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EURUSD

  • #748,101
  • Jan 20, 2013 2:12pm Jan 20, 2013 2:12pm
Quoting KillerWhale
See? Oanda just opened 3 pips down
good to know. i shorted again at 3330 that friday.

Quoting BobGnarly
Finally got the pc fixed! Time to kill the bull
have fun, mate... that one took quite a while.
  • #748,102
  • Jan 20, 2013 2:18pm Jan 20, 2013 2:18pm
Quoting KillerWhale
If it can't break 1.34 than bear is the way to go, if it breaks 1.34 we'll probably get a big correction @ 1.3486


I am not going to buy if it breaks 1.34, but I am going to sell if it breaks 1.3250.
  • #748,103
  • Jan 20, 2013 2:27pm Jan 20, 2013 2:27pm
Quoting mry2001


I am not going to buy if it breaks 1.34, but I am going to sell if it breaks 1.3250.
Seems a wise decision
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #748,104
  • Jan 20, 2013 2:37pm Jan 20, 2013 2:37pm
Quoting KillerWhale
If it can't break 1.34 than bear is the way to go, if it breaks 1.34 we'll probably get a big correction @ 1.3486
Murrrey Math and momentum analysis:



monthly TF:

risk @ 3672, chance @ 1719 and below; selling favored while below of 3672; break of 3916 gives force to the bulls


weekly TF:

risk @ 3428, chance @ 2695; selling favored while below of 3428; break of 3489 gives force to the bulls


daily TF:

risk @ 3428 to 3489, chance @ 3184 and 3062; selling favored while below of 3428; break of 3489 gives force to the bulls


4h TF:

risk @ 3275 to 3245, chance @ 3336 and 3367; buying against 3275 and 3245, selling against 3336 and 3367; break of 3397 will exhibit 3428; break of 3245 will exhibit 3184 and below


1h TF

risk @ 3367, chance @ 3275 and below; 3351 should hold; a break of that, especially with break of 3367 may exposit new highs; break of 3275 will force n octave jump with more bearish implications


15min TF


risk @ 3283, chance @ 3367; buying favored while above 3283; buy recomendation @ 3306, 3290 and 3283; target for the up-move 3336 to 3367 whit emphasis to the latter




Conclusion:

I await firstly more upside action towards 3336 to 3367; after that we shall see declining prices towards 3246 and 3184
  • #748,105
  • Jan 20, 2013 2:40pm Jan 20, 2013 2:40pm
If my view right we will see Fast correction to down "1.32 next 24h"
Catch u@London
  • #748,106
  • Jan 20, 2013 2:47pm Jan 20, 2013 2:47pm
Quoting egkid
If my view right we will see Fast correction to down "1.32 next 24h"
Catch u@London
I am not so sure about fast down. We have a somewhat heavy distribution zone below with centre @ 3289 and then in the range between 3267 to 3254/3233 (based on market profile)
  • #748,107
  • Jan 20, 2013 2:58pm Jan 20, 2013 2:58pm
Quoting Avir
if it did I will be laughing on Sunday night, I don't do this often but I left one open over this WE SL at 3419 so not wrried if it go against me. Have a good weekend and good WE to all.
Not a big gap so far, only a few pips down. currently at 3307
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #748,108
  • Edited 3:40pm Jan 20, 2013 3:06pm | Edited 3:40pm
with you there. Thinking we well range tomorrow with US bank holiday and then euro dropping lower in "holiday" US Session followed by down move Tuesday

German Buba President Weidmann Speaks at 6.p.m. tomorrow (possible catalyst)

Quoting infinitus
I am not so sure about fast down. We have a somewhat heavy distribution zone below with centre @ 3289 and then in the range between 3267 to 3254/3233 (based on market profile)
Disclaimer: Check your 1m charts
  • #748,109
  • Jan 20, 2013 3:33pm Jan 20, 2013 3:33pm
Quoting Avir
Not a big gap so far, only a few pips down. currently at 3307
That is hardly a gap.
  • #748,110
  • Jan 20, 2013 3:34pm Jan 20, 2013 3:34pm
We thanks God who made us to be here once again in this new week trading session. You are all welcome & wishes you happy pips.
Always apply sound risk management. thats the only holy grail.
forexpillariscipline & patience Trader
  • #748,111
  • Jan 20, 2013 4:05pm Jan 20, 2013 4:05pm
Quoting pipper
with you there. Thinking we well range tomorrow with US bank holiday and then euro dropping lower in "holiday" US Session followed by down move Tuesday

German Buba President Weidmann Speaks at 6.p.m. tomorrow (possible catalyst)
Some ideas (daily graph, day starts at 0h00 GMT):

- Strongest support (most connexion points) is around 1.2850
- Down it will probably try to find its long-term strong support (yellow line) before probably reversing.
- If it doesn't break 1.2850, it will retest 1.34. This can confirm a small three wave triangle up tentative and/or final break (lower timeframe).
- We have a small problem around 1.33 where it was a strong resistance in december. It can be a temporarily support / resistance. We closed last week around that level (grey line).

Monday is highly unpredictable.

Each time a key point is reach, the analysis must be updated.
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  • #748,112
  • Jan 20, 2013 4:13pm Jan 20, 2013 4:13pm
Ich mache zunächst erst einmal gar nix ...

We can wait ...

2013-01-18_23h00 - ZigZag + Pivot Survey _ EURUSD _ Roll Up _ W-04 # FG7 (EN Daily, Weekly).PNG (125.4 KB)

###

Downside preferred while it remains capped below 1.3404 ...

Very mixed signals ...

2013-01-20_22h57_ EURUSD _ min020 _ (300) candles (Spezial BB zweifach).PNG (37.1 KB)

Pressured since early Wellington open ...

###

Corrective bounce cannot be ruled out ...

Bearish gateways only in case of premature cross of below 1.3262 / 47 ...

Otherwise some rebound possible again ... TGTs as shown inside ...

But once crossed there it will weaken EU pair more significantly ...

TGTs and key-points as mentioned there ...







;-|
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #748,113
  • Jan 20, 2013 4:14pm Jan 20, 2013 4:14pm
Quoting yelena
keep posting! it would be nice to see someone building positions live - it takes so much skill and patience. the other only made 400 pips from 77 to 81 on UJ in a span of 6 months, not adding positions and then prematurely exited at the break out of 81. the psychological wait in D1 is dramatically tormenting. i wish for your success! understand now, why u let PA hit you at +1 twice during December's NFP day, you were trying to see if the market was bottoming or topping. your ej longs are probably the safest for a longer period of time

US bank...
Just close some of my long position for +400 pips add to my balance, happy when see balance & equity raising smoothly

Leave EJ & UJ to battle for long bulls...hope this soldiers can win the war and complete the mission...will add more bulls soldiers when it needed
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Dangdut is a music of my country
  • #748,114
  • Jan 20, 2013 4:23pm Jan 20, 2013 4:23pm
so wait till tuesday mate

Quoting fx_forever
Monday is highly unpredictable
Disclaimer: Check your 1m charts
  • #748,115
  • Jan 20, 2013 4:45pm Jan 20, 2013 4:45pm
Quoting infinitus
I am not so sure about fast down. We have a somewhat heavy distribution zone below with centre @ 3289 and then in the range between 3267 to 3254/3233 (based on market profile)
Distribution happens in the end of the trend by the smart money not in the middle of it, correct me if I am wrong.
Thanks
swing it!
  • #748,116
  • Jan 20, 2013 4:55pm Jan 20, 2013 4:55pm
Quoting tomspin
Distribution happens in the end of the trend by the smart money not in the middle of it, correct me if I am wrong.
Thanks
everytime high volume (or tick volume) happens, there is distribution. Some people thought the price to be important.

Speaking Elliott Wave wise:

you have distribution zones at the end of wave 1, wave 2, wave 3, wave 4, wave 5 in an impulsive (trend) move. And the waves are fractal.....

To recognize such things depends on the timeframe you are looking at. Therefore I advocate multiple time frame analysis
  • #748,117
  • Jan 20, 2013 5:28pm Jan 20, 2013 5:28pm
Quoting infinitus
everytime high volume (or tick volume) happens, there is distribution. Some people thought the price to be important.

Speaking Elliott Wave wise:

you have distribution zones at the end of wave 1, wave 2, wave 3, wave 4, wave 5 in an impulsive (trend) move. And the waves are fractal.....

To recognize such things depends on the timeframe you are looking at. Therefore I advocate multiple time frame analysis
high volume does not mean distribution. Infact over the last few yrs its mostly accumulation
  • #748,118
  • Jan 20, 2013 5:31pm Jan 20, 2013 5:31pm
We can wait ...

2013-01-21_00h29_ EURUSD _ min020 _ (300) candles (Spezial BB zweifach).PNG (37.0 KB)

Tokyo Session looming ...






;-|
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2013-01-21_00h29_ EURUSD _ min020 _ (300) candles (Spezial BB zweifach).PNG Size: 37 KB
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #748,119
  • Jan 20, 2013 5:49pm Jan 20, 2013 5:49pm
this is my view of eur usd long it at once as it has bounced from a trend line and keep the position the aim is high for 1.47
my regards
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd1.png Size: 56 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd2.png Size: 58 KB
focus while relaxed to see better
  • #748,120
  • Edited 6:24pm Jan 20, 2013 6:10pm | Edited 6:24pm
Quoting Vachus
There will be a EUR group meeting next Monday , and the exchange rate should appear on the Agenda if Germany would like to avoid a 2013 recession and Merkel defeat in election - which will be catastrophic on whole Europe. However, somehow - i sense the ECB went missing on that issue and probably the Euro rally is kind of comfortable as his main goal was to contain the Debt crisis. So , as long as bailing out the peripheries without further intervention or loans is working - i don't think something should be expecting from ECB. But i'm expecting...
it dont matter to me who or when they put the lipstick on. its just the reality of the fact. a higher priced toilet paper. sells less then the cheaper one, and yet both serve the purpose. in bad times sales of both may drop.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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