to the 50 day ema in something where it's tough to gage what the fundamentals are isn't actually asking a ton.
  • #750,777
  • Jan 27, 2013 2:37pm Jan 27, 2013 2:37pm
I think it needs to breath before probably testing 1,35... and asian session will lower price to 1,3420. London can push it to new highs with more volume...lets see, I'm short from 1,3455.
  • #750,778
  • Jan 27, 2013 2:56pm Jan 27, 2013 2:56pm
Quoting Cuso
In the lack of negative influences, the VIX index at lows and EUR/USD showing so much strength, I'm just going to play this as a simple H&S breakout in the weekly.


First the chart:

Attachment

I have 4 supporting arguements:

#1) Printed a higher shoulder = upside breakout.
#2) Breakout volume pattern developing which is only in its third week.
#3) COT Positioning has flipped for the third time, non commercial data for last week could give direction.
#4) Weekly close above the 100 MVA (the 20er had crossed the 50 in December)...

Nice plan if it works, nice and simple

But a couple things need to consider -
It is NFP week
It is close to end of monthly candle
Rarely does January indicate or influence pa direction
Holiday doldrums over and many books being opened in preparation for 2013 trading / trade planning
EU is @ resistance previous highs & 50Fib
EU "rally" coinsided with BOJ interventions
LTRO repayments, does it matter the repayments are being made with new debt aid? ie is paying debt with more debt real progress?
Korea?
TA & FA is showing signs of volatility, possably huge volatility just ahead, !!

My 2 cents, is be careful of all TA & FA from Dec2012 and Jan 2013 and be patient to let the real 2013 sentiment show its hand, when high volatility is on the horizon, its free to stay sidelines unless scalping
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #750,779
  • Jan 27, 2013 2:59pm Jan 27, 2013 2:59pm
On Euro
I am short biased.I think despite of popular forum posters screaming 35-38 coming I think we could see 3380 at least before move up.
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1359319212
In trading, you have to be defensive and aggressive at the same time
  • #750,780
  • Jan 27, 2013 3:09pm Jan 27, 2013 3:09pm
I was short and had a plan to short the area between 1.348X to 1.338X all the way to 1.30 , BUT : the price behaviour till now gives no confirmation for a short setup + this week is the LTRO payment and FOMC statement which is expected Uncle Ben will deliver Stimulus could see a pricing In all the way till 1.355 ..

Also something i have been watching for a while , is USDCHF - a bit midterm plan
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCHFtwomonthsPlan.jpg Size: 134 KB
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
583 traders viewing now, 1 is registered:
Gecco8