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Sonic R. System

  • #42,741
  • Edited 2:21am Jan 11, 2013 1:48am | Edited 2:21am
AU:

Sonicers, here is a real clean view of AU. Now, wonder if the LO SM will mess things up? Yesterday was Pump & Dump; SM marked up price and have been distributing at the highs. Mark down phase next, to leave yesterday's longs up here as bag holders? Some speculation here.
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  • #42,742
  • Jan 11, 2013 2:12am Jan 11, 2013 2:12am
GU entered Long

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  • #42,743
  • Jan 11, 2013 2:46am Jan 11, 2013 2:46am
Quoting SCopier
GU entered Long

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GU: There is no PA wave yet for a long trade. The setup you anticipate is not complete. And it might not complete. Dragon is very flat and PA could go either way.
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  • #42,744
  • Jan 11, 2013 2:54am Jan 11, 2013 2:54am
Quoting traderathome
GU: There is no PA wave yet for a long trade. The setup you anticipate is not complete. And it might not complete. Dragon is very flat and PA could go either way.
PA in TF 30 already Up and my dragon blue and fat, so I opened Long for this pair
Look at TF H4, uptrend just begining

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  • #42,745
  • Edited 3:32am Jan 11, 2013 3:19am | Edited 3:32am
Quoting SCopier
PA in TF 30 already Up and my dragon blue and fat, so I opened Long for this pair
Look at TF H4, uptrend just begining

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TF H4 could also just be ending. Take a look at the upswing on H4 just prior to this one. M15 Dragon is flat. If anything, it is more starting to bend down, than up. In any case, there is no proper PA wave for a long trade. It could happen, but it has not happened yet.

Just trying to help. You know the quick reference to the rules that Sonic frequently says, "...let the Dragon and PA show the way." Dragon should be up for longs and down for shorts. PA should be above the Dragon for longs and below the Dragon for shorts. If it is not that way on M15, be very careful of trading opposite to M15 on a higher TF chart. They should agree, not disagree.
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  • #42,746
  • Jan 11, 2013 3:27am Jan 11, 2013 3:27am
Quoting traderathome
TF H4 could also just be ending. Take a look at the upswing on H4 just prior to this one. M15 Dragon is flat. If anything, it is more starting to bend down, than up. In any case, there is no proper PA wave for a long trade. It could happen, but it has not happened yet.
Why our PA different at H4?

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  • #42,747
  • Jan 11, 2013 3:40am Jan 11, 2013 3:40am
Quoting SCopier
Why our PA different at H4?

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It is not different. And I mistyped. I meant two swings prior, not just one. You can see how quickly they can reverse once extended out from the Dragon. Even as the Dragon seem to be starting up, PA can be reversing already. Also, just another point, on H4 you can see the trend is down, and that makes putting on a long trade higher risk. We use H4 for hunting actual candle configurations like engulfing or hammer that support the generation of a setup on M15. We don't use H4 Dragon/PA wave setups. That is in the Secret of Sonic R. pdf. you should already have read, as it is one of the documents in Post #1.
  • #42,748
  • Jan 11, 2013 3:48am Jan 11, 2013 3:48am
I didn't closed may trade SL is mental now. I am sure about this. (hope me right)

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  • #42,749
  • Jan 11, 2013 3:56am Jan 11, 2013 3:56am
AU:

Well, unlike GU that is already lower, SM is biding time with this one. Maybe the "Distribution" isn't finished yet. Maybe if it starts to drop like GU, some Smart Money is going to end up Idiot Money.

Smart Money (SM), that is quite a moniker. We say "The market is always right.", but that doesn't mean it is smart. Hell, some of these outfits have no claim on brains, they are just rich! They could be idiots. It is just that they have so much money, they can be wrong longer (than the rest of the market)! So they end up profitable. And out of that, their oversized ego demands everyone else refer to them as Smart Money.
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  • #42,750
  • Jan 11, 2013 4:02am Jan 11, 2013 4:02am
Quoting traderathome
AU:

Well, unlike GU that is already lower, SM is biding time with this one. Maybe the "Distribution" isn't finished yet. Maybe if it starts to drop like GU, some Smart Money is going to end up Idiot Money.

Smart Money (SM), that is quite a moniker. We say "The market is always right.", but that doesn't mean it is smart. Hell, some of these outfits have no claim on brains, they are just rich! They could be idiots. It is just that they have so much money, they can be wrong longer (than the rest of the market)! So they end up profitable. And...
AU:

I guess they read my post!

No more trying to pull the wool over the eyes of others. It looks like these Pump & Dumpers from yesterday are starting to pull the rug, leaving the longs as bag holders.....
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  • #42,751
  • Jan 11, 2013 4:20am Jan 11, 2013 4:20am
Quoting traderathome
AU:

I guess they read my post!

No more trying to pull the wool over the eyes of others. It looks like these Pump & Dumpers from yesterday are starting to pull the rug, leaving the longs as bag holders.....
Hi sonic!
Did you sell AUD?
  • #42,752
  • Jan 11, 2013 4:37am Jan 11, 2013 4:37am
EU:

Has a lot of volume going into the London session compared to previous days. And after the pump yesterday, at these highs, you can bet SM is not buying, but "Distributing". Who the hell is stupid enough to take the buy side of all the longs SM is attempting to close, and of any of the shorts SM is attempting to open? Anyway, GU started down first, then AU. And this might be the next one.
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  • #42,753
  • Jan 11, 2013 5:15am Jan 11, 2013 5:15am
Finally UP coming

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  • #42,754
  • Jan 11, 2013 5:16am Jan 11, 2013 5:16am
EU:

Price is weakening. Volume is weakening. SM might be having a rougher time now finding sucker longs to distribute to. A real tell will be when price breaks the half number area and comes back up to it. If it falls from there again, down she goes.
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  • #42,755
  • Jan 11, 2013 7:14am Jan 11, 2013 7:14am
Quoting traderathome
EU:

Price is weakening. Volume is weakening. SM might be having a rougher time now finding sucker longs to distribute to. A real tell will be when price breaks the half number area and comes back up to it. If it falls from there again, down she goes.
It sure does look as if something big is building. Of course, PA could go either way,
but by all appearances, it seems it is ready for a fall!

  • #42,756
  • Jan 11, 2013 7:18am Jan 11, 2013 7:18am
usdchf entered short

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" Support/Resistance is your friend .. and TREND your girlfriend .. "
  • #42,757
  • Jan 11, 2013 7:19am Jan 11, 2013 7:19am
We rarely have reversals on Friday except NFP days...as far as I can remember..

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Sonic
  • #42,758
  • Jan 11, 2013 7:32am Jan 11, 2013 7:32am
Quoting sonicdeejay
We rarely have reversals on Friday except NFP days...as far as I can remember..
Sonic
Didn't mean to imply a MAJOR trend reversal, but maybe just a CT back to the dragon (on the 4H chart)
  • #42,759
  • Jan 11, 2013 7:34am Jan 11, 2013 7:34am
Quoting traderathome
EU:

Price is weakening. Volume is weakening. SM might be having a rougher time now finding sucker longs to distribute to. A real tell will be when price breaks the half number area and comes back up to it. If it falls from there again, down she goes.
i did my own entry, would not dare to post here after your comment,simply i follow sonic r rules. no bias
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  • #42,760
  • Jan 11, 2013 7:37am Jan 11, 2013 7:37am
Quoting Shooter150
usdchf entered short

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Hit my take profit +45 pips

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" Support/Resistance is your friend .. and TREND your girlfriend .. "
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