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  • #747,601
  • Jan 17, 2013 1:21pm Jan 17, 2013 1:21pm
Quoting Ken A
Actually positive Unemployment Claims was dollar positive and E/U down, U/J gain.

Next negative Philly Fed Manufacturing Index reversed the whole thing.

Can easily check this with the time of data released with 10-Y, 30-Y and E/U positive then U/J negative gave back its gain affecting E/J.

As of this post, E/U drops from 1.3387 to 1.3373 drag E/J down affecting U/J also down.
Sorry Ken but as of the London open this morning the Spanish bond yields drove the EUR/USD up mate. Your Unemployment data there only drove the NYC session and the latter half of London which accounted for far less pips than the ride up from 3280.

Happy trading
  • #747,602
  • Jan 17, 2013 1:21pm Jan 17, 2013 1:21pm
go to sleep guys and trade tomorrow
High risk High return!
  • #747,603
  • Jan 17, 2013 1:23pm Jan 17, 2013 1:23pm
Quoting 2046
why ?
why ?


PA has simply been bullish from DP, respecting key daily resistance levels and mid points, nothing ridiculous about that. just the way it is
Well I don't see a trend and if you see one please guide your blinded friend to it - have you noticed on the rally day today Euro was not able to make a new high on the daily in a weekly range. The Bull that was printing 100 pips in an hour has suddenly lost its courage to break 1.34 as E/J just sweept through 1.20 and extended its gains ...It all smell funny to me , but it may work ! The problem now with this last bull push - which was a big mistake i', really happy they made it , that they have to push harder and break 1.34 and close tomorrow above it - otherwise , any shacks will trigger there BE enteris near 1.32 /1.3242 - as i expect their stops will be there and drive the price back under 1.32 ! The only way to avoid that is by buying the top and keep buying it - which is something not alot of people feel comfortable doing. So, If tomorrow some crazy guy comes and start buying - the weaker longs should exist on upticks , bucking the move to 1.34 !

This is why its so ridiculous and monkeys throwing money on buttoms Green / red and
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #747,604
  • Jan 17, 2013 1:24pm Jan 17, 2013 1:24pm
US unemployment claims simply offered a nice PB for the EUR and a lovely long opportunity from 3335ish.
  • #747,605
  • Jan 17, 2013 1:36pm Jan 17, 2013 1:36pm
Quick survey for the EUR/USD (Jan 17, 2012 22:00) ...


2013-01-17_22h00 - ZigZag + Pivot Survey _ EURUSD _ Rolling _ W-03 # FG91 (EN Daily, Weekly).PNG (128.1 KB)


Neutralized structures ...

###

In a larger TF picture it is trapped ... upside and stop hurdles defined by 1.3404 / 42 ... downside stops by 1.3258 / 16 ...

Breakout either side will decide its directional alignment ...





;-|
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #747,606
  • Jan 17, 2013 1:38pm Jan 17, 2013 1:38pm
One thing we should have learned is that for the market like this nowadays dont even try to predict its direction just go with the flow and buy whenever chart tells you that you cant buy and sell whenever chart tells you that you cant sell. And, anytime you make up your mind to buy or short a position, then just do the opposite. Then the last thing is to shut down your computer for two days then light it up again. You 'll be guaranteed to have a big smile on your face.
Whatever is happening right now has happened before and will happen again.
  • #747,607
  • Jan 17, 2013 1:46pm Jan 17, 2013 1:46pm
Quoting mnmnmmnnmnmn
One thing we should have learned is that for the market like this nowadays dont even try to predict its direction just go with the flow and buy whenever chart tells you that you cant buy and sell whenever chart tells you that you cant sell. And, anytime you make up your mind to buy or short a position, then just do the opposite. Then the last thing is to shut down your computer for two days then light it up again. You 'll be guaranteed to have a big smile on your face.
Edmonton hey? hmmmmmmm........
  • #747,608
  • Jan 17, 2013 1:48pm Jan 17, 2013 1:48pm
Quoting Vachus
Well I don't see a trend and if you see one please guide your blinded friend to it - have you noticed on the rally day today Euro was not able to make a new high on the daily in a weekly range. The Bull that was printing 100 pips in an hour has suddenly lost its courage to break 1.34 as E/J just sweept through 1.20 and extended its gains ...It all smell funny to me , but it may work ! The problem now with this last bull push - which was a big mistake i', really happy they made it , that they have to push harder and break 1.34 and close tomorrow...
Yes ... nicely said so ...

Hurdles to take out as well ...

24 hours left until end of week no. 3 ...

And some buttons needs to be pushed ... otherwise it's waste of time ...

Friday will start with our Asian Session soon ...





;-|
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #747,609
  • Jan 17, 2013 1:58pm Jan 17, 2013 1:58pm
Hello guys!
Anyone is seeing what is happening now at AUD/NZD?
Work smarter,not harder
  • #747,610
  • Jan 17, 2013 2:01pm Jan 17, 2013 2:01pm
Quoting marcof91
Hello guys!
Anyone is seeing what is happening now at AUD/NZD?
Haha never realized this exists. Checking out right now just being curious about how the chart looks
Whatever is happening right now has happened before and will happen again.
  • #747,611
  • Jan 17, 2013 2:02pm Jan 17, 2013 2:02pm
MY LORD.... the whole world is crazy !!!
Whatever is happening right now has happened before and will happen again.
  • #747,612
  • Jan 17, 2013 2:05pm Jan 17, 2013 2:05pm
Quoting DaEdge
Think market took bad number with grain of salt because of hurricane sandy.
I think more concern over the FC and debt ceiling debate. Sandy was back in Nov 2012, IIRC.
  • #747,613
  • Jan 17, 2013 2:05pm Jan 17, 2013 2:05pm
Quoting Vachus
Well I don't see a trend and if you see one please guide your blinded friend to it - have you noticed on the rally day today Euro was not able to make a new high on the daily in a weekly range. The Bull that was printing 100 pips in an hour has suddenly lost its courage to break 1.34 as E/J just sweept through 1.20 and extended its gains ...It all smell funny to me , but it may work ! The problem now with this last bull push - which was a big mistake i', really happy they made it , that they have to push harder and break 1.34 and close tomorrow...
It goes without saying that market is always right and any subjective impression of irrationalities masks a bias (which is no good) and a flawed understanding of the driving forces.
I cannot guide you, and never know where price is going - which does not mean I that I don't project. I only trade what I see within timeframes even it that means that I have long and short trades at the same time.

TA (ichimoku, without going into detail):
Weekly and daily TFs are and remain bullish, so that is clearly the trend. however W1 was testing resistance at upper kumo and D1 did look overbought at recent high 34031

H4 has given end of bullish signal but not yet a confirmation of a bearish signal. Once Chikou span confirms I will consider shorting from possibly 3357 down to 3272.

H1 has given a confirmed bearish signal from around 3357 (Jan 15, 7:00 GMT) that ended at around 3290 (Jan 16, 20:00 GMT)
H1 has then turned bullish with confirmation from around 3293 (Jan 17, 00:00 GMT), s1on h1 is around 3358 and S2 around 3277

non TA blabla:
http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/...es/2013/01/17/
as mentioned by other members above, the spanish debt auctions were a driver today along with the maintained bullish sentiment that seems to carry the euro, the risk appetite, the EJ, the unfinished business of challenging 3485 the high of from Feb 19 2012.
  • #747,614
  • Jan 17, 2013 2:07pm Jan 17, 2013 2:07pm
I don't know what happen, but i had a position open with -50 pips and now is +40 pips.
Quoting mnmnmmnnmnmn
MY LORD.... the whole world is crazy !!!
Work smarter,not harder
  • #747,615
  • Jan 17, 2013 2:07pm Jan 17, 2013 2:07pm
Quoting Sixfour
Sorry Ken but as of the London open this morning the Spanish bond yields drove the EUR/USD up mate. Your Unemployment data there only drove the NYC session and the latter half of London which accounted for far less pips than the ride up from 3280.

Happy trading
Agreed. If you want to list everything will take 3 -4 pages starting from Japan - Europe - Asia - US.
  • #747,616
  • Jan 17, 2013 2:10pm Jan 17, 2013 2:10pm
NZD/USD just dropped 80 points after ranging all week. Finally some movement for my patience.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nzd.png Size: 58 KB
  • #747,617
  • Jan 17, 2013 2:19pm Jan 17, 2013 2:19pm
NZD CPI data disappointing. here you go. big treat. congrats for those guys licking the candy now.
Whatever is happening right now has happened before and will happen again.
  • #747,618
  • Jan 17, 2013 2:20pm Jan 17, 2013 2:20pm
Quoting mnmnmmnnmnmn
NZD CPI data disappointing. here you go. big treat. congrats for those guys licking the candy now.
I was starting to wonder if it was ever going to start moving after stalling Monday. Was considering dropping the position completely if nothing by tomorrow near close.
  • #747,619
  • Jan 17, 2013 2:20pm Jan 17, 2013 2:20pm
Quoting 2046
as mentioned by other members above, the spanish debt auctions were a driver today along with the maintained bullish sentiment that seems to carry the euro, the risk appetite, the EJ, the unfinished business of challenging 3485 the high of from Feb 19 2012.
This is can form a sentiment not a trend , where is the trend that you mentioned one post later that its bullish and respecting the mid points and the lines ... now , if i understand correct you are saying " You don't know where price will be going " which contradict your first statement that their is a trend and its bullish. And you are justifying the push because of a sentiment - Which make me ask again , if there was a trend - sentiment is just intensifying it not creating !
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #747,620
  • Jan 17, 2013 2:22pm Jan 17, 2013 2:22pm
Quoting Kanzler
I was starting to wonder if it was ever going to start moving after stalling Monday. Was considering dropping the position completely if nothing by tomorrow near close.
If it doesn't take 9th of January Low , it will reverse in the morning
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
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