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Elliott wave outlook

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  • #5,661
  • Jan 17, 2013 6:26am Jan 17, 2013 6:26am
Ok, hold horses to last one. Euro has just hit 200% and EJ looks to be struggling right now (at 161.8%)... we could be in business for our minor 5/3 down;

http://i1168.photobucket.com/albums/...y17-01-13i.png
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  • #5,662
  • Jan 17, 2013 6:31am Jan 17, 2013 6:31am
Quoting The Cableguy
Ok, hold horses to last one. Euro has just hit 200% and EJ looks to be struggling right now (at 161.8%)... we could be in business for our minor 5/3 down;

http://i1168.photobucket.com/albums/...y17-01-13i.png

Here is what I have for EJ in wave C.... 1min chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eur jpy 1min 17 01 12.jpg Size: 73 KB
  • #5,663
  • Jan 17, 2013 6:32am Jan 17, 2013 6:32am
I was so so close to getting long at where i have indicated 'iv' above. It retraced to the 70.7% level of prior 3. I had the ticket open with half position, but for once i told myself to have discipline and wait for the 61.8% (38.2% retrace). Even on the 1min, it showed a very small abc, i presumed this was 'a' and was waiting for 'b' and then a further drop.... it never came
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  • #5,664
  • Jan 17, 2013 6:34am Jan 17, 2013 6:34am
Looks good Gray, the ending diagonal in my chart could easily be 'v' of the 3rd...
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  • #5,665
  • Jan 17, 2013 6:37am Jan 17, 2013 6:37am
Quoting Gray
Here is what I have for EJ in wave C.... 1min chart
And that would knock all the stops out at the high
  • #5,666
  • Jan 17, 2013 6:38am Jan 17, 2013 6:38am
Right.... Euro just reached 261.8% projection of wave 1. So entirely agree, we have just finished wave 3. Lets bear it in mind as we look now for the abc and 38.2% retrace of overall 3rd... Being extended, we may only get 23.6%...
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  • #5,667
  • Jan 17, 2013 6:55am Jan 17, 2013 6:55am
Quoting The Cableguy
Right.... Euro just reached 261.8% projection of wave 1. So entirely agree, we have just finished wave 3. Lets bear it in mind as we look now for the abc and 38.2% retrace of overall 3rd... Being extended, we may only get 23.6%...
So if we get a 38.2 we go down to 3338... Last chance to load up for a break of 3400 and beyond...
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #5,668
  • Jan 17, 2013 7:06am Jan 17, 2013 7:06am
Euro
Attached Image
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #5,669
  • Jan 17, 2013 7:07am Jan 17, 2013 7:07am
Quoting Olu
So if we get a 38.2 we go down to 3338... Last chance to load up for a break of 3400 and beyond...
Yep exactly. Need wave structure to be clear now, so as not to get carried away and mistake this 4th for start of bigger wave C. A 3-3-5 would be nice. EJ already looks more corrective than impulsive

The levels according to mine. 61.8% would be nice, but wave structure is more important now;

http://i1168.photobucket.com/albums/...y17-01-13j.png
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  • #5,670
  • Jan 17, 2013 7:54am Jan 17, 2013 7:54am
Good morning eveyone. I can happy people and sad people today...

I am still in my view. I will short euro yen when place a new high, no above 120...
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #5,671
  • Jan 17, 2013 7:56am Jan 17, 2013 7:56am
Quoting The Cableguy
Question... 'What makes us try to predict a pattern or target price in advance and post it in public?'

Answer... we all like to try to show that we know what we are doing and thus gain the brownie points...


Unfortunately, the market often makes us look stupid. We are programmed to have a flaw, in that once we see what we perceive, we don't accept any other scenario. This is dangerous. You must always keep more than one scenario in mind.

Personally, i think trading complex correctives is very dangerous and requires masses of discipline....
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #5,672
  • Jan 17, 2013 8:00am Jan 17, 2013 8:00am
Quoting WoodyNeo
Hey LC ! GM ! Bro What Book Would You Consider The Best About EW And The Best Explained ! Hope Not causing You Any Inconvieniane , Regards !
Hi Neo, there is not a good one
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #5,673
  • Jan 17, 2013 8:02am Jan 17, 2013 8:02am
Quoting The Cableguy
Apologies for taking over the thread this morning, guess everyone else is sleeping!

Couple possibilities after this mornings PA;

http://i1168.photobucket.com/albums/...y17-01-13d.png

'B' could also become irregular, but i seriously doubt it looking at 'c's wave structure right now.

Also poss, still;

http://i1168.photobucket.com/albums/...y17-01-13e.png
Both are perfect
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #5,674
  • Jan 17, 2013 8:08am Jan 17, 2013 8:08am
Great work Guys all the europe morning...Cable, Gray, Olu
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #5,675
  • Jan 17, 2013 8:12am Jan 17, 2013 8:12am
Hey LC Do You Consider This Point Of 119.20 Good For Short In EJ?
Quoting Luis Carlos
Great work Guys all the europe morning...Cable, Gray, Olu
  • #5,676
  • Edited 8:28am Jan 17, 2013 8:17am | Edited 8:28am
euro $.
my opinion is we finish number 1 and we go to number 2 to 1.3300 . target fot my is 61.8 for 2. we can go more dip...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 17.1.201315.gif Size: 20 KB
  • #5,677
  • Jan 17, 2013 8:25am Jan 17, 2013 8:25am
according to earlier discuussions we are nearing the area to look for a reversal. Now the question is this is it a tempotary reversal to 3360 area then massive down or is this the big reversal to the moon. China data must be good if it is to be the latter.

Olu
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #5,678
  • Jan 17, 2013 8:35am Jan 17, 2013 8:35am
Quoting Olu
according to earlier discuussions we are nearing the area to look for a reversal. Now the question is this is it a tempotary reversal to 3360 area then massive down or is this the big reversal to the moon. China data must be good if it is to be the latter.

Olu
For me, the clue is in the PA. Does the move up look impulsive? There is no way i am comfortable trying to label it a 1&2 as opposed to an A&B... is this not 'C' of 'B'? 61.8% 5th projection gives us 13,401... if its the case.

Unless you mean have we finished the 'B' wave... in which case, hmmmm not certain on that one! its a possibility!
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  • #5,679
  • Jan 17, 2013 8:43am Jan 17, 2013 8:43am
Quoting WoodyNeo
Hey LC Do You Consider This Point Of 119.20 Good For Short In EJ?
I was having breakfast. I would like one more high
Stocktwit: LuisCarlos - twitter: @lcparodi
  • #5,680
  • Jan 17, 2013 8:46am Jan 17, 2013 8:46am
The real sod of it is that the possible 'iii' reached exactly 200% of wave 1, thus it may have been the 4th and not 'iv'. Therefore it could easily be wave 'B' finito...
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