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  • Post #25,921
  • Quote
  • Jan 25, 2013 12:40pm Jan 25, 2013 12:40pm
  •  Mr. Scott
  • Joined Dec 2012 | Status: Member | 8,123 Posts
Quoting DaddyBear
Disliked
I have traded Nadex Binary Options before with some successes. Now I will trade again. I entered daily > 1.0380 by 1500 EST with $3 per contract. If I make it I will get $100 in return minus $4. The maximum risk is $4. Can I make it? Will update later. It was 97/0 now 96/99.50.
Ignored

Nice trade, looks like it wanted to test 1.039 all along but I would be surprised if they could take out so easy today.
The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • Post #25,922
  • Quote
  • Jan 25, 2013 4:15pm Jan 25, 2013 4:15pm
  •  mry2001
  • | Joined Jul 2006 | Status: Member | 472 Posts
Originally I expected 0.96. Now I expect 0.94, 200 pips more. LOL

AUD/NZD is also a safe short. I am 100% sure its bottom will fall off soon.

My stop loss is at 1.06, I doubt we will ever see that price again.

AUD/NZD monthly chart is like a perfect downside triangle.
  • Post #25,923
  • Quote
  • Jan 25, 2013 4:36pm Jan 25, 2013 4:36pm
  •  USD-Bear
  • Joined May 2009 | Status: User of Geppy patience pills | 7,645 Posts
Quoting mry2001
Disliked
Originally I expected 0.96. Now I expect 0.94, 200 pips more. LOL

AUD/NZD is also a safe short. I am 100% sure its bottom will fall off soon.

My stop loss is at 1.06, I doubt we will ever see that price again.

AUD/NZD monthly chart is like a perfect downside triangle.
Ignored
never say never in this business, but agree bears out of the wood
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • Post #25,924
  • Quote
  • Jan 25, 2013 5:20pm Jan 25, 2013 5:20pm
  •  forexalien
  • Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Member | 13,906 Posts
Quoting DaddyBear
Disliked
This bounce could be real or fake ........
Ignored
I called it a "bounce" because that would be all it was.....
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • Post #25,925
  • Quote
  • Jan 25, 2013 5:25pm Jan 25, 2013 5:25pm
  •  forexalien
  • Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Member | 13,906 Posts
Quoting chiknthief
Disliked
30 WEEK CYCLE

Here is an interesting angle on the aussie $. We find major turning points aprox. every 30 weeks. Counting ahead 30 weeks from the most recent line projects another major turning point out in the middle of april. With the heavy commercial net short position in the aussie, I predict a major LOW out in april. This market is a screaming SELL. The LTL will not hold for long. The BIG BEAR is here.
Ignored
What made you use 30 weeks vrs 21 weeks or etc.?
I saw your lines , I had a 38 period move that I was looking at also
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The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • Post #25,926
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  • Jan 25, 2013 5:54pm Jan 25, 2013 5:54pm
  •  Mr. Scott
  • Joined Dec 2012 | Status: Member | 8,123 Posts
Quoting forexalien
Disliked
What made you use 30 weeks vrs 21 weeks or etc.?
I saw your lines , I had a 38 period move that I was looking at also
Ignored
I would try 34.
The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • Post #25,927
  • Quote
  • Jan 25, 2013 10:07pm Jan 25, 2013 10:07pm
  •  Compulsive
  • | Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Member | 618 Posts
www.liveleak.com/view?i=b5a_1359141117
  • Post #25,928
  • Quote
  • Jan 25, 2013 10:13pm Jan 25, 2013 10:13pm
  •  glenngie
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Member | 1,307 Posts
comments please from AUD traders...

www.efxnews.com/story/16849/nomura-buys-15-million-audusd-targeting-11081-risking-10300
  • Post #25,929
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2013 12:41am Jan 26, 2013 12:41am
  •  arcticwolf
  • | Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Member | 526 Posts
Yes I had read that article now I am not sure of their reasoning but prior to that I was nbthinking that the next charge up by the aud could break through and end up at 1.10-1.12. I read somewhere a while back that the IMF was talking of making the AUD a major currency, that would screw us over big time so I hope not 1.05 is bad enough.
Quoting glenngie
Disliked
comments please from AUD traders...

www.efxnews.com/story/16849/nomura-buys-15-million-audusd-targeting-11081-risking-10300
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  • Post #25,930
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2013 1:54am Jan 26, 2013 1:54am
  •  ozpips
  • | Joined Sep 2009 | Status: Jack of all Trades | 326 Posts
You guys are all so Bearish, tell me why it can't go the other way?
I have a lot of support for a bounce on my chart..
Aussie doesn't fall apart that easy, we all know that do we not ?
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  • Post #25,931
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2013 2:38am Jan 26, 2013 2:38am
  •  iqyu5an
  • Joined Jul 2010 | Status: Always manage your risk & leverage | 6,601 Posts
she can ................ UP and Down plus test and retest prev s/r.

depends your own strategy............ no right or wrong in this biz

but personally.... at the moment and few days ago... ausie is not in her proper place .

no significant fundamental and the intrinsic value is not special also

the higher ausie the worst for her in future

just carry trade which push her higher and higher....

imho

***
based on your chart.. 1.02x and 1.01x is quite possible if and after 1.03x broken. well....... to go to 1.03x...... yes no straight line... she can dance


Quoting ozpips
Disliked
You guys are all so Bearish, tell me why it can't go the other way?
I have a lot of support for a bounce on my chart..
Aussie doesn't fall apart that easy, we all know that do we not ?
Ignored
Discussion Group at Telegram: ParisVanJafaThread
  • Post #25,932
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2013 8:38am Jan 26, 2013 8:38am
  •  mry2001
  • | Joined Jul 2006 | Status: Member | 472 Posts
This is what I see on daily chart. The long term support trend line is broken.
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  • Post #25,933
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  • Jan 26, 2013 8:49am Jan 26, 2013 8:49am
  •  mry2001
  • | Joined Jul 2006 | Status: Member | 472 Posts
This is a picture of AUDNZD.

I am going to hold a very small short position for long term because there is no stop loss.
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  • Post #25,934
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  • Jan 26, 2013 10:02am Jan 26, 2013 10:02am
  •  10518
  • | Joined Sep 2012 | Status: [NYSE, NASDAQ + CME] | 22 Posts
Quoting mry2001
Disliked
This is what I see on daily chart. The long term support trend line is broken.
Ignored

Not necessarily mate, candle didn't close below.

Monday will show
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  • Post #25,935
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  • Jan 26, 2013 12:41pm Jan 26, 2013 12:41pm
  •  forexalien
  • Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Member | 13,906 Posts
Quoting 10518
Disliked
Not necessarily mate, candle didn't close below.

Monday will show
Ignored
Good call....
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • Post #25,936
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2013 12:47pm Jan 26, 2013 12:47pm
  •  chiknthief
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined Jul 2012 | 899 Posts
[quote=forexalien;6395553]What made you use 30 weeks vrs 21 weeks or etc.?
I saw your lines , I had a 38 period move that I was looking at also[/quote

No particular reason other than the fact the turning points were hitting like clock work on the 'WEEKLY' chart. NOTE : that was on the weekly time frame only, NOT any other time period. Your chart is a one hour chart - it has its own timing and rhythm thats not necessarily the same as other charts of differing time periods. Thats whats so koool about charts. I was only pointing out something I found interesting and wanted to share it.
  • Post #25,937
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2013 12:50pm Jan 26, 2013 12:50pm
  •  mry2001
  • | Joined Jul 2006 | Status: Member | 472 Posts
Quoting 10518
Disliked
Not necessarily mate, candle didn't close below.

Monday will show
Ignored
It did close below on 4h chart.

You can still argue that there is no sure thing on forex market. It can bounce back to break 1.06 after it close below 1.03. That is true. Anything can happen so we always take loss.
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  • Post #25,938
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2013 12:55pm Jan 26, 2013 12:55pm
  •  forexalien
  • Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Member | 13,906 Posts
Quoting glenngie
Disliked
comments please from AUD traders...

www.efxnews.com/story/16849/nomura-buys-15-million-audusd-targeting-11081-risking-10300
Ignored
If price repeats it'self, possible 200 more pip drop..............Stochastics look the same in first panel. Back in end of Sept. and beginning of Nov. same setup as now for 200 more pip drop. But most of us play the daily swings and can't hold our trades that long......
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The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • Post #25,939
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2013 12:59pm Jan 26, 2013 12:59pm
  •  forexalien
  • Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Member | 13,906 Posts
[quote=chiknthief;6396149]
Quoting forexalien
Disliked
What made you use 30 weeks vrs 21 weeks or etc.?
I saw your lines , I had a 38 period move that I was looking at also[/quote

No particular reason other than the fact the turning points were hitting like clock work on the 'WEEKLY' chart. NOTE : that was on the weekly time frame only, NOT any other time period. Your chart is a one hour chart - it has its own timing and rhythm thats not necessarily the same as other charts of differing time periods. Thats whats so koool about charts. I was only pointing out something I...
Ignored
Thanks for sharing....I have been working on the 3rd dimension of timing the forex markets, that is why I showed the H1 with head and shoulders, how the shoulders and head were at equal distance to each other.......
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • Post #25,940
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2013 1:07pm Jan 26, 2013 1:07pm
  •  chiknthief
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined Jul 2012 | 899 Posts
Quoting ozpips
Disliked
You guys are all so Bearish, tell me why it can't go the other way?
I have a lot of support for a bounce on my chart..
Aussie doesn't fall apart that easy, we all know that do we not ?
Ignored

The number one problem with many traders is that they are thinking wrong. They think its the charts that move markets. Nothing could be further from the truth. Its the 'CONDITIONS' that move the markets not charts. The charts only reflect the conditions, AFTER THE FACT. The conditions on the COT (net traders positions) show us we're on the verge of a major sell off. This could be HUGE.

The aussie doesn't fall apart that easy - UNTIL IT DOES !!! Buying dips in a bull market works as long as it works until it don't work no more. (thats the law of the market)
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