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  • #25,821
  • Jan 24, 2013 8:50am Jan 24, 2013 8:50am
Placed a stupid trade by accident a sell instead of a buy :-/ hope it goes down a bit more so I can pull out without a loss. Grrrr!
  • #25,822
  • Jan 24, 2013 8:56am Jan 24, 2013 8:56am
Is anyone else thinking that if they choose not to cut the rate, this could be the low for many months? It seems the move downward was a bit excessive. Possible volume gap that will likely close over the next few days? Good luck everyone!
  • #25,823
  • Jan 24, 2013 9:05am Jan 24, 2013 9:05am
Quoting Arman_A
Placed a stupid trade by accident a sell instead of a buy :-/ hope it goes down a bit more so I can pull out without a loss. Grrrr!
I shorted this pair on Tuesday based on Aussie CPI data, so far Iīve got 70 green pips, looking for 1.04-1.0390 area to close my short, I hope I will close it by tomorrow, the truth is most aussie related data over the last weeks has been bad, so I donīt see the aussie going up any time soon, of course, I can be wrong.
  • #25,824
  • Jan 24, 2013 9:06am Jan 24, 2013 9:06am
Quoting xivh
I shorted this pair on Tuesday based on Aussie CPI data, so far Iīve got 70 green pips, looking for 1.04-1.0390 area to close my short, I hope I will close it by tomorrow, the truth is most aussie related data over the last weeks has been bad, so I donīt see the aussie going up any time soon, of course, I can be wrong.

I pulled out Got a few extra pips
  • #25,825
  • Jan 24, 2013 9:11am Jan 24, 2013 9:11am
Quoting NWSTrading
Is anyone else thinking that if they choose not to cut the rate, this could be the low for many months? It seems the move downward was a bit excessive. Possible volume gap that will likely close over the next few days? Good luck everyone!
CPI data this Tuesday, is deflationary pressure, donīt know if they will cut rate but the pressure is there, and today we had two good USD numbers, so Iīm counting on the strong US data to keep my shorts open.
  • #25,826
  • Jan 24, 2013 9:20am Jan 24, 2013 9:20am
Quoting Kissa
Feel like going long, need to be patient here.
Good choice.....
The More You Learn, The More You Earn.....
  • #25,827
  • Jan 24, 2013 10:25am Jan 24, 2013 10:25am
bear's would love to see a close below 1.0485
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #25,828
  • Jan 24, 2013 11:21am Jan 24, 2013 11:21am
Quoting USD-Bear
bear's would love to see a close below 1.0485

Iīm waiting for Japan CPI tonight, if the numbers are around or below expectations I think the Aussie can break below 1.0450, if not Iīm closing my shorts.
  • #25,829
  • Jan 24, 2013 11:29am Jan 24, 2013 11:29am
S&P tops 1,500 and stocks rally; however, the Aussie sold off. Some people believe there is a correlation between the Aussie and S&P. Today's PA proves there is no relation at all.
daddybearforex. com
  • #25,830
  • Jan 24, 2013 11:37am Jan 24, 2013 11:37am
Quoting DaddyBear
S&P tops 1,500 and stocks rally; however, the Aussie sold off. Some people believe there is a correlation between the Aussie and S&P. Today's PA proves there is no relation at all.
I think that Aussie depends more on chinese and japanese indicators, (cpi, growth, ppi)
  • #25,831
  • Jan 24, 2013 11:39am Jan 24, 2013 11:39am
Quoting DaddyBear
S&P tops 1,500 and stocks rally; however, the Aussie sold off. Some people believe there is a correlation between the Aussie and S&P. Today's PA proves there is no relation at all.

Short and short more this POS.

That is what I said 2 days ago.
  • #25,832
  • Jan 24, 2013 11:41am Jan 24, 2013 11:41am
Quoting DaddyBear
S&P tops 1,500 and stocks rally; however, the Aussie sold off. Some people believe there is a correlation between the Aussie and S&P. Today's PA proves there is no relation at all.
Used to be, has decoupled from S & P and iron ore.

Old chart showing correlation. People do not change but markets and correlations do.
http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/u...uru_origin.jpg
The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #25,833
  • Jan 24, 2013 11:41am Jan 24, 2013 11:41am
Quoting mry2001
Short and short more this POS.

That is what I said 2 days ago.

Whereīs your TP?
  • #25,834
  • Jan 24, 2013 11:45am Jan 24, 2013 11:45am
Quoting xivh
Whereīs your TP?
Based on that analysis, I would say less than 0.
The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #25,835
  • Jan 24, 2013 11:51am Jan 24, 2013 11:51am
Quoting Mr. Scott
Based on that analysis, I would say less than 0.
lol

I would say less than 1
  • #25,836
  • Jan 24, 2013 11:52am Jan 24, 2013 11:52am
Thanks for your explanation.

Quoting Mr. Scott
Used to be, has decoupled from S & P and iron ore.

Old chart showing correlation. People do not change but markets and correlations do.
http://static.cdn-seekingalpha.com/u...uru_origin.jpg
daddybearforex. com
  • #25,837
  • Jan 24, 2013 12:06pm Jan 24, 2013 12:06pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Thanks for your explanation.
You are welcome, we gave it a go last night and failed miserably.

Looks to me 1.043-4 is vital to hold as last of the support and 61.8 of big move.

This wave looks extended and does not seem like history should repeat exactly the last time we sold off from 1.56-7 level. It should not be that easy.

Any thoughts?
The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #25,838
  • Jan 24, 2013 12:26pm Jan 24, 2013 12:26pm
Quoting Mr. Scott
You are welcome, we gave it a go last night and failed miserably.

Looks to me 1.043-4 is vital to hold as last of the support and 61.8 of big move.

This wave looks extended and does not seem like history should repeat exactly the last time we sold off from 1.56-7 level. It should not be that easy.

Any thoughts?
I mentioned before that this retracement was incomplete due to the broken FIb 32.8%. I will look at the daily tonight to get more clues.
daddybearforex. com
  • #25,839
  • Jan 24, 2013 12:36pm Jan 24, 2013 12:36pm
Quoting DaddyBear
I mentioned before that this retracement was incomplete due to the broken FIb 32.8%. I will look at the daily tonight to get more clues.
Ok my friend thank you. Just looking to lg it here as low risk, but have a real hard time justifying in such a trend. Short seems too easy, just scalping and thinking. Seemed to go for 61.8 but backed off.
The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #25,840
  • Jan 24, 2013 2:50pm Jan 24, 2013 2:50pm
With what i see it will be a while till i can long, needs to hit 42 at least and more like 38 / 37 but no hurries here.
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