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Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun

  • #41,841
  • Jan 13, 2013 1:04pm Jan 13, 2013 1:04pm
and don't forget I used to be a cop also and a paramedic........ my son in irak, sad by following orders, the life in the military, sad in deed........they should be here in our own country defending our borders not over there........but......
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The Chonchy
  • #41,842
  • Jan 13, 2013 1:07pm Jan 13, 2013 1:07pm
Quoting ingmarforex
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WKKe4VcaqDg


Markets look exhausted some risk already retracing.

Looking eu still 1.35 to sell a bunch for a decent downmove also some pairs already leading a bit next week keeping eyes on equities for exhaustion bars. Gold jan in past was best performer in jan seasonal the cracker is strugling allwel gold oil ratio is intresting if up stocks down if down stocks up now oil is at res and gold mayor support so lets see
Dollar shorts look imo bit exhausted at this point but wtf do i know
nice video ING, my view is the same as cdndollar......
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The Chonchy
  • #41,843
  • Jan 13, 2013 1:14pm Jan 13, 2013 1:14pm
Quoting chonchy
nice video ING, my view is the same as cdndollar......
..........As you can see, we have turn from red candle to green candle, but that can change of course I know, but we are over the RED EMA 100 and that is significative I beleive........so we will see if this trend continue north or the europeans get a break, they need it I asume, no exports now like this.......or they are happy up to 1.45? MACD is cross to the north on this time frame.......I spect a pull back soon but the trend is up now, the long term one anyways......not the long, long term one but for me a monthly trend is a long one, lol........
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The Chonchy
  • #41,844
  • Jan 13, 2013 1:18pm Jan 13, 2013 1:18pm
........weekly for me is undesided if to keep the move down or cross the Ema Red 100 for sure and keep going up, we will know more this week......
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The Chonchy
  • #41,845
  • Jan 13, 2013 1:21pm Jan 13, 2013 1:21pm
.......and daily is up, due for a retrace unless it want's to go off the park........I dought it, a retrace is a must, but welcome to forex ah, you never know.......mean while I keep collecting swaps on my shorts
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The Chonchy
  • #41,846
  • Jan 13, 2013 1:36pm Jan 13, 2013 1:36pm
Quoting chonchy
nice video ING, my view is the same as cdndollar......
..........As you can see is not comun for the red and green arrows to print in this long time frame unless they have a solid reason, but hey there is always a first time, but if you ask me, the upper trend line is the target for this last green arrow.......
The Chonchy
  • #41,847
  • Jan 13, 2013 2:59pm Jan 13, 2013 2:59pm
[quote=chonchy;6360921]and don't forget I used to be a cop also and a paramedic........ my son in irak,


you must be proud, my boy sorry man is going to afganistan soon in armoured division
SEE LINE,TRADE LINE..PRICE HAS TO GO SOMEWHERE,,, PRICE WILL GO SOMEWHERE.
  • #41,848
  • Jan 13, 2013 4:20pm Jan 13, 2013 4:20pm
Quoting chonchy
nice video ING, my view is the same as cdndollar......
Oke maybe long long long term who knows anyway i am fading a bit of the ecb centralbank move but i am always bit weird you know
  • #41,849
  • Jan 13, 2013 5:25pm Jan 13, 2013 5:25pm
Quoting ingmarforex
Oke maybe long long long term who knows anyway i am fading a bit of the ecb centralbank move but i am always bit weird you know
what do you mean a bit weird?...you're really weird! lol

Bernanke speaks tomorrow so may be some play in that.....

2 charts .....

http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot...charts_11.html


"The indices looks a little stretched to the upside.

They can go further. Wait for it, wait until the market starts discounting the debt ceiling battle.

The wiseguys will probably want to run it up, and then suck in the funds and the pedestrian bystanders and then short it on the way down."

http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-tCxVg3SfiX...tuesdaily4.PNG



http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-iZK2NQzvit...k/s640/vix.png
  • #41,850
  • Jan 13, 2013 5:29pm Jan 13, 2013 5:29pm
Chonchy..you'll love this one if you haven't already read/watched it...

who is jack lew and why should we care?.....i have to admit i always thought obama was quite the salesman above all else, but having watched this announcemant and the fanfare along with it this one takes the cake for all time great performances, imo

http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot...pointment.html

"Word has it that Obama wanted Lew for his reputation as a 'tough negotiator.'

The progressive side dislikes him because he has a penchant for the status quo, and is no genuine reformer, which come to think of it is probably not a bad description of the President.

The conservative side dislikes him because he is a tough negotiator, and the fact that they wish to disrupt the processes of an opposition government at any opportunity no matter the cost and the benefit to anyone else. It is certainly based on no moral principles or standards."
  • #41,851
  • Jan 13, 2013 5:32pm Jan 13, 2013 5:32pm
Quoting ingmarforex
Oke maybe long long long term who knows anyway i am fading a bit of the ecb centralbank move but i am always bit weird you know
yeah I know, I was telling my wife about it, she asked me who listen to that music, I told her Ing and me, lol she saids I look like you, and I say yeah 100 pound less and 3 years of exercise more and 22 or 23 years younger, how old are you Ing, PM me if you want or skype me, I think I have a girl friend for you, no nat my wife, you ........
The Chonchy
  • #41,852
  • Jan 13, 2013 5:45pm Jan 13, 2013 5:45pm
Quoting chonchy
yeah I know, .... how old are you Ing, PM me if you want or skype me, I think I have a girl friend for you, no nat my wife, you ........
is this her, Chonchy?

http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_md...j4o1o1_500.jpg
  • #41,853
  • Jan 13, 2013 6:05pm Jan 13, 2013 6:05pm
[quote=roro53;6361326]is this her, Chonchy?quote]

Dang it Man! A perfect heart!

Wish you and the Cesarnc clan a prosperous year my friends! Let's get'em!
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  • #41,854
  • Edited 10:13pm Jan 13, 2013 6:53pm | Edited 10:13pm
you're the class act around everywhere, Chilly...

all the best in 2013, my friend

[quote=Chillypiper;6361352]
Quoting roro53
is this her, Chonchy?quote]

Dang it Man! A perfect heart!

Wish you and the Cesarnc clan a prosperous year my friends! Let's get'em!
some VIX, and debt ceiling approaching...........but 20 billion per week in FLOW to the Primary Dealer banks too...that does not include the the FED kickbacks of another 35-40 B per month from MBS interest earned..

FLOW per mo about 120 B

lot of steady FLOW bro with stabilizing bond yields in Europe (IBEX, MIB lot of catching up to do with rest), China looking like a plus import/export numbers, iron ore prices up substantially plus for AUD

so far, US earnings have surprised to the upside but the edge is jobs being cut ie., American Express, and rising income taxes

my 2 cents....also think maybe VOL is back in this market so that means trades to the moon or break the bank but with VOL in play modest position sizing/in out trades/compounding can go a LONG way

great to hear from you

http://soberlook.com/2013/01/is-vix-...premature.html


"Frederick foresees low volatility in the VIX, within the 13 to 16 range, until late February or early March, then a pick up just ahead of the debt-ceiling deadline. “If [lawmakers] look like they are going to push it right down to the wire, and I’ll be shocked if they don’t, [the VIX] is going to run up again just like it did in the two or three days before the fiscal cliff occurred.”

"At this stage it is difficult to see VIX moving materially lower and the risk seems to be to the up-side."

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-1uy9Vi1kkU...A/s640/VIX.PNG VIX Index
  • #41,855
  • Jan 13, 2013 7:36pm Jan 13, 2013 7:36pm
Quoting roro53
is this her, Chonchy?

http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_md...j4o1o1_500.jpg
nah she looks more like this man........

https://fbcdn-sphotos-h-a.akamaihd.n...87112900_n.jpg
The Chonchy
  • #41,856
  • Jan 13, 2013 7:39pm Jan 13, 2013 7:39pm
........Because I had another one but he is not going to like here dog much.........

https://fbcdn-sphotos-a-a.akamaihd.n...87947713_n.jpg
The Chonchy
  • #41,857
  • Jan 13, 2013 7:41pm Jan 13, 2013 7:41pm
[quote=Chillypiper;6361352]
Quoting roro53
is this her, Chonchy?quote]

Dang it Man! A perfect heart!

Wish you and the Cesarnc clan a prosperous year my friends! Let's get'em!
........The same to you and yours Chillypiper, the best for you and yours this year........well actualy she those have a heart......
The Chonchy
  • #41,858
  • Jan 13, 2013 7:43pm Jan 13, 2013 7:43pm
Ing don't need a girl with a heart to make a long lasting relationship they just need to ge alone like this two.......

https://fbcdn-sphotos-b-a.akamaihd.n...30881857_n.jpg
The Chonchy
  • #41,859
  • Jan 13, 2013 7:50pm Jan 13, 2013 7:50pm
Quoting roro53
is this her, Chonchy?

http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_md...j4o1o1_500.jpg

The "problem" with this tread is that my brain stops with all these beautiful distractions, I can't use my "head" no more......ARE YOU GUYS TAKING THE OTHER SIDE OF MY TRADES!!!
  • #41,860
  • Jan 13, 2013 7:53pm Jan 13, 2013 7:53pm
.........nice car

https://fbcdn-sphotos-g-a.akamaihd.n...48232066_n.jpg

https://fbcdn-sphotos-d-a.akamaihd.n...16760489_n.png
The Chonchy
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