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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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  • #65,261
  • Jan 22, 2013 10:23pm Jan 22, 2013 10:23pm
E/U one hour looks like High BP cardiac graph =S
  • #65,262
  • Jan 22, 2013 10:26pm Jan 22, 2013 10:26pm
Quoting rekon67
E/U one hour looks like High BP cardiac graph =S
its ranging like a bad arrhythmia ... someone defibrillate!
  • #65,263
  • Jan 22, 2013 10:52pm Jan 22, 2013 10:52pm
Quoting neuron
its ranging like a bad arrhythmia ... someone defibrillate!
lets hope this is harmless arrhythmia, and E/U come down to normal range below 1.30
  • #65,264
  • Jan 23, 2013 2:18am Jan 23, 2013 2:18am
Below 50% of the range - bears, above - bulls AT the midle there are weekly clsoes too so it makes even more interesting.. At 3225 (31 dec weekly opening) - some bulls could emerge and create fake spyke and continuation higher.
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  • #65,265
  • Jan 23, 2013 6:09am Jan 23, 2013 6:09am
Good Morning

Some traders say there are days that it’s better to stay out of the market.
For me yesterday was THE DAY…
In one session we had two 4H bearish pin bars and one 4H engulfing bull candle, we had bullish and bearish neighboring 1H bars ranging 100pips, we had ECB speaking with no reaction etc etc…
Simply – Trader’s nightmare

I hope today will be better and we can get some action.
I am leaving EURUSD for a while, finding better opportunity on GBPUSD.
It looks like it found some solid ground on 1.5800 and this will be my card to play with today…
let it be...

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  • #65,266
  • Jan 23, 2013 6:48am Jan 23, 2013 6:48am
some guess work - just from eyeballing the past few daily candles and recent range play, if price fails to break 1.3375 today, 1.3270ish on the cards by end of daily candle or tomorrow (?)
  • #65,267
  • Jan 23, 2013 7:03am Jan 23, 2013 7:03am
EUR/USD's inability to break its 7-day 1.3250-1.3400 range - despite confirmation of a more aggressive BoJ and better than expected German data yesterday - could motivate seller, anecdotal evidence from both exchange traded futures and OTC options markets suggests investor’s EUR/USD long positions are now perhaps the weaker-side of the market. With little policy or economic data release triggers today, I look for positioning-led shorts, but potentially sharp, correction towards to 1.3100 given a convincing break of 1.3250.

http://i45.tinypic.com/24wy8th.png

I recommend waiting for a daily close below 1.3290 to confirm the bearish sentiment and then execute shorts on intraday pullbacks/retracements, targeting the 1.3125 support.
  • #65,268
  • Jan 23, 2013 7:27am Jan 23, 2013 7:27am
Quoting Tony Scott
EUR/USD's inability to break its 7-day 1.3250-1.3400 range - despite confirmation of a more aggressive BoJ and better than expected German data yesterday - could motivate seller, anecdotal evidence from both exchange traded futures and OTC options markets suggests investor’s EUR/USD long positions are now perhaps the weaker-side of the market. With little policy or economic data release triggers today, I look for positioning-led shorts, but potentially sharp, correction towards to 1.3100 given a convincing break of 1.3250.
Thanks for sharing
I am more bullish today.
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  • #65,269
  • Jan 23, 2013 7:27am Jan 23, 2013 7:27am
Quoting Likerty
Below 50% of the range - bears, above - bulls AT the midle there are weekly clsoes too so it makes even more interesting.. At 3225 (31 dec weekly opening) - some bulls could emerge and create fake spyke and continuation higher.
I found the sneaky bull

http://www.joke-around.com/sitespeci...neaky_bull.jpg
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #65,270
  • Jan 23, 2013 7:30am Jan 23, 2013 7:30am
Quicky 2 min video on eurodollar.
I totally agree with the guy.
Poor sound quality

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  • #65,271
  • Jan 23, 2013 7:35am Jan 23, 2013 7:35am
Daily Market Update - 23 January 2013 - Alpar_i

Interesting GBPUSD charts starts from 3:50min

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  • #65,272
  • Jan 23, 2013 9:40am Jan 23, 2013 9:40am
Quoting msood
some guess work - just from eyeballing the past few daily candles and recent range play, if price fails to break 1.3375 today, 1.3270ish on the cards by end of daily candle or tomorrow (?)
Well, that was quick and easy...and much sooner!
  • #65,273
  • Jan 23, 2013 9:41am Jan 23, 2013 9:41am
Quoting Tony Scott
EUR/USD's inability to break its 7-day 1.3250-1.3400 range - despite confirmation of a more aggressive BoJ and better than expected German data yesterday - could motivate seller, anecdotal evidence from both exchange traded futures and OTC options markets suggests investor’s EUR/USD long positions are now perhaps the weaker-side of the market. With little policy or economic data release triggers today, I look for positioning-led shorts, but potentially sharp, correction towards to 1.3100 given a convincing break of 1.3250.

http://i45.tinypic.com/24wy8th.png
I recommend waiting for a daily close below 1.3290 to confirm the bearish sentiment and then execute shorts on intraday pullbacks/retracements, targeting the 1.3125 support.
[color=Red][b]I...

As expected the EUR/USD has moved down past the 1.3290 level outlined on my previous post.

My recommendation is to wait for a daily close below this level and then seek to execute SHORTS on intraday pullbacks/retracements.

Tony
  • #65,274
  • Jan 23, 2013 9:48am Jan 23, 2013 9:48am
Quoting halkins
I hope today will be better and we can get some action.
I am leaving EURUSD for a while, finding better opportunity on GBPUSD.
It looks like it found some solid ground on 1.5800 and this will be my card to play with today…
let it be...

Attachment
Ahh... whatta day on GBPUSD.
Are we ever gonna get out of this consolidation?
I spent six hours in front of my screen playing "highrollers", making really, really good profits.
Then after 3pm Mr. Market wiped out 3/4 of my daily profits
Heh, I didn't grab my money form the table...
Am I greeeddddy? Damn... think I am.
Need a break... anyway I finished on green
Good Luck guys.
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  • #65,275
  • Jan 23, 2013 9:50am Jan 23, 2013 9:50am
Quoting Tony Scott
As expected the EUR/USD has moved down past the 1.3290 level outlined on my previous post.
My recommendation is to wait for a daily close below this level and then seek to execute SHORTS on intraday pullbacks/retracements.
Tony
Hey Tony...
Good call, buddy
Read Charts - Not Papers
  • #65,276
  • Jan 23, 2013 9:51am Jan 23, 2013 9:51am
and the IMF downgrading global growth and also calling for a triple dip recession in the Eurozone does not help at all.

http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/defau...130123_IMF.jpg
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #65,277
  • Jan 23, 2013 9:52am Jan 23, 2013 9:52am
If price can manage to close below 3270 today, then I say the bears are awake. Until then, it's just bulls taking panic profits.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
  • #65,278
  • Jan 23, 2013 10:02am Jan 23, 2013 10:02am
I also would like to see 1.3250 taken out.

Quoting PipTrapper
If price can manage to close below 3270 today, then I say the bears are awake. Until then, it's just bulls taking panic profits.
  • #65,279
  • Jan 23, 2013 10:05am Jan 23, 2013 10:05am
Quoting PipTrapper
If price can manage to close below 3270 today, then I say the bears are awake. Until then, it's just bulls taking panic profits.
You wont get a daily close below 1.3270 today/tonight as the large stops and limits in place on the books from 1.3265 down to 1.3245 will yield it above 1.3270 before the close.

The level to watch is for a daily close is 1.3290 with fresh DNT and VS being placed today. Also the vols are pointing for a 1.3290 spot daily close, but obviously not guaranteed.

1.3270 is to close to large book orders, to be in the running for a daily close below today/tonight.

Current books are showing 400 million in orders between 1.3255-65 and a further 300+ million between 1.3245-50, there is no way your are going to get that size of demand fully absorbed at this time of day or before the close to have price close below 13270.
  • #65,280
  • Jan 23, 2013 10:09am Jan 23, 2013 10:09am
Quoting msood
some guess work - just from eyeballing the past few daily candles and recent range play, if price fails to break 1.3375 today, 1.3270ish on the cards by end of daily candle or tomorrow (?)
Good Call
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